News
Wells Fargo Championship Preview
Affinity for a course suggests that Rory McIlroy should be cast in the role of favorite this week at Charlotte. Unfortunately for the 2013 PGA champion, 2010 Wells Fargo Championship winner and 2012 runner-up, his current form repudiates any such assertion. McIlroy’s last contest was The Masters, where a wretched, third-round 79 condemned him to a 25th-place tie. The defending champion (Rickie Fowler) has yet to play out of a similar malaise (t-38 finish in Augusta,) placing 32nd last week in New Orleans.
Looking beyond the two media darlings offers an unlikely yet unavoidable third consideration. D.A. Points, the other non-winner (at McIlroy’s side) in last year’s playoff, is a winner this year (Shell Houston Open) on the PGA Tour and is listed in the top 30 for both FedEx Cup points and official money. Points is quite unpredictable, having missed the cut in seven of 13 Tour appearances in 2013, with one other finish (beyond the victory) in the top 35: his runner-up last week in New Orleans. In other words, he is an all-or-nothing pick. In four previous appearances at Quail Hollow, Points missed each 36-hole cut three times. That he led the field in successful scrambling (getting up and down for par 85 percent of the time) might have been the key to his near-miss.
Another cast for a victor might reel in former WFC winner Lucas Glover. Although his form has been inconsistent in 2013, he might have found the needed balance last week in New Orleans, where he placed fourth. Phil Mickelson would normally make the “A List” of contestants, as his record at Quail Hollow, resplendent with top-10 finishes, lacks only a title. The state of his game, though, advocates for caution. Other than a win in Phoenix and a tie for third at Doral, Lefty has no other top-10 finishes this season.
Less-likely trophy-grabbers but certainly under consideration for a variety of reasons are Bill Haas and Webb Simpson (regional comfort and familiarity), Ricky Barnes and Kyle Stanley (talented golfers awaking from a slumber) and the winner last week in the Crescent City, Billy Horschel. While it’s quite rare for players to win back-to-back events, Horschel has shown that he can play well on any course. His first appearance in Charlotte could produce fireworks.
Missing this year is Tiger Woods, the 2007 champion. Woods would certainly have featured among the pre-tournament favorites. He is the only current professional for whom a top-five finish at a major is considered a disappointment. Despite the hullabaloo that surrounded his penalty at Augusta, Woods endures as favorite in any event for which he registers.
The Course
Six par 4s listed beyond 450 yards in length, including four beyond 475. Par 3s that extend to 250 yards and par 5 holes that fall in the 550-600 yard category. Quail Hollow might be dismissed as long-hitter’s paradise, save for the fact that players like David Toms, Joey Sindelar and Jim Furyk have hoisted the winner’s chalice on Sunday. The Charlotte club will host its first major championship, the 2017 PGA, affirming that the course is laden with strategic decisions and reputable architecture. A win at the Wells Fargo Championship elevates the player’s stature nearly to that of a major champion. It is one of an elite handful of Tour events that transcends its “regular-class” definition.
Despite the closing stretch of water-logged holes (paid due respect later), the dominant natural feature of Quail Hollow is its mature trees. Far from the open, links or heath style of course that is currently the darling of world golf, Quail Hollow remains true to its parkland heritage. Pines, oaks, maple, holly, dogwood and spruce frame fairways and enclose corridors from elevated tees to sunken greens (and vice-versa.)
There are few courses without a signature stretch these days. If it didn’t begin with the “Amen Corner” at Augusta, that triad certainly churned the waters with its notoriety. The Quail Hollow club is no exception to this trend and its “Green Mile” begins on the 16th tee. After the statistically-simple, par 5 No. 15 (rated easiest hole in the 2012 playing,) the 4-3-4 closing triumvirate demands middle-iron selections, if not more, on all approach shots. No. 16 doglegs to the right, around an immense bunker tucked on the inside corner of the fairway. From there, the hole flows in serpentine fashion to a large, rugged putting surface. Safe arrival in regulation is no guarantee of par, as the undulations, knobs and rumples of the green make it quite challenging to negotiate.
The penultimate hole is a one-shot affair, nearly 220 yards across an inlet of the lake first seen on No. 14. The green exposes more than half of its circumference to the water, while leaving no margin to the timid who play dryly to the right. If the winds awaken on Sunday, as they have for past celebrations, the hole transforms into a survival mission. Successful reconciliation of Nos. 16 and 17 might leave the player a bit unaware of the hazards that await on the final stretch of the “Mile.” A narrow stream runs the length of the hole on the left, precisely the direction in which players err to avoid the fairway bunker up the right perimeter. Like most George Cobb greens, No. 18 offers a healthy host of hole locations, given its gargantuan size. The need to pound a driver up a narrow, well-guarded fairway with the tournament on the line is a sought-after skill. To follow it up with an accurate approach of no small distance and a solid putt or two is the mark of a select player.
