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Who will shed the ‘major’ monkey at Merion?

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Forget objectivity, I have to admit that watching Adam Scott sink his birdie putt on No. 10 to win the Masters was one of my happiest moments as a golf fan.

Seriously, I got off my couch and let out a “yes!” To the best of my recollection, I’ve only done that one other time in my entire sports-fan career — after Sidney Crosby’s gold medal-winning goal during the 2010 Vancouver Olympics.

After the Scott incident, my wife, who was sitting on the chair 10 feet away, gave me the typical look:

“What are you so happy about, it’s just a sport.”

And so I turned to her and said, “You don’t understand, it’s Adam Scott. Everyone loves Adam Scott, and this is BIG.”

It was big. Winning a major is a necessary part of any top golfer’s resume, for better or for worse. Majors hang over a player’s head like a quarterback without a Super Bowl, or a sprinter without an Olympic gold. Majors are the first thing that will will come up in any debate about skill, both during a golfer’s career and after he has retired.

So when Adam Scott, who has 20 wins as a pro, finally got the monkey off his back at Augusta, his legacy as a golfer changed. He went from “20-some wins” to “20-some wins and a major.” That’s the difference between an “underachiever” and “one of the best players of his era.”

So who stands the best chance of joining Scott as the next player to get the major monkey off his back?

First, we are going to explore those that have suffered a bit in major championships. What we’re looking for here are veterans who’ve racked up a few wins, but who still find major championships eluding them. For purely arbitrary purposes, let’s say these guys should have been pros for at least five years and have at least three wins on golf’s major professional tours. What we wish to explore here is who among those players is the most likely to break through at Merion. And of course, as with any list, it will be in order of most likely to least likely.

1) Justin Rose

Justin Rose

Is this a bit of a cop out? After all, he is the highest-ranked golfer in the world without a major, currently sitting at No. 5 in the Official World Golf Rankings. But I bet a lot of casual fans would not have guessed that. When golfers talk about the top pros without a major, the conversation tends to steer toward Luke Donald, Lee Westwood or Sergio Garcia. But there sits Justin Rose, currently No. 5 in the world at 32 years old. And you know what? He probably has a lot less scar tissue compared to the other guys mentioned.

Not being lumped into a group that includes Donald, Westwood and Garcia group should be liberating. Rose has managed to avoid being the title of “best player without a major” despite potentially being exactly that. He has racked up seven top-10s in majors without suffering heartbreak (two of those coming in 2012), and without suffering the stigma of “will he ever get back here?” He has won big tournaments among his nine major Tour wins, counting among them a WGC win and a FedEx Playoff win.

Rose is in his prime, long off the tee and hits a lot of greens, currently 19th and 11th in those stats respectively. He is simply a very good all-around player, a proven winner and playing pretty well. It would surprise no one if he won this year’s U.S. Open. He will probably even be on the short list of favorites, though if he doesn’t win, no one will crush him for it. It is good to be Justin Rose, and that’s why he tops this list.

2) Ian Poulter

ianPoulter

So to answer your first question, no I haven’t been paid off by the English. I just can’t imagine Ian Poulter going his whole career without a major. Here’s the grittiest grinder on the PGA Tour, with six top-10s in majors, half of which came in 2012. As a shorter hitter, he won’t be troubled by the sub-7000 yard layout at Merion, and his reputation as one of the best clutch putters in the world should serve him well when the greens get crusty.

I thought Poulter might get his major back in 2008 at the British Open at Birkdale. He was playing among the worst conditions we’ve seen in recent memory, making a putt for par on No. 18 and fist pumping vigorously to let golf fans know how much it meant to him. I thought he had it, but Padraig Harrington hit some great shots down the stretch and such is life. But what I know is that Poulter will win a major one day. Maybe sooner rather than later. The majors, like the Ryder Cup, deserve the famous Poulter face.

Snedeker

3) Brandt Snedeker

Snedeker has been playing so well of late that he should be followed around by Will Ferrell dressed as Mugatu from “Zoolander,” and after every shot he hits he should say “Snedeker, so hot right now, Snedeker.”

But here is another guy who isn’t necessarily super long, but will be very well suited to take on Merion. After winning twice in 2012, and capping it off by joining the short list of people who have won the FedEx Cup $10 million prize, Sneds showed no signs of slowing down in 2013. Here are his first five tournaments of the season: 3rd, 23rd, 2nd, 2nd, 1st. And since then he’s racked up two more top-10s at the Master and Players Championship, not exactly silly season events.

