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RBC Canadian Open: Picks and Preview

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After a week across the pond, the PGA Tour heads north of the border to Glen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open. The 7,253-yard Jack Nicklaus designed track will play host to a respectable field, including nine of the top 30 players in the FedExCup standings.

The Canadian Open hasn’t been played at Glen Abbey since 2009. That year, the course played -1.108 strokes to par. Indeed, the winners the last two times the tournament was played at the course were 18-under and 17-under, respectively. Given this, and the predicted absence of poor weather/high winds, scores will be significantly lower than, say, last week’s Open Championship in Scotland.

The course features significant elevation changes (particularly on the “Valley Holes”) and well-bunkered greens that average just 4,000 square feet in size. As such, a premium is placed on accurate approach shots and greens in regulation this week.

Another point of note, since the second World War, only 15 players have won the Canadian Open more than once. With this fact in mind, plus the wide-open nature of the field this week and the post-Open hangovers of top players, we’re not likely to see a player lifting the Royal Canadian Golf Association’s trophy on Sunday who has done so before.

Here’s a look at the prime contenders for Canada’s national open.

Hunter Mahan: 18-1 odds*

Hunter_Mahan_

Although the oddsmakers have Hunter Mahan pegged at slightly worse odds than his fellow American Brandt Snedeker, it’s Mahan who is more likely to leave Canada a winner this week. He tied for fourth at Glen Abbey in 2004, and is thus a legitimate “horse for the course.” He’s also accustomed to making the trip to Canada following the Open Championship, having done it the past several years.

As one of the best pure drivers of the golf ball and a player who hits enough greens in regulation (nearly 67 percent), Mahan has been knocking on the door this year. A top-10 finisher at last week’s Open Championship, the Ping staffer should dominate this week against a comparatively weaker field.

Brandt Snedeker: 12-1 odds

Brandt_Snedeker_RBC_Canadian

A second-round 79 during the Open Championship sunk Brandt Snedeker’s hopes of winning at Muirfield. However, he played well throughout the weekend to finish tied for 11th. Objectively one of the best players in the field, the only question with Snedeker is whether the combination of playing two consecutive weeks and the stress of Open Championship preparation on his injured ribs will compromise his play this week.

If not, the Tennessee native certainly hits enough greens (nearly 68 percent) and putts well enough to win this week.

Graham DeLaet: 28-1 odds

Graham DeLaet of Canada watches his second shot on the 15th hole during the first round of the Memorial Tournament in Dublin, Ohio

What would this list be without a Canadian? DeLaet has only made the cut twice in his four starts at the Canadian Open. He also made the cut at the Open Championship last week, and leads the tour in greens in regulation, which will be a tremendous boon at a course that demands accuracy on approach shots.

DeLaet makes birdies in droves (an average of 3.74 a round) and is in the ascendency. This week could be a breakout week for the Saskatchewan native.

Ernie Els: 28-1 odds

open-ernie-els-muirfield-round-three_2975841

Although the Big Easy wasn’t in danger of defending his title at Muirfield, he’s been in good form lately with four top-six finishes in his last eight starts across all tours. Ernie Els made The Open Championship-to-Canadian Open trip last year, but suffered a post-Open letdown, failing to make the cut.

This year, however, could be a different story. Although nothing about Els’ play in 2013 is statistically overwhelming. He still hits the ball a long way, but only finds 57 percent of fairways and 59 percent of greens. The lack of accuracy off the tee won’t hurt him at Glen Abbey this week, but the lack of precision on approach shots could. Els makes this list because he’s one of the best players in the field and has been playing well recently.

Hideki Matsuyama: 33-1 odds

hideki-matsuyama-saturday_r640

Recipient of a slow-play penalty at The Open Championship, Hideki Matsuyama hopefully travels more quickly than he golfs, or else he won’t make it to Ontario in time to tee off. All joking aside, though, Matsuyama played well at Muirfield, rebounding from the penalty with a final-round 70 and was second in greens in regulation for the week. In his 10 starts as a professional, the young Japanese golfer has logged an impressive nine top 10s.

A penalty for playing too slow on the weekend at a major is ultimately a better sign in the long run from a young player than a frenetic meltdown. Matsuyama is calm, composed, and abundantly talented. As an international talent accustomed to jetting all over the world, flying into Canada this week and winning is a real possibility for the 21-year-old.

*odds according to Bovada.com

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1 Comment

1 Comment

  1. Cyd

    Jul 23, 2013 at 5:44 pm

    What??? No one has picked eldrick to win yet?

    He’s not playing?

    When would that stop the sycophants from picking him to win. According the groupies he will win every tournament every week.

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Photos from the 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans

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GolfWRX is live on site this week at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans for the PGA Tour’s one-and-only two-man team event.

As usual, general galleries, WITBs, and pullout albums — including some pretty spicy custom putters and headcovers — await your viewing.

Be sure to check back for more photos from the Big Easy, as we’ll continue to update this page with additional galleries throughout the week.

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Photos from the 2024 RBC Heritage

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GolfWRX is on site this week at Harbour Town Golf Links on Hilton Head Island for the RBC Heritage. Plenty of golfers who competed in the Masters last week will be making the quick turnaround in the Lowcountry of South Carolina as the Heritage is again one of the Tour’s Signature Events.

We have general albums for you to check out, as well as plenty of WITBs — including Justin Thomas and Justin Rose.

We’ll continue to update as more photos flow in from SC.

Check out links to all our photos, below.

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Photos from the 2024 Valero Texas Open

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GolfWRX is on site this week at the Valero Texas Open.

The event has been around since 1922, making it one of the oldest on the PGA Tour calendar. Over the years, it’s been held at a variety of courses across the Lone Star State, but it’s found its home at TPC San Antonio in recent years. Some of the biggest names in golf have taken home the title here, including Arnold Palmer, Ben Hogan, Lee Trevino, and Ben Crenshaw.

GolfWRX has its usual assortment of general galleries, WITBs and special pull-out albums. As always, we’ll continue to update the links below as more photos come in from TPC San Antonio.

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