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Opinion & Analysis

The top-5 newsmakers of 2022

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Check out my rundown of the the top-5 news-making golfers of 2022.

1. Cameron Smith

2022 was one hell of a year for golf, but one subject dominated the first half, and may continue to do so over the next 12 months.

Like it or loathe it, LIV was monumental news, and there are probably half a dozen names that could make the top spot in this column. For me, Aussie Cam Smith tops the lot.

Having shown progression and winning form on the PGA Tour over the past 24 months, Smith raised his game last season, following up back-to-back wins at his home PGA Championship and the pairs competition, the Zurich Classic of New Orleans, and the Sony Open.

A stunning 34-under win at the Tournament of Champions, victory at the prestigious Sawgrass and a fourth top-10 at Augusta saw the 29-year-old make his way comfortably inside the top 10 in the world rankings, becoming one of the main challengers to Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy for the number one slot.

Then the rumblings began.

Having already secured major winners such as Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka, the LIV rumor mill went into overdrive, strongly indicating that Smith and former Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama were the next targets. Most golf fans would have seen the Japanese player’s loss of form and would have expected him to make the leap over the now very progressive Aussie.

And then the most bizarre week.

Although fate looked to have nearly secured a St. Andrews victory for Rory McIlroy, both he and Viktor Hovland saw a four-shot overnight lead vanish down the stretch, with Smith simply out-playing them and performing beautifully on and around the hallowed putting surfaces.

After a best-of-the-day 64 had won the most famous trophy in golf, the Claret Jug, Smith faced a barrage of questions about where he went from this victory, with the push towards revealing whether he was a “yeah” or “no” to LIV.

It was a strange reply: “My team around me worries about all that stuff.” He convinced very few.

Of course, it would never stop there, and as the Aussie made his way to two of the three FedEx events (he pulled out of the middle one — the BMW — due to “injury”) he was constantly batting away the reporter’s questions.

He might have said, “I’m ready to cop some heat,” before continuing, “I understand what I’ve said, but as I said, I’m here to play to win the FedEx Cup Playoffs. That’s my number one goal, and whatever happens after that will come from me.” He might also have tried unconvincingly to detract from compatriot Cameron Percy’s view that both he and Marc Leishman were “gone,” but few took his side and at the end of August LIV confirmed they had landed their biggest catch to date.

Smith was clear about his reasons. He stated the signing was a “business decision,” whilst also mentioning that the worldwide LIV schedule was far more appealing:

“I’ve lived over here seven years now, and I love living in the U.S., but just little things like missing friends’ weddings, birthday parties and seeing your mates having a great time at rugby league games has been tough.”

Since joining the rebel tour, Smith has won once from five starts on LIV, with total earnings of just over $7 million, and turned up to dominate the Australian PGA for his third win in five years at the event, a tournament he enjoyed replaying in his local.

In his final event of the year, Smith missed the cut at the Australian Open, but that can’t take away the fact he’s had a year in every respect. Had he continued on the PGA Tour, he would have been news. The fact he didn’t make him even more so.

Unlike many of his fellow jumpers, Smith was getting better by the month and was on his way to the number one slot pretty soon. It will be up to the OWGR, but that he may still do makes him very much news of 2022 and 2023.

2. Lydia Ko

It’s a rare thing to keep top form going for five, 10, 15 years, and more. Players launch out of the blocks, but many have also suffered long periods of, well, nothing.

The PGA Tour may have had its young winners in recent years (Spieth, Wolff, Morikawa and Kim), but the LPGA outdoes them by several handfuls, with players such as Brooke Henderson, Lexi Thompson, Paula Creamer, and Morgan Pressel winning events before they were 19 years of age and again suffering long periods when the game just goes.

Lydia Ko, back-to-back winner of the Canadian Open at 15 and 16 years of age, trumps all those names and, despite the total of 19 LPGA wins over 10 years, 2022 was definitely her best yet.

The 25-year-old Korean-born superstar has only won five times since a stellar 2016, but three came this year, winning on her second outing of the year — the Gainbridge LPGA — and at two of her last three outings at the BMW Ladies and prestigious Tour Championship (final round highlights here).

