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Is it time to stop expecting great things from Tiger Woods?

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Members of the crowd could be heard laughing after Tiger Woods topped a shot on the last hole of Round 1 of the U.S. Open at Chambers Bay. And maybe that’s the best recourse for Tiger after such a disappointing start to the season’s second major championship — just laugh it off. But it’s hard to shake the feeling that even Tiger can’t believe how poorly he is playing, and it only seems to be getting worse.

Heading into Friday, Woods finds himself 15 shots behind co-leaders Dustin Johnson and Henrik Stenson. It’s almost certain that he will miss the cut, and his score of 10-over-par 80 in Round 1 was only better than two other golfers in the field, one of which was playing partner Rickie Fowler (+11).

[quote_box_center]”Not very happy, that’s for sure,” Woods said after the round. “It was a tough day…The bright side is I kicked Rickie’s butt today.”[/quote_box_center]

Woods’ body language said that he didn’t feel good about the joke, but what else was there to say? Tiger Woods, a 14-time major champion, hit a handful of good shots mixed in with some of the worst shots anyone has ever seen him hit in a major championship.

Is this what golf fans should come to expect of Woods? At least that’s what the numbers say.

Of Woods’ 36 competitive rounds since the beginning of the 2013-14 season, 23 have been over-par. He’d only shot one score in the 80s on the PGA Tour before 2015, but now has four 80+ rounds. The fall has been so far and so fast that it’s easy to forget that Woods is now many, many fairways over from the No. 1-ranked golfer that he used to be.

For Tiger’s sanity and our own, it’s time to stop expecting great things from his golf game, at least until he seriously contends again. And the last time he did that was…

Isn’t it a shame that we can hardly remember?

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58 Comments

58 Comments

  1. Zyia

    Dec 28, 2015 at 2:40 pm

    Very short description. There is nothing wrong with Tigers game and i truly have knowledge of this. The truth is, that he is under force not to win. And wouldn’t you like to know!

  2. Bobby Cunningham

    Jun 20, 2015 at 10:54 pm

    tigers age is irrelevant. This is 100% mental. I love tiger. It pains me to Him playing like this. No one has the right to criticize decisions in his personal life. But he does need to figure out a medication or a spiritual practice so he can forgive himself. The guy is in the best shape on tour. You can see it on his face. His mind is racing because he puts so much pressure on himself. And then in interviews he points to his swing issues. No one expects tiger to contend anymore. No one was shocked by this weekends performance. He needs some serious mental changes. Until that happens he’ll never win another tournament.

  3. Forsbrand

    Jun 20, 2015 at 3:39 pm

    Tigers brain is fried. He needs to pack his clubs up and take a year off tour. He could visit every country in the world and hold clinics for young aspiring golfers and play one of the top courses with some local dignatories , top amateurs etc. not only is it what woods needs, something different from the norm, but he would be giving back to golf and also would be an excellent revenue drive for charities etc. I feel for Tiger but simply slugging it out on a range 6 hours a day is not going to cure him.

  4. RG

    Jun 20, 2015 at 1:45 am

    Tiger needs to forget technique and find his rhythm.

  5. Booger

    Jun 20, 2015 at 12:36 am

    Yes,yes it’s time. It’s also time to stop writing about him.

  6. Pjm

    Jun 19, 2015 at 5:15 pm

    Tiger needs to step away from the game for 2yrs and figure out his life issues.
    He will return with confidence.

    • Pat M

      Jun 19, 2015 at 8:41 pm

      He should probably take 3 or 4 years off to repair his body and mind. Come back when he is about 45 years old.

  7. Jeff

    Jun 19, 2015 at 4:08 pm

    I know how good he was but man, hasn’t he earned the right to play poorly? Just by his Player’s win in 2013 he’s qualified for lots of golf tournaments. I’m gonna suggest the guy has earned the right to shoot whatever score he shoots.

  8. Golf Pro

    Jun 19, 2015 at 1:06 pm

    The “he’s 40” excuse is getting old. Theres plenty of players out there that are 40+ with only half of Tiger’s talent that are not throwing up 80s everywhere.

    Tigers problem is he became obsessed with swing mechanics and he has no idea how to play by feel. Tiger has loads of talent that has been ruined by Como’s swing mechanics.

    I think this issue will end his career.

    • Christosterone

      Jun 19, 2015 at 2:27 pm

      Vijay comes to mind as a performer in his 40s….his long, languid reverse C was/is the perfect swing for consistency into ones 40s….as shown by Colin Montgomerie and Tom Watson..
      But Vijay’s prolific 40s record is the exception and not the rule…
      Tiger would be lucky to win 50% as regularly as Vijay post 40….

