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Missouri course to try pay-by-the-hour greens fees

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Lake of the Ozarks Resorts, a Four Seasons property in Missouri, has taken an innovative approach to greens fees: hourly pricing, as originally reported by Lake News Online.

The hourly pricing model will see resort guests and the general public charged $10 per hour, plus tax, for golf and a cart on one of the venue’s two courses. Golfers will then pay a prorated fee for each additional 15 minutes of golf.

Lake of the Ozarks head pro, Chris Lash hopes the model will offer golfers a better time-for-money deal and help pack the tee shot.

“When you read reviews of golf courses, or talk to golfers almost anywhere, it’s the comment you hear and over, ‘Golf takes too long,’ There’s a lot of talk about the industry needing to get creative. So that’s what we’re doing: give people more flexibility, while trying to generate some extra revenue along the way.”

The course plans to offer the yearly rate year-round, although the base figure will vary depending on season and volume of play. The current winter rate at the Lake of the Ozarks Cove course is $39, which jumps to $90 during the height of the season.

Golf Digest’s Joel Beall detailed one potential problem with the strategy.

“Can you imagine a slow morning group wreaking havoc on an entire day’s tee sheet? Not only would your round be miserable, but you’d have to pay extra for the experience. True, if pace is paralyzingly slow, you could always walk off. But for many with the golf bug, they’re only walking off after the 18th hole.”

And of course, it’s worth remembering that this is a resort course, which is an entirely different kettle of fish than a traditional daily fee facility, so the hourly fee model isn’t likely a panacea. We assume there are more potential pitfalls, but you have to admire an actual concrete effort in the face of much industry hand-wringing.

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39 Comments

39 Comments

  1. Adam

    Jan 16, 2017 at 2:06 am

    So….uhhh….when/how do you pay? Do you pay after the round? What’s to stop someone from getting stuck behind a slow group, saying ‘eff this’ and just walking to their car and driving off? I’m assuming you’re going to have to submit a credit card as a deposit which, in my experience in the pro shop, is going to piss a lot of people off.

    It’s a nice idea, but there are a lot of obstacles to overcome with this one.

  2. Matto

    Jan 15, 2017 at 4:27 am

    Yearly rate offered year round. Thank god.

  3. Jim

    Jan 15, 2017 at 12:23 am

    Greatest thing I ever saw, last week we teed off behind the men’s club at our local public. We figured it would be the same slow round as always as we had to stand in almost every fairway and watch these “PROS” on the greens (you know every club is playing for that $1.00 skin so each member has to wait his turn to put which always seems to mean he starts reading his right after the guy before misses his and marks his 4 inch putt) Out of no where the general manager jumps in his cart speeds out to the guys in the men’s club and tells them to let us play through???? He then followed us to the next tee and had us play through another men’s club 4 some. He told us he had laid down the law to the men’s and women’s club that they would keep up with everyone on the course and play under 4 hours 20 minutes or loose their Tuesday and Wednesday prime morning tee times……never thought I would see or hear that…..Sweet Home Alabama

  4. 8thehardway

    Jan 14, 2017 at 10:47 am

    Send in the drones. Require carts until 11AM and equip them with GPS units that alert the pro shop when out of position by five minutes. Mgr dispatches speaker-equipped drone which identifies offending golfer(s) and blares “Hit the damn ball” every two minutes until they pick up the pace.

    • Double Mocha Man

      Jan 14, 2017 at 2:30 pm

      I love the drone concept! Golf Course Assistants (Marshalls) certainly won’t do that.

  5. Uhit

    Jan 14, 2017 at 8:24 am

    Steve,

    you can overcome this problem, if you only charge extra money for slow play, for every minute that the group finishes the round later, than the group in front of them.

    Example:
    10 minutes starting time rhytm, but leaving the last green 15 minutes behind the group in front (5 minutes too late)… …causes 40$ penalty – on a course with a green fee of 80$

    This way, a slow group could even benefit from letting a faster group, play through…

    …to avoid penalyzing a fast group, that was just overtaking a slower one on hole 17,
    you can either take the whole playing time into account, or inform, that overtaking after hole 15 may not be a good idea, if there is a huge gap between the slow group in front and the next group in front of the slow group.

  6. Egor

    Jan 14, 2017 at 1:25 am

    On the surface, terrible idea.

