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2022 Open Championship: Outright Betting Picks

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The Open Championship returns to the birthplace of golf to play the 150th edition of the tournament.

The Old Course at St. Andrews has hosted the most major championships (29) of any course in the history of golf. The first major at St. Andrews took place in 1873.

The Old Course at St. Andrews is a par 72 measuring 7,297 yards, making it only 350 yards longer than it was over a century ago. The course still plays just about the same as it did since its inception, which is rare in today’s game with all of the technological advancements.

There are 156 players in the field this week, with the top 70 and ties making it to the weekend. As expected, almost all of the world’s top players will be in attendance seeking a highly coveted Claret Jug.

As Jack Nicklaus once said, “If you’re going to be a player people will remember, you have to win the Open at St. Andrews.”

2022 Open Championship Best Bets

Jordan Spieth (+1800) (+DraftKings):

Jordan Spieth’s Open Championship record is incredibly impressive. In 2015, he finished one shot back of a three-man playoff at St. Andrews. Since then, he’s been equally as impressive. In five starts at The Open since, Spieth has a win and an addition runner-up to go along with a ninth-place finish. He’s arguably the best Open Championship player in the field.

Jordan Spieth is one of the most creative golfers in the history of the sport. He is a shot maker who knows how to use rolling slopes and hills to his advantage. His excellent lag-putting and ability to stick a wedge shot close to the hole are major reasons why he’s done so well in links golf throughout his career.

Even when the 28-year-old has struggled over the past few years, he’s seemed to always play well at the courses and events that he’s historically excelled at. His tee to green game is strong enough this season to where some Open Championship comfortability could be just what is needed to help him find his missing hot putter.

Cameron Smith (+2800) (+DraftKings):

Smith was solid at the Scottish Open and finished T-10, but a poor second round kept him from ever getting in contention. However, the fact that he only shot one of the rounds over par shows me he is acclimating to links golf which is something he hasn’t done as often as I’d expect throughout his career.

The Old Course should suit this year’s PLAYERS Champion in a number of ways. To succeed, golfers will need to scramble effectively. With massive greens, there will need to be a good deal of creativity involved. There are few on TOUR who check more of these boxes than Smith. In his past 36 rounds, the 28-year-old ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Short Game which includes both around the green play and putting. Smith also ranks 10th in the field in three-putt avoidance which will most definitely come into play.

Wind will also most likely be a factor at this year’s Open Championship. In his past 24 rounds, Cam is the second best wind player in the field.

We’ve seen a good deal of crossover over the years with golfers who’ve excelled at St. Andrews and Augusta National. The Australian’s last three trips to the Masters have resulted in finishes of second, 10th and third.

Smith is the highest ranked player in the world without a major championship (6th in OWGR), and The Old Course at St. Andrews should be a perfect course for Smith to become the 3rd Australian to win at this historic venue.

Dustin Johnson (+4000) (+Bet365):

Similar to the U.S. Open, I believe that the players who’ve chosen to go to LIV Golf may provide us with some value at the Open Championship.

Johnson played well at the U.S. Open, gaining 6.92 strokes from tee to green on the field despite a narrative that he can’t compete with the best on TOUR anymore after his defection to LIV Golf. He ranked 15th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and followed the performance up with a tied for third-place finish at LIV Portland.

In 2015, DJ held the 36-hole lead for the Open Championship at St. Andrews before faltering over the weekend. There was a long weather delay that kept some of the field off the course, including Johnson, for an extended period of time. Therefore, his weekend collapse is a bit more understandable when context is considered. He also played well at St. Andrews in 2010 when he finished 14th.

DJ is an excellent Open Championship performer. He’s finished in the top 14 at the event in six of the past eleven years. He is a good putter on slower greens and ranks 13th in proximity for 75-100 yards, which is why he’s played so well at The Old Course.

Despite the move to LIV Golf, the two-time major champion is still a top-tier golfer who is capable of competing with the best in the world.

Louis Oosthuizen (+5000) (+Bet365):

Louis Oosthuizen is another golfer who I believe is being undervalued due to his move to LIV Golf.

