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6 picks to win the U.S. Open… and $1 million, special prizes

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It’s finally U.S. Open week, and even if Chambers Bay’s early reviews aren’t great, I’m still excited!

But let’s get away from the bellyaching and focus on this: DraftKings is putting forth an insanely lucrative $2.5 MILLION CONTEST for the year’s second major. As was the case with the Masters, the winner of this week’s contest will win $1 million. Yes, $1 MILLION, with $2.5 million worth of prizes being awarded.

Enter the $2.5 million contest here!

Going down the line, it’s $100,000 for second place, $50,000 for third, and you’re guaranteed at least $10,000 if you’re one of the top-10 finishers. The entry fee is upped to $20 this week, but these are exorbitant potential winnings.

GolfWRX is getting in on the giving as well. As was the case a few weeks ago, we are offering up prizes of our own.

The rules are simple: click the link in this article, make a deposit and you are part of the pool for our contest! Here are the wonderful potential prizes (and here’s the link again):

1st Place: Adams Blue Driver, 3 Wood and 3 Hybrid (Regular-Flex Shafts)

DraftKingsAdamsBlue

2nd Place: Callaway Mack Daddy 2 PM Grind Wedge (60-degrees, RH)

DraftKingsMackPM

3rd Place: John Daly’s House of Forged Tour Spec “Great White Shaft” Long Drive Shaft

HouseOfForgedDraftKingsExciting week, huh? Anyway, onto my analysis.
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Click to enter the $2.5 million contest!!

The Course

As I said, not the most resoundingly positive reviews for Chambers Bay thus far. The course is already extremely firm and fast, and media members appear worried that the layout might get out of control.

ChambersBayCourse

I don’t know; I think the doom and gloom here is a bit off base. Mike Davis has been a legend at creating brutal but fair setups since taking over that part in 2006. He also saw what this course is like when it’s too baked out (as was the case at the 2010 U.S. Amateur) and admitted he preferred not to see it that out of control again.

I expect this course to be quite firm and fast (rain is barely in the forecast, and Chambers drains impeccably anyway), but I’m not counting on this setup becoming a race track.

Anyway, with virtually no playing record at Chambers Bay, my course breakdown will be a little different. We have one event (the 2010 U.S. Amateur) and even if I was willing to use a sample size that small as a predictor (I’m not), the course underwent a sizable makeover on a couple of holes since 2010, and we won’t get the Amateur conditions again either.

So, what can we do? We just have to look at what everyone else is saying and see if we agree.

From what players and media have put forth, there seems to be at least a semi-consensus: This course favors long, high-ball hitters with great short games. (That thinking is most evident here).

It appears that with the wide fairways, driving is getting diminished, and with the greens being rough surfaces, putting is also being put down.

That’s the gist. As for my thoughts, I actually think driving will still be pretty important. Yes, these fairways are wide, but as Jordan Spieth noted, if you miss them, you’re in big trouble. There’s also a lot of sloping on some of these fairways that can kick balls forward (which really enables long hitters) if hit in the right spot, and there’s a lot of angling strategy for hitting it in the correct part of the fairway.

I don’t think putting will be that important but more so than people are letting on. I’m also a little dubious on the high-ball hitter thing.

Honestly, it’s what you choose to believe. I feel from looking at this course extensively that every part of the game at Chambers Bay is incredibly important, except for putting, which still isn’t minute. I would also look for long hitters, and high ball hitters to a far lesser extent.

Six-Man Roster (Last Week: 401.5 points, 1,665th of 28,807, WON $10!!!)

  • Jordan Spieth, $12,600
  • Matt Kuchar, $8,800
  • Patrick Reed, $8,500
  • Kevin Na, $7,100
  • Tony Finau, $6,400
  • Roberto Castro, $5,900

Spieth

I actually had a choice between Spieth and McIlroy at the top, I picked the former because Rory freely admits he struggles on a firm and fast layout like we have this week at Chambers Bay. Until he can prove otherwise, Rory isn’t getting my money at this type of setup.

Kuchar has had a pretty “meh” past few months, with just one top-10 in his past 11 starts. He’s still getting good finishes, just not what one would expect from him. I think he breaks out of this quasi-slump soon, and considering he excels in pretty much all parts of the game, Chambers doesn’t have much it can trip him up with.

The problem Reed may have this week is he’s not a very accurate driver, but he’s so gritty and his short game is so good that I’ll let it slide. He also can be very precise with his approaches when he’s on. Reed has a great U.S. Open mentality, he’s really right on the brink of some great play and I know he’s only been in a handful of majors so far, but it feels like about time for him to finally contend. Oh, and that 68 in the 2010 U.S. Am at Chambers Bay doesn’t hurt either.

I’m not sure how much Na fits with this layout (short hitter and not particularly accurate driving either), but he just posts great finish after great finish, EIGHT STRAIGHT TOP-20S IN STROKE PLAY EVENTS. Na actually profiles worse at Augusta (Chambers Bay rewards his creativity a little more) but has two T12s there, so poor course fit doesn’t faze me with him.

