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5 players who need to make the PGA Tour’s Fall Series count

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The 2016-2017 PGA Tour season officially kicks off Thursday at the Safeway Classic, and with it the PGA Tour’s Fall Series. The seven-tournament stretch starts this week in Napa, Calif., and then takes players around the world and back… literally.

2016-2017 Fall Series

  • Oct. 13-16: Safeway Open (Napa, Calif.)
  • Oct. 20-23: CIMB Classic (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia)
  • Oct. 27-30: Sanderson Farms Championship (Jackson, Miss.)
  • Oct. 27-30:  WGC-HSBC Champions (Shanghai, China)
  • Nov. 3-6: Shriners Hospital for Children Open (Las Vegas, Nev.)
  • Nov. 10-13: Playa del Carmen, Mexico (OHL Classic at Mayakoba)
  • Nov. 17-20: RSM Classic (Sea Island, Ga.)

For the five players on this list, the Fall Series holds a special significance. Here’s who we’ll be watching closely at the Safeway Open and for the rest of the Fall Series.

Keegan Bradley 

Four years ago, Keegan Bradley was Davis Love III’s golden boy at the 2012 Ryder Cup and provided an electric performance. Now he’s largely a forgotten man on the PGA Tour, and dropping down the Official World Golf Rankings at an alarming rate while a new batch of hungry young U.S stars have taken center stage.

Keegan finished the 2015/16 PGA Tour Season with some impressive statistics. He was 1st in Total Driving, T3 in Ball Striking, 17th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 12th in Greens in Regulation Percentage and 16th in Proximity to the Hole, yet his OWGR dropped more than 50 places.

All talk of Bradley’s struggles on the greens have been understated. Statistically, he is just about the worst putter on tour, which contributed to him missing 10 cuts this past season. As solid as his long game has been, it looks unable to save his desperate performance on the greens. Clearly concerned, the American decided to split with long term caddy Steven “Pepsi” Hale earlier this year.

Keegan now sits at 121st in the Official World Golf Rankings. Having not played since The Barclays, he needs something to change… and fast. Otherwise, he could become yet another player scrambling desperately to retain his Tour card.

Kevin Na

Kevin has had so many close calls to get win No. 2 on the PGA Tour. In recent years he’s been a model of consistency, but 2016 was quiet by his standards. He couldn’t get himself into contention for a win despite some good finishes. None were more impressive than his 7th-place showing at the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont.

Win No. 2 surely can’t be too far away, and I’m predicting it happens in the 2016/17 season. It may even happen within the next few weeks, because Na loves this time of year. Barring unforeseen circumstances, he’ll tee it up at the Safeway Open, Shriners Hospitals for Children Open and the CIMB Classic. Last year, he had agonizingly close calls at all three tournaments, eventually settling for two runners-up spots and a 3rd-place finish.

Expect another strong fall series for Na, as he’ll certainly be targeting a place on Steve Stricker’s 2017 Presidents Cup team. As of this week, he’s in 10th place in the U.S Team rankings.

Steven Bowditch 

The sharp-witted Australian has endured a torrid 2016. For whatever reason, his game has completely deserted him. After failing to break 80 at the WGC-Cadillac Championship back in March (posting 37-over par for the event), he went on to miss the cut in 12 of his next 16 events.

Bowditch has opted not to go home to Australia for some big events over the next couple of months. In doing so, he’s signaled his intent to focus solely on trying to recapture his form on the PGA Tour. If he’s looking for some positivity this fall, he can look to his runner-up finish at Napa back in 2014.

While Bowditch has dropped 115 places in the last 12 months in the OWGR, the two-time PGA Tour winner has recovered from big struggles with his game before. A fresh start this fall will hopefully see him fighting his way back to form.

Bryson DeChambeau

Bryson DeChambeau broke onto the professional golf world stage at The Masters, playing himself into contention before finishing T21st. After a T4 start on Tour at the RBC Heritage, his season fizzled out and he failed to play well enough to earn a PGA Tour card. DeChambeau didn’t let it get to him. He took his talents to the Web.com Tour, where he won a four-man playoff at the DAP Championship to earn 2016-2017 playing privileges on the big Tour.

There’s no doubt DeChambeau is one of the most exciting prospects in the game right now. Riding a wave of confidence, he’s already committed to the Safeway Open. Chances are, he’ll add more events this fall. With traditionally weaker fields this time of year the opportunity is there for Bryson to begin his season with a bang.

Tiger Woods 

Withdrawal symptoms after the Ryder Cup? Forget about it. The biggest star in golf is about to return. As he makes another comeback from his ailing back, all eyes will be on the condition of his body, as well as his game in Napa.

With nobody knowing quite what to expect on his return, Jesper Parnevik’s comments this week may have just raised expectations. Parnevik described Tiger as “flushing everything” in practice, and said, “Comebacks are never a sure thing, but something tells me his might be spectacular.”

As it happens, Silverado Country Club’s North Course could be an ideal place for Woods to ease back into the swing of things. An average-length course by PGA Tour standards, Woods may decide to not hit driver (his nemesis) as much as usual. It’s a course that demands strong iron play, a facet of Tiger’s game that has always been both exceptional and reliable.

