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It’s SHO time: The Shell Houston Open preview

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By Pete Pappas

GolfWRX Staff Writer

The first Houston Open debuted in 1922 as the Independent Insurance Agent Open, making it the third oldest tournament on the PGA Tour behind the Western Open (1899), and the Canadian Open (1904).

Yet despite this long-established pedigree, the Shell Houston Open has to sometimes feel like the black sheep of the PGA Tour schedule.

Since 2007 it’s played second fiddle to Augusta National.  And its notoriety has been more about being the final “tune-up” for The Masters (similarities or dissimilarities aside) than it’s been in being a regular event on the PGA Tour since 1946 (impressive in its own right).

The PGA Tour’s decision in 2007 to move the Houston Open to the week immediately preceding The Masters was embattled in controversy when Phil Mickelson (who prefers to play the week before a major to keep his competitive juices flowing) said he wouldn’t play the event because nothing about it resembled Augusta.

Lefty’s comments presumably were directly responsible for the 2010 renovations that did make the Tournament Course at Redstone Golf Club set up more like Augusta.  But that wasn’t exactly the player endorsement this Reese Jones course needed while trying to attract the world’s top players.

To be sure the Shell Houston Open has corralled its fair share of big names since then; for instance, Adam Scott, Paul Casey, and Anthony Kim are all champions of this event (in 2007, 2009, and 2010 respectively).

But it hasn’t quite been the flowing list of “marquee” names envisioned, as evidenced by the notable absentees this week, including seven of the world’s top-10 ranked players in the Official World Golf Rankings, with world No. 1 Luke Donald, and No. 2 ranked Rory McIlroy the spotlight missing in action.

And now with every media outlet blowing hot and cold all week about what Tiger Woods’ first victory in 923 days at the Arnold Palmer Invitational this past Sunday means, the Shell Houston Open probably won’t get the recognition it deserves once again.

Absent 2011 defending champion Mickelson robustly cracking another driver (as he did here in round one last year), the tournament before the year’s first major might just go gently into the Humble, Texas night.

But as they say, the SHO (Shell Houston Open) must go on.

The road not taken

Those players who have decided the road to Augusta goes through Redstone will include 15 major champions (including three major winners from 2011), seven previous Shell Houston Open champions, and six 2012 PGA Tour winners.

52-year old Fred Couples (one of the most popular players in tour history with 15 career PGA Tour wins) makes his 20th career start at Shell, and is coming off his first win on the over-50 circuit this season.

Couples claimed his seventh-career Champions Tour victory at the Mississippi Gulf Classic last week by sinking a 10-foot birdie putt on No. 18 at the treacherous Fallen Oak Golf Course.

“The bottom line is you get a lot of chances to win if you play well,” said Couples. “It was a fun day and I’m looking forward to the Shell and then Augusta.”

2011 SHO defending champion Phil Mickelson tries to become the first player this season to win multiple times on the PGA Tour, and looks to regain momentum after a disappointing T-24 performance last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard at Bay Hill.

Mickelson sounded confident heading into Thursday.  “I find that I play my best in a major championship when I compete the week before,” Mickelson said.  “It gets me in a competitive frame of mind, and I enjoy the challenge of only having three days between competitive rounds.”

Houston we have a problem

With 25 players in Houston already safely qualified to play next week in the 77th Masters, 100 other players unambiguously need a victory to capture a birth at Augusta (absent a Masters Committee discretionary invitation).

But before you start thinking everyone in the Shell field is only there to secure that treasured “green jacket” opportunity, think again.

“I’m not smart enough to concentrate on two things at once,” said world No. 3 Lee Westwood.  “So I have to concentrate on the thing at hand, which is trying to win [The Shell Houston Open] this week.”

Everything’s bigger in Texas

The Tournament Course at Redstone is one of the longest on the PGA Tour at 7,457 yards (32 yards longer than Augusta National).  And its prodigious length is spread over a protracted 350 acres.

But is bigger really better?  The Shell course ranked 29 out of 51 in difficulty on the PGA Tour in 2011 (but first in spectator fatigue).

The coyotes wail along the trail (clap, clap, clap, clap) deep in the heart of Texas! 

Lee Westwood (10/1).  Westwood is living up to his world No. 3 billing with two top-10 finishes to go along with a top-25, and is third in scoring average (69.38) this year on tour.

The Englishman is second in greens-in-regulation and first in sand saves (which can translate to low scores on a Shell course with heavily bunkered greens and more than 60 sand traps).

Hampered by two poor days between a strong opening and closing day last year, he finished T-30 at Redstone in 2011.  But Westwood’s track record at Shell is impressive overall (with a T-11 in 2009 and a T-8 in 2010).

Westwood sees similarities between Redstone and Augusta, but he’s not just gearing up for The Masters.

“I’m not one of these people for playing the shot that I have to play next week,” he said.  “I like to play each tournament and give it the respect it deserves and play each course on its merits, play a shot when it’s necessary.”

Westwood hasn’t played since the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship (T-29).

Phil Mickelson (12/1).  The world No. 15 also has two top-10 finishes in 2012 including his thrilling victory at the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, and equally emotional playoff loss at the Northern Trust Open.

Lefty is one of only four players to triumph the week before winning The Masters, and last year went 7-under on Sunday en route to taking home the Shell Houston Open trophy (20-under, 268).