      • Golf Pro

        Jun 20, 2015 at 3:07 pm

        Not that I expect him to win in his 40’s, but Tiger should be able to compete. Jim Furyk is 45 and he’s #3 in the world and known as a short hitter. Does he win? No, but he’s out there almost every week grinding and has some top 15’s.

  9. Carl

    Jun 19, 2015 at 11:26 am

    Click bait

  10. Rich

    Jun 19, 2015 at 10:23 am

    YES.

  11. Kevin

    Jun 19, 2015 at 9:43 am

    It really is odd that he’s striping it so well on the range and then seems to lose control on the course. It is different than the decline Ian Baker Finch had in that way. I don’t think Tiger is finished, but he’s certainly on the wrong side of that razor’s edge that is high level competitive golf. It was harder for me to believe he shot 85 at the Memorial because he was doing ok at places where he had a real comfort level, The Masters is the perfect example. He was always mentally light years ahead of his competition, and this problem seems mental to me since he’s killing on the range. Will be interesting to see how it all plays out.

  12. Mike

    Jun 19, 2015 at 9:19 am

    Golf is a brutal game because TW was one of the greatest golfers in the history of mankind. What was once the best swing in the modern era of golf and produced over a decade of greatness, excitement and countless roars from Augusta to the WGCs has evolved into a swing that struggles to break par. What’s worst is the destruction was self-inflicted. It’s a shame because TW made golf exciting to watch all four days for a very long time and who knows if we’ll ever live to see another great golfer that can win double digit majors.

    • Christosterone

      Jun 19, 2015 at 9:41 am

      Perfectly stated…not to mention he is 40. Jack didn’t win at a 25% clip from 1981-1990 either.
      It’s just what happens.
      That’s life.
      Watching Tiger play like is reminds me of watching Jordan as a sixth man for the Wizards…sad but age slows us all down.
      Woods may still have a few wins in him but we are definitely on the downside of his amazing career.

      • Pat M

        Jun 19, 2015 at 9:51 am

        Was this after MJ was betting on games? Tiger and Stiney need to open the checkbook and pay Butch $5 million a year and Stevie $4 million a year. This is really disgraceful and embarassing,

        • Christosterone

          Jun 19, 2015 at 1:54 pm

          I have no idea to what you are referring.
          Jordan left basketball in 94 and 95 to chase his dream of playing pro baseball for the white sox…
          He hit a respectable .227 considering he hadn’t played since high school.
          Jordan returned to the NBA where he led the Bulls to 3 more championships.
          A few years after his final Bulls retirement he came out of retirement to play for the Wizards where he was a shell of his former self.
          That is the feeling I get watching Tiger. Hope that helps answer your obtuse musings.
          -Christosterone

  13. Christosterone

    Jun 19, 2015 at 9:04 am

    To all the butch acolytes: tiger had a better winning percentage(by far) with Haney.
    So if he should go back to anyone it should be hank. But we know that’s not gonna happen.
    2007 Hoylake was a master class in golf…all 9 shots as Haney put it and putted like a god.
    It is perhaps the loss of Steve Williams that has hurt him…though his age is the primary tool of degradation…
    Anyhow, woods won 5 times just 2 years ago….he will figure it out and eventually pass Snead but jacks 18 seem unattainable on his current trajectory.

    • Christosterone

      Jun 21, 2015 at 11:36 am

      2006 Open Championship….my bad

  14. Greg V

    Jun 19, 2015 at 9:02 am

    Fat tire bike.

  15. Steve

    Jun 19, 2015 at 9:01 am

    Well it could only last 3 more years at this level. After that he wont qualify and most likely will lose his tour card, unless there is a rule for wins or majors I dont know about.
    No one fears Tiger, it is sad that the second greatest golfer of all time is a joke now. Maybe he should just hang it up. When i saw his instructor on the range Tuesday, filming his swing with a phone, then Tiger looking it over. I knew it was over for this tournament. This isnt a swing problem, this is a mental problem. Maybe he should go see a shrink or someone he can clear his mind with

    • Pat M

      Jun 19, 2015 at 9:04 am

      By the end of the year he will be #300th in the world.

