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Bag Chatter’s Masters Picks

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Azaleas in bloom, Magnolia Lane, Green Jackets… these are just a few of a golfer’s favorite things.

For much of the country battling snow, it seemed spring would never arrive. However, now that snow is melting we can focus on The Masters. The Bag Chatter Staff has diligently applied all their golfing insight into their tournament picks.  Will Tiger continue his dominance? Can Augusta National play even tougher than last year?

D. Grannan

Winner: Tiger Woods has been the most dominant player on the planet recently and I don’t foresee anything different come April and Augusta. This golf course is tailor made for Tiger; if his putter cooperates he should win his 5th green jacket. His focus is to peak at he majors and he usually plays very, very well at them.

Runner Up: Who will come in second? That is where it gets a little tricky. I tend to go with players who are running hot into Augusta. Padraig Harrington is one of those players. Quoted as saying he peaks in the 3rd week of playing 3 weeks in a row, Augusta happens to be the third week in a row. Aside from a poor shot on the final hole at the Zurich, Harrington looked spot on for the week and should be in good form for Augusta. Another player who is playing very well right now is Andres Romero. Fresh off of his first PGA tour victory, and was in contention at last years Open until his late round collapse, could be poised to make a run.

Dark Horse: My dark horse is Stuart Appleby. He has had a solid year this year but has just failed to put it all together. Maybe he can manage to do that at Augusta.

Final Score: Winning score will be even to 2 over par. Last year, Zach Johnson won with a score of one over par. They have made some slight adjustments to the course, and with continued improvement on the equipment front, I see even to 2 over par winning the tournament.

A. Raehtz

Winner: I just can’t select anyone but Tiger Woods right now. He is definitely on a hot streak, and there are few courses more perfect for his game than Augusta. Let’s be honest, there are two tournaments that Tiger sets his schedule around: The Masters and The Open.

Runner Up: I think that Phil Mickelson has what it takes to win, but Tiger will hold him off down the stretch. There has been a little inconsistency with Phil as of late, and I think that might be trouble for him on Sunday.

Dark Horse: Freddie Couples is going to do well this year at Augusta. He has already proven that he can win, and he posted a 29 on his second nine Saturday at the Shell Houston Open. This guy knows how to go low, and his back seems to be doing well for the time being. I see him in the top ten and possibly making a run at the leaders.

Final Score: I see something around -5 being the winning score. The course should be hard and fast, and we will get a look at what they tournament committee had in mind with the changes.

T. Schoch

Winner: How can you pick against Tiger? He’s on such a roaring tear.

Runner Up: Instead of a Runner-up, I’ll pick Contenders down the stretch: Phil may or may not be there. If he starts well, I think he’ll be in the top five. I don’t see him winning when Tiger is in top form. Phil’s got the talent, but perhaps not the psychology. So, watch Geoff Oglivy. He’s red-hot, confident, and unflappable.

Dark Horse: I’m going with Steve Stricker. He’s a low-putt machine and if he can light his own fire, he’ll contend. Also, another dark horse waaay back in the stable might be Hunter Mahan. He didn’t play well at Shell, but man, he can go low. And if you’re going to cage a tiger, you need a hunter.

Final Score: I’ll take a stab at -13.

K. Vakamudi

Winner: Every thread of common sense I have wants to pick Tiger Woods. However, I can’t do it. Tiger began the year with a red hot putter – when it cooled just slightly he was dealt his first loss in six months. I just can’t see his incredible putting continuing. My pick is Geoff Ogilvy. Riding momentum of a great win at the CA Championship and a solid weekend finish in Houston, I see this as being the perfect opportunity for Ogilvy to validate his U.S. Open win.

Runner Up: This is where I think Tiger will finish. His record is perfect after holding the 54 hole lead, but not so great when coming from behind. I see Tiger finishing in second much like the U.S. Open.

Dark Horse: Aaron Baddeley, another young Australian is coming into form and has all the tools to win a major. He has ample length, excellent touch around the greens, and is a very consistent putter. Yes, I know no Australian has ever won The Masters, but no dome team had ever won the Super Bowl until the St. Louis Rams proved it could be done.

Final Score: With great conditions in the forecast until Saturday I can see the score going a little lower than last year’s massacre. My prediction is a winner at -6.

