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Redkacheek’s DFS Rundown: 2018 Dell Tech Championship

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Welcome back everyone, after an amazing FGWC experience last week with some of my fellow FGB members taking home around $25,000, we get another week of really nice prize pools and various contest structures. The Dell Technologies Championship is the second leg of the Fedex Cup Playoffs, being played at TPC Boston. We have lots of course history to go off of so really makes our process nice and tidy this week. Statistically, I am looking primarily at SG:T2G, Iron Play and a small dose of BoB and par 5 scoring. I have tossed around some driving distance numbers because I do see that being somewhat of an advantage this week.

Before we get into my core plays, let’s take a look at the course and what the players will be facing. The Dell Technologies Championship will be hosted this week at TPC Boston. We have a good bit of course history to go off of, even dating back to a Tiger Woods’ win in 2006, so we will definitely be considering that when narrowing down our player pools. TPC Boston will be playing as a par 71 at 7,283 yards, which for these guys is the standard in today’s game. I definitely see distance as an advantage but as you will read, this tends to be a “second-shot-and-in” type of course, so Driving Accuracy will not be weighed to heavily for me.

Scoring will mainly be set up by the players approach game and their performance on the par 5s, although every week par-4 scoring is pertinent. Scores are typically pretty low at this event with around 15 under winning each year so a player will need to be on their iron game in order to make enough birdies to keep up. Looking through statistics of the past events played here, SG: APP proved to be a very important benchmark on a player’s success that given week. Also, scoring on par 4s, specifically from the 450-500-yard range, proved key as there are a handful of long par 4s scattered throughout this layout. With all that out of the way, let’s get into my Core plays for this week…

Tiger Woods (DK $9,700)

I am approaching this week a little different. This is most likely going to be the last chance to have an edge playing cash games and single entry tournaments, so I am going to build a couple main lineups I will put in everything and then run about 100 lineups in the $6 DK Mini Main Event. So I will address these players as core for my main lineups, and as of now I do not plan to build any with an $11k-plus player.

Tiger is my first core play, and I feel really good about it. Coming of an abysmal showing last week where he lost nearly five strokes putting, his driving was actually much improved and he is still striping his irons, as he has all year. Tiger won this event back in 2006, which is somewhat irrelevant but it is still Tiger Woods and if he has won this event once he could do it again. This course is a bit more forgiving off the tee so even if he falls back into a wayward driver somewhat, I think he should still have plenty of opportunities with his irons to make birdies. After that, we are just betting on a slight improvement with his putting which should show positive regression of about six to 10 strokes.

Hideki Matsuyama (DK $8,900)

You are about to see a trend here with my balanced lineup approach, but first off as we get into the $8k range is Hideki. In the last three years at this event, he has never finished worse than 25th. He has some really nice form coming in this year as well, gaining strokes off the tee and with his irons in his prior two events and on top of that, he hit about five greens more than the field average the last two weeks. Hideki definitely has upside to win, and at that price, I really don’t “need” him to win to pay off his value. Hideki is not my favorite play in the $8k range but will definitely be one of my top plays to build around this week.

Tommy Fleetwood (DK $8,500)

Here is your free square everyone! Just kidding, there is practically never a free square in PGA DFS, but I think Fleetwood is as close as you’ll get to one. In this field, Tommy ranks inside the top 10 of GIR percentage, birdie-or-better, and par 5 scoring. He has only missed one cut on the PGA Tour in the past 12 months, which is a testament to the consistent player he is. Just like Hideki, Tommy has upside to win this week and at this price it really offers some flexibility in our lineup construction. He has never played this event, but we can use the course history for others to help us determine this is a great fit for him. Perhaps the most remarkable thing about Tommy is that he gains strokes in every single category, almost every single week.

Rafael Cabrera Bello (DK $7,300)

Just like last week, Rafa is another core guy for me this week and at an even lower price. He is really a phenomenal ballstriker, so I feel great about his ability to play this course well. He finished poorly last week but I am not going to let one bad round (77-R3) persuade me to avoid him here at TPC Boston. He has only played here once, finishing 18th in 2017. Again, Rafa is a player that hits a ton of greens and even more fairways every single week, so it is easy to see at $7,300 that he would be someone to build around. He was actually over $10k just two weeks ago, so now we are in a position to grab him at a lower price, depressed ownership, and with that price it provides us the opportunity to play DJ or JT in some really solid GPP lineups.

Charley Hoffman (DK $7,300)

Charley Hoffman is perhaps my favorite play this week. He has quietly been racking up top 20s in the past few months (five of his last eight events) and finished with a sneaky top 20 last week. Statistically, it is hard to ever consider Charley a core play, but this week I am adding him to my “overweight” list. Charley has played here at TPC Boston for over a decade and in that span he has had a wide variety of finishes, but does have a win in 2010 and a third-place finish in 2015.

