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Is it possible to have premium wedge game if you use a budget golf ball?

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Everyone knows that golf is an expensive sport and golf balls are one of the costs of playing, but do you really have to use expensive golf balls to give yourself a chance to play your best?

Most golfers have gone to their local golf store and bought the 15-ball pack, and they soon find out that budget golf balls are not designed with feel in mind. But are they really that bad for your game? Do they spin that much less on wedge shots, making getting up and down even more of a chore?

To find out, I tested four relatively inexpensive golf balls that are widely available at golf shops across the country, as well as four premium golf ball models.

Spin Test: Budget Balls v. Premium Balls

The four budget golf balls I tested were:

To perform the test, I hit multiple wedge shots from 60 yards and selected the highest-spinning shot with each golf ball model. I wanted to see the maximum spin value I could achieve with each ball. As a PGA Professional and scratch golfer, I feel confident that the results are reflective of how each of the balls will perform for most golfers.

Before we get into the results, let’s first discuss the ideal amount of spin a golfer should generate from 60 yards.

To keep my test as unbiased as possible, I contacted a few teacher and fitter friends of mine on Twitter. You probably recognize at least a few of their names. They are some of the most knowledgable teachers and fitters in the world, and use Trackman on a daily basis. They offered their thoughts on the optimal ranges for spin, launch angle and landing angle on shots from 30-60 yards. 

Andrew Rice (@andrewricegolf)

  • Suggested Spin Rate: 6,500-9,500 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 26-30 degrees

Kirk Oguri (@kirkoguri)

  • Spin Rate: 6,000-8,000 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 28-30 degrees

Jon Sinclair (@jrsii)

  • Spin Rate: 6,700-10,000 rpm
  • Landing Angle: 32-38 degrees

Cool Clubs (@coolclubs)
Fitters: Mark Timms, Justin Nelson, Allen Gobeski, and Rob LaRosa

  • Spin Rate 6,000-7,400 rpm
  • Landing Angle: 38-41 degrees

Based on their expertise, it seems that golfers need spin rates of at least 6,000 rpm, as well as launch angles around 28 degrees and landing angles in the mid-to-upper 30-degree range to create ideal stopping power from 30-60 yards. 

The Test: Budget Balls

Screen Shot 2015-09-01 at 3.51.58 PM

For those of you interested, I hit the 60-yard shot with the four budget balls with both my 56- and 60-degree wedges, which are the same model and have the same shaft. You can see the results in the Trackman screen shot above. I found that the 56-degree wedge tended to spin more than the 60-degree with every ball except Callaway’s SuperSoft because of something called spin loft, which I will explain in more detail in next week’s article.

My peak spin rates with the four different balls ranged from 5031 rpm to 7266 rpm with my 56-degree wedge, which is a huge range considering that I only selected the highest-spinning shot. Here’s how the balls measured up.

TaylorMade AeroBurner Pro

  • Peak Spin Rate: 7,266 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 23.7 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 37.8 degrees

Titleist Velocity

  • Peak Spin Rate: 6,540 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 25 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 31.9 degrees

Nike RZN Red

  • Peak Spin Rate: 6,410 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 23.5 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 28.9 degrees

Callaway SuperSoft

  • Peak Spin Rate: 5,031 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 24.8 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 28.7 degrees

The Test: Premium Balls

Next, I took four premium golf balls and hit the same basic shot, also looking at peak spin rates with each model of golf ball. The balls tested were:

Screen Shot 2015-09-01 at 3.52.15 PM

With the premium balls, I found that I carried the shots about 4 to 5 yards longer on average. The extra distance created a little more spin, but nothing that would skew the results. I also did not hit shots with my 60-degree wedge this time, as I learned from my budget ball test that my 56-degree was the higher-spinning wedge for this shot.

Peak spin rate for the premium balls ranged between 7,639 rpm and 8,298 rpm, a considerably tighter range than the budget balls offered. Here’s how the premium balls measured up.

Titleist Pro V1

  • Peak Spin Rate: 8,298 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 22.1 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 37.7 degrees

TaylorMade Tour Preferred

  • Peak Spin Rate: 7,828 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 21.3 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 36.2 degrees

Bridgestone B330 RXS

  • Peak Spin Rate: 7,682 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 23.2 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 38.1 degrees

Srixon Z-Star XV

  • Peak Spin Rate: 7,639 rpm
  • Launch Angle: 18.9 degrees
  • Landing Angle: 34.1 degrees

Conclusion: Don’t be cheap with your balls

As you can see from my results, budget balls simply do not spin as much as premium golf balls. So while you might be saving as much as $26 per dozen on your golf ball purchase, my test shows that you could be losing as much as 3,267 rpm of spin on the 60-yard wedge shots that are often crucial to your score.

To put that in perspective, imagine if shots with your driver started spinning just 1,500 rpm more or less. It would completely change your ball flight off the tee. I’m here to say that adding just 1,500 rpm of spin around the greens can completely change your wedge game, too, and help you achieve a more ideal wedge trajectory for increased stopping power.

I know that golf is an expensive game, but if you’re looking to perform your best on the course one of the worst places to save money is on your golf ball. That’s why the best golfers in the world exclusively use premium golf balls, and why I recommend that serious golfers use them as well.

One last thing. Keep in mind that the spin rate numbers from the test represent the highest-spinning shots recorded with each golf ball model. So if you’re hitting a shot from the rough or have a dirty or wet club face, you will have even LESS spin than you see in this test. Clean your grooves and club faces before each shot so you get the most out of your wedge game!

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Tom F. Stickney II, is a specialist in Biomechanics for Golf, Physiology, and 3d Motion Analysis. He has a degree in Exercise and Fitness and has been a Director of Instruction for almost 30 years at resorts and clubs such as- The Four Seasons Punta Mita, BIGHORN Golf Club, The Club at Cordillera, The Promontory Club, and the Sandestin Golf and Beach Resort. His past and present instructional awards include the following: Golf Magazine Top 100 Teacher, Golf Digest Top 50 International Instructor, Golf Tips Top 25 Instructor, Best in State (Florida, Colorado, and California,) Top 20 Teachers Under 40, Best Young Teachers and many more. Tom is a Trackman University Master/Partner, a distinction held by less than 25 people in the world. Tom is TPI Certified- Level 1, Golf Level 2, Level 2- Power, and Level 2- Fitness and believes that you cannot reach your maximum potential as a player with out some focus on your physiology. You can reach him at [email protected] and he welcomes any questions you may have.

88 Comments

88 Comments

  1. Benny

    Dec 26, 2015 at 7:35 pm

    I liked this article even though it is something many of us already knew. I am also a believer that spin helps around the green. Pros can turn spin on and off more than us and also hit the ball MUCH harder than you Armchairs. Lets face it, most of us here suck so a cheaper ball probably works fine for us. I remember 5 years ago Golf Digest has a winter article “Best Ball for the Bang” and NXT’s won. Maybe this was a bought article, maybe not, all I know is I have shot just as low a rounds with NXT’s and Prov’s. All this really proves is opinions are like a-holes, we all have one and many of us are them. Thx as always WRX for helping me laugh on the couch!

  2. Ted

    Oct 1, 2015 at 12:19 pm

    More interestingly, the TM Aeroburner Pro was within 600 rpm of the Tour Preferred, and with a better descent angle. Mr. Stickney carefully said “you could be losing as much as 3,267 rpm of spin”, but that’s true only by comparing the highest spinning premium ball, with the lowest spinning budget ball. The difference is much, much smaller if you look at the highest spinning budget ball and compare to the lowest spinning premium ball.

  3. KN

    Sep 23, 2015 at 6:32 pm

    Great objective test results, Tom. I only wish you had used the 60 degree wedge on the premium balls, just for consistency’s and (my) curiosity’s sake. Your test results have confirmed what I have believed for over 15 years now, and that is the most important piece of equipment in your golf game is your golf ball, because you use it for every shot. Why not give yourself the best chance for the best outcome by arming yourself with a ball that will perform capably and consistently? I believe that as soon as you can both come through impact square and make contact on the center of the clubface more often than not, you should employ a “premium golf ball.” My game totally changed when I made the switch from a harder “budget ball” to the Titleist Pro V1. Yes, I put the range time in to improve my long iron game, my driver, and especially my wedge shots (of course, on the range, you’re stuck with whatever brand your local driving range chooses to serve you, but it’s the swing I’m talking about), but when I did hit the links, I absolutely noticed an immediate, positive effect. Indeed, the benefits of a $50/dozen ball is probably going to be lost on a beginner or a high handicapper. There is a learning curve to these purebreds. That doesn’t make those that use these high-end balls better people. It just helps make them better golfers.