M. Anderson

Winner: Choosing anybody but Tiger is always going to be long odds. Augusta is all about the short game and Tiger has the best in the business. Few can match him with a wedge in hand and nobody but nobody drains clutch putts like he does.

Runner Up: Justin Rose. He really established himself last year winning the European Order of Merit and has the game to do well around Augusta. He led after the first round last year and was only one shot off the lead with 2 holes to go before a poor drive and an unlucky bounce knocked him out of contention. Philly Mick should do well but I’m not sure that the mental side of his game is at its strongest right now.

Dark Horse: Possibly a bit of euro bias but I pick Sergio. He’s just too talented to not do well but, like always, it depends on his putting. He appears to be carrying a little bit of damaged confidence after the playoff at The Open but if he gets the flat stick going AND keeps it together on a Sunday then maybe we can finally see him win a major. Admittedly that a pretty big IF and AND but he can’t keep falling at the last hurdle, can he?

Final Score: -4. Last year the scores were at the mercy of the conditions when in freezing conditions the third round became ‘the cold day in hell’. While the same is unlikely to happen this year, the likelihood of a some rain and wind means that the teeth of Augusta are going to be just that little bit sharper than they otherwise would be and keep the score a little closer to even par.

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5 Things we Learned Saturday at the U.S. Women’s Open

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Despite Colin Jost being so over the expression That was not on my bingo card, so much of what happened on Saturday at Riviera was precisely defined by that 2026 catch-phrase. Seasoned professionals faltered while young amateurs soared. Leaders posted par rounds while afterthoughts amassed birdie after day-three birdie. What transpired set up the potential for the best duels in USWO history. In the mixing bowl are the world’s number one, former champions, former contenders, and a host of the game’s top names.

Over the first three days, Riviera has played more like a golden-age gem than it ever has in modern times. Players are using greenside slopes and fairway cambres to propel the ball into proper position. Green speeds are manageable, yet daunting from the absolute worst place (read: above) in relation to the hole location. Nothing is unfair (fingers crossed for the same in two weeks on Long Island) and everything is earned.

Could it be Nelly, or Charley, or Sei Young or In-gee? How about Gaby or Jennifer, Nasa or Ruoning? All have contended before in the U.S. Women’s Open, but only In-gee Chun has raised the Semple trophy in triumph. A Hollywood sound stage is set for a dramatic finish, but prior to the conclusion, let’s revisit the five things that we learned on Saturday at the U.S. Women’s Open.

Saturday Thing One: Nelly Korda is tied at the top

If it were anyone else, after consecutive rounds of 67, the dam would break. That’s not the case with Korda. If anything, we expect that she might go lower on Sunday, to the tune of 65, and walk off with her first U.S. Women’s Open title.

We know that ruling bodies and host clubs adore name champions. They salute all victors, but the success of a current top golfer, a media darling, or a proven veteran serves to legitimate and venerate the event and the venue. The USGA and Riviera would be thrilled to have Nelly Korda as a champion.

What will propel the three-time major titleist to a fourth grand slam victory? Another 67, for starters. Reaching double-digits under par would place the Floridian in a marvelous space. It would require Sei Young to keep pace, and would demand that all the trailers post 66 or better.

Saturday Thing Two: How about those amateurs?

1  2  3  5  6  10  13  16  17  18

Those are the holes that Maria Jose Marin (68), Aphrodite Deng (68), and Asterisk Talley (66) birdied on Saturday. That’s a minus-ten ringer score for the trio. As we sleep one more sleep before the final round, consider that Marin and Deng are four strokes back of the leaders, while Talley is five shots behind. To have three amateur golfers within striking distance of the top ladder rung is heady stuff. Can Talley possibly follow up her minus-five with another one on Sunday? Even that might not be enough. How about Marin and Deng. Can they drop a mid-60s scorecard on the professionals, and throw a scare into them? Our intuition suggests no on both counts, but the potential for a top-five amateur finish is certainly in the cards.

Saturday Thing Three: the Korean Kontingent

Sei Young Kim and In-gee Chun would win any partner event this week, given their current form. Kim will tee off with Nelly Korda in the last game, and she will have a front-row seat to Chun’s performance, as In-gee will play in the game just ahead. Of the two, Sei Young appeared to have less control over her shots, as a substantial number of spproach shots turned inordinately left.. Time and again, her short game bailed her out of the bogeytown prison, although she did miss a fair number of short putts. Dumbo (aka Chun) seemed more in control from tee to green, but will need to channel her early-2020s self to insert herself into the narrative.