  7. Dave R

    Jan 13, 2017 at 10:52 pm

    Perfect. Soulation solved !”,,,,,,,,,,,, no more slow play?????????????

    • rymail00

      Jan 15, 2017 at 12:37 am

      I agree, unless your stuck behind a group that’s incredibly slow, and doesn’t actually play a lot of golf. I’d hate to pay more for a round because a group that’s a hole or possly 4 holes ahead of me is slow as hell.

      Also it might persuade me from wanting to play with friends who may be new to the game. Knowing that we may be looking for balls in the wods more often because the “new golfer” is spraying them everywhere, and that adds time to looking for their ball, and that then comes out of my pocket as well as people behind us.

      Actually the more I think of it, it’s a bad idea. Especially if Golf is trying to “Grow The Game”. No better way to discourage newcomers then to say if “if play bad, it’ll cost me and my buddies more to play”.

      But to play devils advocate, if it was only “good players” on the course that don’t have to look for balls, and can play a in an average of 3- 3.5 hours around, then *%^$&*@ awesome. But you know tha’ll never…..ever….happen day in and day out.consistently.

      Also how can people enjoy themseles when you are “constantly on the clock”? It’s like winter golf on the simulators that charge by the hour. People get annoyed when some someone has to take p!ss or sh!t, get food, or whatever that may delay their game.

      I can see how this could be great!! But, at the same time it causing waaaaay more problems than benefits.

      JMHO

  8. Brian

    Jan 13, 2017 at 9:29 pm

    Can you imagine the temper flares regarding slow play under this pay scheme? People get mad enough at slow groups. I can only assume they’ll be irate if it costs them money on top of the frustration of slow play.

  9. Ben Hogan

    Jan 13, 2017 at 7:05 pm

    Slow play is an excuse. The #1 reason slow play exists is not playing Stableford. If players have no incentive beyond a bogey, they’ll move on.

    If you have a handicap, and you can index down an extra shot or two within Stableford, you are not the problem. If you are a casual walk-on, you should only get points, and points only count if you bogey or better.

    Slow play is only a function of our obsession of playing stroke golf. If the PGA started playing Stableford full time, golf would have a problem of feeling rushed on courses, like it is in Japan. Don’t whine about the fix; just mandate Stableford, and we are ALL better for it.

  10. Ben Hogan

    Jan 13, 2017 at 7:04 pm

    Slow play is BS. The #1 reason slow play exists is not playing Stableford. If players have no incentive beyond a bogey, they’ll move on.

    If you have a handicap, and you can index down an extra shot or two within Stableford, you are not the problem. If you are a casual walk-on, you should only get points, and points only count if you bogey or better.

    Slow play is only a function of our obsession of playing stroke golf. If the PGA started playing Stableford full time, golf would have a problem of feeling rushed on courses, like it is in Japan. Don’t whine about the fix; just mandate Stableford, and we are ALL better for it.

    • Ron

      Jan 18, 2017 at 2:58 pm

      Playing equitable stroke from your handicap would do the same thing. If you can’t card anything more than 7, for example, pick up when you get to 7 and move on.

  11. Double Mocha Man

    Jan 13, 2017 at 5:54 pm

    Make it like an Olympic figure skating event. Once, just once, an official follows a golfer and rates that golfer 1 to 10. The faster players get a green card. Mid-speed players a yellow card. And the slo-pokes end up with a red card. Next time you go online or call for a reservation you’re asked your card color (which is already on record). If you’re green you get to go off early (or whenever you want); yellow you go off mid-day. If you carry a red card your slow butt gets to tee off at twilight.

    • Double Mocha Man

      Jan 13, 2017 at 5:56 pm

      Oh, and the red card folks are issued a flashlight.

    • Brian

      Jan 13, 2017 at 9:32 pm

      Needlessly complicated. Simply penalize the slow group the day of. If I get your “red” card, I just don’t play that course any more.

      • Double Mocha Man

        Jan 13, 2017 at 11:02 pm

        Ahh, but that red card applies to all the courses within a 30 mile radius. Once a year you can apply to have your card upgraded to a different color. Simple. It encourages everyone to qualify for a green card… which means, yep, they’ve learned how to play 18 holes in under 4.5 hours. Kinda like maintaining a good credit record.

