The 2016-2017 PGA Tour season officially kicks off Thursday at the Safeway Classic, and with it the PGA Tour’s Fall Series. The seven-tournament stretch starts this week in Napa, Calif., and then takes players around the world and back… literally.
2016-2017 Fall Series
- Oct. 13-16: Safeway Open (Napa, Calif.)
- Oct. 20-23: CIMB Classic (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia)
- Oct. 27-30: Sanderson Farms Championship (Jackson, Miss.)
- Oct. 27-30: WGC-HSBC Champions (Shanghai, China)
- Nov. 3-6: Shriners Hospital for Children Open (Las Vegas, Nev.)
- Nov. 10-13: Playa del Carmen, Mexico (OHL Classic at Mayakoba)
- Nov. 17-20: RSM Classic (Sea Island, Ga.)
For the five players on this list, the Fall Series holds a special significance. Here’s who we’ll be watching closely at the Safeway Open and for the rest of the Fall Series.
Four years ago, Keegan Bradley was Davis Love III’s golden boy at the 2012 Ryder Cup and provided an electric performance. Now he’s largely a forgotten man on the PGA Tour, and dropping down the Official World Golf Rankings at an alarming rate while a new batch of hungry young U.S stars have taken center stage.
Keegan finished the 2015/16 PGA Tour Season with some impressive statistics. He was 1st in Total Driving, T3 in Ball Striking, 17th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 12th in Greens in Regulation Percentage and 16th in Proximity to the Hole, yet his OWGR dropped more than 50 places.
All talk of Bradley’s struggles on the greens have been understated. Statistically, he is just about the worst putter on tour, which contributed to him missing 10 cuts this past season. As solid as his long game has been, it looks unable to save his desperate performance on the greens. Clearly concerned, the American decided to split with long term caddy Steven “Pepsi” Hale earlier this year.
Keegan now sits at 121st in the Official World Golf Rankings. Having not played since The Barclays, he needs something to change… and fast. Otherwise, he could become yet another player scrambling desperately to retain his Tour card.
Kevin has had so many close calls to get win No. 2 on the PGA Tour. In recent years he’s been a model of consistency, but 2016 was quiet by his standards. He couldn’t get himself into contention for a win despite some good finishes. None were more impressive than his 7th-place showing at the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont.
Win No. 2 surely can’t be too far away, and I’m predicting it happens in the 2016/17 season. It may even happen within the next few weeks, because Na loves this time of year. Barring unforeseen circumstances, he’ll tee it up at the Safeway Open, Shriners Hospitals for Children Open and the CIMB Classic. Last year, he had agonizingly close calls at all three tournaments, eventually settling for two runners-up spots and a 3rd-place finish.
Expect another strong fall series for Na, as he’ll certainly be targeting a place on Steve Stricker’s 2017 Presidents Cup team. As of this week, he’s in 10th place in the U.S Team rankings.
The sharp-witted Australian has endured a torrid 2016. For whatever reason, his game has completely deserted him. After failing to break 80 at the WGC-Cadillac Championship back in March (posting 37-over par for the event), he went on to miss the cut in 12 of his next 16 events.
Bowditch has opted not to go home to Australia for some big events over the next couple of months. In doing so, he’s signaled his intent to focus solely on trying to recapture his form on the PGA Tour. If he’s looking for some positivity this fall, he can look to his runner-up finish at Napa back in 2014.
While Bowditch has dropped 115 places in the last 12 months in the OWGR, the two-time PGA Tour winner has recovered from big struggles with his game before. A fresh start this fall will hopefully see him fighting his way back to form.
Bryson DeChambeau broke onto the professional golf world stage at The Masters, playing himself into contention before finishing T21st. After a T4 start on Tour at the RBC Heritage, his season fizzled out and he failed to play well enough to earn a PGA Tour card. DeChambeau didn’t let it get to him. He took his talents to the Web.com Tour, where he won a four-man playoff at the DAP Championship to earn 2016-2017 playing privileges on the big Tour.
There’s no doubt DeChambeau is one of the most exciting prospects in the game right now. Riding a wave of confidence, he’s already committed to the Safeway Open. Chances are, he’ll add more events this fall. With traditionally weaker fields this time of year the opportunity is there for Bryson to begin his season with a bang.
Withdrawal symptoms after the Ryder Cup? Forget about it. The biggest star in golf is about to return. As he makes another comeback from his ailing back, all eyes will be on the condition of his body, as well as his game in Napa.
With nobody knowing quite what to expect on his return, Jesper Parnevik’s comments this week may have just raised expectations. Parnevik described Tiger as “flushing everything” in practice, and said, “Comebacks are never a sure thing, but something tells me his might be spectacular.”