Saturday Thing Four: Kupcho’s Komeback

It’s not like she went very far away, but Jennifer Kupcho’s 69 on day three had to be gratifying. The Colorado native and Wake Forest alumna was in fine Friday position to make a statement and expand her lead. She had posted 66 on Thursday, but fell off form on day two with 73. There were 67s and 68s at Riviera  that day, but Kupcho’s birdie production fell from seven to two, as her bogey line increased from two to four. She reduced the bogey output on Saturday, and redoubled birdies to four. She finds herself precisely one shot off the lead, in a tie with In-gee Chun, her Sunday walkabout mate.

What will Kupcho need on day four, to provide an opportunity for victory? Fairways and greens always help, but that electric, day-one start of birdies on holes one, two, and three will be massive. Stay on the proper side of the green-center bunker on six, and survive the dautning holes. Kupcho has made bogey on 13 and 15 twice in three days. Should she come to the final stretch in a place of power or hope, those two holes will test her worth and mettle. Kupcho has also played the closing triumvirate of holes in par or better, each of the three days. That sort of clutch-time performance will stand her well on day four.

Saturday Thing Five: How will it all transpire?

No one expects that both of the top two will struggle on Sunday. One of them will shoot 68, to reach nine-under par. That means that the trailers will have to light up the western sky with fireworks, to keep pace. There is a golfer with nine, top-ten finishes in major championships, who has never won a major. That golfer is Nasa Hataoka, and she is poised to break through and make a victory out of her tenth, top ten finish at a major. Hataoka finished T2 and T4 in this event in, respectively, 2021 and 2023. A missed cut in 2025 was a shock to the system, but the Japanese golfer will bounce back in style and claim the title.

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5 Things we Learned: Friday at the U.S. Women’s Open

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Dumbo flies again! There is certainly a half-generation of golf fans without the slightest idea of how well In-gee Chun, aka Dumbo, can golf her ball. The Korean was the It Girl from 2015 to 2018. She won three LPGA events, with two being major championships. She returned to Korea to cure her homesickness, but made the occasional foray back to the Americas. In 2022, she captured a fourth LPGA title and, guess what? It was a third, unique major title.

The halfway cut line was set at four over par. Those at plus-five and beyond had their stay in Tinseltown cut short, at least when it comes to working rounds of golf. Among the 87 who fell on the high side of the cut line, Lydia Ko stood out as the biggest name. Others given a two-day furlough were Lilia Vu, Megha Ganne, Chizzy Iwai, and Leona Maguire. Making the cut on the number are Lottie Woad, Celine Boutier, Mao Saigo, and amateur Asterisk Talley. If you follow world football, imagine the feeling of relegation on a weekly basis. That’s the 36-hole cut in professional golf.

We learned five things on Friday at Riviera Country Club, and we’d love to share them with you. Find a comfy place and brighten the screen on your device. It’s time for Five Things We Learned on day two at the US Women’s Open.

Part One: the biggest movers

A golfer’s feel appears or slips away overnight. Although Saturday is known collectively as Moving Day, it doesn’t come with as sudden and final a feeling as Friday. Move the wrong way on Friday and you’re down the road. Improve in the proper direction and you save your week. Both Mao Saigo and Rio Takeda opened with plus-five rounds of 76, then signed for 70 on day two, and made the cut on the number.

Moving the other way were Stephanie Kyriacou (70-78) and Ina Yoon (68-79). Their respective eight- and eleven-shot declines propelled them from title contention to tournament departure. Minjee Lee and Minji Kang (seven shots higher) along with Rose Zhang (five shots) made the cut, but saw their opportunity for victory take a serious body shot.

Part Two: the leaders

Allison Lee and Ruoning Yin took the conservative path to the 36-hole medal. Lee posted four birdies and a bogey for a total of 68 on day two. Yin had two birdies and sixteen pars for her second consecutive card of 69. Their 138 places them one shot clear of the aforementioned Dumbo Chun, who followed an opening 71 with 68. First-round leader Jennifer Kupcho added seven shots to her total, from an opening-day 66 to a follow-up 73, yet remained within the inner circle of leaders at -3, tied with Chun and four others. Four more golfers sit at minus-two, two shots behind the top duo. An even dozen of golfers sits within two shots of the lead.

