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Squaring Things Up with Slope: A Not So Friendly Nassau

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We’re standing on the putting green, me and my new brother-in-law who thinks he’s a real shark. I’m looking over the scorecard. Belmont, it’s his home course. I’ve never seen it before.

“What’s slope?” I ask like an innocent fish. “144, what does that mean?”

“Oh, it’s something about how the course rates in this area.  Something like that…”

He wants to play for money. I can tell. He’s making slow circles around me. His jaws are flexing like he smells chum. Not wanting to further the already great divide between families, I ask nicely, “How many will you give me?”

He makes a face like “What?” “Your sister says you play all the time. I thought you’d be giving me strokes. What’s your handicap, anyway?”

“Uh, 16,” I tell him.

“Oh, really?” The shark opens his mouth. Drool. “Okay, I’m a 10, I’ll give you three a side.” Pause. He tries to hide the smile, but his pointy teeth gleam in the sun. “A friendly 20?”

I’m good at what comes next. I pretend that my stomach turns over, squirting a cup or two of acid up into my esophageal whatever… I have that look like I’ve just been splayed out onto the chopping block. And the meat cleaver is poised to strike.

“Like, a $20 Nassau, you mean?”

“Yeah. Too rich for you? I can’t believe that.”

“Uh, no, but… Hey, let me get a coffee first,” I tell him, “got to steady my nerves.” And I head for the grill.

Part of my innocent dork routine is to have professional backup in place before the negotiation is complete, so I sneak into the pro shop and naively ask the preoccupied pro, “What’s ‘slope’ anyway?” The old guy pretends to be busy with some woman over at the hats. She’s not interested in what he’s selling and he turns back to me.

“Slope?” he asks.

“Yeah, slope. What is it? It’s on all the scorecards.”

“Oh,” he says, “it tells you how much elevation you’ll find on the course. You know, like the slope of the fairways.” And with that he goes off to the hats again.

I’ve asked this question a lot and this is probably one of the dumbest answers I’ve gotten. It doesn’t out-stupid the one I got from a lady once who told me that “it predicted whether or not the cart had enough battery to make the entire 18 holes.” But from a guy who should know, “slope of the fairways” was pretty dumb.

I saw a young assistant pro in the back room at a small messy desk toting up some numbers on a calculator. I leaned in the doorway and asked him.

“It tells you the relative difficulty of courses for a bogey golfer,” he says without looking up. (There you have it. Always ask the younger guy. The old guy’s too lazy or tired to bring himself up to date.)

“I’m a bogey golfer,” I tell him, “so what does this 144 mean to me?”

He turns and looks me over. “What’s your index?” he says. I just happened to know my Handicap Index because I see it every time I post a score on GHIN. “15.5,” I respond.

“OK.” He turns back to the calculator and says, “Your index is your traveling handicap. Since you’re here at Belmont and not at your home course, you take that traveling handicap of 15.5 and multiply it times the Belmont slope of 144, then divide by 113, and that gives you your handicap for Belmont.” He’s doing the calculation as he speaks and I see 19.75 light up the screen.

“You should play about 20-over par here,” he says and smiles, like, “Anything else?”

“Thanks,” I say, and head back out to the putting green to gaff the not so Great White one.

“Bro,” I smile, “I was just talking to the pro, let’s play for 50. But you have to give me 5 a side.”

He blanches. “No, really. This course is much harder than my home course, that’s what the 144 tells us, and my 16 translates to a 19.75 here. That’s four more than what you were offering.  Shame on you. What do you say? 50?”

He stammers, “Wha.. whaddya mean five a side?”

“Well, that’s what the pro said,” I tell him again. The shark eyes are blank. He’s lost the scent: jaws frozen. “Well, OK, if you want to be really precise,” I continue, “you have to give me 9.75 strokes. Like 5 on the front and 4.75 on the back.”

“What?” Now his eyes look like they’re going in opposite directions. I think I’ve got him. “4.75?”

“Yeah,” I explain, “give me 0.75 on a hole, then if we tie the hole I win with a push. Just like in Blackjack.” His gills are pulsing, searching for oxygen. “Or, you can give me a quarter of a stroke on three different holes. Whaddya say?”

“I’m not giving you 9 or 10 strokes! Your sister says you’re really good.” He’s outraged.

“Oh, I thought you wanted a little action.” And I drop a couple of balls 3 feet from a hole and proceed to miss them badly: push, pull, push. The “relative” tries to think it over. But he’s dead in the water.

“Okay, look,” I continue, “if you don’t like the idea of 0.75 strokes, then just round if off: 5 on the front and 5 on the back. It’s the same thing.”

Not wanting to look like the manatee he really was, he eventually caved and agreed: $50 Nassau with five a side.

Now, whether or not he knew what slope was, I’ll never know. (And whether or not I’m really a 16, you’ll never know.) What I do know is that he thought he could use his home course advantage to take my money. But by squaring things up with slope, I got into his head in a major way. He spent the first nine cussing to himself and the back going totally to pieces.

He balked at the 2-down automatic press on the front and for the 18, and positively refused it on the back. So I only wound up taking $250 from him.

Welcome to the family. And pay attention to the slope.

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Writing about golf, the game, the travel, and the experiences comprises the bulk of Baff’s retired time. That and trying to figure out how to crank a few extra yards out of his tee shot…

18 Comments

18 Comments

  1. ButchT

    Dec 21, 2016 at 10:06 am

    I appreciate learning how to use “slope.”

  2. Ben Richards

    Dec 20, 2016 at 9:20 pm

    Whoever green-lighted this article should be fired. This goes down as the worst article ever written on Golfwrx. That’s tough to do considering there have been a lot of bad ones in the past (many, many good ones too).