This is Finau’s first major, but I don’t expect him to be overwhelmed. This course should really appeal to him. He can really bomb it down there on a lot of these holes, and he’s a solid iron player, too. If he just reigns in his accuracy a little, this could be a great initial experience for him in the Big Four.

As for Castro, he is a total wildcard. He only has conditional PGA Tour status, he’s played poorly of late and he’s missed both his cuts at the U.S. Open. He did shoot 66 to finish last week in Memphis, though, and I see him as a guy who could surprise contend in a major at some point. Why not this week?

Random roster via two non-golf fans (Last Week: 157 points, 28,232nd of 28,807)

  • Rory McIlroy, $13,000
  • Jimmy Walker, $9,100
  • Zach Johnson, $7,600
  • Luke Donald, $7,400
  • Charl Schwartzel, $7,300
  • Ollie Schniederjans, $5,400

Here is the reasoning they chose for each in order…

ZachJohnson

Zach Johnson: No explanation needed if you read this column regularly. (Hint: Iowa)

Luke Donald: Also pretty standard fare, as Donald is a Northwestern alum and so are these two.

Charl Schwartzel These guys love the name. Not sure I see how this is a great name myself, but whatever.

Rory McIlroy Because he’s good. Well that’s boring…

Ollie Schniederjans Also because of that name. This is more respectable, Ollie’s last name is legitimately pretty funny/awesome.

Jimmy Walker The duo only had $9,100 left and this was the only player at that exact price to hit $50,000. Always a good reason. 

Alternate Six-Man Roster (Last Week: 299 points, 13,781st of 28,807)

  • Rickie Fowler, $10,800
  • Henrik Stenson, $10,000
  • Jimmy Walker, $9,100
  • Marc Leishman, $7,000
  • Kevin Kisner, $7,000
  • Lucas Glover, $6,000
USGA/Hunter Martin

USGA/Hunter Martin

Fowler somehow missed the cut on me at the Memorial, but I don’t hold grudges. Not sure why, but it seems like this course could really fit Fowler’s eyes. He’s also a great short game player, which is helpful if his ball striking falters at any point.

Stenson just hasn’t had much going since he got sick right before and during Masters week. He should be back at any moment now, though, and he’s still hungry for a first major. Walker’s driving accuracy woes are problematic, but he makes up for it with how far he hits it, along with immaculate iron play and putting.

Leishman quietly put together a very solid stretch (two top-10s, five top-30s in six starts) after the awful scare with his wife. I’m trusting him on his form coming into this event.

Kisner’s run has not been quiet, but ditto the reasoning I gave to Leishman. I don’t know that his back is fine, but I’m going to take the risk here.

Yes, I think we are diminishing putting too much this week. That being said, it still won’t be that important and that is big for Glover, who is 202nd — DEAD LAST — in Strokes Gained Putting in 2015. He’s made a lot of cuts of late and is striping the ball, it just seems that if the role of the putter could be diminished he might contend. This is the perfect week to test that out, because if the flatstick doesn’t kill him, man does this course look good for his game (long, accurate driver, precise approach player).

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Enter the $2.5 million contest here!

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Kevin's fascination with the game goes back as long as he can remember. He has written about the sport on the junior, college and professional levels and hopes to cover its proceedings in some capacity for as long as possible. His main area of expertise is the PGA Tour, which is his primary focus for GolfWRX. Kevin is currently a student at Northwestern University, but he will be out into the workforce soon enough. You can find his golf tidbits and other sports-related babble on Twitter @KevinCasey19. GolfWRX Writer of the Month: September 2014

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. George

    Jun 23, 2015 at 11:18 am

    Great article great picks:

    Here are my picks for the million dollar one: Won $41

    Paul Casey 7.2% T39 (+6)
    72 – 69 – 73 – 72 – 286
    Final
    47 PAR, 10 BIR, 14 BOG, 1 DBB, 1 31st-40th 47.5
    J.B. Holmes 6.0% T27 (+5)
    72 – 66 – 71 – 76 – 285
    Final
    34 PAR, 15 BIR, 2 EAG, 18 BOG, 3 DBB, 1 26th-30th, 1 BIR3+ 72
    Hideki Matsuyama 28.5% T18 (+3)
    70 – 71 – 72 – 70 – 283
    Final
    47 PAR, 13 BIR, 8 BOG, 4 DBB, 1 16th-20th 59.5
    Patrick Reed 14.1% T14 (+2)
    66 – 69 – 76 – 71 – 282
    Final
    34 PAR, 17 BIR, 2 EAG, 15 BOG, 4 DBB, 1 11th-15th 78.5
    Brandt Snedeker 15.0% 8 (-1)
    69 – 72 – 70 – 68 – 279
    Final
    48 PAR, 13 BIR, 10 BOG, 1 DBB, 1 8th, 1 BIR3+ 69
    Jimmy Walker 15.3% T58 (+12)
    72 – 73 – 72 – 75 – 292
    Final
    39 PAR, 12 BIR, 18 BOG, 3 DBB 43.5

  2. Gus

    Jun 17, 2015 at 8:19 pm

    i think matsuyama can do this, he’s been doing well pretty much all year and it takes a good striker and seriously good iron player to handle this course. He’s not a bomber but he gets it out there. Justin Rose also fits this bill. Also, Jim Furyk. He does not hit it long but he’s accurate as all hell, and if he places the ball in the right spot he can get some kick from it to help his distance, his short game is probably top 10 on tour and if he gets the flatstick going like he did at RBC he will put up some insane scores.