        • Tal

          Jan 16, 2017 at 3:33 am

          So 1 red card caused by a slow friend and you can’t play anymore?

          • Double Mocha Man

            Jan 16, 2017 at 2:24 pm

            No. The official who follows you uses a checklist which only grades YOUR speed and YOUR predisposition for golf without delay. You could play a 6 hour round with slow friends and still score a green card! (the default speed of a foursome is the speed of the slowest golfer… this system looks at the individual)

          • Double Mocha Man

            Jan 16, 2017 at 2:33 pm

            Tai… a red card doesn’t stop you from playing. You just have to play when other slow golfers are on the course. Makes sense, yes? But the incentive is to move up to yellow or green and open up a broader range of tee times for yourself. So it’s positive reinforcement instead of most plans that are negative. Being the proud owner of a green card is like getting to brag about your 5 handicap. Nevertheless, you could be a 90’s shooter and still have the green (fast player) card.

  12. Double Mocha Man

    Jan 13, 2017 at 3:42 pm

    Humans have their own internal pace. Virtually nothing we do will change it. A golfer’s not going to give up his/her requisite number of practice swings. A golfer, out for an afternoon stroll, is not going to speed up his/her pace. A golfer who has no “rear view mirror” isn’t going to put his/her clubs next to the green on the way to the next tee… or feel much pressure from those playing behind him/her because they simply don’t see that trailing group.

    Though a few dozen articles in different golf magazines with Top 100 teaching pros extolling the amateur benefits of playing faster to score lower might get their attention. Things will speed up only when it’s something you want to do for YOURSELF.

  13. Rich Douglas

    Jan 13, 2017 at 2:48 pm

    The fundamental, underlying belief about slow play is that it is the fault of the other guy. This system is designed for failure–and anger–unless slow players are dealt with.

    I like the idea of coming out and removing people from the course if they exceed a maximum time limit, but that will also anger customers–who will likely not return.

    And that’s the crux of the issue: golf courses don’t want to anger slow players, so the rest of us suffer.

    Oh, and the things that are needed to support this system–like removing slow players–can be done with the traditional system. But again, golf courses won’t do it. It’s not the other guy’s fault–it’s the management’s fault.

  14. BC

    Jan 13, 2017 at 12:13 pm

    Our foursome is playing through you guys because you’re playing too damn slow. Oh no you’re not, because that will delay us and cost us more money! Yes we are – just watch us!!! Multiple fist fights develop, EMS and cops arrive. Seven foursomes are backed-up on the 13th tee box. Video on 6 pm local news.

    This is a very stupid idea.

    • Tim

      Jan 14, 2017 at 12:32 am

      it amazing how many public courses cannot afford Marshals anymore and you run into more and more slow play. I love the starter at our local muni “I am here to observe not enforce” We face the dam five some thing almost everyday of the week now…and now it is 6 some’s some mornings, a foursome tees off and the two some behind them joins up when out of site of starter…and of course a phone call to the pro shop always brings the same reply, we are short handed since minimum wage went up but we will send someone out when we can (17 or 18th hole). Play through you say, none of us speak Korean and they pretend not to under stand what play through means….

  15. Jay

    Jan 13, 2017 at 12:05 pm

    If they have 2 courses, should set a “limit” for each. If you choose to play this course, you will play in 3.5 hours, or be removed from the course at that time. If you want a “normal” round, then play the other course. Flip the courses daily so people can still play both.

  16. GolfnRide

    Jan 13, 2017 at 11:41 am

    This pay by the hour idea only works if it is reversed actually – where you pay less for playing faster. For example, say the green fee is $100, you get charged $100 and if you play in under 4.5 hrs each member of your group gets $15 back after the round and if you play in under 4 hrs you get $20. This wouldn’t be a straight up refund but a credit toward your next round or a gift certificate. This type of system could be good especially for the first hour or 2 of tee times where the of the day is set. You could call it a “speeding ticket” but it would actually have a positive rather than negative connotation. It would require careful monitoring – like EXACT start and finish times and is still not without flaws (like if you get a slow group of members out early that have already paid dues for the season and just don’t care). Could be an interesting experiment..,

    • Biddles

      Jan 13, 2017 at 12:31 pm

      Making up numbers, if a typical round is 5 hours and $100 ($20/hr), under the system in the article if you finish in 4 hours you would pay $80. Under your system, you’d pay $100 and then get $20 back, equaling $80. It’s the same thing effectively. And most importantly, it still suffers from the same fundamental problem… what happens when you get stuck behind slow play? It doesn’t matter if you want to play in under 4 hours when you’re stuck behind a couple groups that are going to come in at 5 and 1/2.