Throughout the 22 events of her season, Ko made every weekend, winning three times and recording nine further top-five finishes to win her first Player of the Year award since 2015. Top that with a return to world No. 1 in what might be the densest LPGA field of all time, and we have a newsmaker making the right type of news.

Ko continues to tinker with her game, recently opening up on the amicable split with Sean Foley, but she’s rarely been happier.

Due to marry her fiance Chung Jun in the off-season, Ko appears more relaxed than she ever has been, and having led the scoring average, strokes-gained-total and been in the top three for scrambling and putting, she may find herself in this column in 12 months time.

3. Ashleigh Buhai

When Ashleigh Buhai won the 2022 Women’s Open at Muirfield in August, she made history by becoming the first (modern-day) South African player to win the event since Alison Sheard in 1979, and only the second female major champion after Sally Little won two at either end of the 1980s.

A noted amateur, Buhai has taken her time winning tournaments, her second victory coming four years after the Catalonia Ladies Masters, whilst her win at her home Open came in 2018, seven years later.

None of those events were particularly close, with a winning margin of at least two, so as she opened up a five-shot lead (courtesy of a 65/64 blitz) going into Sunday, signs looked promising, as did her Open record — a tied-5th and 11th being her two best major finishes in 43 outings.

Three ahead with a handful of holes to play, including the gettable par-5 17th, the engraver was ready to start his job, until a disastrous treble-bogey on the 15th.

Opens are never meant to be easy and when the 33-year-old lost that substantial lead, she faced the prospect of a playoff against In-Gee Chun, a three-time major winner who just two months prior had won the Women’s PGA from two former major champions.

It looked a tough task for the pre-event 200/1 chance against one of the more fancied players, but in an epic battle that went to the fourth extra hole, the less-fancied player proved far the hardiest.

Both had chances to win the decider, and as they approached the 18th yet again, both looked fatigued.

In-Gee found her tee shot drift off the fairway into a bunker, meaning she had to chip out, hit a long hybrid shot and attempt a difficult par save, whilst her opponent’s approach looked to have found one of those golf lies in the back half of an island bunker to the right of the green, facing what appeared to be a much tougher par save.

With In-Gee 15 feet short of the pin, Buhai needed to get closer to the pin and put the onus on the Korean. Under the most extreme pressure, Buhai created a chip shot of beauty, landing perfectly on the green and rolling out to around two feet. In-Gee missed her putt, the South African couldn’t, announcing the victory as “life-changing.”

Not only was the exhausting effort worthy of being a news headline, but the antics of her husband, David, were also worthy of note. Usually caddying for Jeongeun Lee6, he’d clearly had a bit too much of the local brew and couldn’t quite hide either his nerves or delight as the play-off ended in victory for his better half. It would not be another wait for her next title, and just four months later, Buhai ended her year with a victory at the ISPS Handa Women’s Australian Open, coming from one behind another former major winner in Jiyai Shin, who missed a five-footer to tie. This time, Dave had to be a tad quieter — he was on the bag.

4. Tom Kim

In a year that was preoccupied with talk of how much money players were getting or needed, golf needed a lift.

There were the heroic social media stances taken by the likes of Max Homa and Joel Dahmen, both among many that provided a chuckle of three, but on the course, nobody made more of an impact than Joohyung Kim, for whom typists will forever be grateful is better known as Tom.

Through a convoluted qualifying path that included a third place at the Scottish Open, Kim was granted Special Temporary Membership to the PGA Tour and immediately secured his card with a seventh at the Rocket Mortgage Classic after a final round 63. All that after having to birdie his 36th hole to make the cut.

“It means everything,” he said after gaining his license for 2022/23. “Every day I’ve played golf, I’ve thought about playing on the PGA Tour. It was nothing else.”

Already the youngest player inside the OWGR top-50, a week later, the 20-year-old became the only winner of a PGA Tour event that had started their tournament with a quadruple bogey, eventually firing a final round 61 to earn a stunning five-shot victory.

The first two FedEx events didn’t quite match that standard, with a lowly effort at the BMW meaning he missed the Tour Championship.

However, in a mix of established stars, Kim shone out at the Presidents Cup.

Golf Digest tells the tale of the per-tournament press conference:

“When a reporter asked him if he had taken any inspiration from Y.E. Yang’s win over Tiger Woods at the 2009 PGA Championship, and whether that formula of taking down a juggernaut might have echoes in the International Team’s monumental task of beating the Americans.

