Connect with us

Opinion & Analysis

2013 U.S. Open: Picks and Preview

Published

on

The first tee balls will be in the air at the 113th edition of the U.S. Open when Cliff Kresge, Roger Tambellini and Ryan Yip tee off at 6:50 a.m. EST Thursday. A rain-soaked Merion Golf Club plays host to the game’s best, and traditional U.S. Open contenders may be bypassed by bomb-and-gougers and players who love to take the low line and strike their putts with pace, due to the soft and soggy conditions.

Of course, the grounds crew and legion of volunteers (many of them superintendents themselves) will invest endless hours and devote all available resources to getting the course ready to play in a collective Herculean effot.

However, with thunderstorms forecasted for Thursday and a 90 percent chance of rain, they appear to be fighting a losing battle with Mother Nature in general, and the remnants of Tropical Storm Andrea, in particular.

Here’s a look at who could win at muddy Merion.

Tiger Woods: 9-2 odds

In what is surely a surprise to no golf fan, Tiger Woods is the prohibitive favorite to win at Merion. He’ll be able to keep his driver in the bag this week and lean on his new friend (no, not Sergio Garcia) the Nike VR_S Covert 3 wood. He’s hitting nearly 68 percent of greens in regulation this year and is fifth in strokes gained-putting. With his atrocious putting performance at the Memorial Tournament firmly in the rearview mirror, Woods is more ready to return to major glory than he has been at any point during his five year drought.

Sergio Garcia: 33-1 odds

Bear with me on this one. Yes, there’s the saga that would make Colonel Sanders blush, and yes, Sergio Garcia melted down at The Players, has said he’ll never win a major, etc. However, with minimal winds and soft conditions, Garcia’s ball-striking prowess could leave him in position to pour in a lot of putts at Merion. Also, if you hadn’t been paying attention, Sergio, with his new grip and his, well, new grip, has moved from 144th in strokes gained-putting in 2011 to second this year.

matt-kuchar-memorial-pga-tour-win_r640

Matt Kuchar: 20-1 odds

The hottest golfer in the game right now has had two fantastic performances in a row. The newly bearded Matt Kuchar finished second at the Crowne Plaza Invitational and then won the Memorial Tournament in just the sort of “fairways and greens” manner that wins U.S. Opens. His confidence in his arm-lock putting style has paid dividends as well, and should again at Hugh Wilson’s Pennsylvania masterpiece.

Adam Scott: 22-1 odds

It’s obviously improbable that the Masters champion will win the U.S. Open. However, Adam Scott, who did well at the U.S. Open at the Olympic Club last year (placing 15th), has finished inside the top 20 in both of his starts since winning the Masters. Scotty is a good high-ball hitter who could go flag hunting at Merion. If his putter performs, there’s no reason this couldn’t be the brace for the Australian.

graeme-mcdowell

Graeme McDowell: 20-1 odds

The most accurate driver on Tour this season and one of the best putters (13th in strokes gained-putting), Graeme McDowell has won twice in his last four starts. He’s also a U.S. Open stalwart, making the cut in all seven of his appearances. The Ulsterman won in 2010 and placed second last year. The only concern with McDowell on paper is his length, however at this year’s shorter U.S. Open venue, with its rain-soaked and receptive greens, G-Mac could easily hoist his second U.S. Open Trophy.

Justin Rose: 22-1 odds

It’s almost fashionable in golf circles to remember the lanky amateur at the 1998 Open Championship, and ask, “Where has the time gone?” Justin Rose, now 15 years removed from that seminal moment, is now 32. He’s a card-carrying member of the best golfers without a major club. Rose just finished tied for eighth at the Memorial, so he enters Merion in good form. The Englishman is 156th in strokes gained-putting, but if he starts to roll a few in this week, the tournament could be his.

brandt-sned_t640

Brandt Snedeker: 28-1 odds

Beware the sick golfer, as they say. Brandt Snedeker has struggled since withdrawing from the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship with a rib injury earlier this year. At the Memorial Tournament, he fired a second-round 80 and missed the cut, and he missed the cut at last week’s FedEx St. Jude Classic, as well. However, if Snedeker, one of the most accurate drivers on Tour, keeps the ball in the fairway and doesn’t have to wage war on Merion’s rough, he can certainly make the putts to win.