      An open and honest discussion about expected pace of play in the clubhouse prior to the round, and rangers enforcing the policy seems to be the best way to address it. If you want to play on a Sunday afternoon when the course is packed, do not be surprised to be told you -have- to play faster (or pick up) by a ranger when you’re on pace for a 5+ hour round. If you don’t like it, come back when the course is less busy, or don’t come back at all. You can post times on the scorecards, post clocks around the course, but all of that is meaningless if nobody is enforcing it fairly and effectively.

      • GolfnRide

        Jan 13, 2017 at 2:06 pm

        For sure Biddles in that 5 hr round example both ideas work out to be quite similiar. In my opinion they differ by not penalizing the slow players but rewarding timely play. For example should a round take 6 hrs (ugghh- but I have been stuck in many 6 hr rounds) then maybe through no fault of your own group according to the article and at $20/hr they would have to pay $120, or at 5.5 hrs they would still have to pay $110. I also look at it from the operator standpoint, where by my “speeding ticket” example they would not be able to use it on the day it was issued but for another round, so it would be bringing back business. Slow play in my mind is the biggest problem in the game and I have walked off courses mid round, and Im not saying this is the answer – but as of yet I have not seen a good soution anywhere for slow play, which tells me that one doesnt yet exist otherwise it would be a non issue and we wouldn’t even be discussing it. Check out the website of
        coppercreek.ca and under the golf dropdown check out their 4.5 hr round guarantee – where they actually pay you if your round takes more than 4.5 hrs.

  17. Jeb Springfield

    Jan 13, 2017 at 10:26 am

    How about pay kids to be spotters on par 4s and 5s where there is thick rough or foliage. Seems like most average golfers spend 2-5 minutes per hole looking for their ball in the rough, that would speed things up.

  18. Ron

    Jan 13, 2017 at 9:59 am

    As someone said already, slow play needs to be addressed and enforced BY the course. Personally I like the timeclocks every 3 or so holes to let you know whether or not you are on pace. Otherwise groups usually only check their pace after 9 holes. Then you need a marshal driving around enforcing. But marshals need to be able to get to the root of the problem. If there is a slow group on the course, the ten groups behind them are going to be off pace. I’ve been warned before from a novice marshal to “pick up the pace” when we were waiting on every shot…

    Oh and to the article itself, worst idea EVER.

  19. LD

    Jan 13, 2017 at 9:42 am

    As others have stated, this will create more problems than it will solve.
    Hire some rangers and start enforcing the pace of play. I would pay a little more for a course that is well enforced.

  20. Lydell

    Jan 13, 2017 at 9:37 am

    Slow play bothers everyone but the slow golfers, that is the key. If golf courses don’t address what the pace of play is for their course openly, the slow play will never change. I don’t understand why golf courses (I play mostly up and down the east coast) are willing to tick off a majority of their customers instead of addressing the slow play with the normally few offenders. If the desired play is discussed openly at the register, confirmed at the starter and reminded on the course, it will get better. Some courses do have a written PoP goal; it’s written, may be on the card, but THE COURSE doesn’t want to talk about the elephant in the room. On our own, golfers get easily lost in time. Those betting begin to think they are playing at the Masters. The PofP must be stated and communicated. If you loose a few slow foursomes, you will easily make up the revenue with golfers who want to play at your stated time. Just tell golfers what the goal is, and help make it work. The $per hour model won’t speed up the slow golfers I am afraid, and will chase the customers they should want to keep.

    But what is a slow golfer? To a twosome playing behind four foursomes @a 4hr pace, they are slow. The management has to be active to make it work. Some resorts are good at putting together the groups, and keeping everyone moving. Why not more? It’s a business. Non-resort courses have to come up with their own plan, where golfers go elsewhere when their reputation becomes slow.