Free swings, no grimaces and no meltdowns around the greens should leave his legion of supporters satisfied. Throw in a made cut and Tiger fans will have reason to feel buoyant before he heads to Turkey.

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Gianni is the Managing Editor at GolfWRX. He can be contacted at [email protected].

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Grizz01

    Oct 10, 2016 at 7:00 pm

    “Withdrawal symptoms after the Ryder Cup? Forget about it.”

    Oops! Didn’t even get to the tee box. Already withdrew. My guess he pee’d in a cup an didn’t pass.

  2. RedX

    Oct 10, 2016 at 5:33 pm

    Case in point.
    Tiger withdraws and first alternate – Max Homa – gets into a field that he wasn’t assured of making
    Those guys are the ones that have to “make it count”

  3. RedX

    Oct 9, 2016 at 5:41 pm

    Giancarlo – Obviously the fall series is more critical for graduates from the Web.com than Tiger (or Na for that matter). Particularly the players low in the status list

    Great to see Tiger in the field this week but he will have plenty of chances and can access any event he wants to – for guys like Tim Wilkinson, Bobby Wyatt Max Homa etc they need these weaker fields to enable them to get a place in the field and try and gain a foothold

    That may be a less interesting article for some but it would live up to the headline

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 LIV Adelaide betting preview: Cam Smith ready for big week down under

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After having four of the top twelve players on the leaderboard at The Masters, LIV Golf is set for their fifth event of the season: LIV Adelaide. 

For both LIV fans and golf fans in Australia, LIV Adelaide is one of the most anticipated events of the year. With 35,000 people expected to attend each day of the tournament, the Grange Golf Club will be crawling with fans who are passionate about the sport of golf. The 12th hole, better known as “the watering hole”, is sure to have the rowdiest of the fans cheering after a long day of drinking some Leishman Lager.  

The Grange Golf Club is a par-72 that measures 6,946 yards. The course features minimal resistance, as golfers went extremely low last season. In 2023, Talor Gooch shot consecutive rounds of 62 on Thursday and Friday, giving himself a gigantic cushion heading into championship Sunday. Things got tight for a while, but in the end, the Oklahoma State product was able to hold off The Crushers’ Anirban Lahiri for a three-shot victory. 

The Four Aces won the team competition with the Range Goats finishing second. 

*All Images Courtesy of LIV Golf*

Past Winners at LIV Adelaide

  • 2023: Talor Gooch (-19)

Stat Leaders Through LIV Miami

Green in Regulation

  1. Richard Bland
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Paul Casey

Fairways Hit

  1. Abraham Ancer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Henrik Stenson

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Joaquin Niemann
  3. Dean Burmester

Putting

  1. Cameron Smith
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Matt Jones

2024 LIV Adelaide Picks

Cameron Smith +1400 (DraftKings)

When I pulled up the odds for LIV Adelaide, I was more than a little surprised to see multiple golfers listed ahead of Cameron Smith on the betting board. A few starts ago, Cam finished runner-up at LIV Hong Kong, which is a golf course that absolutely suits his eye. Augusta National in another course that Smith could roll out of bed and finish in the top-ten at, and he did so two weeks ago at The Masters, finishing T6.

At Augusta, he gained strokes on the field on approach, off the tee (slightly), and of course, around the green and putting. Smith able to get in the mix at a major championship despite coming into the week feeling under the weather tells me that his game is once again rounding into form.

The Grange Golf Club is another course that undoubtedly suits the Australian. Smith is obviously incredibly comfortable playing in front of the Aussie faithful and has won three Australian PGA Championship’s. The course is very short and will allow Smith to play conservative off the tee, mitigating his most glaring weakness. With birdies available all over the golf course, there’s a chance the event turns into a putting contest, and there’s no one on the planet I’d rather have in one of those than Cam Smith.

Louis Oosthuizen +2200 (DraftKings)

Louis Oosthuizen has simply been one of the best players on LIV in the 2024 seas0n. The South African has finished in the top-10 on the LIV leaderboard in three of his five starts, with his best coming in Jeddah, where he finished T2. Perhaps more impressively, Oosthuizen finished T7 at LIV Miami, which took place at Doral’s “Blue Monster”, an absolutely massive golf course. Given that Louis is on the shorter side in terms of distance off the tee, his ability to play well in Miami shows how dialed he is with the irons this season.

In addition to the LIV finishes, Oosthuizen won back-to-back starts on the DP World Tour in December at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and the Mauritus Open. He also finished runner-up at the end of February in the International Series Oman. The 41-year-old has been one of the most consistent performers of 2024, regardless of tour.

For the season, Louis ranks 4th on LIV in birdies made, T9 in fairways hit and first in putting. He ranks 32nd in driving distance, but that won’t be an issue at this short course. Last season, he finished T11 at the event, but was in decent position going into the final round but fell back after shooting 70 while the rest of the field went low. This season, Oosthuizen comes into the event in peak form, and the course should be a perfect fit for his smooth swing and hot putter this week.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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