    • JR

      Sep 24, 2015 at 2:40 pm

      I disagree with that statement. A smart golfer knows what his ball will do and plays to its advantage and capabilities. For example let me play out a scenario for you. You are in the exact same spot and chip with a wedge while you have a prov1 and a budget ball. Knowing you can cause backspin on a prov1 and get the ball to walk back 1 foot you shot 1 1/2 feet past the hole. The ball bites and rolls back 1 foot and you are now 6 inches from the hole for an easy putt. Now knowing your budget ball will roll 4 feet instead of spinning and biting you shot 4 1/2 feet short of the hole. The ball lands and rolls 4 feet and you are now 6 inches from the hole for an easy putt.

      At this point in both cases you have a 6 inch putt, and the only difference is the cost of the ball. So in reality to tell people to buy the most expensive ball because it will work is hog wash, because anyone knowing what their ball will do and doesn’t do, should and smartly play to that balls ability. If it rolls, you shot short and watch it roll to the hole. If it spins and stops dead then aim closer to the hole. In either case, if done smartly you will get the same outcome, a short putt.

      • KN

        Sep 30, 2015 at 7:54 pm

        That’s a nice story, but it’s only that: a story. Not every pin is nicely plunked onto the middle of the green so you can “roll” your budget ball up “4 feet” to “6 inches from the hole for an easy putt.” Ever short side yourself? Ever put your budget ball in a bunker right next to the pin? Ever have to fly a sand trap or a hazard and stop it cold? These may be more stories to you, but I’ve seen and done all of these successfully, thanks to my Pro V1. So if you’re okay with hitting your second shot onto the green, then watching it run right through and off the back, keep playing your Top Flite or Wilson or Slazenger or whatever. I guess you’ll have to learn to “roll” it up to the hole, no matter what the ball encounters on its way there. Part of learning how to play golf is learning how to control your golf ball. You’re only advocating controlling ONE aspect of it: roll. What about spin, direction, height, speed, deflection, etc? Your whole rebuttal is based on a fantasy “scenario,” then you try to tell me that “reality” is: Don’t tell people to buy superior-performing products, because we are only as good as the ball we play. (?!?) Your argument is invalid.

        • JR

          Oct 1, 2015 at 8:07 am

          So my scenario is an extreme example, but don’t sit here and act like those things you list out can’t happen with a ProV1 or any other high end ball. I’ve seen plenty of ProV1 roll off the back of a green on a chip, just as I have budget balls. I’m not saying learn to play the roll either. I’m saying learn to play your ball. I’ve seen good players take a crappy budget ball and get the spin they want out of it and play just fine with it. What I’ve never seen is an average player take a ProV1 and use the ball to its advantage.

          I’m in no way saying don’t buy ProV1s or any high end ball. I’d buy them myself if they were cheaper, but it is naive and extremely disappointing to read how people think they are incapable of playing golf without a high end golf ball. That is simply not the case. If you can’t play golf or shoot your average score with any random ball, then you sir, are not that good of a player in my opinion. I have seen scratch golfers play cheap, expensive, budget, lost n found, and all other kinds of balls and still shoot their average. You don’t have to use the most expensive ball just to be good.

        • Kuba

          Oct 1, 2015 at 8:17 am

          This made me laugh. Are you seriously pissed off because you pay top dollar for a ball and based that as why are as good as you are? That is like saying go buy the best, most expensive clubs and you will take 10 strokes off your game. You realize that is what you are arguing right?

          Neither point is good. ProV1s can over shoot a green just like budget balls, and I’ve seen it happen. I’ve seen budget balls bite and stop dead on a green just like a ProV1. You don’t need a ProV1 to be the best.

          The ball you play does not make you good player. Your skill is what makes you a good player.

  4. Mr. Wonderful

    Sep 22, 2015 at 8:28 am

    First off, nice article. I like how you explore the spin rate of the ball and the effects it has on wedge play. However; those are not budget balls. Budget balls are sub $20 a dozen. More like $16 a dozen, or even cheaper. A real budget ball would be Nitro Blasters for example $8 for 15 balls, and Wilson makes a ball that is even cheaper than that. I’ve played with the Nitro ball and will tell you that it will roll and roll forever off a diver, but the spin is not there around the green and you tend to get way too much roll. So that is one reason why I agree with this article.
    Second, this doesn’t appear to take into effect the club used or the skill of the player. I have a good friend who has an excellent wedge play and he has very low spin. He has basically mastered his particular wedges, and balls that he uses (ProV1s of course). So that tells me that even high class balls don’t always get the spin, the club itself plays a huge roll.
    Third, is my conclusion. My conclusion based on your article and what I’ve seen, is to play your wedges and stick with one ball, regardless of price. Playing a Nike ball on one hole and a Titleist on the next hurts consistency, and you’ll never really improve the wedge play. However; if you practice using the same ball, budget or not, and learn how to work your wedges, it really doesn’t matter what ball you use…

  5. Lefty19

    Sep 22, 2015 at 7:42 am

    Nice article- please take those same golf balls used and see what happens with the Driver….

    Thanks,
    David

  6. Anonie

    Sep 11, 2015 at 7:08 am

    None of the balls were hit at the recommended angles. Does that mean the fitters are wrong?

  7. marcel

    Sep 7, 2015 at 2:21 am

    there is a reason why similar tests are not done by pros with trusted consistent swing. youd realize that the cheap ball does the trick.

  8. KK

    Sep 6, 2015 at 12:13 pm

    I would say that although it depends on your game and the course, higher spin balls offer more versatility and ability to attack and reach pins in tight positions. That’s never a bad thing.

  9. birly-shirly

    Sep 6, 2015 at 4:38 am

    Testing is good. Data is good. But how about the interpretation? There’s nothing in here to suggest that the serious scratch golfer’s needs might be different from the serious mid to high handicapper. Nor is there any account taken of different playing conditions. I get the point if you’re always playing baked out, fast running tournament conditions – but that’s not everyone, not even on wrx. I think that’s where some of the negative comment is coming from.

  10. Steve

    Sep 5, 2015 at 6:58 pm

    Backspin on a pitch or chip almost always leaves the mid to high handicapper father from the hole then if he just pitched or chipped a ball that runs out a little. I have played in a lot of A,B,C,D player scrambles and watched the majority of A and B players using “Pro Balls” leaving just about every short pitch and chip short while the C and D player are knocking their “Noodles” close enough to save par for the group…and yes I am the famous B player that handed the so called 4 handicap A player a ” top flite “and said “Try chipping with that, we need to score lower to be in the money”.

  11. michael

    Sep 4, 2015 at 11:51 pm

    I use the noodle plus easy distance for swing speeds 80 mph and under and it works fine for me yes a little more roll out but for the price its not that bad. I don’t see how this test is valid any ways its people like myself that need a better spinning ball. There are more people with my swing speed than those with the so called slower swing speed. We need a ball that performs better at our swing speed than other players.

    • Joshuaplaysgolf

      Sep 5, 2015 at 12:37 pm

      Umm…80mph is a pretty low swing speed and would be considered a ‘slower swing speed’ as you put it. Nothing wrong with that, but you completely contradict yourself in saying that people with slower swing speeds need different balls, and then indicating you play a noodle…a softer ball and definitely a budget ball. Nothing about this article is invalid. He tested 8 different balls and posted the numbers. Those are facts, not opinions. The clown David Ward saying ‘how much did titleist pay you for this?’ HE JUST PUT UP THE FACTS, AND FOR ALL THE BALLS, not just titleist. Also, for all of you over reacting, read the whole article. It says at the bottom ‘why I recommend that serious golfers use them as well.’

