19th Hole
The CJ Cup Betting Tips & Selections
The PGA Tour stays in Las Vegas, Nevada, this week for the CJ Cup. This tournament was played for the first time in October 2017 at the Nine Bridges Golf Club in Jeju Island, South Korea. In 2020, the event was moved to Shadow Creek Golf Club in Las Vegas, Nevada, due to the COVID-19 pandemic travel restrictions.
This year, the CJ Cup will remain in Las Vegas, albeit at a different venue, the Summit Club. The CJ Cup only features a field of 78 players, but what the event lacks in quantity, it makes up for in quality, as 23 of the world’s top 30 players will be in attendance this week.
Sitting in the Summerlin suburb of Las Vegas, the Summit Club is a beautiful and lush parkland layout masquerading as a desert course. The club was designed in 2017 by Tom Fazio and commissioned by the Discovery Land Company. The Summit Club plays as a stock par 72, measuring 7,459 yards on the scorecard, drawing an obvious comparison to last year’s venue, Shadow Creek. A few weeks ago at the BMW Championship, we were in a similar position. Both Caves Valley and the Summit Club are Tom Fazio courses that had previously never seen PGA Tour competition.
With that being said, we can still develop an understanding of this course based on some images and what we already know about Tom Fazio as a designer. Fazio’s PGA Tour body of work also includes Congaree, Quail Hollow (re-design), Kasumigaseki, Conway Farms, and Shadow Creek. Fazio is known for intricate bunkering and large elevated greens.
His courses tend to favor long and accurate drivers of the ball, and it is no coincidence that players such as Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Jason Day have experienced a modicum of success on his layouts. For this reason, I will be honing in on dominant off the tee players and those who are comfortable in easy scoring conditions.
Coming off a near-miss last week with Matthew Wolff, let’s dig into my outright selections.
Brooks Koepka (28/1, DraftKings)
Brooks Koepka headlined my betting card last week, and despite a disappointing 67th-place finish, I am going right back to the well at a deflated number. For a number of weeks now, Koepka has been rating out quite well in my modeling, and I’ve made the mistake before of hopping off right before the big win comes. Over his last 36 rounds, the eight-time PGA Tour winner ranks second in strokes gained off the tee, 16th in birdies or better gained, second in opportunities gained, seventh in driving distance, 11th in strokes gained par fives, and 20th in sand saves. Despite not much of a history on Fazio courses, Koepka has the ideal skill-set to succeed on this type of layout. I will gladly buy low on the four-time major champion.
Viktor Hovland (28/1, DraftKings)
If I was to build the perfect course for Viktor Hovland, it would look something like the Summit Club. The 24-year old who has already been nicknamed by many “Young Rory”, has finished 14th at Kasumigaseki, 17th at Caves Valley, 12th at Shadow Creek, and third at Quail Hollow. Have I mentioned that he also played his college golf at Karsten Creek, another 7,4000 yard bent-grass Tom Fazio layout? Hovland is coming off a 44th-place finish at the Shriners, where he gained 5.4 strokes off the tee and 5.3 strokes on approach. His short game was disastrous, but the Summit Club features giant greens, and Fazio courses have placed little emphasis on around the green play historically. As the only player in this field to rank both top-five in strokes gained off the tee and strokes gained approach, no one is hitting the ball better right now than Viktor Hovland. He’s a decent putting week away from breaking through in a big way.
Cam Smith (34/1, FanDuel)
While Cam Smith is far from the prototypical Fazio player, he still consistently finds a way to compete on these tracks. My two favorite comp courses this week are Kasumigaseki and Shadow Creek, and Cam Smith is one of three players in this field to finish top-12 at both of them. Smith is able to work his way around the fact that he lacks distance off the tee with elite par-five and bunker play, which both happen to really come in handy on Fazio tracks. With recent near-misses at the WGC – FedEx St. Jude’s and The Northern Trust, the Australian has shown that he can compete in the most elite of fields. 34/1 is a fair price for the three-time PGA Tour winner.
Tyrrell Hatton (41/1, FanDuel)
Tyrrell Hatton has always been on my Fazio radar after gaining 12.4 strokes ball-striking last year at Shadow Creek en route to a third-place finish. He did one better in his next Fazio appearance, gaining another 11.8 strokes ball-striking en route to a second-place finish at Congaree. Outside of his obvious affinity for Fazio tracks, the Englishman is also coming off a runner-up finish at the Alfred Dunhill Links. I will gladly back the six-time European Tour winner to pick up his second victory on American soil.
Gary Woodland (130/1, DraftKings)
This simply feels like a fairly obvious buy-low spot for a former major winner who possesses an ideal skill-set for Fazio courses. Over his last 36 rounds, Woodland ranks 24th in strokes gained approach, 16th in opportunities gained, and third in driving distance. Woodland is one of the handful of players in this entire field that can pick a course apart with his driver, and while 2021 was indubitably a disappointing season for the four-time PGA Tour winner, he still has no business being priced amongst the likes of Mackenzie Hughes and Kevin Streelman.