In two starts at St. Andrews, Oosthuizen has a win and a playoff loss. In terms of course history, you can’t much better than that.

The South African has the type of game that just works around The Old Course. He puts the ball in the fairway and is an excellent player around the greens. He hasn’t played the type of golf this season as he did last year when he contended in all of the majors, but his game seems to be coming around. While the statistics from LIV Golf may not translate directly to his chances this week, it’s still encouraging to see him playing good golf. He finished in 5th place a few weeks ago at the LIV Portland event and ranked in the top-10 in both fairways hit and greens in regulation.

This number is simply too big for a golfer who has been absolutely dominant at St. Andrews.

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19th Hole

Report: Tiger Woods voted against Rory McIlroy returning to policy board; Will be the only player negotiating directly with Saudis

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According to a report from The Telegraph, the relationship between Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy has soured.

Last week, reports surfaced that McIlroy, who was a member of the PGA Tour policy board during most of the past few years, was looking to rejoin the board, presumably taking Webb Simpson’s seat.

However, on Wednesday, McIlroy revealed that he will not be rejoining the policy board, due to people on the board being “uncomfortable” with that “for some reason.”

The Telegraph has reported that Tiger Woods was among the players who voted against McIlroy returning to the policy board.

The divide is apparently due to McIlroy pushing for the game of golf to unify, whereas Woods, reportedly, believes the PGA Tour is in a fine position where it currently stands.

The Associated Press added another wrinkle to the situation, reporting that Woods is the only player who will be negotiating directly with the Saudis.

The other members of the committee are PGA Tour commissioner Jay Monahan, board chairman Joe Gorder, John W. Henry of Fenway Sports Group, and Joe Ogilvie, who was a former PGA Tour player.

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Phil Mickelson reveals he won’t be pursuing broadcasting career when he retires from golf

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On Tuesday, Chris McKee, a Toronto writer and radio host, wondered aloud on his X account if Phil Mickelson will be a commentator after his playing days are over.

“The second Phil Mickelson retires he’ll instantly become the most sought after TV analyst in golf. Would any PGA Tour broadcaster (CBS, ESPN, NBC or Sky) bring him in or would he have to stick to LIV broadcasts? #LIVGolf”

Mickelson saw the post and responded, saying he’s not interested in moving from the course to the broadcast booth.

“Thank you for the kind words. However, just cuz someone CAN do something doesn’t mean they SHOULD do it. Instead of commentating, I’m going to shoot some Pros vs Schmos 9 hole matches. I’ll share insights throughout as well as talk a little smack. It won’t be the highest quality video but it’ll be fun for me to do and fun to watch I think too.”

While I believe many fans would like to see Phil in the booth, his idea of “Pro’s vs Schmo’s” could certainly be intriguing.

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PGA Tour pro sounds off on ‘unfair’ PGA Championship invites

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This week, the PGA of America made some surprising announcements regarding the field of next week’s PGA Championship at Valhalla.

The event now will feature 16 LIV players with Talor Gooch, Dean Burmester, David Puig, Adrian Meronk and Patrick Reed receiving special exemptions.

PGA Tour player, Dylan Wu, took issue with how the exemptions were used and went to X to share his thoughts.

“Why is there never “real” qualifications for the PGA Championship? You have a points list and World ranking invite. Usually just outside top 100 in OWGR gets in. Chan Kim ranked 104th in OWGR doesn’t get in. SH Kim at 107th isn’t in.”

“Jesper Svennson ranked 108th gets in. Tim Widing 120th gets in. Ryder Cup captain Luke Donald gets a spot. A bunch of guys get leapfrogged even though they’re ranked higher than others. Seems like they just invite whoever they want. Unfair to the guys on the edge like Chan and SH”

“Just seems like the world of professional golf is in a weird spot and I love that the tournament invited a handful of great LIV players but figure out a correct system for a major championship where guys know they’ll be in or not. ????”

Fans who replied to Wu seemed to agree that a more definitive ranking system for the PGA Championship should be established.

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