      In no way would it be effective for a high-handicap player to use a prov1. Totally valid that you will probably lose more than you can afford in a round, and again, there is nothing wrong with that. It doesn’t matter how good you are, just that you love the game…but don’t come on here crowing about in valid tests or titleist bias simply because you don’t have the confidence to put the upper level of equipment in play. It’s like looking at a test between a cavity back and blade iron, and saying the numbers of the blades are invalid and biased because, well, I’m not good enough to hit blades and I don’t like that the science says they preform better. Simply put, if you have the ability to consistently hit the little ball before the big ball, your going to get better results out of a higher-quality ball. Yes you can compensate for roll, but not every shot allows you to let the ball run out 10-20 feet. Sometimes it’s essential to be able to stop the ball as quickly as possible, and that can be the difference between getting up and down, or 2 putting for bogey. For those trying to shoot low scores, again, who this article is targeted towards, it matters. Don’t get sad over facts.

      • michael

        Sep 5, 2015 at 9:28 pm

        I have played for over 40 yrs and I have been a single and more recently and mid handicap due to work etc… But my statement was and is that most slow swing golfers do not need to be playing a prov 1 or a high priced ball to be successful or to be able to put spin on a short shot. The ball I used I hit a nice shot from 89 yards and it spun just fine for me I am not looking to be on the tour I am looking to get my ball at least 10-20 ft from the hole and may be closer if the pin is not a sucker pin. I am proud to use a budget ball as you say. I cannot afford and really don’t want to pay that amount of money for a ball that does not suit my game. I understand he used 8 different balls but my comment is about slow swing golfers that could use a golf ball that does not cost up to 50.00 a dozen and is not designed for that type of swing speed. I have a problem with ball makers that make a ball that is not made for the majority of players such as myself yet you have titleist stating that their most expensive ball is for my swing speed which it is not. Even the DT solo is not designed for my swing speed it is designed for the swing speed of 85-95 mph. So I would challenge the person that made this test to find or test golf balls for the people that swing in my speed range. with balls that are in the 20.00 per dozen range. Then show me how this can help my game. By the way I have put the so called upper golf balls in play and to be honest I was not that impressed especially at that price range. I feel that a golf ball that performs well should not cost that amount of money.

        • parker

          Sep 13, 2015 at 2:50 am

          I have a significantly higher driver swing speed than michael but I also use “budget” golf balls with great success… it’s literally apples and oranges. At the end of the day, the individual needs to choose a ball and play the ball based on the expected results. A “front of the green and roll” golfer has the potential to play as well as a “drop and stop” golfer. But I would posit from my own experience that spin and check, no matter how you get it, gives a golfer much more margin for error. But what do I know, I’m a high DD handi and I don’t buy premium balls… I “free” them from my local driving range 😛

  12. J Brent

    Sep 4, 2015 at 11:43 pm

    Personally, I love the a lot of the viewpoints you offer on your website Tom. Some really good stuff even if I don’t agree with everything based on my personal experience. The actual spin data from your shots is really interesting since most of us do not have a trackman to hit with. Why can’t people appreciate the fact that this is supportive information? I read stuff like this to see if there is something I can learn, rather than to be an armchair a$$ who wants to find something to bitch about. Keep up the great work!! It’s amazing how many people I run into that will comment on info they have seen on your website.

    • Tom Stickney II

      Sep 5, 2015 at 10:57 pm

      Thx J…I just try to do articles that make people think. I don’t know it all but I’ve spent 22 years teaching full time in the lesson tee so I know something. Armchair guys are everywhere; if they really knew anything we’d be reading their articles.

      • Shallowface

        Sep 6, 2015 at 1:06 pm

        Wow. That’s one of the most arrogant statements I’ve ever seen here, and that’s saying something. Really disappointing.

        • WILSON

          Sep 8, 2015 at 12:25 am

          sounds like something a butthurt 15+ handicap armchair know-it-all would say. Leave the instruction to the professionals, please.

          • Cliff

            Sep 8, 2015 at 12:44 pm

            There’s a good saying “people who can’t, teach”

          • Shallowface

            Sep 8, 2015 at 2:29 pm

            Not at all. I just find it interesting how threatened the WRX authors (not just Mr. Stickney) are in general by the idea that someone may have a different point of view.

            The free exchange of ideas is a good thing, and occasionally you’ll find someone whose main goal is getting themselves over. But at least those posts offer food for thought.

            • Tom Stickney II

              Sep 8, 2015 at 10:13 pm

              Shallow– have no problems with criticism or people whom disagree with my opinions but uneducated posts are tiresome. I have no reason to try and “get myself over” as I’m happy where I am professionally.

              • Joe

                Sep 23, 2015 at 8:12 am

                I don’t know why you guys continue to write at all with all the arm chair cowboys…. Keep up the good work!

        • KN

          Sep 23, 2015 at 5:31 pm

          Enough with the drama, shallow. Pull up your big-boy pants, read the FREE professional statistics and advice, and come to your own conclusions. So sad you’re disappointed, but save it for the ladies and the Solheim Cup (no offense, ladies).

  13. EH

    Sep 4, 2015 at 1:00 pm

    Whatever suits your game. For me, budget golf balls = roll out and premium balls = check up. I rather have control around the green.
    The results may vary based on your experiences, but data backs it up.

    • Steve

      Sep 5, 2015 at 7:04 pm

      I would think if you like using premium balls you actually need to practice with it more then if you just keep using the budget balls as you learn quick how the budget balls rolls out, but you need to learn when a premium ball may stop….(and it is usually a lot father from the hole then you want). Most 15 or above handicappers are going to play stop, run, stop, run with a premium ball, might just move down to a 12 if you used a budget ball till then.

    • Craig Clark

      Sep 6, 2015 at 9:40 am

      Want the best of both worlds? Try the Maxfli U/6 at Dicks Sporting Goods. Urethane covers. 6 layers. Spins like a Pro V-1. (or better). I’m a 2 handicap and folks tell me I can get up and down from a trash can. (Which is where my irons hit it sometimes). The Maxfli gives me complete control of my short game – I know what it’s going to do every time, from any lie. And the best part is I just bought 2 dozen for $45.00. (BOGO). A couple of years ago the Maxfli was the only ball tested by the USGA to be rated Low Spin off the driver and High Spin off the wedge. It’s a super golf ball…

      • Fred

        Sep 13, 2015 at 2:04 pm

        The Maxfli U6 is soooo underated. I play ProV1’s and find the Maxfli U6 to be as good or better than the Prov1 around the greens.
        Now, if they only sold them in Canada.

      • rer4136

        Sep 17, 2015 at 12:36 pm

        Glad that someone spoke up about the Maxfli U6 line of balls. The U6 LC is a great ball for slower swing speeds and has incredible feel around the green. Give it a try and I believe you will like it.

  14. munihack

    Sep 4, 2015 at 12:15 pm

    Tom-
    Your response sadly is typical from a person who doesn’t pay for golf balls. I may be wrong but Johnny Miller won his British Open with a surlyn ball as did John Daly. And touring pros play what their contract allows. Your atricle refers to playing your best and I gave you evidence I am doing it with a ball that spins less than a pro v. The point I am trying to make is the amount of spin matters to the extent you can control it. Not every golfer has the skill to control 60 yard wedge shots no matter the ball. Most of them would benefit from managing their game so they don’t have that shot to begin with. To extend your perspective more the old balatas spun more than pro v’s so they should have been the ball of choice between the 2 but we all know how that turned out.

    • Steve

      Sep 5, 2015 at 7:01 pm

      You cant argue with mellonhead, he has never been wrong, he is the smartest person he knows

  15. Jason Alcock

    Sep 4, 2015 at 11:46 am

    I did a blind test on myself by accident. I was sure that I was playing my usual Srixon ZX ball. I played 12 holes and was pretty miserable with my game around the greens. Unbelievably the ball was just not working right, a reject in some form. So I decided to swap balls, even though this one was unmarked.

    Looking closely before I ditched it, the penny dropped, the ball was actually a loose Srixon AD333 from my bag, one I had accidentally covered the ball model marking with my alignment mark.

    I’m definitely not a “feel” player and only mid-handicapper. And while I adapt to playing a budget ball (especially in winter) I’d still agree that the added control is worth the money.

