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19th Hole

Vincenzi: DeChambeau will win his 2nd major championship (and 4 other predictions for 2024)

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Last year, I wrote “5 Predictions for 2023.” Here’s how they turned out:

1.) Viktor Hovland will rise to world No. 1: This prediction didn’t quite come true. However, Hovland had the biggest improvement of any player in the world in terms of strokes gained.

His star rose exponentially, and he climbed to 4th in the OWGR from 10th at the start of 2023.

2.) The European Team will win the 2023 Ryder Cup: This prediction came true in dominating fashion. At the time of writing it, the European team were +200 to win the Ryder Cup.

3.) Dustin Johnson will win a major championship: This prediction was the worst of the five. Although DJ did finish 10th at the U.S. Open, he underachieved in the majors in their entirety during the 2023 season.

4.) The Masters will see a drastic uptick in TV ratings: This prediction passed with flying colors, as the 2023 Masters was the most-watched edition of the tournament in five years.

5.) Rory McIlroy will remain stuck at 4 major championships: Rory came close at the U.S. Open, finishing 2nd to Wyndham Clark, however, he remained stuck at four majors and will now officially go at least a full decade between major championship victories.

Now, on to the predictions for 2024.

1. Bryson DeChambeau will win a major championship

Contrary to what many believed heading into the 2023 season, LIV golfers performed admirably at the major championships. Brooks Koepka was in the final pairing with Jon Rahm at the Masters and finished in a tie for 2nd alongside fellow LIV player Phil Mickelson. LIV Golfers have also been on a recent hot streak, winning five of the past six DP World Tour events. Regardless of how people feel about the LIV Golf product, it’s been proven that the players remain motivated in majors and other events that feature players from other tours.

DeChambeau took some time to begin playing up to his standards, but once he got going, he finished the season strong. After finishing 4th at the PGA Championship (he was also the first-round leader), he went on to finish 2nd at LIV Valderrama and won both LIV Greenbrier and LIV Chicago.

After a few years of substandard play, it finally seems as if DeChambeau is once again becoming the player that won the U.S. Open in 2020 and was one of the best players in the world. I can see Valhalla (PGA Championship) and Pinehurst N0. 2 (U.S. Open) as excellent course fits for the 30-year-old.

2. Justin Thomas will win 3 times

After a dismal 2023, Justin Thomas has slipped all the way to 26th in the OWGR. The two-time major champion missed six cuts in twenty starts on the year and finished better than 10th just twice.

Peaks and valleys in the careers of top professional golfers have been a constant throughout the history of the sport, and Thomas is no exception. In terms of talent, JT is still one of the best players in the world, and I have no doubts that after an off-season of work, he will return in good form for 2024.

I expect Thomas to win three times in 2024 and return to the upper echelon of golfers on the PGA Tour.

3. The Presidents Cup will allow LIV golfers to participate

In 2022, LIV golfers were not allowed to play in the Presidents Cup. Unlike the Ryder Cup, the International players on the Presidents Cup team make up a large portion of the potential best players on the team. The LIV threat was new at the time, so it wasn’t a major surprise that the defectors were banned from the event. However, some players still were shocked by the decision, including South African Louis Oosthuizen.

“There’s no rule that says I need to be a PGA Tour member to play the Presidents Cup, especially as an International team player,” Oosthuizen said after he was banned at the press conference for LIV Golf Chicago. “I didn’t think I did anything wrong. I made my decision where I am playing golf. But I didn’t do anything wrong while I was a PGA Tour member.”

In addition to Oosthuizen, Cameron Smith, Joaquin Niemann, Marc Leishman, Abraham Ancer were also banned from the event. The result was predictable. Despite a valiant effort from Trevor Immelman’s International side, the United States won convincingly, 17.5-12.5.

Since 2022, the golf landscape has changed significantly. Jon Rahm has signed with LIV and that means there will likely be a change in the qualifying system for Ryder Cup. Rory McIlroy, who’s been one of the most outspoken anti-LIV voices, has called for a change to allow for Rahm to play at Bethpage Black in 2025. I expect his wishes to be accommodated and for the Presidents Cup to tweak the language allowing LIV players to participate in 2024.

4. Michael Thorbjornsen will emerge as a star

Towards the end of the 2022-2023 season, the golf world became mesmerized by the emergence of the young Swede, Ludvig Aberg. In a time where the emergence of a star was greatly needed, the now 24-year-old won the Omega European Masters and followed the victory up with a sensational debut in the European Ryder Cup victory.