    • Chris

      Jun 19, 2015 at 9:20 am

      After you win like 15-20 PGA Tour events, you have your tour card for life. Very important rules you know nothing about

      • JR

        Jun 19, 2015 at 9:51 am

        Its players that have been on the PGA Tour for 15yrs and have at least 20 wins.
        Other players with lifetime exemptions are Vijay Singh, Davis Love III and Tom Watson.
        Tiger is not going way unless he just hangs ’em up…

      • Steve

        Jun 19, 2015 at 10:36 am

        Very important to who? You, me or Tiger? They dont apply to me and i am quessing you also.

    • Golf Pro

      Jun 19, 2015 at 1:11 pm

      He cant lose his card. You clearly know nothing about golf.

      • Steve

        Jun 19, 2015 at 2:10 pm

        I know that is important. I think i will play better knowing this. You seem alittle unloved, tell your boyfriend to clean your balls and shaft.

  16. Greg V

    Jun 19, 2015 at 9:01 am

    He’ll be 40 in December. Many champion golfers have been able to play well in their early 40’s, but Tiger Woods has one thing going against him: the body building. All the upper body work has really caught up with his golf swing; as he nears the end of the back swing, he seems insistent to get the swing over with. The insistence is probably a result of the excess muscle, and the lack of confidence. But Tiger can’t help himself – the lunge from the top is killing him.

    To my eye, that is the difference between his driving range swing and the one that catches up with him on the golf course – the rhythm and tempo are absent on the course as he tries to overpower his shots.

    If he completely changes his approach to working out, and changes his approach on the course, he can play fine golf again. If I were his conditioning coach, I would get him on a fat time bike for 40 minutes a day for conditioning, and I wouldn’t let him near a weight machine. If I were his caddy, I would make him take an extra club and hit the ball softer.

  17. Tom

    Jun 19, 2015 at 8:55 am

    Lets kick a man when he s down …feel better now?

  18. other paul

    Jun 19, 2015 at 8:46 am

    How long until he loses his tour card? Anyone know?

    • Jon

      Jun 19, 2015 at 9:38 am

      He has a lifetime membership, so does Phil.

      • Jon

        Jun 19, 2015 at 10:03 am

        He has a lifetime membership, so does Phil. As for the Majors, he has a lifetime qualification for The Masters and the PGA Championship and exempt for The Open Championship until he is 60. After 2018 TW’s 10 year exemption will expire and he will have to qualify for the US Open.

  19. Matto

    Jun 19, 2015 at 8:05 am

    Stop dipping your head so much, and stop trying to swing so godamn hard.
    Done.

    • MartyMoose09

      Jun 19, 2015 at 9:01 am

      This. Looks like he’s trying to keep up with the young guys and swinging out of his shoes which throws off his balance.

    • Golf Pro

      Jun 19, 2015 at 1:14 pm

      His head dip is only 1/3 of Bubba Watson. And Bubba has no issue. Next..

  20. Patricknorm

    Jun 19, 2015 at 5:48 am

    To Bobby Reyes, time to move on. How Tiger did 2 years ago doesn’t matter anymore. He’s had his back surgically repaired. Clearly there’s a disconnect between his brain and his body under pressure. Right now, Tiger is embarrassing himself in a pathetic manner. So much hatred spewing for Zack. Sometimes the truth hurts or in your case it’s a character debasement. Tiger is many moons away from contending in a major. Sad but true. Go gently Bobby. Quit beating yourself up.

  21. dapadre

    Jun 19, 2015 at 5:43 am

    This is so typical of a Chinese adage:

    There was a man who undertook a journey. About a quarter into the journey people asked where he was going he mentioned the name of the destination but they told him he was going the wrong way. The man told them to mind their business and even belittled them and traveled on. Further during his journey same thing, sir you are going the wrong way, same reaction. On getting to the gates of the city, the gatekeeper of the town asked whom or where he was going to meet in the city. When the man answered the gatekeeper said, Sir you are totally off course. Where you should have gone is the other direction. The man now realizing his mistake asked how do I get there? The gatekeeper said YOU HAVE TO TAKE THE EXACT SAME ROAD BACKWARDS.

    The man has two options. Pretend he didnt hear the gatekeeper and enter the city NEVER reaching his destination OR, Swallow his pride go backwards, take and accept that those he met down the road may laugh and say a I TOLD YOU SO, but at least now he will reach his DESTINATION. We all know which is the wisest to do, but many dont do it.

  22. steven

    Jun 19, 2015 at 4:40 am

    problem is…he is striping it on the range…but can’t take it to the course. too much adrenaline…

    • dapadre

      Jun 19, 2015 at 5:45 am

      The driving range is NO true test of a course.