    • mario

      Aug 15, 2016 at 10:48 pm

      Well my perception is quite the opposite… The Z star is a rock, same as a Pro V1x and is nasty around the greens. The AD333 tour is only a budget ball by its price, but is pretty much as long as the V1 -no difference with the irons, maybe a loss of 5 yds with the driver into the wind-. It’s the best all around ball I could find so far especially for shaping iron shots and for flop shots.
      The Wilson DX2 goes the extra mile down this road, being the softest thing I’ve ever come across. I only use it when the course is rock hard but I shot 69 the first I used one (playing out of 4).
      And I have really no interest for marketing speech saying that the 333 tour is for swing speeds of 80-95mph. I swing a solid 105 and the ball reacts fantastically. I could not bear the sound of the Z star on my driver, felt like damaging it.

  16. dapadre

    Sep 4, 2015 at 10:41 am

    Thanks for this Tom. But in all honesty speaking from personal experience and seeing other hackers, you dont really get all the advantages of a good spin/3 piece ball UNTIL your ball striking is good and repetitious enough. In fact I have seen and experienced that these high spin balls actually can hurt a golfer in that it will also exaggerate slices and hooks. Its hard to say at what level but I would argue that if you are above 15 HCP, there is really no need. Once you can control your club face a bit better, then yes. Just my humble opinion.

    • parker

      Sep 13, 2015 at 3:00 am

      I agree with your comment in principal, but I have actually witnessed with my own eyes a premium ball HELP my 60 yr old high handicap father GAIN distance in his iron shots. In his case, left and right was never his problem, he struggled mostly with fat and thin shots. We have both noticed that with higher spinning balls (not necessarily “premium”) that the added spin adds a “float” of an extra 5-10 yards, and also a nice stoppage effect. We are both always amazed at how for the two of us, the Srix Z* doesn’t fly very high, but goes far and always stops on the greens.

      I’m convinced that if you can sort out left/right issues in your game, more spin is better than less.

  17. Ironhorse723

    Sep 4, 2015 at 9:53 am

    Wilson DUO…end of discussion. I’ve always been a super high spin player, now instead of clubbing up so that I can account for the backspin bringing it to the front of the green/pin I can go right at it. One hop and sits. Excellent ball that flies forever!

    • dapadre

      Sep 4, 2015 at 10:38 am

      @Ironhorse723, I have to agree with you here. By the way you also have the new DX3 spin (thats what its called in Europe, not sure whats is called since here in Europe the Duo is called DX2 soft) which is actually a DUO but 3 piece with more spin. Im using it now and if you like the DUO, you will absolutely love this one.

    • NotSoFast

      Sep 5, 2015 at 9:38 pm

      Agreed. I’ve been playing the Duo for three years and frequently toss a ball to the guy who inquires what I’m playing. Most love it and switch from their premium ball saying they like the feel and performance of the ball from driver to putter and especially their wallet.

  18. KS

    Sep 4, 2015 at 9:44 am

    Great article Tom. I just have to comment because you see it time and time again. I typically think more of the golfing community but responses here prove we are not all gentlemen. You try to do some testing, you are a professional in your field and write a great article that isn’t necessarily a one size fits all but is very informational and often a good starting block. From the start the armchair quarterbacks bash the article, typically miss the point of it and often discount the writers credibility. It would be great so see people contribute respectfully rather than a know-it-all a$$hole but in todays world that must be asking too much. Keep on writing Tom. Good reads whether it fits me and my game all of the time or not.

  19. Jayw

    Sep 4, 2015 at 4:29 am

    Recently, my golfing friends and I have been in search for a good performing golf ball at a decent price. Our driver swing speeds vary from approx 90 to 105 max. We are all retired and play a lot of golf. The PRO V1 and V1X’s are definitely fantastic golf balls from tee to green. However, they are too expensive for our budget. The results from your test are basically what we have experienced in normal play with inexpensive vs expensive golf balls. I would like to see results from this test performed on many more (brands) of inexpensive golf balls. I believe that there are some inexpensive’s out there that perform just as well as the expensive for lower swing speeds, i.e., 90-105. The only way to know for sure is to test many different brands. We’ve also tested some Lady golf balls that spin like crazy. More testing would be much appreciated.

  20. JeffL

    Sep 4, 2015 at 3:59 am

    Just today, I hit a Wilson Zip (75 cents or so per ball) to a small back tier in a green, a full sand wedge 90 or so yards downwind. It hit just about pin high, bounced 7 feet or so, then backed up a few feet. Do I want more spin than that? If it backed up a few more feet, it would have rolled down to the lower tier.

  21. CD

    Sep 4, 2015 at 3:28 am

    Tom, how are you a scratch golfer? Don’t you have to give up having a handicap when you turn pro? Isn’t that the point of the PAT?

    What does construction of the have to do with it? Eg I can get a range ball to back up on grass from 60 yards, but the distance is down through the bag. This is despite a ‘hard’ feel (granted that might be sound I’m hearing, but these are two piece range balls)

    • Stretch

      Sep 4, 2015 at 12:23 pm

      All golfers whether pro or not should have a handicap. Whisper Rock in Scottsdale has a lot of members that play the Tour and all have a handicap.

  22. ders

    Sep 3, 2015 at 11:57 pm

    I am nowhere near good enough to use a good golf ball. From anything greater than 60 yds out I aim for the center of the green and I’m happy if I hit it. A few months ago I was playing a par 3 course by myself and played 2 balls: a proV1 vs a sports authority tommy armour 2 dozen for $10 ball. The crap ball tended to roll off the back of the green, the titleist rolled off the front of the green. There were more back pin placements that day so I shot 2 strokes better with the crap ball. I’m sure if I tried the same test on a course that I was hitting a driver, I would have sliced the high spinning proV1 into the trees on the right on the first hole.

  23. jcorbran

    Sep 3, 2015 at 11:49 pm

    Just curious as to why you used a Bridgestone b330 rxs for swing speeds under 105 mph and a Srixon z star xv for swing speeds over 105 mph?

    • Fruity

      Sep 4, 2015 at 3:37 am

      Because that’s how those are recommended.

      • jcorbran

        Sep 4, 2015 at 7:03 pm

        he chose 1 ball for the slower swing speed and 1 ball for the higher swing speed so 1 ball was not the correct choice, according to the manufacturer, skewing the numbers, should have chosen both balls for same swing speed either way.

  24. Desmond

    Sep 3, 2015 at 11:11 pm

    Some budget-minded, offended folk here…

  25. Steve

    Sep 3, 2015 at 10:34 pm

    Mellonhead,
    As per your expert all but one of the budget balls were within range

  26. Munihack

    Sep 3, 2015 at 10:14 pm

    This article is arbitrary. First who wants a 60 yard shot? Second anyone who studies golf balls at all knows they are designed to behave differently with a driver vs. a wedge so the 1500 rpm comparison makes no sense. Third spin only helps if you know how to use it. In my case I am shooting the lowest scores of my life with a top flite gamer soft which I started to use in January as a winter ball. My first round I tied my personal best on my home course with a 64 (my hdcp is +2). It replaced the 330 rx I used last year. It is longer off the tee and chips and putts consitently. And the non sale price is $20 per doz. Any instructor who says everyone needs pro v spin is a salesman.

    • Tom Stickney

      Sep 3, 2015 at 10:57 pm

      Muni–

      If that was even close to true then pros would be playing the distance balls as well since they can get anything they want.

      • Fruity

        Sep 4, 2015 at 3:36 am

        Exactly, Tom.

      • brian d

        Sep 4, 2015 at 1:04 pm

        Tom,

        But isnt that more because pros know how to control their spin and know exactly how their ball will react due to the perfection of their strike? I watch alot of my friends use premium balls and when they chip its a crap shoot. Sometimes the ball checks up way short and some times hops past the hole and rolls out. I have found using a cheaper ball to help at least as an amateur, since I know on my chips, I wont get any check. I use my loft to get the ball to stop and I have found I have been more consistent due to eliminating the “odd spinner” ( the ball that checks up 10 feet short when I feel I hit it the same as the ball tha trolled out.