He is eighth on Tour in driving accuracy (is that important at a U.S. Open? Hmmmm, yes). He’s also fifth in scoring average and first in birdies. He has done all this despite a nagging bone condition called “low bone turnover,” which was just recently diagnosed and caused him quite a bit of pain even during his extended streak of hot play. He certainly could have been put higher on this list, but sooner or later an Englishman has to win a major, right? Right?

4) Hunter Mahan

mahan--hunter-031111-640x360

Hunter Mahan is owed one. I don’t care what anyone says. See back in 2009 I took off the Monday of the U.S. Open to watch David Duval and Phil Mickelson duel it out at Bethpage, as any true golf fan would. I mean, Duval and Mickelson, what more could you ask for? And before Lucas Glover, not quite into full beard mode yet, ruined golf for the entire year by winning the tournament and “aw shucks-ing” his way through several interview (note, I like Glover but c’mon man, it could’ve been Duval!) the tournament was almost stolen by another player: Hunter Mahan.

I believe it was No. 16 where Mahan sat in the middle of the fairway either tied for the lead or down one. And he struck an 8 iron from about 160 yards and hit it so pure it was basically a certain birdie and was about to put him in the driver’s seat of the U.S. Open at a beastly course. Only it hit the flagstick and ricocheted about 30 yards back off the green, and he made a bogey that pretty much derailed the round. It was a really bad break; if that had happened to Sergio Garcia, he would have spent his entire press conference challenging the golf gods to a fight.

Mahan has had an interesting career, four top-10s in majors and has often been considered one of the best young players around. However, he has also experienced the lows of famously chunking his chip shot while playing the anchor spot in the Ryder Cup. You have to consider that it speaks volumes he was put there in the first place though. He has five PGA wins, two of which are WGC events. He has always been a good driver of the ball and hits a lot of greens. And confidence? This guy is married to a Dallas Cowboys cheerleader. Hunter Mahan will win a major, I am sure of this.

5) Dustin Johnson

Dustin-Johnson-Hyundai_159128842-640x448

Well, sometimes winning a major requires a lot of trial and error. Dustin Johnson has mastered the error part. He burst onto the scene in 2007 with booming drives and the occasional hot streak on the greens. While never ranking near the top of the Tour in strokes gained putting and not being known as a particularly good iron player, Johnson has nevertheless ranked in the top 10 in birdie average in four of his seven years on Tour (including this year). This is a guy who just gets hot and is always dangerous when he does.

He also has a knack for closing out tournaments when in position — as long as they aren’t majors. He’s been on Tour since late 2007, so basically we’re talking five and a half years here and he is already at seven Tour wins. No one younger than him has more Tour wins, and no one other than Rory Mcilroy has currently gotten to five while still being in their 20s. Simply put, Dustin Johnson is on his way to a pretty good career.

So why do we discard him? Well, the optimist in me would say he’s shown he can play in majors by already having played in the final group three different times. But the pessimist would say that in each he’s made some peculiar decisions that have ruined his chances in them, including the two-shot penalty he incurred in 2010 at the PGA Championship for grounding his club in a bunker and the total meltdown he had on Sunday at the U.S. Open that year. My feeling on him is that this stuff rolls off him. He seems like a confident guy, and he’s already won in 2013. And if he needs any advice on how to win, he can just call his girlfriend’s father, Wayne Gretzky.

So there you have it, that’s my top five. Yes, I’m aware I didn’t include Matt Kuchar or Luke Donald or the perrenial list-topper Lee Westwood, obvious choices it would seem. And certainly their names will pop up on many lists like this one. But there’s a lot of good golfers out there these days, a lot of people who can win.

I guess that’s why winning majors is so hard. Adam Scott would know.

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Jeff Singer was born and still resides in Montreal, Canada. Though it is a passion for him today, he wasn't a golfer until fairly recently in life. In his younger years Jeff played collegiate basketball and football and grew up hoping to play the latter professionally. Upon joining the workforce, Jeff picked up golf and currently plays at a private course in the Montreal area while working in marketing. He has been a member of GolfWRX since 2008

6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. Kevin ZIs

    Jun 20, 2013 at 3:22 pm

    nice call Singer!!! You win.

  2. nbr334

    Jun 12, 2013 at 5:38 am

    Don’t sleep on Manassero!

  3. adiebaby

    Jun 11, 2013 at 10:56 pm

    Merion was made for Luke Donald. Shame he isn’t playing well.