  21. Ron

    Jan 13, 2017 at 9:32 am

    When I first read this, I thought, “Oh, that’s brilliant.” Then I started to think about the issues others have brought up here. Oh. Yeah. If the group in front of my are glacially slow, not only will that cost me money, but they won’t let me play through, because the wait will cost them money.

    Maybe, instead, one flat rate for 18 holes, with a penalty of $x for every hole you’re behind the group in front of you when you get to 18?

    • Rich Douglas

      Jan 13, 2017 at 2:53 pm

      This is my thinking. You get a small rebate at the end for finishing in position behind the group ahead of you. If your group is behind, you don’t collect.

  22. 3-Jack

    Jan 13, 2017 at 9:04 am

    Stupidest idea I’ve ever heard of. Try it on miniature golf course where it belongs!

  23. NolanMBA

    Jan 13, 2017 at 8:44 am

    Its worth a try!

  24. Steve Rawlinson

    Jan 13, 2017 at 8:43 am

    That is totally ridiculous. Unless there’s big gap in front of my two-ball I’m going to be playing at the pace of the slowest group in front of me. Also, those slow groups are never going to let faster groups play through because the 5 minute wait while they do will be costing them money. It’s in the direct financial interest of the course for play to be slow.

    Other than that it’s a great idea *eyeroll*

    • Josh

      Jan 13, 2017 at 9:19 am

      Great points.

    • Uhit

      Jan 13, 2017 at 6:38 pm

      You can overcome this problem, if you only charge extra money for slow play, for every minute that the group finishes the round later, than the group in front of them.

      Example: 10 minutes starting time rhytm, but leaving the last green 15 minutes behind the group in front (5 minutes too late)… …causes 40$ penalty – on a course with a green fee of 80$
      This way, a slow group could even benefit from letting a faster group, play through…
      🙂
      …to avoid penalyzing a fast group, that was just overtaking a slower one on 17,
      you can either take the whole playing time into account, or inform, that overtaking after hole 15 may not be a good idea, if there is a huge gap between the slow group in front and the next group in front of the slow group.
      😉

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Morning 9: Tiger confirms playing schedule | Player: This caused Tiger’s downfall

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By Ben Alberstadt with Gianni Magliocco.

For comments: [email protected]

Good Thursday morning, golf fans, as day one of the CJ Cup Byron Nelson gets underway.

1. Woods confirms he plans to play 1x monthly, remaining 3 majors

ESPN report…”Woods, appearing on the “Today” show Wednesday morning, said he is still following the calendar he mapped out before the season began. But physical limitations continue to give the 15-time major winner pause.”

  • “He completed the Masters last month but requires a “cold plunge every day, religiously” to get his body going and was “extremely sore” when he left Augusta National. Woods shot a 16-over 304 at the Masters and finished last among the 60 golfers who made the 36-hole cut.”
  • “I have basically the next three months — three majors — and hopefully that works out,” said Woods, who last won a major in 2019.
  • “Up next is the PGA Championship at Valhalla in two weeks. The U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2 begins June 13, and the Open Championship at Royal Troon in Scotland begins July 18. Woods has not played all four majors in a year since 2019.”
Full piece.

2. Tiger on origin of red-and-black Sunday outfit

Ben Morse for CNN…”…speaking on Tuesday’s edition of ‘The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon,’ the 48-year-old said his mother Kultida was key to him wearing the now-iconic red and black combination.”

  • “My mom thought, being a Capricorn, that [red] was my power color, or some BS thing like that, so I end up wearing red and end up winning some golf tournaments,” the 15-time major winner told Fallon. “And then to spite her, I wore blue, and I did not win those tournaments. So Mom is always right.”
  • “Woods’ mother was clearly was onto something as her son would go onto win a record-equaling 82 PGA Tour tournaments.”
Full piece.

3. Gary Player’s take on Tiger’s downfall

Our Matt Vincenzi…”While speaking with KW Golf, golf legend Gary Player said that he believes swing coaches ruined the career of Tiger Woods.”

  • “The US Open at Pebble Beach, he won by 15 shots. You know what that’s like? It’s like running the 100 meters in seven seconds. The next week, he’s having a lesson from a man who, I don’t think, if he played in the Masters, could break 80.”
  • “And then he goes to another guy who couldn’t probably break 85 in the Masters with the pressure, or the British Open or the PGA on the final day. And he’s having lessons from them.”
  • “Why did Tiger do that? He was so good, but I understand he wanted to get better,” Player went on. “If he had just gone along and never changed, he would have won at least 22.. He would’ve gone down as the greatest athlete the world has ever seen.”
  • In 2008, Woods had won 14 majors and was 33 years old. It would take him eleven years to win his 15th at the 2019 Masters.
Full piece.