I see Charley trending in the right direction coming here this week, and I think he is the perfect play in a limited field to gain leverage on the field. The most tempting thing for me, is that Charley is known as a supreme iron player but the Driver can become a problem; luckily this course sets up with slightly wider fairways and less penal rough, so this should suit him even more.

Also consider

  • Justin Thomas
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Justin Rose
  • Patrick Cantlay
  • Tony Finau
  • Paul Casey
  • Tyrrell Hatton

Good luck this week everyone!

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I am ranked in the Top 35 of all DFS Golf players and best known for winning the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest during the week of The Masters earlier this year. I am very active around the community, always willing to help whether with strategy or research and you can find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and also each week on the Fantasy Golf Bag Podcast. One last note, my history is in professional golf, which definitely adds a unique perspective to DFS that most people do not have and you will find really gives you an edge when evaluating players each week.

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. ergon

    Aug 30, 2018 at 1:12 am

    Nicklaus/Woods versus Lebron/Kaepernick …. and the winners are ……………………!

  2. Matt

    Aug 29, 2018 at 5:04 pm

    What are your thoughts on Rose this week? I love him at that price and don’t see him missing the cut, but does he have enough to bounce back and contend for a win?

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 LIV Adelaide betting preview: Cam Smith ready for big week down under

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After having four of the top twelve players on the leaderboard at The Masters, LIV Golf is set for their fifth event of the season: LIV Adelaide. 

For both LIV fans and golf fans in Australia, LIV Adelaide is one of the most anticipated events of the year. With 35,000 people expected to attend each day of the tournament, the Grange Golf Club will be crawling with fans who are passionate about the sport of golf. The 12th hole, better known as “the watering hole”, is sure to have the rowdiest of the fans cheering after a long day of drinking some Leishman Lager.  

The Grange Golf Club is a par-72 that measures 6,946 yards. The course features minimal resistance, as golfers went extremely low last season. In 2023, Talor Gooch shot consecutive rounds of 62 on Thursday and Friday, giving himself a gigantic cushion heading into championship Sunday. Things got tight for a while, but in the end, the Oklahoma State product was able to hold off The Crushers’ Anirban Lahiri for a three-shot victory. 

The Four Aces won the team competition with the Range Goats finishing second. 

*All Images Courtesy of LIV Golf*

Past Winners at LIV Adelaide

  • 2023: Talor Gooch (-19)

Stat Leaders Through LIV Miami

Green in Regulation

  1. Richard Bland
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Paul Casey

Fairways Hit

  1. Abraham Ancer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Henrik Stenson

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Joaquin Niemann
  3. Dean Burmester

Putting

  1. Cameron Smith
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Matt Jones

2024 LIV Adelaide Picks

Cameron Smith +1400 (DraftKings)

When I pulled up the odds for LIV Adelaide, I was more than a little surprised to see multiple golfers listed ahead of Cameron Smith on the betting board. A few starts ago, Cam finished runner-up at LIV Hong Kong, which is a golf course that absolutely suits his eye. Augusta National in another course that Smith could roll out of bed and finish in the top-ten at, and he did so two weeks ago at The Masters, finishing T6.

At Augusta, he gained strokes on the field on approach, off the tee (slightly), and of course, around the green and putting. Smith able to get in the mix at a major championship despite coming into the week feeling under the weather tells me that his game is once again rounding into form.

The Grange Golf Club is another course that undoubtedly suits the Australian. Smith is obviously incredibly comfortable playing in front of the Aussie faithful and has won three Australian PGA Championship’s. The course is very short and will allow Smith to play conservative off the tee, mitigating his most glaring weakness. With birdies available all over the golf course, there’s a chance the event turns into a putting contest, and there’s no one on the planet I’d rather have in one of those than Cam Smith.

Louis Oosthuizen +2200 (DraftKings)

Louis Oosthuizen has simply been one of the best players on LIV in the 2024 seas0n. The South African has finished in the top-10 on the LIV leaderboard in three of his five starts, with his best coming in Jeddah, where he finished T2. Perhaps more impressively, Oosthuizen finished T7 at LIV Miami, which took place at Doral’s “Blue Monster”, an absolutely massive golf course. Given that Louis is on the shorter side in terms of distance off the tee, his ability to play well in Miami shows how dialed he is with the irons this season.

In addition to the LIV finishes, Oosthuizen won back-to-back starts on the DP World Tour in December at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and the Mauritus Open. He also finished runner-up at the end of February in the International Series Oman. The 41-year-old has been one of the most consistent performers of 2024, regardless of tour.

For the season, Louis ranks 4th on LIV in birdies made, T9 in fairways hit and first in putting. He ranks 32nd in driving distance, but that won’t be an issue at this short course. Last season, he finished T11 at the event, but was in decent position going into the final round but fell back after shooting 70 while the rest of the field went low. This season, Oosthuizen comes into the event in peak form, and the course should be a perfect fit for his smooth swing and hot putter this week.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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