        Also, I am sure pros need the spin more, as they are playing on rocket fast greens with fairly difficult pins where you need spin to even think of getting it close. Most courses will have a few tucked pins, but I feel most amateurs are more trying to get the ball on the green, or even on a specific quadrant of the green vs throwing it over the top of the flag.

        My guess is if a pro wanted to use a distance type ball, their sponsor would still stamp “prov1” or make them a Prov1 that reacted similar to say a nxt tour.

  27. John Grossi

    Sep 3, 2015 at 9:45 pm

    I remember an old tour pro was asked by an amateur, how he could spin his shots like the pro. The pro said that the amateur should be moving the ball forward, not backward. I let most of my shots run out. If I short side myself, l throw my 60 up hopefully within 10 ft. to have a par chance. Also, I can hit a low compression ball further then the prov v. I know how it reacts on all my short shots. I agree people who are paid to play golf should be using the top spinning ball, however not the amateur.

    • Fruity

      Sep 4, 2015 at 3:40 am

      Unfortunately, what this doesn’t explain is how the DIMPLES react differently to the air, drag & lift.
      Many of these softer balls actually fly LOWER, whereas the harder balls fly higher. Just look at the box of dozen of the Pro-V, it’s all explained right there. So when they talk about getting fit, it’s going to involve how the players hit their balls high or low, as well.

  28. Ken

    Sep 3, 2015 at 9:04 pm

    Well, I’m a 65 year old 8.2 HC and play our course at 6500 yards. Today’s round was one of my best … a 74. On the first hole I teed up a ball I found (since I wasn’t sure where in the hell it was going), it was a Nike PD Soft. I putted out on 18 with the same ball. With the right ball, I may have shot a 62 … I guess!

  29. Joe

    Sep 3, 2015 at 7:12 pm

    There is a flaw in this test, that is that people were the only testers. People are not consistent, a more complete test would have included Iron Byron. Iron Byron is consistent and would have been a truer test.

    • other paul

      Sep 3, 2015 at 8:36 pm

      Iron Byron doesn’t swing like a human and is therefore irrelevant in this test. Do you really think you are the first person to think that a robot should hit all test shots? Yeesh.

      • Joe

        Sep 4, 2015 at 2:30 pm

        You are making my point. Iron Byron does not swing like a human, therefore, test with Iron Byron are consistent with no variation. People have a wide variance in their swings and are inconsistent.
        That is why I suggest that both methods be used for comparison. Consistency is what counts.

  30. Jimmy

    Sep 3, 2015 at 3:42 pm

    Since when is $27 a dozen considered a budget ball. I never pay more than $20. Anyone who pays $4-$5 and isn’t a pro level golfer is just insane. They’re simply not good enough to make solid contact and get 8000 rpm out a pro v1. Definitely a case the Indian not the arrow. Save you’re money buy cheap balls. You’ll have more fun because you won’t be worried about the cost of losing a ball.

    • Christestrogen

      Sep 3, 2015 at 5:02 pm

      Or go to any used golf ball site and get AAAA perfect used prov1s or b330s for about $1 each…..
      ***During the majors they typically have ridiculous sales.

  31. Nolanski

    Sep 3, 2015 at 3:18 pm

    I notice the differences myself. The best spin around the green I’ve gotten is with Bridgestone E5(cheap) but they are like hitting a wiffleball off the tee so I stopped using them.

  32. Charlie

    Sep 3, 2015 at 3:14 pm

    Not an endorsement, as mentioned earlier…

    Lostgolfballs.com

  33. Southpaw

    Sep 3, 2015 at 2:40 pm

    Interesting read, I usually read most of the articles on wrx but bottom line is that it is the golfer and not the ball. Same with clubs, its always the golfer and not the equipment unless you have a huge gash in the side of the ball or scuff its your fault you didn’t put it close. I play penta tp urethane, stops and spins just fine. When will we blame ourselves for not being great at this impossible game haha….. When you hit it 15 past the hole was it your putters fault??

  34. LD

    Sep 3, 2015 at 2:07 pm

    How many strokes am I giving up per round with my budget wedge game?

  35. Scooter McGavin

    Sep 3, 2015 at 1:49 pm

    I feel like I can save myself some time with these articles. Seems like whenever the question is “Should you spend more money on your golf game?” the answer is always yes. I wiff the ball twice and then top it 10 ft., do I need to get fitted? Yes… Do I need an extra thousand rpm of spin around the green? Yes… Is it worth spending $400 to get 4 more yards out of my drives? Yes.

  36. T Young

    Sep 3, 2015 at 1:38 pm

    I enjoyed the article, but would love to see this done on a larger scale. More than 4 balls, and more than one brand of wedges. Titleist, Cleveland, TM, PING, Scratch, Mizuno, Callaway wedges with all the premium balls vs a handful of budget balls, would be a fantastic read. Thanks again
    -T

    • petie3_2

      Sep 17, 2015 at 12:09 am

      I used to have a slice. Had it for 40 years. Cured it in 20 minutes. Hit a small bucket of balls, a 7 iron is fine, a driver is better, with a camcorder and Tripod recording it from behind, so you can track visually the path of the clubhead through the ball. If you think you are coming straight through the VCR will show you an outside-in path and a slice. Be your own teacher. I’m 71, a 13 handicap and shoot 77-84 normally.

  37. Scott

    Sep 3, 2015 at 1:34 pm

    7000 rpm’s with the aeroburner pro? Sounds like a good deal to me. Enough to make you consider it if cost is a factor…and it certainly is for me. So I’m not sure this is such a no-brainer since our decisions aren’t made in a vacuum.

  38. Blazman11

    Sep 3, 2015 at 1:15 pm

    I’m a believer that the middle tier priced balls (with exception of chrome soft) should never be purchased. There are too many premium ball offerings and many sales available for us to save a considerable amount of money.

    Always take advantage of the proV buy 3 get one free promo in the spring.

    Srixon and Nike usually run buy two get one free deals on their top end balls at some point.

    I picked up a few dozen of the Wilson Staff provx equivalent for $20 a dozen over the winter and they are fantastic balls.

    I do personally think the provx is the best ball for me. I get the most distance and green side control with this ball. However there is no need for me to play a provx during every single round since there are casual rounds mixed in and that’s when I pull out the Zstars. If I’m playing by myself or in early spring when I’m not testing new/different clubs even cheapies like a Duo or used balls are fine.

    Bottom line is just be a smart consumer. There are so many very good options available that will allow you to play premium balls at a $20-30 price point per dozen.

  39. Jamie

    Sep 3, 2015 at 1:10 pm

    I don’t think this article means that if you are playing a goat path to go out and buy some Pro V-1’s and your wedge game will dramatically improve. There are other factors that can change spin rates…the type of fairways and greens that you are playing on can have a dramatic effect on spin as well.

  40. Jordan

    Sep 3, 2015 at 12:59 pm

    The answer for most players is in the middle. For a 10-25 hcp the best balls to are most likely NXT Tour, chrome +, e6, project a – balls that spin nearly as much as tour balls, are more durable, and cost less. In my own Flightscope tests, NXT Tour and Pro v1 differ in only a few hundred RPM on partial and full wedges, and only differ on driver distance by a few yards. If money is no object, play a Pro v1, if not play NXT Tour or Chrome +. You’ll sweat it less when you lose them.

    • Philip

      Sep 3, 2015 at 8:30 pm

      I’ve found that the recent non-urethane balls are really closing the gap with the $$$ balls. It is only recently that my level of game has gotten good enough to use the spin to stop in 2-3 yards on the green. I used to choose balls based on feel around on the green (Titleist still wins for me, even the current NXT Tours). My overall favourite ball are the HBTs, however, I’ve used some Hex Controls I’ve found among the trees and I find they bite the greens and cut the wind just as good as the HBTs. Currently I’m using NXT Tour S because I wanted a yellow ball in the fall with early dusk and I love ’em. I’m at the point I often get a round or more out of a ball, but I’m in no rush to burn up more expensive balls.

  41. Bobby

    Sep 3, 2015 at 12:29 pm

    This is all bs it all depends on if you want to check the ball or let it run out ……I’m a scratch golfer and use top flights …this test makes no sense at all

    • Miguel

      Sep 3, 2015 at 2:26 pm

      I don’t know but I have shot my best scores with Pinnacle’s and Dt Solo’s. I never buy Premium golf balls and if I use them, they are the ones I find from the bushes. I can never justify paying for a premium golf ball when I can shoot low 80’s and high 70’s with my cheap used Pinnacles.