Viewing
Tickets for the 2013 playing of the Wells Fargo Championship are sold out. The event will be broadcast on the Golf Channel on Thursday and Friday from 3 to 6 p.m., and again on Saturday and Sunday from 1 to 2:30 p.m.. CBS will take over coverage on both weekend days, from 3 to 6 p.m.
Verdict
After 10 playings of the tournament and four playoffs, extra holes are somewhat likely. The ability to protect a lead down the closing sequence of holes, even in the best players, is suspect and unlikely. Seven third-round leaders gave up their advantage on Sunday, losing the tournament to final-day climbers. None was more dramatic that Rory McIlroy in 2010. The Ulsterman signed for a tournament-record 62 (10 under par) to scorch past a host of golfers and earn a four-stroke victory. Odds don’t favor the third-round leader, but it’s the predicting which follower will play his best on Sunday that proves difficult.
- LIKE0
- LEGIT0
- WOW0
- LOL0
- IDHT0
- FLOP0
- OB0
- SHANK0
News
Morning 9: Tiger confirms playing schedule | Player: This caused Tiger’s downfall
|
- LIKE1
- LEGIT1
- WOW0
- LOL1
- IDHT1
- FLOP0
- OB0
- SHANK1
Tour Photo Galleries
Photos from the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
GolfWRX is on site this week in McKinney, Texas, at the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson (FKA the AT&T Byron Nelson).
Last year at TPC Craig Ranch, Jason Day ended a five-year winless streak. J-Day is in the field again, as are Jordan Spieth, Tom Kim, and Will Zalatoris.
We have our usual assortment of general galleries, WITBs, and pullout albums for your perusal. As always, we’ll continue to add links to additional albums as they make their way to us from the Lone Star State.
Check out links to all our photos below.
General Albums
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Monday #1
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Monday #2
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #1
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #2
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #3
WITB Albums
- Pierceson Coody – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Kris Kim – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- David Nyfjall – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Adrien Dumont de Chassart – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Jarred Jetter – North Texas PGA Section Champ – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Richy Werenski – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Wesley Bryan – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Parker Coody – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Peter Kuest – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Blaine Hale, Jr. – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Kelly Kraft – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Rico Hoey – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Pullout Albums
- Adam Scott’s 2 new custom L.A.B. Golf putters – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Scotty Cameron putters – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Ben Griffin playing Maxfli golf ball
See what GolfWRXers are saying in the forums.
- LIKE10
- LEGIT0
- WOW0
- LOL0
- IDHT0
- FLOP0
- OB0
- SHANK1
News
Vincenzi’s 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting preview: International talent to shine
As anticipation mounts for the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla in a few weeks, the PGA Tour makes a pit stop in McKinney, Texas to play The CJ CUP Byron Nelson.
Last year was the third time TPC Craig Ranch hosted the Byron Nelson. Prior to 2021, the event was held at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas.
TPC Craig Ranch is a 7,414-yard par-71 that features Bentgrass greens. The event historically plays relatively easy, and that has remained the case in the three editions at TPC Craig Ranch.
The course structure may provide some additional intrigue with the par-3 17th featuring a stadium setup called “Ranch 17” which is reminiscent of the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale. The course also has both long and difficult par-4s mixed with drivable par-4s, which should create some exciting moments.
There are 156 golfers in the field this week, and many stars will be taking the week off to prepare for 2023’s second major championship in a few weeks and a “signature event” at Quail Hollow next week. Notable players in the field include Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Sungjae Im, Stephan Jaeger, Tom Kim, Si Woo Kim, Min Woo Lee, Alex Noren, Adam Scott and Will Zalatoris.
Past Winners of the AT&T Byron Nelson
- 2023: Jason Day (-23 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2022: K.H. Lee (-26 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2021: K.H. Lee (-25 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2019: Sung Kang (-23)
- 2018: Aaron Wise (-23)
- 2017: Billy Horschel (-12)
- 2016: Sergio Garcia (-15)
- 2015: Steven Bowditch (-18)
Key Stats at TPC Craig Ranch
Let’s take a look at five key metrics for TPC Craig Ranch to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Approach remains the best measure of current form.
Hot iron play will be at a premium this week. Last year, Jason Day gained 6.4 strokes on approach, which was fourth in the field. In 2022, K.H. Lee was ninth in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, gaining 5.2 strokes. In his 2021 victory, he was second in the field and gained 8.3 strokes on the field in the category.