      • Mo

        Jun 21, 2015 at 11:45 pm

        So true. I see lots of guys bombing it on the range, then see them later in the bush looking for a ball.

  23. Jake Anderson

    Jun 19, 2015 at 4:38 am

    Woods is not a good golfer anymore. His swing is lost and he should retire.

    • adam

      Jun 19, 2015 at 7:57 am

      Is that what happens when you lose a swing? You just up and quit? The guys 40. He needs a sabbatical and quit being so technical with his swing.

      • Pat M

        Jun 19, 2015 at 5:36 pm

        He needs to get his sponsors to pay Butch $5 million to take him back and $4 million to Steve Williams to get him back. My friend is a big Tiger fan and he is blubbering like a baby. He said “I never thought Tiger would be a big loser!”

        Only Butch and Stevie can save Tiger now. Without Stevie – Tiger is a nobody.

  24. The dude

    Jun 19, 2015 at 4:13 am

    Great article Zak! Don’t listen to these wanna be losers ripping the story. Now move on jabronies !!

  25. S

    Jun 19, 2015 at 2:33 am

  26. wendell

    Jun 19, 2015 at 2:12 am

    i hate to say this however this seems like a trolling article if i ever read one. I mean why wasn’t this article about why we shouldn’t be expecting great things from Ben Crenshaw at the Masters?

  27. James Foster

    Jun 19, 2015 at 12:40 am

    Why can’t Woods just call up Butch Harmon and tell him that he needs help? Or what about David Leadbetter? Nick Faldo, Ernie Els and Nick Price. Not a bad CV.

    • dapadre

      Jun 19, 2015 at 5:34 am

      One word: PRIDE. You and I and even Tiger know that Butch would have that swing back in no time. Tiger is trying to ingrate a swing that is clashing with his other swing thoughts.

      • Rogue Golf

        Jun 19, 2015 at 6:46 am

        I worked closely with Butch for a couple of days on his instructional movie a few years ago as of then he said there was no way he would ever teach Tiger again. Tiger insulted him personally in some way, he wouldn’t elaborate but he was open enough to tell me it would never happen, now that was a few years ago and time heals mostly everything but this was nearly a decade since they had parted ways.

        As far as Tiger’s swing goes he is definitely on the right track, he’s getting stuck just like he used to, the club is late his lines are good, he just doesn’t trust it and the only thing that will fix that is more practice. Give the guy some time I know he wants to break Jack’s record but we have to be realistic, put in the time and not worry about the record good things will come.

        • Pat M

          Jun 19, 2015 at 9:03 am

          Tiger could get the money from sponsors like that big shoe company. Pay Butch $5 million a year and Stevie Williams $4 million a year. It has to help. It would sure be better than being a disgrace and a joke.

          • Matt

            Jun 19, 2015 at 9:05 pm

            There is a 0% chance that Butch will ever teach Tiger. Everyone knows about Tiger’s pride so I don’t think he would ever initiate that discussion. More importantly, if you’re Butch Harmon, why would you even want to go back to Tiger? Every jabroni with a keyboard thinks he’s a magical savior who can swoop in and get Tiger back to his dominant ways again. So it’s better to leave everyone thinking thinking that than actually try and end up tarnishing your legacy. Also, it’s not like he’s hurting for students to teach so he doesn’t need the project or probably the money either.

  28. Adam

    Jun 19, 2015 at 12:23 am

    3 wins in 2012, 5 wins in 2013 with 8 top tens in 16 events played. He finished top 20 in the Masters this year.

    He still has the ability to compete, he’s just not doing it. This is the same conversation as in 2009 and he came back then. He’s a little older so I don’t expect he’ll be in the top world rankings anymore but he’s not done.

  29. Dude

    Jun 19, 2015 at 12:23 am

    Such positivity on this forum.

    • stu

      Jun 19, 2015 at 7:15 am

      Tiger is doing great. His swing is coming around. He just has to stick with it! LOL. Feel better?

  30. Pat M

    Jun 19, 2015 at 12:13 am

    He is 200th in the world and possibly even higher. Maybe golf should focus on players playing good golf versus hackers. It’s over.

    • cb

      Jun 19, 2015 at 3:53 am

      Pat M, remember golf is a about traditions and respect. Golf focuses on Tiger because without Tiger golf wouldn’t be where it is today. Ask the young guns who they watched and wanted to be like. They all say Tiger. Oh and the 14 majors and 79 pga tour wins has earned him some respect. Also, a hacker couldn’t finish in the top 20 at the masters.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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