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The Dan Plan: First 2013 Tournament

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This past weekend, I participated in the first tournament of the Portland, Ore. season. It’s called the Iceberg Open and is a two-day event that typically is held in heavy downpours and generally inclement weather. This year there was a pleasant break in the Portland winter and the Open was held on almost golf-like weathered days.

It was the sixth tournament I have ever entered and a good way to kick off the season. Last year my first tourney was in mid-April at Pumpkin Ridge Golf Course and was a nerve-wracking experience where a film crew from ABC “Nightline,” a local CBS affiliate, my own camera crew and an Associated Press writer all followed intently interested in how I would perform on the first big day out. At the time, I had only played golf with a full set of clubs for 3.5 months and was as nervous as humanly possible while playing the game. It’s not exactly the same scale, but I knew what Rory must have felt like on his final round at the 2011 Masters. Okay, that’s stretching it a bit, but it was pressure unlike I had ever felt before in the game.

This go around I was (not going to lie) nervous to tee it up, but far calmer than 11 months prior. I had put in about 1,000 more practice hours since teeing it at Pumpkin Ridge and knew that I was a way more capable golfer. The first tee shot, though, was a blast of uncertainty.

The back story: I had been struggling with my driver for the past few months, maybe ever since first swinging a driver on Nov. 12, 2011, and had been trying out different types to see what best fit my swing. Nike had provided my original gear and had fit me for one of its VRS drivers, but it never felt right to me. Despite not having ever swung anything other than a couple Nike drivers, I just knew deep down that something wasn’t right. To experiment, I picked up a TaylorMade RBZ driver with a Rul 60-gram shaft and for a while it felt great. But, four months and countless workout sessions later, both on the range and in the gym, the tip of that shaft was feeling like a bull whip and it was time to move on in my driver quest to something a bit stiffer.

Last month I went down to Titleist to get a wedge fitting at Oceanside (see my blog for a full debriefing on that experience) and while there I got to play a round with the new Titleist 913 with a Graphite Design Tour AD-6x shaft in it. I had literally never swung anything that felt so good and immediately I trusted it to produce the results that I thought it should. Granted, the X was a bit too stiff for me, as I swing the driver at about 105 mph, but the overall feel was incredible. I returned to Portland and knew that I needed to find my driver. I tried everything, but couldn’t find that feel that I had with the 913. My home course, Columbia Edgewater Country Club, was scheduled to get the 913 lefties in soon so I was waiting for its arrival to try what I thought would be the driver for me. I had almost four weeks until the Iceberg Open and assumed that it would come in time to try out for the tourney. But, the demo lefty never showed up and a few days before the tourney I was still without a driver that I trusted or enjoyed hitting.

devotion

Thursday before the tourney, I pulled out a demo TaylorMade R1 with an Oban Devotion shaft. The demo day fitters set it up to be 2-degrees open and toe heavy to help the face shut, which seemed a little odd to me, but they were the fitters to I trusted them to do their job. That day it hit all right and I figured it was good enough to stick in the bag, but the next day I couldn’t hit it to save my life.

My tee shots both on the course and on the range were all over the place and I was mystified as to why. I decided to sleep on it and had dreams throughout the night about missing drives into water and forests. Not the way you want to wake up the morning of the first tournament. My tee time was 10:45 a.m., so I went to the range in the morning to warm up before heading to Rose City. I worked through all my clubs and felt good then pulled out the big stick. Again I could not hit it. Nothing seemed to work and at this point it didn’t matter if it was the driver or the swing as I had zero confidence in either one. Not knowing what to do I switched the heads and stuck an RBZ on the Devotion shaft. Still nothing. With 30 minutes until my tee time and a 20-minute drive to the club, I had to make a decision: Leave the driver out of the bag or run home and grab my old Nike.