Strokes Gaines: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds
- Tom Hoge (+1.12)
- Keith Mitchell (+1.02)
- Henrik Norlander (+0.99)
- Ryan Moore (+0.98)
- Ben Martin (0.80)
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Fairways are wide at TPC Craig Ranch.
Distance will certainly be helpful, and there aren’t too many difficult holes on the course. Golfers who put themselves in position off of the tee this week should have a sizable advantage.
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Over Past 24 Rounds
- Peter Kuest (+0.93)
- Kevin Daugherty (+0.91)
- Alejandro Tosti (+0.83)
- Keith Mitchell (+0.82)
- Kevin Tway (+0.74)
Birdie or Better %
There aren’t many hazards on the course, and all of the par-5s should be reachable in two for the majority of the players in the field. I am anticipating a birdie fest, and this statistic should be helpful in finding the birdie-makers.
Birdie or Better % Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Wesley Bryan (31%)
- Kelly Kraft (26.2%)
- Peter Kuest (25.9%)
- Matti Schmid (25.7%
- Jimmy Stanger (25.2%)
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Many golfers on TOUR have some major putting surface variance in their statistics and prefer Bentgrass to other surfaces.
Bentgrass is common in Texas, and we often see golfers who play well in Texas continue to do so, finding a great feel around the greens.
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Maverick McNealy (+0.92)
- Aaron Baddeley (+0.87)
- Callum Tarren (+0.86)
- Harry Hall (+0.81)
- Nick Hardy (+0.69)
Course History
This statistic will tell us which players have performed the best at TPC Craig Ranch over the past three seasons.
Course History Over Past 12 Rounds:
- Jordan Spieth (+2.69)
- K.H. Lee (+2.59)
- Seamus Power (+1.84)
- Ryan Palmer (+1.76)
- Adam Scott (+1.72)
CJ CUP Byron Nelson Model Rankings
Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (27%), SG: OTT (24%), Birdie or Better % (18%), Course History (17%) and SG: Putting Bentgrass (16%).
- Alex Noren
- Adam Scott
- Keith Mitchell
- Si Woo Kim
- Stephen Jaeger
- Jordan Spieth
- Jhonnatan Vegas
- Nate Lashley
- Brice Garnett
- Tom Hoge
2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson Picks
Byeong Hun An +3000 (DraftKings)
Byeong Hun put together an excellent performance at The Masters, finishing T16, which ties his best ever finish at a major championship (also T16 at 2019 U.S. Open). The South Korean gained 9.16 strokes from tee to green, which ranked 2nd in the field behind only the champion, Scottie Scheffler.
An’s next start at Harbour Town didn’t go as well (67th), but he still had a fantastic ball striking week. The 32-year-old bled strokes both around and on the greens, which was his eventual undoing. In his past three starts, An has gained significant strokes on the field both off the tee and on approach.
Benny had a strong start at last year’s Byron Nelson, finishing in a tie for 14th. With limited challenges on the course, he shouldn’t have to do much scrambling. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 17th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 17th in the field in birdie or better percentage. The putter is up and down per usual, but his ceiling putting weeks with his LAB Golf putter in 2024 are higher than they’ve been in past seasons.
An is starting to become my “white whale” of the PGA Tour, but I believe in his talent and TPC Craig Ranch is a course that should suit his excellent tee to green play.
Mackenzie Hughes +5500 (FanDuel)
Mackenzie Hughes is quietly putting together a very good season. He finished in a tie for 3rd at the Valspar Championship and followed that up with a T14 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open.
In his past 36 rounds in Texas, the Canadian ranks 5th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total. Last year, he finished in a tie for 14th at this event and gained strokes putting and off the tee. Mackenzie played well that week despite being in extremely poor form. He missed two cuts in a row prior to the event, and four consecutive cuts immediately after. His irons were off that week, but in 2024, we’ve seen an improvement in Hughes’ approach game. He now comes to the event playing some steady golf. He’s gained strokes on approach in four of his past five events and is hitting the ball very well from tee to green.
Hughes has two victories on the PGA Tour, both coming in relatively low-scoring affairs (-17 in each). He will need to go a bit deeper to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson but has the type of putter that can keep pace in a birdie barrage.
Seamus Power +7000 (FanDuel)
After struggling over the past few seasons with injuries, Seamus Power seems as if he is rounding back into the form that made him a really consistent player on the PGA Tour.
Power finished T12 in his most recent start at the RBC Heritage, which is encouraging considering it was a “signature event” with a very strong field. For the week, the Irishman gained 4.4 strokes on approach and 2.8 strokes putting, which is the combination he’s used in the past to contend on Tour.