As it happens, Silverado Country Club’s North Course could be an ideal place for Woods to ease back into the swing of things. An average-length course by PGA Tour standards, Woods may decide to not hit driver (his nemesis) as much as usual. It’s a course that demands strong iron play, a facet of Tiger’s game that has always been both exceptional and reliable.
Free swings, no grimaces and no meltdowns around the greens should leave his legion of supporters satisfied. Throw in a made cut and Tiger fans will have reason to feel buoyant before he heads to Turkey.
The Wedge Guy: A defense of blades
One of the longest-running and most active conversations in all of golf equipment is the subject of blades versus game improvement irons. Over the nearly 20 years I’ve been writing this blog as “The Wedge Guy,” I’ve addressed this in various ways and always stimulated a lively discussion with my readers.
I hope this angle on the conversation will do the same, so all of you please share your thoughts and observations.
In the interest of full disclosure, I have always played some kind of blade-style irons, with only a few detours along the way. But I always come back to my blades, so let me explain why.
I grew up in the 1950s and 60s when blades were all we had. As a teenager with a developing skill set, I became a devotee to those models from the old Ben Hogan Company, and played the “Bounce Sole” model, then several iterations of the Apex line after it was introduced. Those few sets served me well into my 30s, when I became involved in the golf equipment industry. Having Joe Powell Golf as a client, I switched to his pure muscle back model called the “PGI.” They were certainly sweet.
In the late 1980s, I was handling the marketing for Merit Golf, who offered a cavity back forging called the Fusion, which was inspired by the Ben Hogan Edge irons, but offered a more traditional face profile. So, I switched to them.
Playing to a low single digit handicap at the time, I really didn’t see my scores change, but I just wasn’t making as many birdies as I had before. Openly pondering why my golf felt different, a regular golf buddy noted, “You’re not knocking down pins as often as you used to,” and I realized he was right. I was hitting just as many greens as before, maybe one or two more, but I wasn’t getting those kick-in birdies nearly as often. So, I went to the closet and broke out the old Joe Powell PGI irons and had an epic day with three birdies inside five feet and a couple more in the 5-10 range.
Those blades stayed in the bag until I developed my first iron design, the “RL blades” by my first company, Reid Lockhart. By this time, I had seen enough robotic testing prove that the most penalizing mishit with a blade was a toe impact, which mirrored my own experience. So, I sculpted a pure muscle back blade, but added a bit of mass toward the toe to compensate for that deficiency of all such designs.
I played those irons for 20 years, until I created the “FT. WORTH 15” irons for the re-launch of the Ben Hogan brand in 2015. In that design, I further evolved my work to very slightly add a bit of modified perimeter weighting to a pure forged blade, taking inspiration from many of Mr. Hogan’s earlier personal designs in the Apex line of the “old” Ben Hogan Company. Those are still in my bag, going on eight years now.
So, why do I think I can make a solid defense for playing blade irons? Because of their pinpoint distance control, particularly in the short irons — those with lofts of 35 degrees or higher.
I’ll certainly acknowledge that some modern perimeter weighting is very helpful in the lower lofts . . .the mid- and long irons. In those clubs, somewhere on or near the green is totally acceptable, whether you are playing to break 90 or trying to win on the PGA Tour. [Did you know those guys are actually over par as a group outside 9-iron range?] That’s why you see an increasing number of them playing a conservative game-improvement design in those lofts. But also remember that we in the golf club design business deal with poor “hits” only . . . we have no control over the quality of your swing, so the vast majority of bad golf shots are far beyond our influence.
But what I’ve seen in repeated robotic testing and in my own play, when you get to the prime scoring clubs – short irons and wedges – having a solid thickness of mass directly behind the impact point on the face consistently delivers better distance control and spin. In my own designs of the SCOR wedges in 2010, and the Ben Hogan FT.WORTH 15 irons and TK15 wedges, I created a distribution of mass that actually placed a bit more face thickness behind the slight mishit than even in the center, and the distance consistency was remarkable.
I’ve carried that thinking to the Edison Forged wedges by positioning much more mass behind the high face and toe miss than any other wedges on the market. And in robotic testing, they deliver better transfer of energy on those mishits than any other wedge we tested.
So, back to that experience when I switched back to my Joe Powell blades from the Merit cavity back forging, I can sum it up this way.
If your pleasure from your golf is derived more from how good your worst shots turn out, then a game improvement iron is probably the way to go. But if your golf pleasure is more about how good your best shots are, I think there is a very strong case to be made for playing some kind of blade iron design, at least in your scoring clubs.
Alright, fans: sound off!
2022 Open De France: Betting Picks & Selections
After an enthralling Italian Open at next year’s Ryder Cup venue, the DP World Tour moves on to Le Golf National, scene of one of Europe’s finest hours, a 17.5-10.5 victory at the 2018 running of the bi-annual festival.