4. Open winner: I used to hate links golf

Peter Scrivener for the BBC…”However, he did recall his chastening links golf baptism at neighbouring Prestwick, which hosted the inaugural Open in 1860.”

  • “The first time I played links golf I hated it – it ate me to pieces,” said the 37-year-old, who lost all four of his matches as Europe thrashed the United States in the 2006 Palmer Cup.
  • “I kept trying to hit lob wedges around the greens and the weather was bad. I got whipped, lost all of my matches.”
Full piece.

5. Why Tiger’s daughter doesn’t like golf

Our Matt Vincenzi…”While Tiger Woods’ son, Charlie, has certainly inherited his father’s love for golf, his daughter, Sam, has not.”

  • “On Wednesday, Tiger made an appearance on The Today Show with Carson Daly and explained his daughter’s relationship with golf.”
  • “Golf has negative connotations for her. When she was growing up, golf took daddy away from her. I had to pack, I had to leave, and I was gone for weeks. So, there were negative connotations to it.
  • “We developed our own relationship and our own rapport outside of golf. We do things that doesn’t involve golf. Meanwhile, my son and I, everything we do is golf related.”
Full piece.

6. Spieth hits ‘reset button’

Mark Schlabach for ESPN…”PGA Tour star Jordan Spieth isn’t happy that he’s not playing as well as his longtime friend Scottie Scheffler, but he’s hoping to use the world No. 1 golfer’s success as inspiration.”

  • “Spieth, a three-time major championship winner, said he used last week as a reset after a so-so start to the 2024 season. He has three top-10 finishes in 10 starts but had a disqualification and three missed cuts, including at The Players and Masters, in his past seven.”
  • “He is hoping to turn things around, starting at The CJ Cup Bryon Nelson, which tees off Thursday at TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas.”
  • “I think I kind of wanted to hit the reset button this last week and I took more days off than I usually do,” Spieth told reporters Wednesday. “Got a little burned out trying to find stuff. I wanted to take some time off, clear my mind, and then get back to it.
  • “… Kind of looking at this as kind of a restart. I haven’t had the year I wanted to have after getting off to a pretty optimistic start in Hawaii. I feel really good about the work I put in since the weekend into the few days this week, so I believe that I’m really close to some great things.”
Full piece.

7. Photos from the CJ Cup Byron Nelson

  • Check out all of our galleries from this week’s event!
Full Piece.
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Tour Photo Galleries

Photos from the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson

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GolfWRX is on site this week in McKinney, Texas, at the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson (FKA the AT&T Byron Nelson).

Last year at TPC Craig Ranch, Jason Day ended a five-year winless streak. J-Day is in the field again, as are Jordan Spieth, Tom Kim, and Will Zalatoris.

We have our usual assortment of general galleries, WITBs, and pullout albums for your perusal. As always, we’ll continue to add links to additional albums as they make their way to us from the Lone Star State.

Check out links to all our photos below.

General Albums

WITB Albums

Pullout Albums

See what GolfWRXers are saying in the forums.

 

 

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Vincenzi’s 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting preview: International talent to shine

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As anticipation mounts for the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla in a few weeks, the PGA Tour makes a pit stop in McKinney, Texas to play The CJ CUP Byron Nelson. 

Last year was the third time TPC Craig Ranch hosted the Byron Nelson. Prior to 2021, the event was held at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas.

TPC Craig Ranch is a 7,414-yard par-71 that features Bentgrass greens. The event historically plays relatively easy, and that has remained the case in the three editions at TPC Craig Ranch.

The course structure may provide some additional intrigue with the par-3 17th featuring a stadium setup called “Ranch 17” which is reminiscent of the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale. The course also has both long and difficult par-4s mixed with drivable par-4s, which should create some exciting moments.