“Kim took the air out of that narrative quickly—he said he was a Tiger fan growing up and didn’t want Yang to win. Later, he added that even as a seven-year-old, he was disappointed in Yang’s win because he wanted to be the first Korean to win a major.”

Kim may have gone 2-3-0 in the team event, but in winning a foursome (against Scottie and Sam Burns) and one fourball (versus Patrick Cantlay and Xander), he showed that golf can be fun!

Kim could not have started the 2022/23 wrap-around season any stronger, with a comfortable three-shot victory at the Shriners, easily holding off course specialist Cantlay, who simply tried too hard to catch the leader. In doing so, Kim became the first winner since Tiger to win two PGA events before the age of 21.

Subsequent efforts include a 25th at the Zozo, 11th at the CJ Cup and a year-ending fourth place in Japan before taking finishing 10th at the Hero World Challenge, where he co-led after the first round and ‘officially’ met his hero Tiger Woods.

Kim’s ascendancy to the top 15 in the world is no fluke.

He won the Asian Tour Order of Merit before immediately making an impact at the highest level, his approach stats are as good as anyone out there, he openly loves the game, and he’s nicknamed after children’s cartoon hero Thomas The Tank Engine.

In a year when many of the best-known golfers shed fans by the bucket load, Tom Kim is the perfect antidote.

5. Matt Fitzpatrick

Until this year, Matt Fitzpatrick had recorded only one top-10 in 23 attempts at a major.

Whilst the 28-year-old had won seven European Tour events, he had never won on the PGA Tour, with many observers, and Fitz himself, acknowledging his lack of length was an issue. Those runner-up finishes at Bay Hill at this year’s Wells Fargo were no surprise given his class, but there was something just missing.

And then it all came right.

Having worked with coach Mike Walker and biomechanistic Sasho Mackenzie, Fitz started to see results.

Working on a method known as The Stack, the figures tell it all, with Fitz’s average club head speed on the PGA Tour halfway through the 2022 season increasing by over five mph compared to 2019, and his ‘off-the-tee ranking improving to 10th, compared to 59th just three years ago.

The season had already seen the Englishman finish tied-14th at The Masters, T2 at Wells Fargo and T5 at the USPGA, so he was in as good a shape as ever when coming to the U.S Open at Brookline.

Starting alongside another tee-to-green superstar, Will Zalatoris, the two PGA maidens stood on the first tee, hoping to hold off a host of challengers, including the daunting trio of Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm and world number one Scottie Scheffler.

Despite several putts just missing by millimetres and an eagle try at #8, Fitz stubbornly refused to go away, finding himself in the sole lead when Scheffler started unravelling just after the turn.

On the same hole that Scheffler had just three-putted – the 11th – Fitz watched Zalatoris drain one and then miss a two-putt par from 15 feet, giving his playing partner a two-shot lead. That’s huge at a major but thoughts turned to the fate of Mito Pereira at Southern Hills.

Fitz then knocked in a 60-footer monster on 13 and then watched the leader save par from 15 feet, whilst, at the 15th, he again holes for birdie whilst WillyZ records his second bogey in four holes.

Now chasing, Zalatoris made no mistake knocking in a short one at 16 and was now just one behind coming to the pressure holes, and it was set up nicely at 17, where both players made par. Down to the 72nd.

On the deciding hole, and one shot behind, Zalatoris crashed one down the fairway whilst, defending his narrow lead, Fitz pulled a three-wood into the left-hand island bunker.

There was very little room in front of the leader’s ball, and any mis-shot might have seen the ball hit the large tuft of grass, sending the ball anywhere. Another possibility was being short and facing a tough up-and-down from the bunker in front of the green.

Fitz and caddie Billy Foster did not mess around. In contrast to the lopper needing to tell his charge to ‘get on with it’, as he did at Augusta in April, Fitz took control and hit a shot equal to the much-replayed iron of Sandy Lyle’s famous bunker shot on the 72nd hole of the 1988 Masters.

Fitz second ended around 20 feet from the flag, a couple of feet ahead of his playing partner, and now the only other that could stop a play-off between either of the leaders and Scheffler, safe in the house at 5-under.