I never particularly liked the Nike, but I did know its profile and knew my misses with it. Having that knowledge I felt that it was the smarter move to grab it for the longer holes. Another slight issue was that I didn’t have a 3-wood and my longest club in the bag besides driver was a 3-hybrid. That’s an entirely different story, though, and one that remedied itself the day after the event. With just a few minutes to spare, I grabbed the Nike and headed to the Iceberg, making it there in time to roll a few putts then kick of tournament golfing season here in Portland.

nikedriver

What would be surprising at this point is if I hit the ball halfway decent with the driver. I’d totally destroyed any confidence I may have ever had with it and basically committed one of the seven deadly sins by switching up so many things literally the hour before my tee time. To recap the front nine: On No. 1, pulled the driver right. On No. 2 hooked it hard right. On No. 4, sliced it short left. On No. 6, blocked it far left. On No. 7, pull hooked it right. On No. 9, pulled it into the trees right. By the time I made the turn I had successfully missed every drive by a significant amount of space and was getting worn down from punching the ball out so many times.

On the back, I put the big stick away for good and decided to tee it with the 3-hybrid. I birdied No. 10 and was off to a much better start. All in all, I shot 6-over on the front and 3-over on the back, all of those back 9 strokes caused by non-tee shot related swings.

The good news is that an 81 tied the best I had ever shot in a tournament round and last year when I carded that score on one of the eight tourney rounds that I played in, it was by the skin of my yellow country teeth. This go around I kind of shot myself in the foot before the first swing, but still pulled off a tied personal record tourney round.

For both rounds I relied on my new Vokey wedges and SeeMore putter to score. I missed more than my share of fairways and greens, but scrambled well and knowing that is possible is a huge boost of confidence for the overall game. I had 25 putts the first day and 26 the second. A lot of that is because I only hit about 10 greens in regulation during 36 holes, but sometime you just don’t hit the ball well and you still have to find a way to get it in the hole. I shot an 81 on the second day when the course was set up much harder and was happy to have tied my record tourney round twice in a row. It was good enough for seventh place net, which managed to pay $225.

What did I learn from this experience? It doesn’t matter what you put in your bag, it matters how much you trust what’s in the bag. It is crucial to have the right gear, and there is nothing more right than a club that you love. I love my wedges and my putter and whenever they are in my hands I feel like I’m going to make the shot. With the driver there is no feel right now. When I get it out of the bag I can’t help but think “Where are you going to go this time?” The game is hard enough on it’s own, why make it harder with doubt?

I have decided that in order for me to develop the most trust in my clubs I need to return to Oceanside, Calif., for a full club fitting at Titleist. I was blown away by the wedge fitting that I had there last month and can’t imagine entrusting the rest of my sticks to anyone but the best. I booked a date to head back there for a full fitting on April 25. Until then, I will continue to play around with different drivers as well as work on my timing as I know that is a crucial part when the ball starts heading both left and right.

It has taken me about a year to realize how important gear is in this wonderful game. The biggest realization I have had during that time is that building a trusting relationship with each stick is crucial to being the best golfer you can be. I’m glad for this experience and despite the fact that I coulda/woulda/shoulda, I learned a ton from last weekend and am going to be a better golfer from that experience.

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Dan decided in April 2010 to quit his job and, with zero previous experience in the game, dedicate 10,000 hours of practice to golf. Follow his journey as he discovers how practice translates into success. Learn more about Dan on his website, thedanplan.com Twitter: @thedanplan Facebook: facebook.com/thedanplangolf

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Ben

    Aug 2, 2014 at 5:23 am

    Top work Dan. I noticed you are now accepting donations? Have you considered lessons/ motivational speaking ect to supplement your quest? I have massive respect for your resolve, resilience and perseverance. You will play in a pga tour event- possibly at a Brown Deer Park, Milwaukee, where you will realise your dream and make the cut. Stay focused.

  2. Martin

    Apr 29, 2013 at 8:54 am

    You weight the heel for a draw bias not the toe. So if they put weight in the toe they created a fade bias.

    But you probably suspected that!

  3. Pingback: On The Radio Tomorrow and Other News

  4. Kadin Mahmet

    Apr 20, 2013 at 10:10 am

    I’m definitely excited to see the end result! Keep up the good work!!

  5. Jack

    Apr 19, 2013 at 9:45 pm

    Nice progress! Sometimes I feel like it’s not just hours, but also the time to digest. The driver will come along soon enough and you’ll have the short game to pair with it for low scores!

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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