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2023 Indian Open: Betting Tips & Selections

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Whilst the PGA Tour continues its journey through those well-known courses – Torrey Pines, Pebble Beach, Scottsdale, Riviera and now PGA National – their counterparts on the DPWT take in the third of a trio of tournaments held at rarely used tracks, finishing with the Hero Indian Open at the DLF Golf and Country Club.

Despite the gaps in hosting, Amata Spring’s Thailand Classic went to plan, giving some confidence that the puzzle in New Delhi can be equally as comfortable.

Hopefully, we don’t have a similar situation to 2017, when the tour advised us of the might of the 7600+ yard course, leading all to believe it was out of the range of the short-hitting defending champion, SSP (now Shiv) Chawrasia. You know how the story goes.

Golf has moved on plenty in six years, though, and this year’s combatants will face a grind on a tight course with wind swirling all around. Sure, they may do a ‘ MacIntyre’ and hole their tee-shot on the 243-yard par-3 16th hole, but given the last European Tour winner, Stephen Gallacher, won after a quad on his final round card, this is going to be a test that the likes of Green Eagle and co. can only dream of.

Best bet – Pablo Larrazabal

Danger – Thorbjorn Olesen 

It would be simple to put last week’s winner as a one-and-done, and whilst he is the outstanding candidate on form, it is also easy to see him caught on the wrong side of the draw or face a strong gust at the wrong time.

However, on form, whether current or correlative, Olesen remains the one to beat, even at half the price he was seven days ago.

The three winners here from 2017 to 2019 have distinct links between them, and that has to be the starting point for any analysis.

2019 champion Gallacher, who gives hope to the rags here having won after six missed-cuts from seven starts, revels at the Dunhill Links, is even better at the Dubai Desert Classic and takes in Malaysia, Portugal and Scotland on his CV.

2018 finds Matt Wallace trending throughout the desert swing before winning here, his best form coming in Dubai (at both the Desert Classic and DP World) Denmark, Portugal and Scotland, whilst when SSP won he backed up his two best-ever sole European Tour efforts at Wentworth and Valderrama.

The Dane probably doesn’t fit in here after a run of 1/4/16/20/30 but is hard to leave out completely after a resume that sees a gold and silver at the Dunhill Links, a win in Sicily, and high finishes in Qatar, Germany, France and Open championships. He has to be a saver at worst.

Instead of making him the main wager, opt for Pablo Larrazabal in the hope a return to a course he likes can entice just enough improvement out of his game to challenge strongly.

At 39-years-old there may not be much improvement in him, but Pablo can still play the game, winning twice last season when grinding out a play-off win in South Africa and beating compatriot Adrian Otaegui to the one-off ISPS Handa in his home country.

Those victories, however admirable, can’t be knocked even if they may not have relevance to this week’s test. However, the mercurial Spaniard (is there a Spanish golfer that isn’t so?) has some very relevant back-form, winning at tough Le Golf National, Munich, Abu Dhabi and, of course, the Links. Add those to top efforts at Wentworth, Malaysia, Celtic manor and Dubai and the profile is clear.

2023 has started well, making the cut in all four events. Always around the top-20 at his favoured Abu Dhabi, he was inside the top-20 going into payday in Dubai, was 11th after the opening round at Ras, and ninth at the end of day one in Thailand last week.

Pablo can burst into life at any point. His record over the past couple of seasons shows T12 in Tenerife after a pair of missed cuts, 8th in Italy after a mc and withdrawal, and a pair of fifth placings after a couple of weekends off.

Pablo’s two outings around this course have resulted in a fourth place on debut and a top-40 in 2019 when he was in third place after round one.

Consistency, an ability to grind, and maybe a touch of short-game brilliance may be needed this week, and the Spaniard convinces on all of those.

It might also pay to look for Larrazabal to make a fast start.

In his last seven outings, Pablo has finished the opening day inside the top 11, whilst since 2021 he has also led in Qatar and Denmark, been fourth at the Dubai Desert Classic and 7th at Wentworth.