The leader cozied the ball to the hole, parred out and watched as Zalatoris, already twice a major runner-up, missed the birdie putt by an inch.

Not only had the Englishman finally got the PGA Tour monkey off his back, but he did it in the utmost style, ranking first in tee-to-green with an astonishing 16-plus strokes gained, as well as leading the around-the-green figures.

Fitz went on to make 16th at the Tour Championship, run up in Italy, and end his year looking as if the season had taken its toll, but still finishing 5th.

On the PGA Tour for 2021/2, Fitz ranked 10th off-the-tee, seventh in tee-to-green and around-the-green, 22nd in putting and second overall. On the DPWT, he ranked 21st for driving distance, an improvement of over 100 places from the previous season, and third for stroke average.

Fitz has always been there, but this time he has arrived. And that makes news in the golf world.

Notable mentions

Everyone will have their own view on the newsmakers of 2022.

Of course, having dominated golf news for much of the first half of the year, Greg Norman, LIV CEO, might be a choice. The mouthpiece of the Saudi-backed tour has got himself in the news with an awful lot of rhetoric and has twice been rumored to be on the verge of being replaced.

Then there is Phil Mickelson, who went from being the dominant force on the Champions Tour to hiding away for a couple of months. Having openly admitted his “obnoxious greed”, he became the most polarising figure in the game, accepting a huge amount of money from a group he had previously called “scary motherf**kers.”

On a good note, Rory McIlroy finally became the dominant player, finishing number one on both sides of the Atlantic. He won three events, should have won at least three more, and went home empty-handed from St. Andrews, an Open Championship that was there for him to win.

As a celebrated opponent of LIV, McIlroy became the mouthpiece for the PGA and DPWT players, although that wasn’t always welcomed by all.

Finally, as it was getting quiet, and few thought we would hear about LIV until February, the Augusta National committee released a statement  saying they would welcome all the qualified players to the 2023 Masters. In attempting to “honor the tradition of bringing together a preeminent field of golfers,” they have attracted the attention of the 9/11 survivors’ group, in the same way, LIV Golf did in June.

Whatever your view, there is one thing for sure. Golf is making news.

Happy Holidays, WRXers!

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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Golf's Perfect Imperfections

Golf’s Perfect Imperfections: Amazing Session with Performance Coach Savannah Meyer-Clement

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In this week’s episode, we spent some time with performance coach Savannah Meyer-Clement who provides many useful insights that you’ll be able to implement on the golf course.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 RBC Heritage betting preview: Patrick Cantlay ready to get back inside winner’s circle

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Just a two-hour drive from Augusta National, the PGA TOUR heads to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, S.C. Hilton Head Island is a golfer’s paradise and Harbour Town is one of the most beautiful and scenic courses on the PGA TOUR.

Harbour Town Golf Links is a par-71 that measures 7,121 yards and features Bermuda grass greens. A Pete Dye design, the course is heavily tree lined and features small greens and many dog legs, protecting it from “bomb-and-gauge” type golfers.

The field is loaded this week with 69 golfers with no cut. Last year was quite possibly the best field in RBC Heritage history and the event this week is yet another designated event, meaning there is a $20 million prize pool.

Most of the big names on the PGA Tour will be in attendance this week with the exceptions of Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland. Additionally, Webb Simpson, Shane Lowry, Gary Woodland and Kevin Kisner have been granted sponsors exemptions. 

Past Winners at Harbour Town

  • 2023: Matt Fitzpatrick (-17)
  • 2022: Jordan Spieth (-13)
  • 2021: Stewart Cink (-19)
  • 2020: Webb Simpson (-22)
  • 2019: CT Pan (-12)
  • 2018: Sotoshi Kodaira (-12)
  • 2017: Wesley Bryan (-13)
  • 2016: Branden Grace (-9)
  • 2015: Jim Furyk (-18)

In this article and going forward, I’ll be using the Rabbit Hole by Betsperts Golf data engine to develop my custom model. If you want to build your own model or check out all of the detailed stats, you can sign up using promo code: MATTVIN for 25% off any subscription package (yearly is best value).

Key Stats For Harbour Town

Let’s take a look at key metrics for Harbour Town Golf Links to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their past 24 rounds.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes Gained: Approach is exceedingly important this week. The greens at Harbour Town are about half the size of PGA TOUR average and feature the second-smallest greens on the tour. Typical of a Pete Dye design, golfers will pay the price for missed greens.