  4. Topspin2

    Jun 10, 2013 at 10:17 pm

    Sneds on a hot streak? He MC last week by two strokes on arguably one of the easiest tour courses. He also MC at the Memorial shooting an 80 on Friday. Really, he’s my #1 fantasy player – but I think this rib thing and its 2 year window for the medication to take full effect places Sneds out of the money for the foreseeable future.

  5. puresauce

    Jun 10, 2013 at 7:50 pm

    i hate adam scott

  6. Troy Vayanos

    Jun 10, 2013 at 5:01 pm

    I tipped Snedeker to win a major in 2013 so I’ll stick with him. His rib injury is a bit of a worry but when his putter fires he’s hard to beat.

    If he can keep the ball in the fairway and find plenty of greens, he’s a big chance.

    Justin Rose is the best of the rest for mine.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 LIV Adelaide betting preview: Cam Smith ready for big week down under

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After having four of the top twelve players on the leaderboard at The Masters, LIV Golf is set for their fifth event of the season: LIV Adelaide. 

For both LIV fans and golf fans in Australia, LIV Adelaide is one of the most anticipated events of the year. With 35,000 people expected to attend each day of the tournament, the Grange Golf Club will be crawling with fans who are passionate about the sport of golf. The 12th hole, better known as “the watering hole”, is sure to have the rowdiest of the fans cheering after a long day of drinking some Leishman Lager.  

The Grange Golf Club is a par-72 that measures 6,946 yards. The course features minimal resistance, as golfers went extremely low last season. In 2023, Talor Gooch shot consecutive rounds of 62 on Thursday and Friday, giving himself a gigantic cushion heading into championship Sunday. Things got tight for a while, but in the end, the Oklahoma State product was able to hold off The Crushers’ Anirban Lahiri for a three-shot victory. 

The Four Aces won the team competition with the Range Goats finishing second. 

*All Images Courtesy of LIV Golf*

Past Winners at LIV Adelaide

  • 2023: Talor Gooch (-19)

Stat Leaders Through LIV Miami

Green in Regulation

  1. Richard Bland
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Paul Casey

Fairways Hit

  1. Abraham Ancer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Henrik Stenson

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Joaquin Niemann
  3. Dean Burmester

Putting

  1. Cameron Smith
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Matt Jones

2024 LIV Adelaide Picks

Cameron Smith +1400 (DraftKings)

When I pulled up the odds for LIV Adelaide, I was more than a little surprised to see multiple golfers listed ahead of Cameron Smith on the betting board. A few starts ago, Cam finished runner-up at LIV Hong Kong, which is a golf course that absolutely suits his eye. Augusta National in another course that Smith could roll out of bed and finish in the top-ten at, and he did so two weeks ago at The Masters, finishing T6.

At Augusta, he gained strokes on the field on approach, off the tee (slightly), and of course, around the green and putting. Smith able to get in the mix at a major championship despite coming into the week feeling under the weather tells me that his game is once again rounding into form.

The Grange Golf Club is another course that undoubtedly suits the Australian. Smith is obviously incredibly comfortable playing in front of the Aussie faithful and has won three Australian PGA Championship’s. The course is very short and will allow Smith to play conservative off the tee, mitigating his most glaring weakness. With birdies available all over the golf course, there’s a chance the event turns into a putting contest, and there’s no one on the planet I’d rather have in one of those than Cam Smith.

Louis Oosthuizen +2200 (DraftKings)

Louis Oosthuizen has simply been one of the best players on LIV in the 2024 seas0n. The South African has finished in the top-10 on the LIV leaderboard in three of his five starts, with his best coming in Jeddah, where he finished T2. Perhaps more impressively, Oosthuizen finished T7 at LIV Miami, which took place at Doral’s “Blue Monster”, an absolutely massive golf course. Given that Louis is on the shorter side in terms of distance off the tee, his ability to play well in Miami shows how dialed he is with the irons this season.

In addition to the LIV finishes, Oosthuizen won back-to-back starts on the DP World Tour in December at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and the Mauritus Open. He also finished runner-up at the end of February in the International Series Oman. The 41-year-old has been one of the most consistent performers of 2024, regardless of tour.

For the season, Louis ranks 4th on LIV in birdies made, T9 in fairways hit and first in putting. He ranks 32nd in driving distance, but that won’t be an issue at this short course. Last season, he finished T11 at the event, but was in decent position going into the final round but fell back after shooting 70 while the rest of the field went low. This season, Oosthuizen comes into the event in peak form, and the course should be a perfect fit for his smooth swing and hot putter this week.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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