19th Hole
2019 U.S. Open betting odds
Brooks Koepka will attempt to do the unthinkable by going back-to-back-to-back at the U.S. Open this week, and the 29-year-old shares the top of the betting market alongside fellow American Dustin Johnson at 8/1.
Rory McIlroy is next in the betting at 9/1 after a brilliant performance at last week’s RBC Canadian Open. Tiger Woods, who recorded a stunning 15-shot victory at the site of this week’s championship back in 2000 is rated as a 12/1 shot.
Jordan Spieth who has hit form once again is an 18/1 chance, as is the Memorial champion – Patrick Cantlay. Major champion’s Justin Rose and Justin Thomas are next in the betting at 25/1.
Check out the full list of 2019 U.S. Open odds (As of June 11) courtesy of BetOnline.ag.
- Brooks Koepka 8/1
- Dustin Johnson 9/1
- Rory McIlroy 9/1
- Tiger Woods 12/1
- Jordan Spieth 18/1
- Patrick Cantlay 18/1
- Justin Rose 22/1
- Justin Thomas 22/1
- Jason Day 25/1
- Jon Rahm 25/1
- Rickie Fowler 25/1
- Xander Schauffele 25/1
- Francesco Molinari 28/1
- Adam Scott 33/1
- Hideki Matsuyama 33/1
- Tommy Fleetwood 33/1
- Brandt Snedeker 40/1
- Bryson Dechambeau 40/1
- Matt Kuchar 40/1
- Tony Finau 40/1
- Webb Simpson 40/1
- Henrik Stenson 50/1
- Paul Casey 50/1
- Phil Mickelson 50/1
- Shane Lowry 50/1
- Gary Woodland 66/1
- Louis Oosthuizen 66/1
- Marc Leishman 66/1
- Martin Kaymer 66/1
- Patrick Reed 66/1
- Sergio Garcia 66/1
- Bubba Watson 80/1
- Graeme McDowell 80/1
- Matt Wallace 80/1
- Ian Poulter 100/1
- Jimmy Walker 100/1
- Kevin Na 100/1
- Matthew Fitzpatrick 100/1
- Tyrrell Hatton 100/1
- Danny Willett 125/1
- Emiliano Grillo 125/1
- Haotong Li 125/1
- Jason Dufner 125/1
- Jim Furyk 125/1
- Keegan Bradley 125/1
- Kevin Kisner 125/1
- Aaron Wise 150/1
- Abraham Ancer 150/1
- Alex Noren 150/1
- Billy Horschel 150/1
- Branden Grace 150/1
- Byeong-Hun An 150/1
- Cameron Smith 150/1
- Charles Howell III 150/1
- Cheng-Tsung Pan 150/1
- Daniel Berger 150/1
- Erik Van Rooyen 150/1
- Lucas Glover 150/1
- Luke List 150/1
- Rafael Cabrera Bello 150/1
- Rory Sabbatini 150/1
- Scott Piercy 150/1
- Si Woo Kim 150/1
- Thomas Pieters 150/1
- Zach Johnson 150/1
- Bernd Wiesberger 200/1
- J.B. Holmes 200/1
- Joel Dahmen 200/1
- Aaron Baddeley 250/1
- Andrew Putnam 250/1
- Chez Reavie 250/1
- Jhonattan Vegas 250/1
- Justin Harding 250/1
- Keith Mitchell 250/1
- Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250/1
- Kyle Stanley 250/1
- Kyoung-Hoon Lee 250/1
- Lucas Bjerregaard 250/1
- Luke Donald 250/1
- Matt Jones 250/1
- Ollie Schniederjans 250/1
- Scottie Scheffler 250/1
- Thorbjorn Olesen 250/1
- Viktor Hovland 250/1
- Harris English 400/1
- Adri Arnaus 500/1
- Alex Prugh 500/1
- Anirban Lahiri 500/1
- Brandon Wu 500/1
- Brian Stuard 500/1
- Chan Kim 500/1
- Chesson Hadley 500/1
- Cody Gribble 500/1
- Collin Morikawa 500/1
- David Toms 500/1
- Dean Burmester 500/1
- Ernie Els 500/1
- Kevin O’Connell 500/1
- Luke Guthrie 500/1
- Marcus Kinhult 500/1
- Merrick Bremner 500/1
- Mikumu Horikawa 500/1
- Nate Lashley 500/1
- Nick Hardy 500/1
- Nick Taylor 500/1
- Patton Kizzire 500/1
- Roberto Castro 500/1
- Ryan Fox 500/1
- Sam Horsfield 500/1
- Sam Saunders 500/1
- Sepp Straka 500/1
- Shugo Imahira 500/1
- Stewart Hagestad 500/1
- Tom Hoge 500/1
- Zac Blair 500/1
- Andreas Halvorsen 750/1
- Chun An Yu 750/1
- Clement Sordet 750/1
- Joseph Bramlett 750/1
- Andy Pope 1000/1
- Austin Eckroat 1000/1
- Billy Hurley 1000/1
- Brendon Todd 1000/1
- Brett Drewitt 1000/1
- Brian Davis 1000/1
- Callum Tarren 1000/1
- Cameron Young 1000/1
