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The Real Top 10: WGC-Accenture Match Play Preview

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At 9:25 a.m. Eastern Time Wednesday morning, golf fans will be following and enjoying probably the most exciting wire-to-wire golf event that the professional tours have to offer. The top 64 golfers in the world will be competing head-to-head in a singles match play format where anything can happen. The parallels between this event and NCAA March Madness are obvious, but where the NCAA pulls teams into their national tournament that for the most part have no chance of advancing past the first round, the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship gives us the gift of the top-64 golfers in the world, matched up by four brackets seeded 1 through 16, where the 16-seeds have a very real chance of knocking off a No. 1, and have before.

Last year, we witnessed a fair amount of upsets early with a 16-seed Ernie Els taking down the overall No. 1 in Luke Donald, as well as 15-seed Matteo Manassero taking down 2-seed Webb Simpson, 3 and 2. It also gave us some intriguing late matchups with a Rory McIlroy vs. Lee Westwood semifinal, both 1-seeds in the tournament, and produced an amazing final match between McIlroy vs. Hunter Mahan final, which Mahan emerged victorious.

This year has the look of producing the same amount of excitement. Tiger Woods will be back in the field competing as the second-ranked player in the world, which adds another possibly great storyline to this year’s event that 2012 did not have.

Since the rankings of this even are based off of the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR), let’s highlight the top-10 in the OWGR and look at some of their possible match-ups and make some projections.

Andrew Redington/Getty

1. Rory McIlroy (Jones Bracket)

Rory enters the WGC as 2012’s runner-up and this year’s top-seed. Rory hasn’t played much this year yet, his only worldwide start being in Abu Dhabi where he failed to make the cut. Hopefully Rory has figured out his new Nike equipment and is able to make a similar run that he made in this tournament last year. He plays his first match against another Irishman and a friend in Shane Lowry, who he should take care of fairly easily. If McIlroy is able to play decent golf, there’s no reason why he shouldn’t be able to at least make it to the round of 16.

Andy Lyons/Getty

2. Tiger Woods (Player Bracket)

Everyone is ready for Tiger to get started this week. He takes on Charles Howell III in his first match of the tournament, who has been playing great golf so far this season. The Player Bracket sets up for Tiger to possibly be the hardest bracket to come out of in the tournament. It features a bottom part of the bracket that is loaded with talent, including last year’s champion, Hunter Mahan, and a great young match play player Matteo Manassero, who has the capability of taking anyone down in this tournament. A lot of matches need to go Tiger’s way to have a generally easy road to the final four, but he looks good to get there no matter what.

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3. Luke Donald (Snead Bracket)

It seems like the Snead Bracket could be one of the harder brackets to come out of in this tournament with the kind of talent that sits in certain spots. Donald shouldn’t have a terribly hard time winning his first two matches, but when he has players like Nick Watney, Steve Stricker, Adam Scott and Ian Poulter in his bracket, and could see two of them in back-to-back matches, it could be difficult for Donald to get out of his bracket. Don’t think he can’t take it all though – he won this tournament in 2011, and carries one of the best tee-to-green games in the world.

*Note: Number 4 in the OWGR Brandt Snedeker is not in the field for this tournament.

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4. Louis Oosthuizen (Hogan Bracket)

Heralded as one of the sweetest swinging players in the world, Oosthuizen has been playing great golf so far this year, and has a win at the Volvo Golf Championships on the European Tour. For a No. 1 seed, it looks like Oosthuizen might have the easiest path to the final in a bracket that looks ripe for upsets early. Oosthuizen’s biggest test could come in the bracket championship versus Justin Rose, but the way the top part of the bracket matches up with the bottom part of the bracket, who knows what that final match-up could be, but there’s a good chance that Oosthuizen will be in it.

Justin Rose

5. Justin Rose (Hogan Bracket)

Justin Rose has the look this year so far that he could win a major very soon. He has been striking the ball wonderfully, and has put together some phenomenal rounds of golf so far this year. The bottom of this bracket is vastly different from the top, and it looks like Rose could be upset before the bracket championship considering his matches going to the final four could be K.J. Choi, Bill Haas, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar, Louis Oosthuizen. That could be one of the hardest roads for a top-seeded player to the final four in the entire tournament.

Adam Scott Adam Scott of Australia reaches for a golf ball on the practice ground during the final round of the BMW Championship at Crooked Stick Golf Club on September 9, 2012 in Carmel, Indiana.

Scott Halleran/Getty Images

6. Adam Scott (Snead Bracket)

We haven’t seen much of Adam Scott yet this year, except for his only start on the PGA Tour at the Northern Trust Open, where he finished tied-10. Adam Scott should make quick work of Tim Clark in his first round match, but in his second round match where I project he will be playing Thorbjorn Olesen, he will start having a hard time, and I believe has a good chance to lose in his second match. Scott has shown that he he can go on long runs of playing great golf, but I’m not so sure this is where he starts to show it.

Lee Westwood

7. Lee Westwood (Player Bracket)

Westwood hasn’t had the greatest of starts to his season this year, and has most recently finished tied-46 at Pebble Beach just a couple weeks ago. He doesn’t carry a great match play record, and the match-ups he could face could give him a lot of trouble. I wouldn’t be surprised if he is a first round knockout, but he should be able to get past his first match. He would meet either Martin Kaymer or George Coetzee in the second round, which will be a very tough match for Westwood no matter who he plays in the second round. Seeing him and Tiger in the bracket championship would be a great treat for the viewer though.

*Note: Number 8 in the OWGR Phil Mickelson is not in the field.

Bubba Watson

8. Bubba Watson (Jones Bracket)

There could not be more of a wild card in this top-10 than Bubba Watson. His unpredictability could throw his opponents off tremendously, or it could throw him off as well. His road doesn’t look too bad with a first round match against Chris Wood, and then facing the winner of Jim Furyk and Ryan Moore. I think his hiccup will come when he faces the 3-seed Charl Schwartzel in the third round of the tournament. We never know what Bubba is going to give us, and this week should be no different.

Charl Schwartzel sweeps all before him in Alfred Dunhill Championship

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9. Charl Schwartzel (Jones Bracket)

Schwartzel could be the possible winner of the Jones Bracket. He has been swinging the club as good as he ever has so far this season, and hits a lot of fairways and greens. His bracket championship could end up being against Rory McIlroy, that he could have a very good chance of beating, or maybe no even have to beat at all, depending on how things work out for him. The way that Schwartzel has been striking the ball and the way he is capable of playing in this match play event by being able to put the ball in the hole from everywhere around the green could be a recipe for success.

American golfer Jason Dufner rose to a career-high 14th in the world rankings after winning the HP Byron Nelson Championship.

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10. Jason Dufner (Player Bracket)

Jason Dufner has played pretty well this season so far with two top-10s in Europe and a missed cut at the Phoenix Open. The calm and cool Dufner sits at the bottom part of the bracket which could possibly be labeled the “Bracket of Death”. He will not be able to look past Richard Sterne in his first round match, and if he gets past that, he will have a very rough match to deal with against the Hunter Mahan vs. Matteo Manassero winner. As a good ball striker and a proven winner, Dufner could make some noise in this tournament in a bracket that could see some great golfers leave early.

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Nick is a true New Englander with a love for Boston sports, and carries a deep passion for golf and hockey. He played hockey collegiately, but has since focused mainly on golf. When Nick isn't working on his swing, you can find him sharing his sports opinions, or earning a living as chemist.

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. randywildman

    Feb 22, 2013 at 1:46 pm

    Half of the real top ten is done after the first round in Tucson and Luke Donald should have lost as well.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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