Total SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+1.27)
  2. Tom Hoge (+1.27)
  3. Corey Conners (+1.16)
  4. Austin Eckroat (+0.95)
  5. Cameron Young (+0.93)

Good Drive %

The fairways at Harbour Town are tree lined and feature many dog legs. Bombers tend to struggle at the course because it forces layups and doesn’t allow long drivers to overpower it. Accuracy is far more important than power.

Good Drive % Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Brice Garnett (88.8%)
  2. Shane Lowry (+87.2%)
  3. Akshay Bhatia (+86.0%)
  4. Si Woo Kim (+85.8%)
  5. Sepp Straka (+85.1%)

Strokes Gained: Total at Pete Dye Designs

Pete Dye specialists tend to play very well at Harbour Town. Si Woo Kim, Matt Kuchar, Jim Furyk and Webb Simpson are all Pete Dye specialists who have had great success here. It is likely we see some more specialists near the top of the leaderboard this week.

SG: TOT Pete Dye per round over past 36 rounds:

  1. Xander Schauffele (+2.27)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+2.24)
  3. Ludvig Aberg (+2.11)
  4. Brian Harman (+1.89)
  5. Sungjae Im (+1.58)

4. Strokes Gained: Short Game (Bermuda)

Strokes Gained: Short Game factors in both around the green and putting. With many green-side bunkers and tricky green complexes, both statistics will be important. Past winners — such as Jim Furyk, Wes Bryan and Webb Simpson — highlight how crucial the short game skill set is around Harbour Town.

SG: SG Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Jordan Spieth (+1.11)
  2. Taylor Moore (+1.02)
  3. Wyndham Clark (+0.98)
  4. Mackenzie Hughes (+0.86)
  5. Andrew Putnam (+0.83)

5. Greens in Regulation %

The recipe for success at Harbour Town Golf Links is hitting fairways and greens. Missing either will prove to be consequential — golfers must be in total control of the ball to win.

Greens in Regulation % over past 24 rounds:

  1. Brice Garnett (+75.0%)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+69.9%)
  3. Corey Conners (+69.0%)
  4. Shane Lowry (+68.3%)
  5. Patrick Rodgers (+67.6%)

6. Course History

Harbour Town is a course where players who have strong past results at the course always tend to pop up. 

Course History over past 24 rounds:

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+2.34)
  2. Cam Davis (+2.05)
  3. J.T. Poston (+1.69)
  4. Justin Rose (+1.68)
  5. Tommy Fleetwood (+1.59)

The RBC Heritage Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (24%), Good Drives (20%), SG: SG (14%), SG: Pete Dye (14%), GIR (14%), and Course History (14%)

  1. Shane Lowry
  2. Russell Henley
  3. Scottie Scheffler
  4. Xander Schauffele
  5. Corey Conners 
  6. Wyndham Clark
  7. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  8. Matt Fitzpatrick
  9. Cameron Young
  10. Ludvig Aberg 

2024 RBC Heritage Picks

Patrick Cantlay +2000 (FanDuel)

With the exception of Scottie Scheffler, the PGA Tour has yet to have any of their star players show peak form during the 2024 season. Last week, Patrick Cantlay, who I believe is a top-5 players on the PGA Tour, took one step closer to regaining the form that’s helped him win eight events on Tour since 2017.

Cantlay limped into the Masters in poor form, but figured it out at Augusta National, finishing in a tie for 20th and ranking 17th for the week in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. The former FedEx Cup champion will now head to one of his favorite golf courses in Harbour Town, where he’s had immaculate results over the years. In his six trips to the course, he’s only finished worse than 7th one time. The other finishes include three third places (2017, 2019, 2023) and one runner-up finish (2022). In his past 36 rounds at Harbour Town, Cantlay ranks 1st in Strokes Gained: Total per round at the course by a wide margin (+2.36).

Cantlay is winless since the 2022 BMW Championship, which is far too long for a player of his caliber. With signs pointing to the 32-year-old returning to form, a “signature event” at Harbour Town is just what he needs to get back on the winning track.