- Carlos Ortiz 1000/1
- Chandler Eaton 1000/1
- Charlie Danielson 1000/1
- Chip McDaniel 1000/1
- Connor Arendell 1000/1
- Daniel Hillier 1000/1
- Devon Bling 1000/1
- Eric Dietrich 1000/1
- Guillermo Pereira 1000/1
- Hayden Shieh 1000/1
- Jovan Rebula 1000/1
- Julian Etulain 1000/1
- Justin Walters 1000/1
- Kodai Ichihara 1000/1
- Lee Slattery 1000/1
- Luis Gagne 1000/1
- Marcus Fraser 1000/1
- Matt Parziale 1000/1
- Matthew Naumec 1000/1
- Matthieu Pavon 1000/1
- Michael Thorbjornsen 1000/1
- Mike Weir 1000/1
- Noah Norton 1000/1
- Renato Paratore 1000/1
- Rhys Enoch 1000/1
- Richard H Lee 1000/1
- Rob Oppenheim 1000/1
- Ryan Sullivan 1000/1
- Spencer Tibbits 1000/1
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19th Hole
Vincenzi’s 2024 Wells Fargo Championship betting preview: Tommy Fleetwood ready to finally land maiden PGA Tour title
The PGA Tour season ramps back up this week for another “signature event,” as golf fans look forward to the year’s second major championship next week.
After two weaker-field events in the Zurich Classic and the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, most of the best players in the world will head to historic Quail Hollow for one of the best non-major tournaments of the year.
Last season, Wyndham Clark won the event by four shots.
Quail Hollow is a par-71 measuring 7,521 yards that features Bermudagrass greens. The tree-lined, parkland style course can play quite difficult and features one of the most difficult three-hole stretches in golf known as “The Green Mile,” which makes up holes 16-18: two mammoth par 4s and a 221-yard par 3. All three holes have an average score over par, and water is in play in each of the last five holes on the course.
The field is excellent this week with 68 golfers teeing it up without a cut. All of the golfers who’ve qualified are set to tee it up, with the exception of Scottie Scheffler, who is expecting the birth of his first child.
Past Winners at Quail Hollow
- 2023: Wyndham Clark (-19)
- 2022: Max Homa (-8)
- 2021: Rory McIlroy (-10)
- 2019: Max Homa (-15)
- 2018: Jason Day (-12)
- 2017: Justin Thomas (-8) (PGA Championship)
- 2016: James Hahn (-9)
- 2015: Rory McIlroy (-21)
Key Stats For Quail Hollow
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes gained: Approach will be extremely important this week as second shots at Quail Hollow can be very difficult.
Total SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds
- Akshay Bhatia (+1.16)
- Tom Hoge (+1.12)
- Corey Conners (+1.01)
- Shane Lowry (+0.93)
- Austin Eckroat (+0.82)
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Quail Hollow is a long course on which it is important to play from the fairway. Both distance and accuracy are important, as shorter tee shots will result in approach shots from 200 or more yards. With most of the holes heavily tree lined, errant drives will create some real trouble for the players.
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Past 24 Rounds:
- Ludvig Aberg (+0.73)
- Rory McIlroy (+0.69)
- Xander Schauffele (+0.62)
- Viktor Hovland (+0.58)
- Chris Kirk (+0.52)
Proximity: 175-200
The 175-200 range is key at Quail Hollow. Players who can hit their long irons well will rise to the top of the leaderboard.
Proximity: 175-200+ over past 24 rounds:
- Cameron Young (28’2″)
- Akshay Bhatia (29’6″)
- Ludvig Aberg (+30’6″)
- Sam Burns (+30’6″)
- Collin Morikawa (+30’9″)
SG: Total on Tom Fazio Designs
Players who thrive on Tom Fazio designs get a bump for me at Quail Hollow this week.