Others – Shubhankar Sharma

There is a danger that Sharma is this week’s Aphibarnrat – that is, to say, a local that seems obvious but ultimatley bombs out.

However, for a six-time winner on his home tour, and a champion at Joburg and at the Maybank, he is more than just the Indian factor, and his form bears the closest scrutiny.

His win in Malaysia saw him beat Qatar stalwart Jorge Campillo (also with form in all the right places) and Larrazabal, whilst he has also recorded top finishes at Wentworth, Denmark and Dubai.

The 26-year-old tends to go in-and-out of form, but in recent months has finished third to Tommy Fleetwood and Ryan Fox at the Nedbank, designed by this week’s architect, Gary Player, recorded a top-10 at Abu Dhabi and a 12th in Saudi.

This is a drop in class from those three events and he arrives having played all three previous tournaments held here, finishing 40th on debut, then 7th and 27th in 2018 and 2019.

In a field that lacks depth, the local player stands out from much of the dead wood.

Others – Jeff Winther

34-year-old Winther took his time winning on the main stage, but after an eight-year gap, finally got over the line when beating Jorge Campillo (hello) and others to the Mallorca Golf Open in 2021.

A win will settle any player, and guaranteed his card for a while, backed that up with 2022 top-10s in Abu Dhabi, in France and when defending his title, whilst a tied-15 in his home country can also be looked at favourably for this week.

The Dane has made two cuts from four outings this year, the 17th in Abu coming after an opening 73/68, which left him outside the top-40 at halfway, whilst he was a lot more consistent, always around about his finishing position of 23rd.

I’m taken that his first three wins on the Nordic Tour were in tough conditions, and whilst two of those were three-round events (won in 8-under and 19-under) his victory at the four-round Tournament of Champions was won in 4-under the card.

The tougher this is, the more the patient player will thrive, and any of his best form over the past 18 months will do just fine.

Others – Jeon Weon Ko

Frenchman Jeon Weon Ko is in the ‘could be anything’ category for this week, but he’ll do for me after progressing through the leagues over the last couple of seasons.

After a handful of amateur victories, the now 24-year-old shown enough on the Alps Tour as an amateur before progressing to the main Challenge Tour events in 2021, a start that included back-to-back top-15 finishes in Cape Town and at the Di-Data.

An opening 4th and a 12th in Finland were the sole highlights for the rest of the year but 2022 was much improved, making 12 of his last 13 starts, including a run of 18/21/5/6/31/22/4/8/2, the last event finding him lead the Swiss Challenge field for three rounds, succumbing only to Daniel Hillier’s final round 64.

Ko’s card was confirmed after a top-five finish at the Grand Final, and he again started his season in South Africa, where a 30th at that country’s Open proved the highlight of three outings.

Better was expected after ending last year with a top five in Mauritius, but we often expect too much and there is nothing much wrong with making two of the three cuts in 2023.

At Ras, Ko finished a never-nearer 28th after hovering around 60th for the first three days, whilst he stayed around the top-50 for his first look at the Thailand Classic.

A look at the weekends off the track finds promise, though.

Opening rounds of 72/73 at the Dunhill Links are more than acceptable, whilst a second-round 68 saw him miss the Singapore cut on the number.

Certainly nowhere near the finished article, if he takes a lead from his career one level down, he’ll hit form at some point, and this course may well suit him judged on the latest stats.

Take the figures with a touch of care but, in the last six recorded outings, the youngster has an average of 9th for off-the-tee stats and top-25 for tee-to-green, something that will work somewhere very soon.

Whetever happens this week, make a note of his name.

Recommended Bets:

  • Thorbjorn Olesen –  WIN 
  • Pablo Larrazabal – WIN AND TOP-5 
  • Shubhankar Sharma – WIN AND TOP-5
  • Jeff Winther – WIN AND TOP-5
  • JW Ko – WIN AND TOP-10
  • Pablo Larrazabal – 35/1 FIRST ROUND LEADER
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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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