The day’s biggest move of gravitas came from Nelly Korda. After a disappointing 73 on Thursday, the world number one improved six shots, thanks to a five-birdie round of 67. Korda slid inside the top ten with her recovery, and certainly reclaimed her place as most frightening chaser at Riviera. No one is likely to shoot in the low 60s at Riviera, but Korda just might post a mid-sixties score on Saturday, to seize the lead on Sunday morning.

Part Three: Ams verse Champs

Five current amateur golfers were among the 68 golfers to reach the weekend. Kiara Romero posted the best non-pro score on Friday, a one-under 70, to move from plus-two to plus-one figures. She is joined there by Aphrodite Deng, who reversed those numbers for her two rounds. Maria Jose Marin (143), Farah O’Keefe (145), and Asteriks Talley (146) joined the #WeDidIt brigade to earn a spot for the final two rounds.

Six former US Open champions, led by In-gee Chun(2015), also punched a ticket for round three. Allison Corpuz (2023), Maja Stark (2025), Ariya Jutanugarn (2018), A Lim Kim (2020), and Minjee Lee (2022) preserved their dream of a second US Open trophy for the mantle. Nineteen amateurs failed to earn a post for the final 36-holes, while five former champions joined them on the sidelines. Yuka Saso, twice a winner in this event in the past half-decade, missed the cut by five shots. 24 amateurs against eleven former titleists suggests that it is easier for the young to qualify, but harder for them to find success.

Part Four: the golf course

Scoring went up by .6 shots per player, from round one to round two. Statistically speaking, it became harder to make the cut as the day wore on. Birdies dropped by 50, while pars remained constant. Both bogeys and doubles increased markedly. The first and the sixth holes played under par on the front nine, while the second and ninth were nearly tied for most difficult traces on the road to the turn.

Coming home, holes ten, twelve, fifteen, and eighteen played as an impregnable quadrilateral. Odds are, you gave a shot back on each of them. Despite number seventeen’s accessibility for birdie, no one got out of the back nine alive. If conditions continue toward the extreme, Riviera will extract a pound of flesh from the contenders over the weekend.

Part Five: what to expect

From my vantage point, the tee times to watch are the 4:55 EST and the 5:05 slots. Nelly Korda pegs her ball in the sixth-last pairing with Sora Kamiya. The little-known Kamiya will get an up close and personal look at the crowds that follow the best in the world. Korda will need to ignore Kamiya’s expected struggles and golf her own ball. Ten minutes later, Lauren Coughlin begins play with Casandra Alexander at her side. It’s a similar situation, with the experienced Coughlin alongside an unseasoned partner.

Both Sei Yong Kim and Gaby Lopez have turned in strong performances, and their 5:15 pairing might produce some explosive numbers. From back in the pack, the tasty duo of Brooke Henderson and Jeeno Thitikul at 4:20, might see double digits in birdies. The unexpected at unknown Riviera is likely, so your guess is as good as mine.

 

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5 Things we Learned: Thursday at the U.S.. Women’s Open

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Gone are the days when the U.S. Women’s Open was held at Scenic Hills or Churchill Valley. Fine courses that they are (or were, as Churchill Valley went bankrupt a decade ago) there is something to be said for the venue. Not all Women’s Open playings need to take place on Men’s Open venues, but some should. This week in Los Angeles, the Women’s Open visits Riviera Country Club for the first time. Down the road, we will visit Inverness, Oakmont, Interlachen, Oak Hill, Chicago Golf, and Merion. That is quite the murderer’s row (1927 Yankees reference) of golf clubs.

What can we expect from the 2026 tournament? Greatness and uncertainty. Unlike the PGA Tour, which visits Riviera each February, the LPGA does not, so the women will not have nearly the body of work over the George C. Thomas layout. Maybe that’s a good thing. Maybe they’ll play #10 smarter than the men do. Maybe they’ll figure some things out that their male counterparts can not. For today, we’ll try to find five things to learn, and share them with you.

