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2017 Quicken Loans National: Odds, Picks, and Prop Bets

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The PGA Tour heads to Maryland this week for the Quicken Loans National. The field is headlined by Rickie Fowler, Justin Thomas and Jimmy Walker. Defending champ, Billy Hurley III, is also in the field and hopes to become the first back-to-back winner in the tournament history. Although he may not be in attendance, Tiger Woods plays host to the QLN with proceeds going to his Tiger Woods Foundation.

  • Tournament Record: 266 by Troy Merritt in 2015 at Robert Trent Jones GC
  • 18-Hole Record: 61 by Troy Merritt in 2015

The Course

TPC Potomac is the site of this year’s Quicken Loans National for the first time. The par-70, 7,100-yard course was once a regular stop on Tour, but it has changed dramatically since. This will be the first Tour even at Potomac since its redesign; 12 of the 18 holes have had major renovations, while the remaining six have had slight adjustments. It’s tough to say what type of player the course will favor, but after last week’s Travelers Championship, it’s safe to say the players will face a few more long irons into the greens.

Odds

Past Champs in the field:

  • KJ Choi +25000
  • Nick Watney +12500
  • Bill Haas +2200
  • Troy Merritt +12500
  • Billy Hurley III +10000

Favorites:

  • Rickie Fowler +850
  • Justin Thomas +1200
  • Patrick Reed +1400
  • Bill Haas +2200
  • Marc Leishman +2500
  • Kevin Chappell +2500
  • Brendan Steele +2500
  • David Lingmerth +3000
  • Tony Finau +3300

My Pick – I’m going with Rickie Fowler this week at +850. He’s the clear favorite, so it certainly isn’t a risky pick, but I think he takes homes the trophy. He played as well as anyone through the first three rounds of the U.S. Open, and he’s coming off a week of much needed rest. He’s said himself that his game is at the highest level, so it’s clear he’s feeling as confident as possible coming into the week. What really puts him over the top in my book is his par-3 scoring average of 2.98; good enough to rank 6th on Tour. On a par-70 course, the scoring opportunities are limited, so making birdie on par 3s will be key.

Value Pick – I see a lot of value in Russell Henley at +3300. He had a pretty disappointing few weeks leading up to the U.S. Open, three missed cuts in four starts leading into Erin Hills, which bumped up his odds quite a bit. Despite that stretch, he managed to finished just outside the top-25 at the U.S. Open and ranks 16th in Shots Gained: Total and 26th in Birdie Average.

Long Shot –Xander Schauffele (+5000) is my long shot pick of the week. It’s definitely the trendy pick after his strong performance at the U.S. Open, but his showing at the Travelers is what impressed me the most. Every year we seem to see a “no-name” hang around the top of the leaderboard at a major, only to disappear the next week. That wasn’t the case for Schauffele; he finished T14 including a final-round 67 at TPC River Highlands. I think his top-five finish in a major gave him a huge confidence boost and helped him realize he belongs atop the leaderboard.

Props

Rickie Fowler & Justin Thomas (+400) vs. the Field (-650): I’ll take these odds all day. I’ve got Rickie pegged as the winner alone; add in Justin Thomas, and it’s a pretty safe play. Thomas will be looking to make a statement after stumbling down the stretch at Erin Hills and missing the cut at the Travelers, so I expect to see him make a ton of birdies.

Wire-to-Wire winner – Yes (+1400): I’m going with “yes” here. Again, Rickie Fowler is my pick to win and I think he’ll take it wire-to-wire. He ranks third in first-round scoring average and ninth on moving day. It’s certainly possible on a new course that someone shoots a 61, but with these odds I’ll take my chances.

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Twitter @NickRitaccoGolf

1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. Robert Parsons

    Jun 28, 2017 at 2:23 pm

    Money going on Ricky early. Odds are down to 7:1.

    I put my money on JB Holmes @ 40:1

    Go JB!!!!

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Tour Photo Galleries

Interesting photos from the Zozo Championship

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This week is the Zozo Championship at Sherwood Golf Club, and with most of the worlds top golfers including Tiger Woods playing and prepping for the November Masters, there is a lot going on around the range when it comes to gear and testing.

As a reminder, you can check out all of our photos in the GolfWRX forums.

New Fourteen irons and wedges

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The irons are a throwback to a classic “channel back” style iron with mass positioned towards the top and bottom of the face to increase vertical stability of the blade while also maintaining feel.

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Justin Rose with Artisan lob wedge

The little shop from Texas continues to make big waves with more wedges spotted on tour every week including in former world number 1 Justin Rose.

Xander Schauffele’s new Apex irons and testing putters on Quintic

Xander’s prototype Callaway Apex irons look a lot like the newly released 2021 X-Forged irons but with obvious Apex branding. We also can’t forget about putting, and it’s cool to see a Quintic high-speed camera system on the practice green getting players dialed in to launch conditions just like how they would for a driver.

Ricky using older generation Cobra Amp Cell Pro Irons

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If there is one thing pros love, it’s a set of older irons—they’re the golf equivalent of putting on a pair of comfy broken-in jeans. For Ricky and his custom Amp Cell Pro’s with tungsten toe inserts, there must be some magic there because he has previously used multiple newer sets of irons but continues to gravitate towards these.

Shigeki Maruyama testing new Bettinardi putter

Shigeki isn’t someone to shy away from testing putters, and this week he was spotted testing one of the new Bettinardi putters that debuted last week in Las Vegas at Shadow Creek.

Pros are “just like us” – Justin Thomas and Mac Hughes edition

Yes, tour pros are just like us except for the fact that they are exceptional golfers, but even JT likes help in his long game and has a Titleist T300 3-iron in the bag, and when it comes to breakfast Mackenzie Hughes happens to like ketchup with his breakfast sandwich—although personally, I’m anti-ketchup when it comes to breakfast sandwiches.

Mickelson testing older X-Hot 3Deep

We’ve heard rumblings, of Champions Tour terminator Phil Mickelson testing 47.5″ drivers in the name of speed and distance, but as a way to also have a “fairway finder” it appears that he is contemplating putting his old X-Hot 3Deep in play. (Being able to identify a multi-generations old fairway wood from a distance based on its paint scheme is part of the reason we are WRX)

Gary Woodland testing Ping G425 driver

With the launch of the Ping G425 woods on tour a few weeks ago, it’s no surprise to see more players testing them in prep for the Masters, and for the fact that, they are the next evolution of the well-loved Ping G410—Gary Woodland is no exception.

 

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Tour Photo Galleries

Photos from the 2020 Zozo Championship

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GolfWRX is live from the 2020 Zozo Championship, which takes place at Sherwood CC this year following the cancellation of the tour’s Asia swing.

With a loaded field that features Tiger Woods, there is plenty of WITB intrigue, as well as a number of Japanese players, whose setups are always worth taking a look at.

Check out our 12 general galleries and a selection of special collections below, including plenty of Woods, Mickelson, and McIlroy photos.

General galleries

Special galleries

See what GolfWRXers are saying in the forums.

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Tour Photo Galleries

Photos from the 2020 CJ Cup

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GolfWRX is live at the relocated 2020 CJ Cup, which is being contested at Shadow Creek in Las Vegas after the COVID-19 pandemic made the PGA Tour’s Asian Swing an impossibility.

Our photo sampling this week includes four general galleries packed with imagery, in-hand looks at the new Ping G425 driver and woods, drool-worthy putters and more.

Check out links to all our photos below.

General galleries

Special galleries

Join the discussion in the forums.

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