Opinion & Analysis

Orlando Follies: A history of the PGAM Show

Published

9 years ago

Jan 29, 2015

First, a disclaimer. After my previous story a comment appeared under the name Barney Adams that essentially said cut the crap with the Mickey Mouse criticism. While I appreciate the person’s support it wasn’t posted by me; I have plenty of scars from being a visible person over the years. I’ve been praised and ripped — it’s the norm. If my wife even considered the thought that there were two of me, the shock would be overwhelming.

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For those of you who have never attended the PGA Merchandise Show, think of it as golfer nirvana. The Orlando Convention Center, which is more than 2 million square feet, displays everything you could think of that is associated with the game — clubs to clothes and in this era, electronics and computer-aided analysis.

For all the passionate golfers out there, it doesn’t get any better and that doesn’t count the dozens of seminars available to PGA professionals. Today, the Show starts off with Demo Day, which is outdoors and open to the public, and it is followed by three days of industry-only attendance inside the convention center that is truly a golf spectacle.

The Show started in 1954 (where were you 61 years ago?) and parallels can be drawn between it and the golf industry. Back in 1954, it was some reps showing their products on the putting green at Dunedin Golf Club in Florida where the Senior PGA championship was being held. It “expanded” to the parking lot, car trunks, display tables and the game was on.

In those days you could accurately describe the industry as an “old boys club” — basically friends getting together. The equipment world was one of forged blades and persimmon with a little maple thrown in. Pioneers like Ernie Sabayrac and Dick Tarlow were introducing the radical idea of carrying golf shoes and eventually clothing in golf shops. For the better part of the next 20 years, the Show had multiple locations and as late as 1977 exhibitors used the ballroom at the Disney Contemporary Hotel with smaller companies in small adjoining rooms.

What happened that the Show went from hotel rooms to the gigantic Orlando Convention Center? By far the single largest impetus occurred in a courtroom. In 1970, it was ruled that the practice of restricting “pro-line” clubs to PGA onsite golf shops was a restraint of trade. A store called Golf City in New Orleans made this claim and while contested by all the major manufacturers and the PGA itself the ruling was made. Hello retail!

Prior, there was pro-line equipment and store-line equipment and the former was considered superior and could only be purchased from your local PGA pro. It didn’t happen overnight, but with that ruling the equipment-selling game changed. The best golf equipment could be purchased directly by retailers, sold at whatever prices they chose and the industry would never be the same.

There were some holdouts who did their best to keep retail pricing in line with what the manufacturer suggested (Ping to this day), and some others who positioned themselves as selling to pro shop only. But on the whole the pro shops ceased to be a major factor (about 10 percent of sales), retail took over and there was a huge emphasis for manufacturers to supply technical improvement.

IN A PHRASE, MORE DISTANCE!

This so alarmed the USGA that it instituted the coefficient of restitution (COR) or spring-like limit of 0.860 in 2003 amended it to 0.830, defining max ball speed in the center of the face where it stands today. All of this coincided with the boom in amateur golf, a 50 percent increase from 1985 to 2005.

I was there during the boom years and it’s almost hard to describe, surreal in a way. For example, Callaway and Cobra were Carlsbad rivals and the Show became a case of booth one-upmanship. I promise their booths were bigger than the original outing in Florida, and they were close to each other. If one had music, the other had more… celebrities, golf pros, etc.. They were a show in themselves and very successful companies I might add.

The Show had “Main Street,” which is where the prominent companies were located, and attendees were not the golfing public but buyers. Translation: You wanted to be on or just off Main Street to get the traffic flow.

I can remember as a growing company having very mixed feelings about the Show. I started in a small booth in the back near the restrooms and we ended up on Main Street. It sounds like success and in a way it was, but it was very conflicting. The giant booths, celebrity guests, cocktail parties, did not withstand a ROI analysis. Fortunately our large booth had been purchased used and refurbished for our needs. Knowing this abated some of the cost anxiety.

ON THE ONE HAND, YOU FELT LIKE YOU HAD TO BE PART OF THE PARTY. ON THE OTHER YOU WERE THINKING, “WHY AM I SPENDING THIS MONEY? IS THERE AN ALTERNATIVE?”

I used the title Orlando Follies for this article, and when you look up the definition of the word follies “lack of good sense” leads the definitions.

To wit, the Show is an international show. When you buy space you are essentially saying you are ready to compete in that environment, otherwise why attend? I realize there are some small displays with neat ideas looking for a partner, someone to help them in the marketplace, but let’s talk about companies making golf clubs because their time is at hand to compete with the big boys.

I kept records of the companies that attended the PGA Merchandise Show each year, so I got out my old show books and counted in excess of 110 equipment companies that attended the Show between 1990 and 2002 — certainly a sustained period of industry growth. These companies are no longer significant competitors. Some are web sites, some were bought up by retailers for the brand name but they are in “other “ when it comes to market share. Follies influenced their presence, reality surfaced.

It was the people at Ping in 2003 who came up with a solution. They stopped attending! I remember thinking, who better? I wish I had Ping’s courage (and market position) and what it proved was that not attending had zero effect on the company’s business. Others got the message, booth sizes shrunk if not disappeared altogether and the music died.

Further, there was a seismic shift in the retail market. All those buyers from small shops and chains gave way to five major retail operations buying for multiple stores. That meant that most of the upcoming year’s buying decisions were made well before the Show started. It’s now about sell through, not sell in.

Like all major shifts in the pendulum, it seldom stops in the middle. The PGA Merchandise Show went from a bonanza when Reed Exhibitions bought it in 1992 to partial building occupation 15 years later. I don’t go any more — no reason and haven’t been for years. I still have old friends in the business and they tell me the Show is moving back to some of its former luster, especially with the big consumer Demo Day.

I was fortunate to see the Show develop first hand, starting with hotel rooms at the Disney Contemporary to the days of the giant booths. Follies, yes, but remember the word is associated with good times!

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Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

Published

3 days ago

Apr 30, 2024

Matt Vincenzi

After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

Published

3 days ago

Apr 30, 2024

Brendan Ryan

In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

Published

2 weeks ago

Apr 22, 2024

Matt Vincenzi

The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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