SG: Total on Tom Fazio Designs over past 36 rounds:
- Patrick Cantlay (+2.10)
- Rory McIlroy (+1.95)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+1.68)
- Austin Eckroat (+1.60)
- Will Zalatoris (+1.57)
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass)
Strokes Gained: Putting has historically graded out as the most important statistic at Quail Hollow. While it isn’t always predictable, I do want to have it in the model to bump up golfers who prefer to putt on Bermudagrass.
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass) Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Taylor Moore (+0.82)
- Nick Dunlap (+.76)
- Wyndham Clark (+.69)
- Emiliano Grillo (+.64)
- Cam Davis (+.61)
Course History
This stat will incorporate players that have played well in the past at Quail Hollow.
Course History over past 36 rounds (per round):
- Rory McIlroy (+2.50)
- Justin Thomas (+1.96)
- Jason Day (+1.92)
- Rickie Fowler (+1.83)
- Viktor Hovland (+1.78)
Wells Fargo Championship Model Rankings
Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (27%), SG: Off the Tee (23%), SG: Total on Fazio designs (12%), Proximity: 175-200 (12%), SG: Putting Bermuda grass (12%), and Course History (14%).
- Wyndham Clark
- Rory McIlroy
- Xander Schauffele
- Shane Lowry
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Viktor Hovland
- Cameron Young
- Austin Eckroat
- Byeong Hun An
- Justin Thomas
2024 Wells Fargo Championship Picks
Tommy Fleetwood +2500 (DraftKings)
I know many out there have Tommy fatigue when it comes to betting, which is completely understandable given his lack of ability to win on the PGA Tour thus far in his career. However, history has shown us that players with Fleetwood’s talent eventually break though, and I believe for Tommy, it’s just a matter of time.
Fleetwood has been excellent on Tom Fazio designs. Over his past 36 rounds, he ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on Fazio tracks. He’s also been incredibly reliable off the tee this season. He’s gained strokes in the category in eight of his past nine starts, including at The Masters, the PLAYERS and the three “signature events” of the season. Tommy is a golfer built for tougher courses and can grind it out in difficult conditions.
Last year, Fleetwood was the first-round leader at this event, firing a Thursday 65. He finished the event in a tie for 5th place.
For those worried about Fleetwood’s disappointing start his last time out at Harbour Town, he’s bounced back nicely after plenty of poor outings this season. His T7 at the Valero Texas Open was after a MC and T35 in his prior two starts and his win at the Dubai Invitational came after a T47 at the Sentry.
I expect Tommy to bounce back this week and contend at Quail Hollow.
Justin Thomas +3000 (DraftKings)
It’s been a rough couple of years for Justin Thomas, but I don’t believe things are quite as bad as they seem for JT. He got caught in the bad side of the draw at Augusta for last month’s Masters and has gained strokes on approach in seven of his nine starts in 2024.
Thomas may have found something in his most recent start at the RBC Heritage. He finished T5 at a course that he isn’t the best fit for on paper. He also finally got the putter working and ranked 15th in Strokes Gained: Putting for the week.
The two-time PGA champion captured the first of his two major championships at Quail Hollow back in 2017, and some good vibes from the course may be enough to get JT out of his slump.
Thomas hasn’t won an event in just about two years. However, I still believe that will change soon as he’s been one of the most prolific winners throughout his PGA Tour career. Since 2015, he has 15 PGA Tour wins.
Course history is pretty sticky at Quail Hollow, with players who like the course playing well there on a regular basis. In addition to JT’s PGA Championship win in 2017, he went 4-1 at the 2022 Presidents Cup and finished T14 at the event last year despite being in poor form. Thomas can return as one of the top players on the PGA Tour with a win at a “signature event” this week.
Cameron Young +3500 (DraftKings)
For many golf bettors, it’s been frustrating backing Cam Young this season. His talent is undeniable, and one of the best and most consistent performers on the PGA Tour. He just hasn’t broken through with a victory yet. Quail Hollow has been a great place for elite players to get their first victory. Rory McIlroy, Anthony Kim, Rickie Fowler and Wyndham Clark all notched their first PGA Tour win at Quail.
Throughout Cam Young’s career, he has thrived at tougher courses with strong fields. This season, he finished T16 at Riviera and T9 at Augusta National, demonstrating his preference of a tough test. His ability to hit the ball long and straight off the tee make him an ideal fit for Quail Hollow, despite playing pretty poorly his first time out in 2023 (T59). Young should be comfortable playing in the region as he played his college golf at Wake Forest, which is about an hour’s drive from Quail Hollow.
The 26-year-old has played well at Tom Fazio designs in the past and ranks 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on those courses in his last 36 rounds. Perhaps most importantly, this season, Young is the best player on the PGA Tour in terms of proximity from 175-200 in the fairway, which is where a plurality and many crucial shots will come from this week.