  42. Greg V

    Sep 3, 2015 at 12:26 pm

    What about balls in the mid-price segment, such as the Bridgestone e6 and Titleist NXT Tour that a lot of mid-handicap players use?

    • Jordan

      Sep 3, 2015 at 1:02 pm

      Greg, NXT and Chrome + are really, really similar to Pro v1 in spin rates in my Flightscope testing within 300-400 RPM. The extra cash goes to the softer feeling cover, and a few yards of driver distance (like 1-3 yards if your SS is 100-105).

  43. Mat

    Sep 3, 2015 at 12:10 pm

    Agreed. If you can’t be bothered to pay $1 additional per ball, you are doing it wrong.

    • Ted

      Oct 1, 2015 at 12:23 pm

      Mat, I play occasionally with some high handicappers that lose 6-10 balls a round. That adds up. And even if you can afford it easily, it can still leave a psychological scar.

  44. Steven

    Sep 3, 2015 at 12:09 pm

    Tom,

    Thanks for another great article, but I have two questions.

    First, is this relevant for mid and high handicappers who can’t put that much spin on the ball regardless of what ball they play?

    Second, you tested the balls from 60 yards out, is that the yardage where concern for a high spinning ball begins?

    Thanks.

    • Mat

      Sep 3, 2015 at 12:11 pm

      Question – does the high handicapper hit a ball with that much spin? Are we talking good shots, I assume?

  45. Jonny B

    Sep 3, 2015 at 11:56 am

    If price is the major determinant for not buying tour-caliber balls, try shopping for used balls online. LostGolfBalls routinely has Mint Condition prior-gen proV1s for under $20/dozen. They have any ball you would probably want to play, usually for 1/3 the cost of new. There are a few other sites out there like LGB as well.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 PGA Championship betting preview: Rising star ready to join the immortals at Valhalla

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The second major of the 2024 season is upon us as the world’s best players will tee it up this week at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky to compete for the Wanamaker Trophy.

The last time we saw Valhalla host a major championship, Rory McIlroy fended off Phil Mickelson, Henrik Stenson, Rickie Fowler and the creeping darkness that was descending upon the golf course. The Northern Irishman had the golf world in the palm of his hand, joining only Tiger Woods and Jack Nicklaus as players who’d won four major championships by the time they were 25 years old. 

Valhalla is named after the great hall described in Norse mythology where the souls of Vikings feasted and celebrated with the Gods. The course is a Jack Nicklaus-design that has ranked among Golf Digest’s “America’s 100 Greatest Courses” for three decades. 

Valhalla Golf Club is a par-71 measuring 7,542 yards with Zoysia fairways and Bentgrass greens. The course has rolling hills and dangerous streams scattered throughout and the signature 13th hole is picturesque with limestone and unique bunkering protecting the green. The 2024 PGA Championship will mark the fourth time Valhalla has hosted the event. 

The field this week will consist of 156 players, including 16 PGA Champions and 33 Major Champions. All of the top players will be here gunning for the glory of a major championship with the exception of 

Past Winners of the PGA Championship

  • 2023: Brooks Koepka (-9) Oak Hill
  • 2022: Justin Thomas (-5) Southern Hills
  • 2021: Phil Mickelson (-6) Kiawah Island
  • 2020: Collin Morikawa (-13) TPC Harding Park
  • 2019: Brooks Koepka (-8) Bethpage Black
  • 2018: Brooks Koepka (-16) Bellerive
  • 2017: Justin Thomas (-8) Quail Hollow
  • 2016: Jimmy Walker (-14) Baltusrol
  • 2015: Jason Day (-20) Whistling Straits
  • 2014: Rory McIlroy (-16) Valhalla

In this article and going forward, I’ll be using the Rabbit Hole by Betsperts Golf data engine to develop my custom model. If you want to build your own model or check out all of the detailed stats, you can sign up using promo code: MATTVIN for 25% off any subscription package (yearly is best value).

Key Stats For Valhalla

Let’s take a look at five key metrics for Oak Hill to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their past 24 rounds.

1. Strokes Gained: Approach

Valhalla will play as a true all-around test of golf for the world’s best. Of course, it will take strong approach play to win a major championship.

Strokes Gained: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Shane Lowry (+1.25)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+1.09)
  3. Jordan Smith (+1.05)
  4. Tom Hoge (+.96)
  5. Corey Conners (+.94)

2. Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

Valhalla will play long and the rough will be penal. Players who are incredibly short off the tee and/or have a hard time hitting fairways will be all but eliminated from contention this week at the PGA Championship. 

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Over Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Bryson DeChambeau (+1.47)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+1.11)
  3. Keith Mitchell (+.90)
  4. Alejandro Tosti (+.89)
  5. Ludvig Aberg (+.82)

Strokes Gained: Total on Nickalus Designs

Valhalla is a classic Nicklaus Design. Players who play well at Nicklaus designs should have an advantage coming into this major championship. 

Strokes Gained: Total on Nicklaus Designs over past 36 rounds:

  1. Jon Rahm (+2.56)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+2.48)
  3. Patrick Cantlay (+2.35)
  4. Collin Morikawa (+1.79)
  5. Shane Lowry (+1.57)

Strokes Gained: Tee to Green on Very Long Courses

Valhalla is going to play extremely long this week. Players who have had success playing very long golf courses should be better equipped to handle the conditions of this major championship.

Strokes Gained: Total on Very Long Courses Over Past 24 Rounds: 

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+2.44)
  2. Rory McIlroy (+2.24)
  3. Will Zalatoris (+1.78)
  4. Viktor Hovland (+1.69)
  5. Xander Schauffele (+1.60)

Strokes Gained: Total in Major Championships

One factor that tends to play a large role in deciding major championships is which players have played well in previous majors leading up to the event. 

Strokes Gained: Total in Major Championships over past 20 rounds:

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+3.14)
  2. Will Zalatoris (+2.64)
  3. Rory McIlroy (+2.49)
  4. Xander Schauffele (+2.48)
  5. Tommy Fleetwood (2.09)

Strokes Gained: Putting on Bentgrass Greens

Valhalla features pure Bentgrass putting surfaces. Players who are comfortable putting on this surface will have an advantage on the greens. 

Strokes Gained: Putting on Bentgrass Greens over Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Ludvig Aberg (+1.12)
  2. Denny McCarthy (+1.08)
  3. Matt Fitzpatrick (+0.99)
  4. Justin Rose (+0.93)
  5. J.T. Poston (0.87)

Strokes Gained: Total on Zoysia Fairways

Valhalla features Zoysia fairways. Players who are comfortable playing on this surface will have an advantage on the field.

Strokes Gained: Total on Zoysia Fairways over past 36 rounds: 

  1. Justin Thomas (+1.53)
  2. Will Zalatoris (+1.47)
  3. Xander Schauffele (+1.40)
  4. Brooks Koepka (+1.35)
  5. Rory McIlroy (+1.23)

2024 PGA Championship Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (25%), SG: Off the Tee (22%), SG: T2G on Very Long Courses (12%), SG: Putting on Bentgrass (+12%), SG: Total on Nicklaus Designs (12%). SG: Total on Zoysia Fairways (8%), and SG: Total in Major Championships (8%). 

  1. Brooks Koepka
  2. Xander Schauffele
  3. Rory McIlroy
  4. Scottie Scheffler
  5. Bryson DeChambeau
  6. Shane Lowry
  7. Alex Noren
  8. Will Zalatoris
  9. Cameron Young
  10. Keith Mitchell
  11. Hideki Matsuyama
  12. Billy Horschel
  13. Patrick Cantlay
  14. Viktor Hovland
  15. Adam Schenk
  16. Chris Kirk
  17. Sahith Theegala
  18. Min Woo Lee
  19. Joaquin Niemann
  20. Justin Thomas

2024 PGA Championship Picks

Ludvig Aberg +1800 (BetMGM)

At The Masters, Ludvig Aberg announced to the golf world that he’s no longer an “up and coming” player. He’s one of the best players in the game of golf, regardless of experience.

