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19th Hole

Why this PGA Tour star is the best bet to win the 2023 Memorial Tournament

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After a Charles Schwab Challenge that saw the elite players beaten by Emiliano Grillo and Adam Schenk, it should be back to business at the top-class Memorial Tournament, where a tough 7500-yard layout asks questions of the best in the world, who very often show their quality.

Despite changes to the course in 2020 and beyond, designer Jack Nicklaus continually expects that, “The game should challenge every facet of every club in the bag,” and recent winners prove it.

Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Cantlay, Jon Rahm, Patrick Cantlay (should have been Rahm) and even Billy Horschel read like a who’s-who of top-class winners, each one firmly inside the top-20 by the end of their winning season, with BDC, Cantlay and Rahm inside the top-10.

The defending champ advised that, “Putting the ball in the fairway is crucial, to start with. But having control of your second shot, it’s a very second-shot golf course in my opinion,” while Rory McIlroy suggested this was more open that most courses – “I feel like a lot of the fairways here pinch in around 310, so it allows the sort of average hitters to hit driver.”

Course specialist Cantlay suggested the advantage of length had been taken away, saying, “So with the new length on all these par-5s, it’s a lot of laying up,” and Rory agreed, commenting on the re-design, “I think what’s happened here is everyone is just now playing from the same spot with their second shot.”

Length helps here, but it is certainly not as important as many other courses. Find the fairway, because missing it means an awkward lie into small greens that won’t hold the ball. Elite they may be but recent specialists hold an unsurprising link to the majors, in particular Augusta, something Rahm showed in excellent fashion when winning this year’s green jacket.

It happens a few times a year. Not many, maybe around three or four, but, for the win, this is a one-and-done deal.

Full respect to favourite Scottie Scheffler, putting up tee-to-green figures not seen for many a year. He doesn’t seem to have a lull in quality, unlike his chief market rival Rahm, but his short game is letting him down. At 6/1 I’m happy to see him go close but not cross the line in front.

Rahm is a course specialist who would have gone back-to-back in 2020 and 2021, but for having to withdraw when clear at the furlong pole. He has lulls in his form though, as when 10th here last year and recently when slowly away at Harbour Town, and down the pack at Oak Hill, when his tetchy again came to the fore. In between, Tony Finau beat the Spaniard, when he attempted to defend his Mexico Open title, and is another that must go close but has his niggling doubts.

McIlroy looked better at Oak Hill last time, raising his game but still finishing outside any challenging position. This seems a theme at the moment, and I’d like to see him in contention for a full weekend before being on, whilst Xander Schauffele continues to knock on doors without being let in.

Given these four are approximately 6/4 combined to get the job done, those niggling doubts lead me to a player for which two events stand out every year.

Patrick Cantlay – stand up, it’s your year! Again.

He may not have won yet this year but the 31-year-old heads into this week having made his last eight cuts in 72-hole events, posting four top-five finishes and a worst finish of 21st at Quail Hollow, a course he has never taken to in any of his three tries.

Third at Riviera, fourth at Bay Hill, third at Harbour Town and top-10 at Oak Hill all highlight a player at the top of his game, particularly as the finishing positions were all higher than at any point during the respective tournaments, something that repeats his effort at Muirfield last year when coming from 48th after round one, to land his fourth top five in seven Memorial starts.

In between, the eight-time PGA Tour winner landed his fourth top-two finish at the Shriners, and was in the final two pairings at Augusta, when the slow-play furore did him no favours on the back-nine on Sunday.

Despite Scottie’s stats, the three-month tracker has Cantlay firmly in front with a ranking of 2nd for total driving, 3rd for ball-striking and an overall 1st for total accuracy.

Look deeper and he is 15th for greens-in-regulation, 2nd for putting average, 14th for par-4s and 3rd for the par-5s, all stats that work amongst the elite.

In six runs at Muirfield – in all its guises and including the one-off Workday Open – he has an average finish of 12.7, his two wins and three top-seven finishes spoilt by a 35th on debut and 32nd in 2020, averaging just under +3 off-the-tee, over +5 for approaches and +9 shots for tee-to-green. Those numbers mean the selection ranks in the top-15 for all the above, plus 13th for putting taking the flat-stick numbers over the last four years.

Winning the Zozo at Sherwood from Rahm and Justin Thomas showed he wasn’t just a Muirfield-positive Nicklaus fiend and, although he was the chief beneficiary of Rahm’s withdrawal here in 2021, he still had to hold off Collin Morikawa, a player that had won the Workday Open around here and who went on to be fourth to Rahm at the US Open (Cantlay 15th) and then won The Open Championship on the bridle.

I will look at top-10 bets for the likes of Shane Lowry, impressing with his ball-striking, and Sungjae Im, a player that suits the plodding type of track, but for win purposes only one player suffices.

Recommended Bet:

Patrick Cantlay  

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19th Hole

Gary Player claims this is what ‘completely ruined’ Tiger Woods’ career

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While speaking with KW Golf, golf legend Gary Player said that he believes swing coaches ruined the career of Tiger Woods.

“The US Open at Pebble Beach, he won by 15 shots. You know what that’s like? It’s like running the 100 meters in seven seconds. The next week, he’s having a lesson from a man who, I don’t think, if he played in the Masters, could break 80.”

“And then he goes to another guy who couldn’t probably break 85 in the Masters with the pressure, or the British Open or the PGA on the final day. And he’s having lessons from them.”

“Why did Tiger do that? He was so good, but I understand he wanted to get better,” Player went on. “If he had just gone along and never changed, he would have won at least 22.. He would’ve gone down as the greatest athlete the world has ever seen.”

In 2008, Woods had won 14 majors and was 33 years old. It would take him eleven years to win his 15th at the 2019 Masters.

In addition to the swing coach issue, there are many other issues throughout the career of Woods that golf fans will look back on and wonder “what if.”

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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19th Hole

LIV star splits with swing coach after working together for 14 years

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After fourteen years together, LIV Golf’s Adrian Meronk has decided to part ways with his swing coach, Matthew Tipper.

On Monday, Tipper announced the split via social media.

“After 14 years sometimes things just come to an end. Last week Adrian decided he wanted to go a new way and I have to respect that decision. I’m proud of everything we achieved together.

“I knew in 2010 he was a great talent and he has only gone to prove that all over the world. To Pietro Gobinho and Stuart Beck, thank you for being amazing caddies when Adrian needed you. Your support and co-operation has been invaluable and I thank you both.

“I want to publicly thank Adrian for allowing me to sit in the best seat in the house for 14 years.

“It’s now time to start my new chapter in the USA alongside my mentor James Sieckmann and I’m excited to go to my first Korn Ferry Tour event later next month. As always tomorrow we begin again.”

Meronk is having a poor season by his standards on LIV. The reigning DP World Tour player had some solid finishes early in the year, finishing T9 and T6 at LIV Las Vegas and LIV Jeddah, but missed the cut at the Masters and has failed to crack the top-10 in his past three LIV starts.

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