Young is an elite talent and Quail Hollow has been kind to players of his ilk who’ve yet to win on Tour.
Byeong Hun An +5000 (FanDuel)
Byeong Hun An missed some opportunities last weekend at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. He finished T4 and played some outstanding golf, but a couple of missed short putts prevented him from getting to the winning score of -23. Despite not getting the win, it’s hard to view An’s performance as anything other than an overwhelming success. It was An’s fourth top-ten finish of the season.
Last week, An gained 6.5 strokes ball striking, which was 7th in the field. He also ranked 12th for Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th for Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The South Korean has been hitting the ball so well from tee to green all season long and he now heads to a golf course that should reward his precision.
An’s driver and long irons are absolute weapons. At Quail Hollow, players will see plenty of approach shots from the 175-200 range as well as some from 200+. In his past 24 rounds, Ben ranks 3rd in the field in proximity from 175-200 and 12th in proximity from 200+. Playing in an event that will not end up being a “birdie” fest should help An, who can separate from the field with his strong tee to green play. The putter may not always cooperate but getting to -15 is much easier than getting to -23 for elite ball strikers who tend to struggle on the greens.
Winning a “signature event” feels like a tall task for An this week with so many elite players in the field. However, he’s finished T16 at the Genesis Invitational, T16 at The Masters and T8 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. The 32-year-old’s game has improved drastically this season and I believe he’s ready to get the biggest win of his career.
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19th Hole
DP World Tour pro has score improved after round following bizarre rules situation
As originally reported by Ryan French of Monday Q Info, a DP World Tour player was impacted over the weekend by a peculiar rules situation.
Ivan Cantero was playing the Volvo China Open when he hit an errant tee shot on the 13th hole. Cantero was unsure if the ball was in play or not, as it went towards a jungle area, so he played a provisional.
French confirmed with a rules official that the provisional was legal due to the fact that the player didn’t know whether the ball was in play or not.
Cantero’s original ball was found in the penalty area, which should have rendered his provisional irrelevant.
A rules official then told Cantero he could no longer play his original ball because he hit a provisional.
French shares that Cantero asked for a second opinion and was given the same (incorrect) answer. He went on to play his provisional and made a long par putt on the par 5.
After the round, the rules officials realized their mistake and decided to take a stroke away from the player, changing the par to a birdie.
The report cites rule 20.2 in the Rules of Golf.
“If a ruling by a referee or the Committee is later found wrong, the ruling can be corrected if possible under the Rules. If it is too late to do so, the ruling stands.”
The score change resulted in Cantero making the cut on the number and he then rallied on Saturday to finish in 23rd place after a weather-shortened event.
More from the 19th Hole
- Phil Mickelson drops big retirement hint; Says LIV will grow the game “on a much more global basis”
- 2-time major champ announces shock retirement from the sport at age of 33
- Tiger explains why golf has “negative connotations” for daughter Sam
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19th Hole
‘F*** around and find out’ – Phil Mickelson fires warning shot over LIV’s access to majors in since-deleted tweet
On Sunday, the social media account “Flushing It” made a post about the importance of LIV Golf ensuring that their players have major championship eligibility going forward.
Never has there been a more obvious example of the immediate issue LIV faces than today. The Volvo China Open was played for a $2.25 million purse and several players qualified for the PGA Championship at Valhalla. LIV Golf Singapore played for a purse more than 10 times that…
— Flushing It (@flushingitgolf) May 5, 2024
“LIV can have the grandest of plans for their future but getting players access to major championships should be their number 1 priority. Especially with the major exemptions running out fast and nearly all player contracts up for renewal this year and next.”
Phil Mickelson then responded to the post, warning the golf world that excluding LIV players from majors will have unintended consequences, saying “FAAFO” which means “f*** around and find out”.
“Maybe some LIV players won’t be missed. But what if NONE of the LIV players played? Would they be missed? What about next year when more great players join? Or the following year? At some point they will care and will have to answer to sponsors and television. FAAFO”
His post has since been deleted, but there are plenty of screenshots out there.
??????? #FAAFO — LIV Golf star Phil Mickelson has sent a clear message to the powers that be, when it comes to LIV players and their access into majors: “F—k around and find out.”@flushingitgolf | @PhilMickelson pic.twitter.com/kVEL7VR6UN
— NUCLR GOLF (@NUCLRGOLF) May 5, 2024
It will be easier said than done, but it does appear that some sort of agreement between LIV and the majors could be coming in the future if the PGA Tour and LIV aren’t able to mend fences.
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