First, this ain’t your momma’s U.S. Open course

How do we know? Well, so far, only one previous champion currently sits inside the top thirty. That would be Minjee Lee, the 2022 winner at Southern (NC) Pines. Lee made par on her first nine holes, the inward side at Riviera. She dropped birdie putts on the first and ninth holes (ten and eighteen for her day) and tallied another seven pars, for 69. She sits three shots off Jennifer Kupcho’s opening 66. Don’t worry about Kupcho; we’ll get to her. After Lee, defending champion Maja Stark ranks T30 at even par, joined by three other, former winners.

What Minjee did, is the sort of thing that wins U.S. Open titles. She guided her ship safely past swells, and made a move when the waters calmed. The fewer the bogeys, the more likely Minjee figures in the outcome on Sunday evening in Pacific Palisades. Off the tee, Lee was unmatched. She hit 14 of 14 fairways. Her iron play was a bit loose in comparison. She putted for birdie on 12 of 18 holes, which meant that her recovery short game was on point. Lee was ten yards longer on measured driving holes than the field average, and was below the field average (a good thing) in putting.

Second, the amateurs beat a loud drum

Three of the world’s top amateur golfer posted 70, placing them four off the lead, in a tie for 14th place. Canada’s Aphrodite Deng, Spain’s Paula Francisco Llaño, and Colombia’s Maria José Marin, showed the professional world that their game is strong. Both Deng and Francisco Llaño collected five birdies on the day. Should they match that output on day two, and minimize the foozles, they’ll be the topic of conversation on Saturday morning. Marin, the 2026 Augusta National Women’s Amateur champion and an NCAA team semifinalist last week, played a game similar to Minjee Lee: few mistakes and few taken risks.

The last amateur to post the low medal score for 72 holes was Jenny Chuasiriporn in 1998. She lost a playoff to Se Ri Pak, who matched her plus-six effort at Blackwolf Run. The last amateur to win the U.S. Women’s Open was Catherine Lacoste in 1967. The amateurs are stronger than they’ve ever been, but the professionals have not allowed them to close the gap. A victory by one of the college set would be a cannon shot heard round the world. Could it happen? Absolutely. Is it likely? Not at all.

Third, let’s talk Kupcho

Jennifer Kupcho won the inaugural Augusta National Women’s Amateur. She won three times on tour in 2022, including the Chevron, a major title. She won a fourth event in 2025, but has not established the winning credentials projected on her after 2022’s marvelous coming-out.

Kupcho hails from Colorado, and spent four years in the Carolina Piedmont, at Wake Forest Universtiy. Neither of those locales cries out I’ll be at home at Riviera, but here we are, after a seven-birdie performance. Kupcho posted birdie on each of her first three holes, and added four more (against two bogeys) to assume a one-shot advantage over Korea’s Sei Young Kim.

Kupcho drove the ball decently, approached moderately well, but putted lights out on Thursday. Her 26 putts were tied for best in show on day one. There might just be something about the putting surfaces at Riviera that aligns with Kupcho’s vibe. If that is the case, just get the ball on the green, anywhere, and let the flatstick do the lifting.

Fourth, how young is Sei Young?

Sei (pronounced “So”) Young Kim won a dozen times from 2015 to 2020. She took time off from winning until 2025, shen she captured a thirteenth LPGA title. Like Kupcho, Kim has hardware from one major event, the 2020 Women’s PGA Championship. How to explain the five years away from victory? No idea. When Sei Young was in contention during the prime of her career, the outcome was a foregone conclusion.

What to expect over the next three days at Riviera? Anyone’s guess. It might be the 2015-2020 Sei Young, or it could be the 2021-2025 version. Kim began her day with birdies at 10 and 11, then settled into a stretch of pars before her solitary bogey at the 4th (her 13th) hole. Kim regained her composure and reeled in three birdies to close the front nine. Her four-under performance trails Kupcho alone, and there is a real chance that Sei Young will produce a second score in the 60s and take a bit of control of the tournament.

Fifth, we’re giddy for Gaby

Although I cannot place my finger on why, it seems that each year, Gaby Lopez pops up on the U.S. Open leaderboard. She hasn’t figure out how to remain in contention, but here we are, in 2026, and Lopez is once again in the mix. The three-time champion on the LPGA circuit had a stunning first nine holes, turning in minus-five. She reached six deep at her tenth hole, but then gave three shots back coming home. Which Gaby will show up on Friday, and for how long? If back-nine Gaby can somehow channel front-nine Gaby, all outcomes are within reach. If the loose play continues, Lopez’ wiki page will add one more T41 to her majors column.

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