Augusta National gave Aberg some necessary scar tissue and showed him what being in contention at a major championship felt like down the stretch. Unsurprisingly, he made a costly mistake, hitting it in the water left of the 11th hole, but showed his resilience by immediately bouncing back. He went on to birdie two of his next three holes and finished in solo second by three shots. With the type of demeanor that remains cool in pressure situations, I believe Ludvig has the right mental game to win a major at this point in his career.

Aberg has not finished outside of the top-25 in his past eight starts, which includes two runner-up finishes at both a “Signature Event” and a major championship. The 24-year-old is absolutely dominant with his driver, which will give him a major advantage this week. In the field he ranks, in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, and has gained strokes in the category in each of his past ten starts. Aberg is already one of the best drivers of the golf ball on the planet.

In Norse mythology, Valhalla is the great hall where the souls of Vikings feasted and celebrated with the Gods. The Swedes, who are of Old Norse origin, were the last of the three Scandinavian Kingdoms to abandon the Old Norse Gods. A Swede played a major role in the 2014 PGA Championship at Valhalla, and I believe another, Ludvig Aberg, will be the one to conquer Valhalla in 2024. 

Bryson DeChambeau +2800 (BetMGM)

Bryson DeChambeau is one of the few players in the world that I believe has the game to go blow-for-blow with Scottie Scheffler. Although he isn’t as consistent as Scheffler, when he’s at his best, Bryson has the talent to beat him.

At The Masters, DeChambeau put forth a valiant effort at a golf course that simply does not suit his game. Valhalla, on the other hand, is a course that should be perfect for the 30-year-old. His ability to overpower a golf course with his driver will be a serious weapon this week.

Bryson has had some success at Jack Nicklaus designs throughout his career as he won the Memorial at Muirfield Village back in 2018. He’s also had incredible results on Bentgrass greens for the entirety of his professional career. Of his 10 wins, nine of them have come on Bentgrass greens, with the only exception being the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. He also has second place finishes at Medinah and TPC Summerlin, which feature Bentgrass greens.

Love him or hate him, it’s impossible to argue that Bryson isn’t one of the most exciting and important players in the game of golf. He’s also one of the best players in the world. A second major is coming soon for DeChambeau, and I believe he should be amongst the favorites to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy this week.

Patrick Cantlay +4000 (FanDuel)

There’s no way of getting around it: Patrick Cantlay has been dissapointing in major championships throughout his professional career. He’s been one of the top players on Tour for a handful of years and has yet to truly contend at a major championship, with the arguable exception of the 2019 Masters.

Despite not winning majors, Cantlay has won some big events. The 32-year-old has won two BMW Championships, two Memorial Tournaments as well as a Tour Championship. His victories at Memorial indicate how much Cantlay loves Nicklaus designs, where he ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Total over his past 36 rounds behind only Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm.

Cantlay also loves Bentgrass greens. Six of Cantlay’s seven individual wins on the PGA Tour have come on Bentgrass greens and he also was one of the best putters at the 2023 Ryder cup at Marco Simone (also Bentgrass). At Caves Valley (2021 BMW Championship), he gained over 12 strokes putting to outduel another Bentgrass specialist, Bryson DeChambeau.

Cantlay finished 22nd in The Masters, which was a solid result considering how many elite players struggled that week. He also has two top-ten finishes in his past five PGA Championships. He’s undeniably one of the best players in the field, therefore, it comes down to believing Cantlay has the mental fortitude to win a major, which I do.

Joaquin Niemann +4000 (BetMGM)

I believe Joaquin Niemann is one of the best players in the world. He has three worldwide wins since December and has continued to improve over the course of his impressive career thus far. Still only 25, the Chilean has all the tools to be a serious contender in major championships for years to come.

Niemann has been the best player on LIV this season. Plenty will argue with the format or source of the money on LIV, but no one can argue that beating players such as Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and Cameron Smith is an unremarkable achievement. Niemann is an elite driver of the golf ball who hits it farther than just about anyone in the field not named Bryson DeChambeau or (arguably) Rory McIlroy.

Niemann is another player who has been fantastic throughout his career on Bentgrass greens. Prior to leaving the PGA Tour, Bentgrass was the only green surface in which Joaco was a positive putter. It’s clearly a surface that he is very comfortable putting on and should fare around and on the greens this week.

Niemann is a perfect fit for Valhalla. His low and penetrating ball flight will get him plenty of runout this week on the fairways and he should have shorter shots into the green complexes than his competitors. To this point in his career, the former top ranked amateur in the world (2018) has been underwhelming in major championships, but I don’t believe that will last much longer. Joaquin Niemann is a major championship caliber player and has a real chance to contend this week at Valhalla.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 2

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In my last post, I explained the basic performance dynamics of “smash factor” and “gear effect” as they apply to your wedges and your wedge play success. If you missed that post, you can read it here.

At the end of that post, I promised “part 2” of this discussion of what makes a wedge work the way it does. So, let’s dive into the other two components of any wedge – the shaft and the grip.

It’s long been said that the shaft is “the engine of the golf club.” The shaft (and grip) are your only connection to all the technologies that are packed into the head of any golf club, whether it be a driver, fairway, hybrid, iron, wedge or even putter.

And you cannot ignore those two components of your wedges if your goal is optimizing your performance.

I’ve long been an advocate of what I call a “seamless transition” from your irons into your wedges, so that the feel and performance do not disconnect when you choose a gap wedge, for example, instead of your iron-set-matching “P-club.” In today’s golf equipment marketplace, more and more golfers are making the investment of time and money to experience an iron fitting, going through trial and error and launch monitor measuring to get just the right shaft in their irons.

But then so many of those same golfers just go into a store and choose wedges off the retail display, with no similar science involved at all. And that’s why I see so many golfers with a huge disconnect between their custom-fitted irons, often with lighter and/or softer graphite or light steel shafts . . . and their off-the-rack wedges with the stock stiff steel ‘wedge flex’ shaft common to those stock offerings.

If your wedge shafts are significantly heavier and stiffer than the shafts in your irons, it is physically impossible for you to make the same swing. Period.

To quickly improve your wedge play, one of the first things you can do is have your wedges re-shafted with the same or similar shaft that is in your irons.

There’s another side of that shaft weight equation; if you don’t have the forearm and hand strength of a PGA Tour professional, you simply cannot “handle” the same weight shaft that those guys play to master the myriad of ‘touch shots’ around the greens.

Now, let’s move on to the third and other key component of your wedges – the grips. If those are not similar in shape and feel to the grips on your irons, you have another disconnect. Have your grips checked by a qualified golf club professionals to make sure you are in sync there.

The one caveat to that advice is that I am a proponent of a reduced taper in your wedge grips – putting two to four more layers of tape under the lower hand, or selecting one of the many reduced taper grips on the market. That accomplishes two goals for your scoring.

First, it helps reduce overactive hands in your full and near-full wedge swings. Quiet hands are key to good wedge shots.

And secondly, it provides a more consistent feel of the wedge in your hands as you grip down for those shorter and more delicate shots around the greens. And you should always grip down as you get into those touch shots. I call it “getting closer to your work.”

So, if you will spend as much time selecting the shafts and grips for your wedges as you do choosing the brand, model, and loft of them, your scoring range performance will get better.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Wells Fargo Championship betting preview: Tommy Fleetwood ready to finally land maiden PGA Tour title

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The PGA Tour season ramps back up this week for another “signature event,” as golf fans look forward to the year’s second major championship next week.

After two weaker-field events in the Zurich Classic and the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, most of the best players in the world will head to historic Quail Hollow for one of the best non-major tournaments of the year. 

Last season, Wyndham Clark won the event by four shots.

Quail Hollow is a par-71 measuring 7,521 yards that features Bermudagrass greens. The tree-lined, parkland style course can play quite difficult and features one of the most difficult three-hole stretches in golf known as “The Green Mile,” which makes up holes 16-18: two mammoth par 4s and a 221-yard par 3. All three holes have an average score over par, and water is in play in each of the last five holes on the course.

The field is excellent this week with 68 golfers teeing it up without a cut. All of the golfers who’ve qualified are set to tee it up, with the exception of Scottie Scheffler, who is expecting the birth of his first child. 

