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2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic: Outright Betting Picks

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For the fourth consecutive year, the PGA TOUR heads to Detroit Golf Club to play the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

A Donald Ross design, Detroit Golf Club is a 7,370-yard par 72. The course is extremely flat throughout and features Bentgrass greens. The front and back nines present quite differently with the front being tree-lined and the back being a wide-open layout. The event will very likely be a low scoring affair considering the course has offered very little in terms of resistance in the first three editions of the tournament.

The Rocket Mortgage Classic will play host to 156 golfers this week including Patrick Cantlay, Cameron Young, Max Homa, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Sahith Theegala and Keegan Bradley.

2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Outright Bets

Cameron Young (+2000, DraftKings):

Cameron Young’s enormous talent was on display for the world to see at the 150th Open Championship a few weeks ago. His second-place finish at St. Andrews was his second top-3 finish at a major championship this season which is extremely impressive for a PGA TOUR rookie.

After taking the week after the Open Championship off, Young now heads to Detroit Golf Club, which is a course that he should be able to pick apart with his power off the tee. In his past 24 rounds, the 25-year-old ranks first in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and first in the field in Birdie or Better Gained. With the course likely to be play fairly easy, Young’s ability to make plenty of birdies and eagles will give him a major advantage.

Over the course of his career, Young has gained 17.3 strokes on the field per tournament with his driving distance. Detroit Golf Club has fell victim to the power of golfers like Bryson DeChambeau, Matthew Wolff, Joaquin Niemann and Cameron Davis, all of which hit it a long way with the driver.

Driving ability will be of great importance this week, but it isn’t the only factor. To win, Young will need to get hot with the putter as well. If he can gain another 4.0 strokes putting this week like he did at The Open Championship, he should be the golfer to beat in Detroit.

Sahith Theegala (+5000, DraftKings):

Last week was a bit of a disappointment for Sahith Theegala, but I don’t see any reason why he can’t bounce back to perform well at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. With the field this week being only slightly better than what we saw last week, Theegala being roughly double the odds is a massive “missed cut discount” that I feel should be taken advantage of.

I believe in Theegala’s overall talent and believe he still can get his first PGA TOUR win before the season concludes.  With the remaining chances dwindling and few course fits as glaring at Detroit Golf Club left on the schedule, now may be the 24-year-olds last real opportunity of 2022.

The former Haskins award winner hits the ball long off the tee and has a similar skill set to those who’ve fared well at Detroit Golf Club in the past. The fact that he’s now had two near misses to build the sometimes-necessary scar tissue to win on TOUR should only aid him in his efforts at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Cameron Champ (+7500, DraftKings):

Cameron Champ has been underwhelming for most of the 2022 season. He has only two top-10 finishes on the season with his best result being a 6th place finish at the Mexico Open.

The 2021 season wasn’t much better leading into this time last year. At that point, his best finish of the season had been an 11th place finish at the John Deere Classic. He then went on to win the 3M Championship the following week.

Champ plays poorly far more often than he plays well, but when he wins, he tends to hint that it’s coming. Last week, we saw glimpses of what the 27-year-old is capable of when he gets hot. After getting off to a horrific start, he rallied to make the cut and gained 2.9 strokes off the tee and 6.3 strokes putting in his final three rounds after losing more than a shot in each of the two categories in Thursday’s first round. Finishing in a share of 16th place after opening his tournament with a disastrous 75 is very impressive and may be a sign of things to come.

It’s no secret that Champ is one of the longest hitters in the world, but he also has positive “spike” putting weeks from time to time. He gained 8.6 strokes with the putter in his win at last year’s 3M Open which shows when his putting stroke is locked in, he can roll it with the best on TOUR.

Troy Merritt (+8000, BetRivers):

Troy Merritt was agonizingly close to getting a victory at Detroit Golf Club last year, losing to Cameron Davis on the 5th playoff hole. He also had a great performance at the course in 2020, when he finished in 8th place.

Bombers have done very well at Detroit Golf Club but putting has been almost equally as important for those who’ve contended here. In his past two starts at the course, Merritt has gained 5.3 and 7.2 strokes putting respectively. There’s clearly something about these greens that the 36-year-old has figured out.

Last week at the 3M Open, Merritt did just about everything right besides putt well, which is extremely uncharacteristic. The perplexing performance on the greens (-5.6 SG; Putting) marked the first time in his past eight measured starts where he’s lost strokes putting. Therefore, it’s more likely than not that the dismal putting effort was an outlier.

In terms of off the tee and approach play, Merritt had one of his best performances ever at TPC Twin Cities. His 8.5 Strokes Gained: Ball Striking marks his highest total since his victory at the 2018 Barbasol Championship. If his putting stroke can return to its baseline, Merritt should find himself in contention once again in Detroit.

Taylor Pendrith (+8100, bet365):

Another golfer who fits the mold of bombers who can get hot with the putter is Taylor Pendrith. The Canadian seemed poised to have a breakout season in 2022 before injuries derailed his momentum following a 13th place finish at the PLAYERS Championship.

Pendrith finally returned to action at the Barbasol Championship a few weeks ago, and he did not disappoint. The 31-year-old finished in 13th place and gained 5.1 strokes off the tee.

Thus far, Pendrith’s potential has yet to come to fruition, but has all the talent necessary to be a “late-bloomer” on the PGA TOUR. He is one of the longest drivers on the golf ball on the planet and has historically putt very well on Bentgrass greens. Missing the fairway isn’t extremely penal at Detroit Golf Club, so if he can get his wedges dialed in, he should be able to take advantage of the easier setup we’ve seen at the course.

Michael Thorbjornsen (+12500, BetRivers):

There’s no denying that this price feels a bit short for a golfer who hasn’t yet turned professional, but I don’t see Thorbjornsen as a typical amateur.

The 20-year-old All American has proven himself to be one of the top amateurs in the world, and in my opinion, a future superstar. The Wellesley, Massachusetts product has all the tools to be successful, and more importantly for this week, should make him a fit at Detroit Golf Club.

The last time we saw “Thor”, he was deep in contention at the Travelers Championship. The two skills that I am targeting this week are off the tee and putting, and he did both of those things immaculately at TPC River Highlands. Thorbjornsen gained 4.6 strokes off the tee, which was good for a tie for 5th in the field. He also gained 9.6 strokes putting, which led the field.

Thorbjornsen’s 4th place finish at the Travelers Championship was the best finish in a PGA TOUR event by an amateur since 2016. This week, the young star will look to top that by becoming the first amateur to win a PGA TOUR event since Phil Mickelson in 1991.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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