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Equipment

Spotted: Putter roundup from the 2024 3M Open

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Every week we spot some really cool and custom putters out on the putting green and in tour players’ bags. This week is no slouch with some really interesting and beautiful putters being tested. Let’s take a look at some of the standouts we found.

Tyler Duncan: Scotty Cameron Phantom T-11.5 

The Phantom 11 is a pretty wild putter by Scotty’s standards with a multi-material design that boosts MOI for more forgiveness. Duncan’s T-11.5. takes the stock model and moves the shaft to the center of the putter head. We don’t mean a center shafted version, but the shaft is installed in the center, behind the face as well. We don’t have any official details on this T-11.5 but it looks like that setup should create a putter where the face points towards the hole or target, similar to a L.A.B. putter.

Zac Blair: Scotty Cameron 009.M Cameron & Co. “Longneck”

Blair might be in possession of the largest Scotty collection on tour! It seems like every week he has something new, and flat-out gorgeous, that he is trying out. I have seen a lot of 009.M putters over the years, but never one with a long plumbers neck on it. This 009 is a Masterful that utilizes additional CNC machine work to reduce the amount of hand polishing needed to complete the putter. The long, or tall, neck on the putter usually is used to reduce the amount of toe hang and make the putter more face balanced. The face contains a very shallow milling while the sole features a tour truck, tour only, diamonds, and the rare Circle L stamp. The Circle L was made for Scotty’s close friends who lost matches or games and was meant to poke a little fun at their misfortune.

Paul Barjon: PXG Prototype

There are a lot of putters out there that become so widely used and popular that other manufacturers will borrow some of the design cues. The Spider is one of those putters and it looks like PXG has made a prototype putter for Barjon that has some similar features. This proto has a tapered mallet shape with twin wings that come out from either side of the rear. Twin movable weights sit in each wing on the sole and the sole features a plate that is bolted in place at the corners. The top contains a single siteline and the face uses PXG’s advanced pyramid face structure.

Odyssey Ai-One Cruiser Broomstick #7

More and more long, counterbalanced, and alternative putters seem to be showing up recently. The long, or broomstick, putter is making a comeback and more than a few players have joined Adam Scott in using that style. Odyssey has thrown its hat in the broomstick arena with a new Ai-One Cruiser model. The head shape is the very familiar #7 model, but with the shaft going into the center of the club head. An Ai-One face is there to help keep ball speed consistent on off-center hits and three white lines are on top for framing ball and aligning the putter.

TaylorMade Spider Tour S Broomstick

Another option in the long putter is TaylorMade’s Spider Tour S broomstick that we saw around the putting green. The head looks to be a little larger than the standard Tour S and that makes sense with the broomstick-style putters demanding heads near or over 400g. A TPU Pure Roll insert is installed in the face and the shaft is a more traditional double-bend design, just much longer! There isn’t the True Path alignment on top, just a full darker grey finish with a single siteline. Two moveable weights are out in the wings of the putter to dial in the specific weight a player might want.

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Tour Photo Galleries

Photos from the 2024 3M Open

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GolfWRX is on site this week at TPC Twin Cities for the 2024 3M Open for the penultimate event of the PGA Tour’s regular season.

The photos are flying in from Blaine, Minnesota. We’ve already assembled general galleries and a fresh Tony Finau WITB.

Check back throughout the week for more photos!

General Albums

WITB Albums

Pullout Albums 

See what GolfWRXers are saying in the forums.

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Equipment

Collin Morikawa’s pre-Open equipment adjustments

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Editor’s note: This is an excerpt from a piece our Andrew Tursky originally wrote for PGATour.com’s Equipment Report. Head over there for the full article.

Three years later, Morikawa has once again changed his irons to deal with the unique Scottish turf.

Morikawa has been using TaylorMade P730 blade short irons (7-PW), P7MC mid irons (5-6) and a TaylorMade “Proto” 4-iron with a cavity-back construction this year.

However, he switched into a new set of TaylorMade P7CB irons (5-PW) before finishing T4 at last week’s Genesis Scottish Open, to go along with his familiar “Proto” 4-iron. TaylorMade’s P7CB irons are the finalized versions of the “Proto” 4-iron that Morikawa has been using, except they remain unreleased to retail.

According to TaylorMade, Morikawa switched into a full set of the new P7CB irons to aid with turf interaction, just like he did prior to his 2021 Open victory.

Morikawa is honing in on his winning formula overseas.

Morikawa also has switched from his usual TaylorMade Qi10 5-wood to a lower-launching TaylorMade P790 3-iron equipped with a Project X HZRDUS 105 Hybrid shaft. The loft of the club has been bent down to 19 degrees.

TaylorMade says that Morikawa switched into the new driving iron In order to “have an option to hit something lower that will roll out in the fairways.”

Head over to PGATour.com for the full article.

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