With Valderrama on the schedule in three weeks’ time, the tour showcases a trio of its best courses within a month, and whilst deserving of a better field than present in France this week, the tournament should again provide viewers with a treat.
With the lowest winning total since 2000 being 16-under, and an average of 11-under, the focus is very much on a strong tee-to-green
game. The rough is up, the greens are tricky, and scrambling difficult. Those with low confidence in any aspect of their game need not apply.
2019 winner Nicolas Colsaerts somewhat went against the grain when winning via a long driving game , certainly compared to the likes of runner-up J.B Hansen and third-placed George Coetzee, as well as previous winners Jaidee, McDowell and Levet. Like the differing results at the Marco Simone course over the last two runnings, we should resume normal service, with bombers not having so much of an advantage.
In a hard event to weigh up, here is this week’s best bets.
Antoine Rozner 28/1
Ewen Ferguson 45/1
Jorge Campillo 45/1
Marcus Kinhult 60/1
There are few of the top lot that can be ruled out.
All of Thomas Pieters, Jordan Smith, Ryan Fox and, Victor Perez appear very high on the season-long tee-to-green lists. The Englishman was the first one on my list but, at 20/1, he can be left alone, especially given I would have expected him to have done better than a best of 21st in three outings here.
Nevertheless, his is the type of game needed for here and with home support probably a boon, plump for Antoine Rozner to make the Gallic crowd go wild for the first time since Levet’s victory in 2011.
Since his last couple of appearances in his home country – ninth and 13th on the Challenge Tour – the 29-year-old has won in Dubai and Qatar in contrasting styles.
The first saw him putt the lights out to win in 25-under, whilst the more relevant victory was at wind-affected Education City, where he grinded out a one-shot victory in eight under-the-card, a final hole 60-plus foot putt sealing the deal.
2022 has been good.
The record of two top-10s in Spain and Crans disguise four further top-20 finishes, and that he was inside the top-10 after round two of the BMW International, round one of the Czech Masters, and rounds one and three at Glagorm Castle.
Indeed, it was after the first of those that he announced he was very happy with the way his game was trending, and, true to his word, his tee-to-green play has been nothing short of stunning.
Since July, he has averaged a ranking of ninth for approaches, two of those efforts rating him leading the field for tee-to-green. Using the older stats, Rozner has recent greens-in-regulation figures of 21/2/2/7/34/5, perfect for a course that will penalise anyone that constantly misses the short stuff.
There may well be a current issue about his putting, but that is true of all the better ball-strikers. After all, it would be neigh impossible to beat them if every facet was ranking in the top five.
Rozner is bound to know this course better than his ‘debutante’ status, so take him to prove himself in a very beatable field.
Qatar seems a bit of a theme with Ewen Ferguson taking the next spot in the plan.
The Scot owes us nothing after two wins this year for the Players To Follow in 2022 column, but I’m not sure he is quite finished yet.
Slightly naïve when in front on Sunday at the Kenya Open, his next two starts might show finishes of 61st and 40th but, again, they disguise better play than the record shows – Fergie was 11th after three rounds at the MyGolfLife and just outside the top-20 at halfway at Steyn City.
That experience no doubt led to a grinding victory – another to be seen in Qatar – where his solid tee-to-green game outlasted most of his opposition.
The game has continued in that vein, with a 12th place at Celtic Manor (7th after three rounds) being a fine correlation with this week’s track, followed by his second victory of the year at Galgorm Castle.
Probably his best effort was in Himmerland at the beginning of the month, when his all-round game was in superb shape, only giving way to a ridiculous pair of putts by Oliver Wilson. As he did in Ireland, Ferguson led the tee-to-green figures via both driving and irons, whilst his scrambling game was also highly ranked.
Despite the smiles, he may have been feeling that defeat when missing the cut at Wentworth, a course that doesn’t suit everyone on debut, and look at his price – over twice that of players that fail to convert winning chances.
At the same price, the mercurial Jorge Campillo is well worth backing to continue a solid bank of recent and course form.
Rather like previous Spanish winners of the French Open, the 36-year-old (yes, I thought he was older than that, too) has that capability to get out of trouble with the short game so identifiable with his compatriots.
One missed cut in his last nine starts shows he has a belief in his overall game, whilst six consecutive cuts sees him in the sort of form that should enable to challenge for his third European victory, after Morocco and (here we go again) Qatar.
Again his record shows just a couple of top-10 finishes this year, but he was in fourth place going into the final round at Kenya, top 10 for the middle rounds in Belgium, led the Irish Open at halfway and was in the final group on Sunday, whilst he closed late last weekend when it turned tricky in Italy.