There are 156 golfers in the field this week, and many stars will be taking the week off to prepare for 2023’s second major championship in a few weeks and a “signature event” at Quail Hollow next week. Notable players in the field include Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Sungjae Im, Stephan Jaeger, Tom Kim, Si Woo Kim, Min Woo Lee, Alex Noren, Adam Scott and Will Zalatoris. 

Past Winners of the AT&T Byron Nelson

  • 2023: Jason Day (-23 at TPC Craig Ranch)
  • 2022: K.H. Lee (-26 at TPC Craig Ranch)
  • 2021: K.H. Lee (-25 at TPC Craig Ranch)
  • 2019: Sung Kang (-23)
  • 2018: Aaron Wise (-23)
  • 2017: Billy Horschel (-12)
  • 2016: Sergio Garcia (-15)
  • 2015: Steven Bowditch (-18)

Key Stats at TPC Craig Ranch

Let’s take a look at five key metrics for TPC Craig Ranch to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes Gained: Approach remains the best measure of current form.

Hot iron play will be at a premium this week. Last year, Jason Day gained 6.4 strokes on approach, which was fourth in the field. In 2022, K.H. Lee was ninth in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, gaining 5.2 strokes. In his 2021 victory, he was second in the field and gained 8.3 strokes on the field in the category.

Strokes Gaines: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Tom Hoge (+1.12)
  2. Keith Mitchell (+1.02)
  3. Henrik Norlander (+0.99)
  4. Ryan Moore (+0.98)
  5. Ben Martin (0.80)

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

Fairways are wide at TPC Craig Ranch.

Distance will certainly be helpful, and there aren’t too many difficult holes on the course. Golfers who put themselves in position off of the tee this week should have a sizable advantage.

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Peter Kuest (+0.93)
  2. Kevin Daugherty (+0.91)
  3. Alejandro Tosti (+0.83)
  4. Keith Mitchell (+0.82)
  5. Kevin Tway (+0.74)

Birdie or Better %

There aren’t many hazards on the course, and all of the par-5s should be reachable in two for the majority of the players in the field. I am anticipating a birdie fest, and this statistic should be helpful in finding the birdie-makers.

Birdie or Better % Over Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Wesley Bryan (31%)
  2. Kelly Kraft (26.2%)
  3. Peter Kuest (25.9%)
  4. Matti Schmid (25.7%
  5. Jimmy Stanger (25.2%)

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)

Many golfers on TOUR have some major putting surface variance in their statistics and prefer Bentgrass to other surfaces.

Bentgrass is common in Texas, and we often see golfers who play well in Texas continue to do so, finding a great feel around the greens.

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) Over Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Maverick McNealy (+0.92)
  2. Aaron Baddeley (+0.87)
  3. Callum Tarren (+0.86)
  4. Harry Hall (+0.81)
  5. Nick Hardy (+0.69)

Course History

This statistic will tell us which players have performed the best at TPC Craig Ranch over the past three seasons.

Course History Over Past 12 Rounds:

  1. Jordan Spieth (+2.69)
  2. K.H. Lee (+2.59)
  3. Seamus Power (+1.84)
  4. Ryan Palmer (+1.76)
  5. Adam Scott (+1.72)

CJ CUP Byron Nelson Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (27%), SG: OTT (24%), Birdie or Better % (18%), Course History (17%) and SG: Putting Bentgrass (16%).

  1. Alex Noren
  2. Adam Scott
  3. Keith Mitchell
  4. Si Woo Kim
  5. Stephen Jaeger
  6. Jordan Spieth
  7. Jhonnatan Vegas
  8. Nate Lashley
  9. Brice Garnett
  10. Tom Hoge

2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson Picks

Byeong Hun An +3000 (DraftKings)

Byeong Hun put together an excellent performance at The Masters, finishing T16, which ties his best ever finish at a major championship (also T16 at 2019 U.S. Open). The South Korean gained 9.16 strokes from tee to green, which ranked 2nd in the field behind only the champion, Scottie Scheffler.

An’s next start at Harbour Town didn’t go as well (67th), but he still had a fantastic ball striking week. The 32-year-old bled strokes both around and on the greens, which was his eventual undoing. In his past three starts, An has gained significant strokes on the field both off the tee and on approach.

Benny had a strong start at last year’s Byron Nelson, finishing in a tie for 14th. With limited challenges on the course, he shouldn’t have to do much scrambling. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 17th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 17th in the field in birdie or better percentage. The putter is up and down per usual, but his ceiling putting weeks with his LAB Golf putter in 2024 are higher than they’ve been in past seasons.