  3. Scott

    Dec 20, 2016 at 3:32 pm

    I am sorry, I have to call BS. A pro would never say that you are a 19.75 on the course today, unless you were playing some type of tournament which used a percent of the handicap. A course handicap calculator would have said 20. If the point of the article is to make sure that you are using handicaps and not indexes when you are betting then mission accomplished. I feel bad for every member of that course to have 2 clueless pros wondering around trying to hawk lessons and shirts.

  4. 8thehardway

    Dec 20, 2016 at 9:47 am

    You just furthered “the already great divide between families” and your poor sister’s gonna be stuck defending you to her sore loser husband for years. Divorce is inevitable but next go-around, be kind and go for the long con instead.

  5. TheCityGame

    Dec 20, 2016 at 9:40 am

    Can we count the ways this article makes no sense?

    1) As part of your innocent dork act, you ask 2 pros what slope means without your BIL there?

    2) You think you could get 19.75 strokes, so you clearly still don’t understand how a course handicap is calculated.

    3) You adjust YOUR handicap/index but not your BIL’s handicap index after learning what slope means.

    4) One pro doesn’t know what slope is. One pro tells you you’re a 19.75 and should shoot about 20 over PAR here. No, you should shoot about 20 over the COURSE RATING (or to be precise, the 10 best of your last 20 should average about 20 over the course rating).

    5) BIL agreed to play for 6 stokes, $20 nassau, but you come out of the clubhouse and counter-offer 10 strokes, $50 nassau and he’s ok with this.

    6) You have a $50 nassau, and he balks at the automatic presses, so (a) clearly the presses weren’t automatic and (b) how did a $50 nassau get to $250 if there weren’t any presses?

    7) “Whether or not I’m really a 16, you’re never know”. Are you suggesting you lied to your new brother in law about your index? “Welcome to the family”, indeed. Sounds like a really nice family.

    8) I’m leaving stuff out because I thought I was getting a little nit-picky.

    • Harry

      Dec 21, 2016 at 1:49 pm

      If this was the BIL home course then his handicap is 10 like he said.

      • Phil

        Dec 21, 2016 at 6:50 pm

        Nope – my handicap and my course handicap are totally different things. The article does not state that his BIL is referring to his course handicap as most people don’t. In fact, the article is pointing out that people should be using course handicap instead of just handicap.

  6. baddomes

    Dec 20, 2016 at 9:39 am

    I’ve been waiting almost a month for the second Jim Baffico article! I thought Jim Baffico was done writing articles! I’m glad he’s not!

    Thanks Jim!

  7. me

    Dec 20, 2016 at 9:10 am

    This is pure garbage.

  8. Dill Pickleson

    Dec 20, 2016 at 3:30 am

    so, you’re a cheat. this is why i only play scratch and i’ll give away advantage to better golfers. at least i have my honor. but, certainly won’t be betting $50 with an over-eager 15.5 hdcp.

    this is also why i avoid stableford competitions.

  9. Double Mocha Man

    Dec 19, 2016 at 8:13 pm

    I refuse any money rounds where I need to take my accountant along…

  10. Tom

    Dec 19, 2016 at 2:57 pm

    Loved the article, reminds me of a typical weekend at my course. What’s with the 25+ shanks…. too complicated for ya?

    • Phil

      Dec 19, 2016 at 7:54 pm

      I suspect the shanks is because he applied the slope rating to his handicap and conveniently failed to do so for his brother-in-law. He was only entitled to 7.75 strokes at best, not 10. And the deliberate missing of 3 foot putts. Lets face it – his brother-in-law never had a chance with a shark like this guy.

      • Double Mocha Man

        Dec 20, 2016 at 2:06 pm

        But his brother-in-law sounded like the shark in the first place. A little comeuppance never hurts an egotistical guy.

  11. Charlie

    Dec 19, 2016 at 1:00 pm

    Play from the correct tees and a set amount of money per hole.

  12. Pbar23

    Dec 19, 2016 at 10:34 am

    My question regarding this is when your index is a 0.0. In this case nothing ever changes for you regardless of slope because based on the equation it will always be 0. Now if you were a plus handicap then you would help in your favor. If you were a +1.5 at a 144 slope you would essentially play to a +1.1 (in the equation I am using a negative number for the index so 144 x -1.5= -216/113 =1.9 therefore take the .4 difference and subtract it from the 1.5). So my question is should the ability to have an index of 0 be possible or should it always be some form of a fractional number?

    • Eddie

      Dec 19, 2016 at 12:18 pm

      Yes, it is possible to have a 0.0 index. However, to have a differential of 0.0 for the round, the rating would need to be a whole number and you would need to shoot that exact number.

      Differential calculation is [[Score-Course Rating] x Slope]÷113

      So if you shot a 74 from the white tees at Bethpage Black (74 rating / 145 slope), your handicap differential for the round would be [[74-74] x 145]÷113=0.0.

      Had you shot 74 from the back tees at Bethpage Black (78.1/152), your differential for the round would have been [[74-78.1]x152]÷113= -5.5

    • George

      Dec 21, 2016 at 7:47 am

      Actually, if you have an index of +1.5 you’d have a course Hcp of 144/113*1.5=1.9. If you would have a course Hcp of 1.5 you’d have an index of 1.5/144*113=1.2. If I understand The US Hcp system.
      Over here in Europe the CR goes into the equation, too. So your course Hcp would be Slope/113*index-CR+Par
      E.g. On a course with Slope 144 and CR 73.1 and Par 72 you’d have a course hcp 144/113*1.5-73.1+72=+0.8 or +1

      Our player from the article would have a course hcp of -20.85 or -21

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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