Tommy Fleetwood +3000 (FanDuel)

I truly believe Tommy Fleetwood will figure out a way to win on American soil in 2024. It’s certainly been a bugaboo for him throughout his career, but he is simply too talented to go another season without winning a PGA Tour event.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, Fleetwood made a Sunday charge and ended up finishing T3 in the event, which was his best ever finish at The Masters. For the week, the Englishman ranked 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 10th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is a perfect layout for Fleetwood, and he’s had relative success at this Pete Dye design in the past.  In his four trips to the course, he’s finished inside of the top 25 three times, with his best finish, T10, coming in 2022. The course is pretty short and can’t be overpowered, which gives an advantage to more accurate players such as Fleetwood. Tommy ranks 8th in the field in Good Drive % and should be able to plot his way along this golf course.

The win is coming for Tommy lad. I believe there’s a chance this treasure of a golf course may be the perfect one for him to finally break through on Tour.

Cameron Young +3300 (FanDuel)

Cameron Young had a solid Masters Tournament last week, which is exactly what I’m looking for in players who I anticipate playing well this week at the RBC Heritage. He finished in a tie for 9th, but never felt the pressure of contending in the event. For the week, Young ranked 6th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 6th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Despite being one of the longest players off the tee on the PGA Tour, Young has actually played some really good golf on shorter tracks. He finished T3 at Harbour Town in 2023 and ranks 20th in the field in Good Drive% and 16th in Greens in Regulation in his past 24 rounds. He also has strong finishes at other shorter courses that can take driver out of a players hand such as Copperhead and PGA National.

Young is simply one of the best players on the PGA Tour in 2024, and I strongly believe has what it takes to win a PGA Tour event in the very near future.

Corey Conners +5500 (FanDuel)

Corey Conners has had a disappointing year thus far on the PGA Tour, but absolutely loves Harbour Town.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, the Canadian finished T30 but ranked 20th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. In his past 24 rounds, Conners ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 3rd in Greens in Regulation % and 24th in Good Drive %.

In Conners’ last four trips to Harbour Town, his worst finish was T31, last season. He finished T4 in 2021, T12 in 2022 and ranks 8th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course over his past 36 rounds.

Conners hasn’t been contending, but his recent finishes have been encouraging as he has finished in the top-25 in each of his past three starts prior to The Masters, including an impressive T13 at The PLAYERS. His recent improvement in ball striking as well as his suitability for Harbour Town makes Conners a high upside bet this week.

Shane Lowry (+7500) (FanDuel)

When these odds were posted after Lowry was announced in the field, I have to admit I was pretty stunned. Despite not offering much win equity on the PGA Tour over the last handful of years, Shane Lowry is still a top caliber player who has the ability to rise to the top of a signature event.

Lowry struggled to score at The Masters last week, but he actually hit the ball really well. The Irishman ranked 1st for Strokes Gained: Approach on the week and 7th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. As usual, it was the putter that let him down, as he ranked 60th in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is most definitely one of Lowry’s favorite courses on the PGA Tour. In his six starts there, he’s finished in the top 10 three times, including third twice. Lowry is sensational at Pete Dye designs and ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Total in his past 36 rounds on Dye tracks. 

Lowry is perfect for Harbour Town. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 5th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 2nd in Good Drive% and 5th in Green in Regulation %. If he figures it out on the greens, Shane could have his first win in America since 2015.

Lucas Glover +12000 (FanDuel)

This is one of my weekly “bet the number” plays as I strongly believe the odds are just too long for a player of Glover’s caliber. The odds have been too long on Glover for a few weeks now, but this is the first event that I can get behind the veteran being able to actually contend at. 

Glover is quietly playing good golf and returning to the form he had after the understandable regression after his two massive victories at the end of 2023. He finished T20 at The Masters, which was his best ever finish at Augusta National. For the week, Lucas ranked 18th for Strokes Gained: Approach and 20th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Over his past 24 rounds, Glover ranks 9th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th in Good Drive %. Harbour Town is a short course that the 44-year-old will be able to keep up with the top players on Tour off the tee. He’s played the course more than 20 times, with mixed results. His best finishes at Harbour Town include a T7 in 2008, but recently has a finish of T21 in 2020.

Glover has proven he can contend with the stars of the Tour on any given week, and this number is flat out disrespectful.

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