An is starting to become my “white whale” of the PGA Tour, but I believe in his talent and TPC Craig Ranch is a course that should suit his excellent tee to green play.

Mackenzie Hughes +5500 (FanDuel)

Mackenzie Hughes is quietly putting together a very good season. He finished in a tie for 3rd at the Valspar Championship and followed that up with a T14 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open.

In his past 36 rounds in Texas, the Canadian ranks 5th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total. Last year, he finished in a tie for 14th at this event and gained strokes putting and off the tee. Mackenzie played well that week despite being in extremely poor form. He missed two cuts in a row prior to the event, and four consecutive cuts immediately after. His irons were off that week, but in 2024, we’ve seen an improvement in Hughes’ approach game. He now comes to the event playing some steady golf. He’s gained strokes on approach in four of his past five events and is hitting the ball very well from tee to green.

Hughes has two victories on the PGA Tour, both coming in relatively low-scoring affairs (-17 in each). He will need to go a bit deeper to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson but has the type of putter that can keep pace in a birdie barrage.

Seamus Power +7000 (FanDuel)

After struggling over the past few seasons with injuries, Seamus Power seems as if he is rounding back into the form that made him a really consistent player on the PGA Tour.

Power finished T12 in his most recent start at the RBC Heritage, which is encouraging considering it was a “signature event” with a very strong field. For the week, the Irishman gained 4.4 strokes on approach and 2.8 strokes putting, which is the combination he’s used in the past to contend on Tour.

In his three trips to TPC Craig Ranch, Power is yet to finish outside of the top-20, with his best finish being a T9 in 2019. He ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course. The 37-year-old thrives on easy tracks and has won in 2021 (Barbasol Championship) and 2022 (Butterfield Bermuda) on easier layouts with weaker fields.

Power has the game to go extremely low and I believe he can get back in the winner’s circle for the third time in four years.

Chan Kim +10000 (FanDuel)

Chan Kim has been striking the ball beautifully this season and is a proven winner with two wins on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2023 as well as eight career Japan Tour wins.

At last week’s Zurich Classic, Kim and his partner Doug Ghim finished in a tie for 28th. Prior to that, the South Korean T14 at the Valero Texas Open and T6 at the Corales Puntacana Championship. His success this season in Texas as well as he propensity to play his best golf on the PGA Tour’s easier courses make him and ideal fit for TPC Craig Ranch.

2024 has given plenty of longshot winners on the PGA Tour, and with a birdie fest like this, I believe there’s a strong chance we get another this week in McKinney, Texas.

Alejandro Tosti +10000 (FanDuel)

Alejandro Tosti is one of the most polarizing players on the PGA Tour thus far in the 2024 season. His antics can rub many the wrong way, but he’s shown on a few occasions that he has what it takes to compete in Tour events.

This season, Tosti has been elite off the tee. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The Argentine hits it long and straight, which works at any course on earth. He got a taste of contention a few starts ago at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, finishing in a tie for 2nd place.

Tosti had a fantastic year in 2023 on the Korn Ferry Tour, where going low is a prerequisite to success. If this turns to a shootout, which it likely will, the 27-year-old has the ability to set the pace. Tosti will look to become the second Argentine to win in Texas in the past two seasons after Emiliano Grillo emerged victorious at last year’s Charles Schwab Challenge.

C.T. Pan +15000 (FanDuel)

Outside of a T3 at the Mexico Open, C.T. Pan doesn’t have strong results this season in terms of finishes. However, over his past two starts, Pan’s iron play has come alive. At The Players, he gained 6.6 strokes on approach. At the Valero Texas Open, he gained 3.7. At last week’s Zurich Classic, Pan and his partner Kevin Yu finished T28. For a player who can get extremely hot with his scoring clubs, I believe he’s playing better than the results have shown over the past month or so.

Last season, Pan finished 4th at TPC Craig Ranch and was spectacular across all the major stat categories. In his past 36 qualifying rounds, he ranks 16th in Strokes Gained: Total in Texas.

Pan has won on the PGA Tour at the RBC Heritage and is always a player that I believe has what it takes to win on a Sunday if he finds himself in contention.

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