In his three trips to TPC Craig Ranch, Power is yet to finish outside of the top-20, with his best finish being a T9 in 2019. He ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course. The 37-year-old thrives on easy tracks and has won in 2021 (Barbasol Championship) and 2022 (Butterfield Bermuda) on easier layouts with weaker fields.
Power has the game to go extremely low and I believe he can get back in the winner’s circle for the third time in four years.
Chan Kim +10000 (FanDuel)
Chan Kim has been striking the ball beautifully this season and is a proven winner with two wins on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2023 as well as eight career Japan Tour wins.
At last week’s Zurich Classic, Kim and his partner Doug Ghim finished in a tie for 28th. Prior to that, the South Korean T14 at the Valero Texas Open and T6 at the Corales Puntacana Championship. His success this season in Texas as well as he propensity to play his best golf on the PGA Tour’s easier courses make him and ideal fit for TPC Craig Ranch.
2024 has given plenty of longshot winners on the PGA Tour, and with a birdie fest like this, I believe there’s a strong chance we get another this week in McKinney, Texas.
Alejandro Tosti +10000 (FanDuel)
Alejandro Tosti is one of the most polarizing players on the PGA Tour thus far in the 2024 season. His antics can rub many the wrong way, but he’s shown on a few occasions that he has what it takes to compete in Tour events.
This season, Tosti has been elite off the tee. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The Argentine hits it long and straight, which works at any course on earth. He got a taste of contention a few starts ago at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, finishing in a tie for 2nd place.
Tosti had a fantastic year in 2023 on the Korn Ferry Tour, where going low is a prerequisite to success. If this turns to a shootout, which it likely will, the 27-year-old has the ability to set the pace. Tosti will look to become the second Argentine to win in Texas in the past two seasons after Emiliano Grillo emerged victorious at last year’s Charles Schwab Challenge.
C.T. Pan +15000 (FanDuel)
Outside of a T3 at the Mexico Open, C.T. Pan doesn’t have strong results this season in terms of finishes. However, over his past two starts, Pan’s iron play has come alive. At The Players, he gained 6.6 strokes on approach. At the Valero Texas Open, he gained 3.7. At last week’s Zurich Classic, Pan and his partner Kevin Yu finished T28. For a player who can get extremely hot with his scoring clubs, I believe he’s playing better than the results have shown over the past month or so.
Last season, Pan finished 4th at TPC Craig Ranch and was spectacular across all the major stat categories. In his past 36 qualifying rounds, he ranks 16th in Strokes Gained: Total in Texas.
Pan has won on the PGA Tour at the RBC Heritage and is always a player that I believe has what it takes to win on a Sunday if he finds himself in contention.
- LIKE16
- LEGIT11
- WOW3
- LOL0
- IDHT0
- FLOP3
- OB0
- SHANK4
-
19th Hole2 weeks ago
Justin Thomas on the equipment choice of Scottie Scheffler that he thinks is ‘weird’
-
19th Hole2 weeks ago
‘Absolutely crazy’ – Major champ lays into Patrick Cantlay over his decision on final hole of RBC Heritage
-
19th Hole3 weeks ago
Report: LIV Golf identifies latest star name they hope to sign to breakaway tour
-
19th Hole3 weeks ago
Neal Shipley presser ends in awkward fashion after reporter claims Tiger handed him note on 8th fairway
-
19th Hole3 weeks ago
Brandel Chamblee has ‘no doubt’ who started the McIlroy/LIV rumor and why
-
19th Hole1 week ago
LET pro gives detailed financial breakdown of first week on tour…and the net result may shock you
-
Equipment3 weeks ago
Jason Day on his recent switch into Srixon ZX5 and ZX7 Mk II irons
-
19th Hole5 days ago
Gary Player claims this is what ‘completely ruined’ Tiger Woods’ career
Ronald Montesano
May 4, 2013 at 12:20 pm
Writer’s Confession: Billy Horschel took the week off and did not tee it up at the Wells Fargo Championship.
Ronald Montesano
May 3, 2013 at 6:10 am
Hey, Golflaw…interesting comment. Can you be more specific about the problems? Are they patchy? Thatchy? I know that the winter in the Carolinas has been topsy-turvey and sometimes green conditions suffer. Word is that they want to go back to Bermuda from Bent. Have you heard that? What about the resodding of #8 and 3#10 greens, just prior to the tournament?
Golflaw
May 2, 2013 at 9:21 pm
The greens at that golf course are abominable.if that happened et my club the members would be looking to fire the greens keeper. It wouldn’t happen absent a misapplication of some chemical or some fungus.