Mickelson’s bogey-free 63 on moving day in 2011 was a course record, and he led the field with 27 birdies (18 coming over the weekend).  However he was wild with his driver at Redstone (and this year is hitting fairways at a pedestrian 54 percent clip).  That’s something he’d like to improve on this week.

Phil’s iron play could also use a bit of sharpening heading into Augusta (64 percent GIR), but it’s been hard to argue with his sixth-place ranking in birdie conversion and third-place ranking in strokes gained-putting.

I think Phil is primarily interested in tinkering with and tweaking his game to position himself for a run at his fourth green jacket next week.

But if he’s in contention on Sunday in Houston, he’ll put the full-court-press on winning Shell for the second time in his career (joining a list of seven others who’ve also won twice, including last week’s masterly host, Arnold Palmer).

Steve Stricker (15/1).  In many circles Sticker is mentioned as the best American golfer on tour (of course you know who jumped into that discussion again with a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last week).

In four starts this season Stricker’s notched three top-10 finishes, and a victory at the PGA Tour season opener in Hawaii (the Hyundai Tournament of Champions).

And if the PGA Tour Player of the Year voting was held today, it might be difficult to vote against him.

He’s first in birdie average, second in scrambling, and fifth in GIR this season.  Stricker is also first in back-9 scoring average (showing he brings it in the clutch).

The world No. 5 ranked player finished T-4 here last year, and has four top-11 finishes in five career starts at Redstone.

The biggest question about his game heading into Shell will be is he rested or rusty coming back for the first time since his T-8 finish at the WGC-Cadillac.

Keegan Bradley (20/1).  Bradley is a picture of consistency.  The St. John’s University alum hasn’t finished lower than 22nd place in each of his eight starts this season.

He has two top-10 finishes, and a second place finish (a playoff loss) at the Northern Trust Open.

Bradley ranks fifth in all around ranking, seventh in scoring average, 10th in scrambling, 20th in GIR, and 31st in total driving.

Like Stricker he’s also making his first start since his WGC-Cadillac T-8 finish (and is making his second ever appearance at Redstone).

Ernie Els (25/1).  Absent a “special invitation” Els needs a victory in Houston to get his 19th crack at Augusta National next week.

The Big Easy has two top-5 finishes the past two weeks but both could easily have been victories.

The pressure of this must-win scenario will be boiling over at Redstone, even higher than it was when Els’ green jacket bid was derailed with a bogey-bogey finish two weeks ago on Sunday at the Transitions Championship.

One of the most feel-good or heartbreaking stories of the PGA Tour season will unfold this week in the Houston heat.

Graeme McDowell (25/1).  McDowell nearly tamed the Tiger in Arnie’s Kingdom last week at Bay Hill finishing in solo second place.

G-Mac would rank 17th in GIR (if eligible) and 30th in strokes gained-putting.

He’s only appeared once at Redstone in 2006 (a T-54 finish).

Johnson Wagner (30/1).  “Fear the Stache.” 

Wagner’s first career victory came here at the Shell Houston Open in 2008.

He’s currently ranked No. 1 in the FedExCup standings.

His four top-10 finishes are the most on Tour (including his latest T-4 last week at Bay Hill).

Kevin Streelman (80/1).  GolfWRX Swagger.”

I’m picking Streelman purely on what I’ll call a “WRX swagger hunch.”

Feeding hundreds of thousands of frenzied GolfWRX maniacs your 2011 Masters yardage book?

Seriously good karma Streels!

Perfect Pairings

Phil Mickelson, Charl Schwartzel, Fred Couples

Keegan Bradley, Graeme McDowell, Lee Westwood

Kyle Stanley, Anthony Kim, Ernie Els

Hunter Mahan, Johnson Wagner, Steve Stricker

John Huh, Louis Oosthuizen, Robert Allenby

Ben Crane, Scott Piercy, Y.E. Yang

Lucas Glover, Jason Bohn, Camilo Villegas

Billy Mayfair, Kevin Streelman, Matt Every

Should I stay or should I go?

Put yourselves in the spikes of a PGA Tour professional.  You’re heading into Augusta, the first major championship of the season (and possibly the biggest).

Would you take the week off?  Would you play the Shell Houston Open?  Would you just kick it with friends and watch reruns of The Big Bang Theory?

Redstone is set up to be similar to Augusta National.

Some players like Tiger prefer to skip the week before The Masters and get in some final preparation and specific practice.

Others like Phil prefer to keep the momemtum going and play straight into that major.

Whichever route of preparation you’d choose, I’m sure you have good reasons.  But if it were me?  I wouldn’t settle for similar.

Notes

Television Coverage

Thursday and Friday: Golf Channel 3-6 p.m. EST

Saturday and Sunday: NBC 3-6 p.m. EST

Radio Coverage

Thursday through Sunday: SiriusXM Satellite Radio 12-6 p.m. EST

Odds

Odds provided by Las Vegas PGA Tour Golf Betting Odds

You can follow Pete on twitter @TheGreekGrind

Click here for more discussion in the “Tour Talk” forum.

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Pete is a journalist, commentator, and interviewer covering the PGA Tour, new equipment releases, and the latest golf fashions. Pete's also a radio and television personality who's appeared multiple times on ESPN radio, and Fox Sports All Bets Are Off. And when he's not running down a story, he's at the range working on his game. Above all else, Pete's the proud son of a courageous mom who battled pancreatic cancer much longer than anyone expected. You can follow Pete on twitter @PGAPappas

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. peak904

    Apr 1, 2012 at 12:53 pm

    Did Phil put in play C taper shafts in his irons this week?

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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