Towards the back half of the season, I expect Michael Thorbjornsen to flash a similar trajectory. The Stanford senior is currently No. 1 in PGA Tour University’s first ranking for 2024 and should earn a PGA Tour card if he continues to play well until through the NCAA Championship. Once he begins to earn consistent starts on Tour, he has the game to make an immediate impact.

Thorbjornsen has the look, swing, and pedigree to win immediately at the highest level, and I believe he will do so in 2024.

5. Tommy Fleetwood will earn his first PGA Tour victory

Last season, Tommy Fleetwood came torturously close to victory on multiple occasions. The Englishman lost the RBC Canadian Open to Nick Taylor with a nearly 70-foot bomb on the 4th playoff hole and he had five total finishes of T5 or better in 2023.

It’s been a long time coming for Fleetwood, who has six DP World Tour victories, but always seems to come up short on the PGA Tour. In 2024, a handful of the world’s top 15 players will be playing on LIV, including their newest signing, Jon Rahm. The lack of depth on the PGA Tour in conjunction with Tommy’s continuous improvement on the PGA Tour should result in the fan-favorite finally notching a win on United States soil.

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7 Comments

  1. Jbone

    Jan 3, 2024 at 7:20 am

    Think about how much media props up Max Homas top 10 at this years British Open. Now he’s primed to win a major lol. Compared that to Brysons top 10 at the British Open last year… they ignored it and acted like he was finished as a pro golfer and that it wasn’t a good sign of him coming back into form.

  2. Popye

    Jan 3, 2024 at 3:00 am

    Bryson TheShambo ain’t winnin’ no majors on ANY platform!

  3. Andrew J

    Jan 1, 2024 at 10:12 am

    Bryson wins another Major only if engages a P&SI-EGOS and becomes the best putter on Tour. on ebay

  4. Geno

    Dec 30, 2023 at 12:50 pm

    Damn, James. Why don’t you tell us how you really feel…..sheesh

  5. james

    Dec 29, 2023 at 9:27 pm

    Who really cares what your predictions are….You have never been much besides a wind bag who really doesn’t know anything more than your readers.

    • Jbone

      Jan 3, 2024 at 7:13 am

      Here you are commenting… if he picked Rory to win the masters you’d probably drop your pants and be typing one handed.

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19th Hole

Gary Player claims this is what ‘completely ruined’ Tiger Woods’ career

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While speaking with KW Golf, golf legend Gary Player said that he believes swing coaches ruined the career of Tiger Woods.

“The US Open at Pebble Beach, he won by 15 shots. You know what that’s like? It’s like running the 100 meters in seven seconds. The next week, he’s having a lesson from a man who, I don’t think, if he played in the Masters, could break 80.”

“And then he goes to another guy who couldn’t probably break 85 in the Masters with the pressure, or the British Open or the PGA on the final day. And he’s having lessons from them.”

“Why did Tiger do that? He was so good, but I understand he wanted to get better,” Player went on. “If he had just gone along and never changed, he would have won at least 22.. He would’ve gone down as the greatest athlete the world has ever seen.”

In 2008, Woods had won 14 majors and was 33 years old. It would take him eleven years to win his 15th at the 2019 Masters.

In addition to the swing coach issue, there are many other issues throughout the career of Woods that golf fans will look back on and wonder “what if.”

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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19th Hole

LIV star splits with swing coach after working together for 14 years

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After fourteen years together, LIV Golf’s Adrian Meronk has decided to part ways with his swing coach, Matthew Tipper.

On Monday, Tipper announced the split via social media.

“After 14 years sometimes things just come to an end. Last week Adrian decided he wanted to go a new way and I have to respect that decision. I’m proud of everything we achieved together.

“I knew in 2010 he was a great talent and he has only gone to prove that all over the world. To Pietro Gobinho and Stuart Beck, thank you for being amazing caddies when Adrian needed you. Your support and co-operation has been invaluable and I thank you both.

“I want to publicly thank Adrian for allowing me to sit in the best seat in the house for 14 years.

“It’s now time to start my new chapter in the USA alongside my mentor James Sieckmann and I’m excited to go to my first Korn Ferry Tour event later next month. As always tomorrow we begin again.”

Meronk is having a poor season by his standards on LIV. The reigning DP World Tour player had some solid finishes early in the year, finishing T9 and T6 at LIV Las Vegas and LIV Jeddah, but missed the cut at the Masters and has failed to crack the top-10 in his past three LIV starts.

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