Lee Westwood: 28-1 odds

Another injured golfer, Lee Westwood, who hurt a finger at the Players Championship, could overpower Merion. Once comically bad around the green, Westwood now ranks third and eighth in scrambling and sand save percentage, respectively. Westy also finished inside the top 10 at the past two U.S. Opens. In 2011, at a soft venue with accessible pins at Congressional, he finished second. Last year, at the difficult Olympic Club, he finished tied for tenth. Clearly then, he’s comfortable with both extremes of the U.S. Open venue spectrum.

Phil Mickelson

Phil Mickelson: 16-1 odds

It’s doubtful that anyone is happier about the receptive greens which await the players at Merion than Phil Mickelson. The perennially aggressive pinseeking left-hander won’t need a driver in his hand at the U.S. Open this year. Thus, he should find more fairways than the 53 percent he has averaged for the year. If he does, and he continues to putt well (eighth in strokes gained-putting), Lefty could carry the momentum of last week’s tie for second at the FedEx St. Jude to victory. On another note, after Mickelson’s Monday practice round was rained out he decided to return to San Diego to attend his daughter’s 8th-grade graduation. He’ll be back for his 7:11 a.m. tee time on Thursday, and we’ll quickly see if it has caused him to be more focused or out of sorts.

Steve Stricker: 40-1 odds 

It’s tough to get a read on the state of Steve Stricker’s game, as he hasn’t played in a while. Stricker, who is beginning the long walk into the sunset, is playing a limited schedule this year… and he’s playing it pretty well. One can assume he’ll come into the U.S. Open practiced, prepared, and relaxed. If he does this, and putts like he’s capable of putting, he could be a major champion come Sunday.

*odds according to Bovada.com

Your Reaction?
  • 0
  • LEGIT0
  • WOW0
  • LOL0
  • IDHT0
  • FLOP0
  • OB0
  • SHANK0

GolfWRX Editor-in-Chief

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Dayjur

    Jun 12, 2013 at 7:25 pm

    Where are the bottom line picks? You’re kidding me you are tipping all those ^ … Haven’t added it up to the button but there’s near on 60% of margin there… in American speak that is -162

    I’m taking Charl over Donald @ -110
    Woods O/R @ +600 EW 7 places
    Gmac O/R +3400 EW 6 places
    Lefty O/R +2600 EW 7 places

    23% margin

  2. Tom Davis

    Jun 12, 2013 at 1:27 pm

    Rory doesn’t even get a mention? #2 in the world? I know he’s in a bit of a slump, but on a rain-softened course with US Open setup he’s got a pretty good record (Congressional anyone?). I’m not putting my hard-earned dollars on him, but then I wouldn’t put them on Phil, Snedeker, or Sergio either.

  3. Troy Vayanos

    Jun 12, 2013 at 6:52 am

    I think the shorter golf course will suit G-Mac down to the ground. As long as you say he can find the fairways he has a great shot.

    I’d like to see Phil finally win a US Open. I’d also like to see Tiger finally break through for major number 15.

    Lot’s of questions will be answered after this week.

  4. B MAC

    Jun 12, 2013 at 12:21 am

    Zach Johnson all the way !!

Leave a Reply

Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

Published

on

After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

Your Reaction?
  • 3
  • LEGIT3
  • WOW1
  • LOL2
  • IDHT0
  • FLOP2
  • OB0
  • SHANK0

Continue Reading

Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

Published

on

In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

Your Reaction?
  • 18
  • LEGIT2
  • WOW0
  • LOL4
  • IDHT1
  • FLOP4
  • OB1
  • SHANK23

Continue Reading

19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

Published

on

The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

Your Reaction?
  • 8
  • LEGIT3
  • WOW1
  • LOL1
  • IDHT0
  • FLOP3
  • OB1
  • SHANK2

Continue Reading

WITB

Facebook

Trending