With an 8th, 15th and 18th in six starts around here, it’s that ability to grind out a result that gives him claims this week. Campillo isn’t a strong birdie machine, so a winning score of around 10 to 12-under will do just fine.
Marcel Schneider and Romain Langasque both tempted me in at the prices, but whilst the former is in flying form, his record shows he improves after a first sighting at a course, so monitor him for a quiet debut and back him next year! As for the French native, he really should do well if his win at Celtic Manor and his home record has anything in them. The issue is that, at the moment, he is hitting it sideways off the tee and unable to recover with his irons – not a great combo around a tight track.
Instead, take a chance on Marcus Kinhult, who beat Robert MacIntyre, Eddie Pepperell and Matt Wallace to the British Masters in 2019, held at the links of Hillside, his sole victory on tour to date.
The Swede, whose tee-to-green game doesn’t give him as much reward as it may be ought to, followed that win by making a tough up-and-down at the final hole of that season’s Nedbank Challenge to join Tommy Fleetwood in a play-off, both having come from off the pace at the start of the day.
Unfortunately, that one didn’t go his way, but he has continued to bank a solid record, including top-10 finishes in Qatar (hello, again), The Renaissance Club and Wentworth through 2020, before a personal nightmare.
As he explained in his DP World Tour blog, the 26-year-old started suffering with dizzy spells, eventually diagnosed with epilepsy. In terms of golf, we can put a red line through 2021 form.
Fortunately, the condition is now under control and having worked his way through the Nordic Golf League, where in two events he finished ninth and first, arrived at full fitness at Kenya to finish inside the top-10, before a closing third in Qatar (hello…oh, ok.)
Whilst he couldn’t capitalise on a place in the final two-ball at The Belfry, it was a good warm-up for a return to Hillside, where he would finish a never-nearer third, following that effort with a pair of 23rd place finishes at the Czech Masters and Crans.
It is worth noting that his best efforts in 2018 were in Qatar, at Wentworth and around here (when finishing in fifth place), whilst the last time the French Open was played here, he again finished quickly to be just outside the top-10.
Kinhult has ranked top-12 for driving accuracy in his last three completed outings, and in the top-20 for scrambling in five of eight starts. This is his track.
Rickie Fowler and Hideki Matsuyama make big gear changes in Napa
Andrew Tursky was on site at the Fortinet Championship this week and got all he could handle in terms of new equipment news. There were new irons, drivers, and even headcovers all over the range, so we had to dig into two of the biggest stories out there on this week’s Two Guys Talking Golf Podcast (give us a follow on Instagram: @tg2wrx).
Rickie Fowler’s new irons
Rickie Fowler has been changing a lot of equipment in his bag as he has struggled to get his golf game back into shape. We have seen him with different drivers, shafts, irons, and putters throughout the 2021-2022 season. Fowler has typically played some form of blade during his career, and Cobra even made him some signature Rev33 blades that were beautiful, but razor thin and intimidating for us mortal golfers.
Rickie showed up to the Fortinet with some brand new, unreleased, Cobra King Tour irons. The King Tour irons look a lot like the current Cobra King Tour MIM irons, and we can only assume that the new Tour will replace the MIM.
The interesting thing about the King Tour irons is that they look a little larger than his preferred blades and that they might have a little more ball speed and distance built into them. From the images you can tell there is a little slot behind the face that might be filled with some type of polymer.
Rickie didn’t get into the tech of the new King Tour irons but did tell Tursky that he was gaining around 3-4 yards on shots that he stuck low on the face. He finished the first round of the Fortinet Championship in the top four, so the new irons have seen some success under pressure. I know many of us hope to see Rickie back to form soon, and maybe these new King Tour irons can be the catalyst.
Hideki Matsuyama’s driver change
The other big story comes from a former Masters Champion testing out some new drivers on the range, Hideki Matsuyama. Matsuyama is well known as a golfer who loves to test and tinker with new golf equipment. Each week there is a good chance that he will have multiple drivers, irons, and fairways in the bag searching for the perfect club that week.
Earlier this week, Hideki was spotted with some new, unreleased, Srixon drivers out on the range in Napa. We spotted a few pros testing the new Srixon ZX7 MkII and ZX 5 MkII LS on the range.
Andrew spoke to the Srixon reps and learned Hideki has been trying the new drivers and seems to have settled on a Srixon ZX5 MkII in 10.5 degrees of loft (and his trusty Graphite Design Tour AD DI 8 TX shaft).
The ZX5 MkII LS looks to have an adjustable weight on the sole that is moved far forward —closer to the face — to possibly lower the spin. We haven’t heard anything specific from Srixon on the new drivers, but with their recent success, we would expect to see some solid performance out of the line.
Check out the full TG2 podcast, below
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