Past Winners at Quail Hollow

  • 2023: Wyndham Clark (-19)
  • 2022: Max Homa (-8)
  • 2021: Rory McIlroy (-10)
  • 2019: Max Homa (-15)
  • 2018: Jason Day (-12)
  • 2017: Justin Thomas (-8) (PGA Championship)
  • 2016: James Hahn (-9)
  • 2015: Rory McIlroy (-21)

Key Stats For Quail Hollow

Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes gained: Approach will be extremely important this week as second shots at Quail Hollow can be very difficult. 

Total SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Akshay Bhatia (+1.16)
  2. Tom Hoge (+1.12)
  3. Corey Conners (+1.01)
  4. Shane Lowry (+0.93)
  5. Austin Eckroat (+0.82)

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee

Quail Hollow is a long course on which it is important to play from the fairway. Both distance and accuracy are important, as shorter tee shots will result in approach shots from 200 or more yards. With most of the holes heavily tree lined, errant drives will create some real trouble for the players.

Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Ludvig Aberg (+0.73)
  2. Rory McIlroy (+0.69)
  3. Xander Schauffele (+0.62)
  4. Viktor Hovland (+0.58)
  5. Chris Kirk (+0.52)

Proximity: 175-200

The 175-200 range is key at Quail Hollow. Players who can hit their long irons well will rise to the top of the leaderboard. 

Proximity: 175-200+ over past 24 rounds:

  1. Cameron Young (28’2″)
  2. Akshay Bhatia (29’6″)
  3. Ludvig Aberg (+30’6″)
  4. Sam Burns (+30’6″)
  5. Collin Morikawa (+30’9″)

SG: Total on Tom Fazio Designs

Players who thrive on Tom Fazio designs get a bump for me at Quail Hollow this week. 

SG: Total on Tom Fazio Designs over past 36 rounds:

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+2.10)
  2. Rory McIlroy (+1.95)
  3. Tommy Fleetwood (+1.68)
  4. Austin Eckroat (+1.60)
  5. Will Zalatoris (+1.57)

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass)

Strokes Gained: Putting has historically graded out as the most important statistic at Quail Hollow. While it isn’t always predictable, I do want to have it in the model to bump up golfers who prefer to putt on Bermudagrass.

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass) Over Past 24 Rounds:

  1. Taylor Moore (+0.82)
  2. Nick Dunlap (+.76)
  3. Wyndham Clark (+.69)
  4. Emiliano Grillo (+.64)
  5. Cam Davis (+.61)

Course History

This stat will incorporate players that have played well in the past at Quail Hollow. 

Course History over past 36 rounds (per round):

  1. Rory McIlroy (+2.50)
  2. Justin Thomas (+1.96)
  3. Jason Day (+1.92)
  4. Rickie Fowler (+1.83)
  5. Viktor Hovland (+1.78)

Wells Fargo Championship Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (27%), SG: Off the Tee (23%), SG: Total on Fazio designs (12%), Proximity: 175-200 (12%), SG: Putting Bermuda grass (12%), and Course History (14%).

  1. Wyndham Clark
  2. Rory McIlroy
  3. Xander Schauffele
  4. Shane Lowry
  5. Hideki Matsuyama
  6. Viktor Hovland 
  7. Cameron Young
  8. Austin Eckroat 
  9. Byeong Hun An
  10. Justin Thomas

2024 Wells Fargo Championship Picks

Tommy Fleetwood +2500 (DraftKings)

I know many out there have Tommy fatigue when it comes to betting, which is completely understandable given his lack of ability to win on the PGA Tour thus far in his career. However, history has shown us that players with Fleetwood’s talent eventually break though, and I believe for Tommy, it’s just a matter of time.

Fleetwood has been excellent on Tom Fazio designs. Over his past 36 rounds, he ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on Fazio tracks. He’s also been incredibly reliable off the tee this season. He’s gained strokes in the category in eight of his past nine starts, including at The Masters, the PLAYERS and the three “signature events” of the season. Tommy is a golfer built for tougher courses and can grind it out in difficult conditions.

Last year, Fleetwood was the first-round leader at this event, firing a Thursday 65. He finished the event in a tie for 5th place.

For those worried about Fleetwood’s disappointing start his last time out at Harbour Town, he’s bounced back nicely after plenty of poor outings this season. His T7 at the Valero Texas Open was after a MC and T35 in his prior two starts and his win at the Dubai Invitational came after a T47 at the Sentry.

I expect Tommy to bounce back this week and contend at Quail Hollow.

Justin Thomas +3000 (DraftKings)

It’s been a rough couple of years for Justin Thomas, but I don’t believe things are quite as bad as they seem for JT. He got caught in the bad side of the draw at Augusta for last month’s Masters and has gained strokes on approach in seven of his nine starts in 2024. 

Thomas may have found something in his most recent start at the RBC Heritage. He finished T5 at a course that he isn’t the best fit for on paper. He also finally got the putter working and ranked 15th in Strokes Gained: Putting for the week.

The two-time PGA champion captured the first of his two major championships at Quail Hollow back in 2017, and some good vibes from the course may be enough to get JT out of his slump.

Thomas hasn’t won an event in just about two years. However, I still believe that will change soon as he’s been one of the most prolific winners throughout his PGA Tour career. Since 2015, he has 15 PGA Tour wins.

Course history is pretty sticky at Quail Hollow, with players who like the course playing well there on a regular basis. In addition to JT’s PGA Championship win in 2017, he went 4-1 at the 2022 Presidents Cup and finished T14 at the event last year despite being in poor form. Thomas can return as one of the top players on the PGA Tour with a win at a “signature event” this week. 

Cameron Young +3500 (DraftKings)

For many golf bettors, it’s been frustrating backing Cam Young this season. His talent is undeniable, and one of the best and most consistent performers on the PGA Tour. He just hasn’t broken through with a victory yet. Quail Hollow has been a great place for elite players to get their first victory. Rory McIlroy, Anthony Kim, Rickie Fowler and Wyndham Clark all notched their first PGA Tour win at Quail.

Throughout Cam Young’s career, he has thrived at tougher courses with strong fields. This season, he finished T16 at Riviera and T9 at Augusta National, demonstrating his preference of a tough test. His ability to hit the ball long and straight off the tee make him an ideal fit for Quail Hollow, despite playing pretty poorly his first time out in 2023 (T59). Young should be comfortable playing in the region as he played his college golf at Wake Forest, which is about an hour’s drive from Quail Hollow.

The 26-year-old has played well at Tom Fazio designs in the past and ranks 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on those courses in his last 36 rounds. Perhaps most importantly, this season, Young is the best player on the PGA Tour in terms of proximity from 175-200 in the fairway, which is where a plurality and many crucial shots will come from this week.

Young is an elite talent and Quail Hollow has been kind to players of his ilk who’ve yet to win on Tour.

Byeong Hun An +5000 (FanDuel)

Byeong Hun An missed some opportunities last weekend at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. He finished T4 and played some outstanding golf, but a couple of missed short putts prevented him from getting to the winning score of -23. Despite not getting the win, it’s hard to view An’s performance as anything other than an overwhelming success. It was An’s fourth top-ten finish of the season.

Last week, An gained 6.5 strokes ball striking, which was 7th in the field. He also ranked 12th for Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th for Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The South Korean has been hitting the ball so well from tee to green all season long and he now heads to a golf course that should reward his precision.

An’s driver and long irons are absolute weapons. At Quail Hollow, players will see plenty of approach shots from the 175-200 range as well as some from 200+. In his past 24 rounds, Ben ranks 3rd in the field in proximity from 175-200 and 12th in proximity from 200+. Playing in an event that will not end up being a “birdie” fest should help An, who can separate from the field with his strong tee to green play. The putter may not always cooperate but getting to -15 is much easier than getting to -23 for elite ball strikers who tend to struggle on the greens.

Winning a “signature event” feels like a tall task for An this week with so many elite players in the field. However, he’s finished T16 at the Genesis Invitational, T16 at The Masters and T8 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The 32-year-old’s game has improved drastically this season and I believe he’s ready to get the biggest win of his career.

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