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19th Hole
Brandel Chamblee has a surprising new take on the PGA Tour-LIV stand-off
One of the more outspoken analysts throughout the LIV Golf vs. PGA Tour saga has been Golf Channel’s Brandel Chamblee.
This week, Chamblee reversed course, saying he believes the PGA Tour should strike a deal with Saudi Arabia’s Private Investment Fund (PIF).
Golf Channel Brandel Chamblee in his biggest about-face since the Framework Agreement on June 6, now says that making a deal with the PIF "is the better end of the bargain."
He says:
"The PGA Tour is in this pickle like it or not, but, do you want to compete with someone (LIV… pic.twitter.com/XDZaC1I6B8
— JCAGOLFReport (@JCAGOLFReport) May 10, 2024
“The PGA Tour is in this pickle like it or not, but, do you want to compete with someone who’s not going to go away, who can outspend you”.
“Every move they make that makes their tour better deletes your tour and causes more division within the tour. So the time is now, to Rory’s point about making a deal, I wouldn’t have said that a year ago… but it is the better end of the bargain.”
Chamblee’s new stance seems to be in line with that of Rory McIlroy, who reportedly wanted to rejoin the PGA Tour board with hopes of pushing a deal with the PIF closer to the finish line.
Chamblee will be in the booth for next week’s PGA Championship which has 16 LIV players in the field.
More from the 19th Hole
- Phil Mickelson drops big retirement hint; Says LIV will grow the game “on a much more global basis”
- 2-time major champ announces shock retirement from the sport at age of 33
- Tiger explains why golf has “negative connotations” for daughter Sam
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19th Hole
Xander Schauffele explains free drop ruling during round one of Wells Fargo Championship
During Thursday’s opening round of the Wells Fargo Championship, Xander Schauffele blasted his tee shot in the woods to the right of the fairway on the par-4 8th hole.
The ball was almost not found, but Xander’s group managed to track it down just before the three-minute time limit was reached.
When the ball was found, it was just beyond the penalty area close to a fence. In the moment, it seemed incredibly unlikely that Schauffele would be able to hit the ball through the trees towards the green.
However, through the woods and above the fairway, there was a hanging wire from a ShotLink tower that Xander claimed was in his way. He was then granted relief, and two club lengths from the spot positioned him all the way out of trouble. He played his ball onto the front of the green and two-putted for par.
Here is the full video of the interaction between Schauffele and the rules official.
??? #WATCH — The full video of the Xander Schauffele #DropGate situation ?
— NUCLR GOLF (@NUCLRGOLF) May 9, 2024
After the round, Xander said he “got really lucky.”
“Got really lucky multiple times, on 1 with Wyndham finding it, 2, being able to move the rocks, and 3, the ShotLink tower being in like my only shot line possible. To walk out there with sort of a no breeze 4 with what I thought was almost out was a really good break.”
“Yeah, I hit it in the trees. My ball was probably like a foot, two feet from the fence. If I — ball was here, fence was kind of here, hitting back this direction.
“If I went towards the green, the fence kind of worked this way so I had what I could hit, a 4-iron or something low and just kind of run it through. If it gets stuck, I’ll just kind of hit my next one out. But I brought the rules official in there with me because I was like, you’ve got to be OK with this because this is literally the only shot I can hit.”
“So Austin [Kaiser] and I moved two massive rocks that weren’t embedded and then I got relief out of the junk and then hit a pretty good shot on the green from there. What was a very stressful moment turned into a pretty stressless par.”
Schauffele finished the round at seven under, which gives him a three-shot lead going into Friday’s second round.
More from the 19th Hole
- Phil Mickelson drops big retirement hint; Says LIV will grow the game “on a much more global basis”
- 2-time major champ announces shock retirement from the sport at age of 33
- Tiger explains why golf has “negative connotations” for daughter Sam
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19th Hole
Report: Tiger Woods voted against Rory McIlroy returning to policy board; Will be the only player negotiating directly with Saudis
According to a report from The Telegraph, the relationship between Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy has soured.
Last week, reports surfaced that McIlroy, who was a member of the PGA Tour policy board during most of the past few years, was looking to rejoin the board, presumably taking Webb Simpson’s seat.
However, on Wednesday, McIlroy revealed that he will not be rejoining the policy board, due to people on the board being “uncomfortable” with that “for some reason.”
Here's Rory McIlroy talking about the PGA Tour policy board and the "subset of people on the board that were maybe uncomfortable with me coming back on for some reason." pic.twitter.com/0skNOwtWxz
— Patrick McDonald (@pmcdonaldCBS) May 8, 2024
The Telegraph has reported that Tiger Woods was among the players who voted against McIlroy returning to the policy board.
The divide is apparently due to McIlroy pushing for the game of golf to unify, whereas Woods, reportedly, believes the PGA Tour is in a fine position where it currently stands.
The Associated Press added another wrinkle to the situation, reporting that Woods is the only player who will be negotiating directly with the Saudis.
The other members of the committee are PGA Tour commissioner Jay Monahan, board chairman Joe Gorder, John W. Henry of Fenway Sports Group, and Joe Ogilvie, who was a former PGA Tour player.
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