The PGA Tour heads to Pebble Beach this week to play the 2022 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
The pro-am will return this week after nixing it last year due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, the tournament will return to a three-course rotation once again.
Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass Hill Golf Course, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club will be the courses featured in the 2022 edition of the event.
The field this week is made up of 156 players including Patrick Cantlay, Phil Daniel Berger, Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, and Justin Rose.
Pebble Beach Golf Links is a par 72 measuring 6,828 yards and featuring Poa annua greens. Spyglass Hill is a par 72 measuring 7,035 yards, and Monterey Peninsula is a par 71 measuring 6,958 yards.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Outright Bets
Justin Rose (+2800)(Bet365)
I’ve been all over Justin Rose early and often during the 2022 season, and despite the fact that he hasn’t come through with a win yet, I am satisfied with the level of play. The Englishman is playing some of the best golf he has in a long time, and Pebble Beach is the perfect course for it to all come together and result in victory.
Rose has been putting very well over the past few years, but we haven’t quite seen him striking it this well from tee to green. He gained 5.4 strokes on approach in only two measured rounds at Torrey Pines which was good for fourth in the field. The 41-year-old now gets to play a short course and ranks 10th in SG: Total on par 72s under 7200 yards, making Pebble Beach and ideal fit for his current game. He comes in with some encouraging course history having finished 3rd at the 2019 US Open at Pebble Beach, and 6th at this event in 2016. This event can quickly turn into a putting contest and if it does, “Rosie” has just as good of a chance as anyone in the field.
Lanto Griffin (+5500)(Bet365)
Lanto Griffin finished in 30th place last week at Torrey Pines, but his path to that finish was more impressive than his eventual place on the leaderboard. Griffin he gained 3.5 strokes on approach in two measured rounds, and had a pedestrian putting week although he should be capable of improvement in that department this week at Pebble Beach. The most encouraging aspect of his week however, was how he finished it. The 33-year-old finished the week bu shooting a 65 at Torrey Pines and seemed to be clicking on all cylinders. Often times, we have seen a golfer who was hot finishing the week roll the momentum into the following event.
Prior to The Farmers Insurance Open, Griffin finished 3rd the previous week at The American Express which will be a somewhat similar test to what we see this week. Has gained an average of 2.2 strokes on the field from tee to green in his past five starts, and was 9th here in 2020 while gaining 3.4 strokes putting on greens that can be tricky. The course clearly fits his eye, as he ranks 4th in strokes gained total on par 72s under 7200 yards.
Matt Kuchar: (+6600)(Bet365)
Prior to the Sony Open, I wrote about how although Kuchar will struggle on most courses on Tour, he still can contend at courses that suit his game. That proved to be true as he finished in 7th place that week and gained 5.9 strokes from tee to green. Despite his lack of distance off of the tee, his accuracy with driver and strong putting makes Pebble Beach another one of his spots. The 43-year-old has proven himself to be an incredible putter on fast poana greens in both the long and short term, and ranks 6th in field in that category in his past 24 rounds. Kuchar had a solid performance at the 2019 U.S. Open hosted by Pebble Beach, finishing in 16th place. He is in the twilight of his career, but is more than capable of winning the event.
Russell Knox (+8000) (Bet365):
If Luke List showed us anything last week, it’s that a premier ball striker who historically can’t putt is always capable of breaking through. Also similar to List, Knox returns to a course that he has had excellent results at throughout his career. He doesn’t have the off the tee game that List has, but he doesn’t need it this week. He just needs to find the fairway and get dialed in with the irons, which he typically does.
The veteran struggled last week but two starts ago at the Sony Open, he finished in 7th place by gaining 5.1 strokes on approach in just two measured rounds. Knox has some encouraging course history, having finished 14th in 2019 and 15th in 2018 prior to the aforementioned 7th place finish last season.
Pebble Beach can get a bit windy, and if it does few have a bigger advantage than Knox who grew up playing in wet, chilly, coastal conditions in Scotland.
Aaron Rai (+9000) (Bet365):
Many golf fans got their first glimpse of Aaron Rai last week when he found himself in the final group at Torrey Pines. He struggled on Sunday, and ended up finishing in 6th place for the week. Despite being a relatively poor putter, Rai had a strong putting performance compared to his typical results, gaining 2.4 strokes on the field in two measured rounds. It is too soon to tell, but early signs may indicate that he may take kindly to poana greens.
Rai possesses many of the skills that are necessary to contend at a track like Pebble Beach. He is incredible at finding the fairway and isn’t very long off the tee, which won’t hurt him here. He solid on approach last week gaining 1.9 strokes on the field in two measured rounds, and Has averaged +5.3 strokes on the field per event in fairways gained in his past five events played. The 26-year-old is just about as automatic as it gets in finding the short grass off the tee. He also does a good job of hitting greens in regulation, which should come in handy on the smallest greens on Tour. In his past five starts, Rai has averaged +3.5 strokes on the field in Greens in Regulation: Gained. He sniffed contention last week which should prepare him for the nerves to come if he finds himself in the situation again. Don’t let his lack of Tour experience fool you, Rai has two impressive wins on the DP World Tour and is a high class player.
Pat Perez (+11000)(Bet365):
Pat Perez has the Pebble Beach form we are looking for this week, and came to life last week at Torrey Pines, making him a worthy long shot this week.
The 45-year-old grew up on the West Coast (Scottsdale, Arizona) and has shown comfortability in the area throughout his career. He got his first win in California back in 2009 at the Bob Hope Classic (PGA West) and has enjoyed Pebble Beach throughout his career. He finished 4th in 2015,14th in 2017, and 26th last year. Perez was extremely impressive last week finishing in 6th place and gained 5.2 strokes on approach in two measured rounds. The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am has produced some older winners and is probably one of the few stops on Tour where he can still actually win. Putting it well and Bermuda is his best surface. In his past 24 rounds, Perez ranks 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting on fast POA greens and 17th in Strokes Gained: Total at Pebble Beach.
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