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19th Hole

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open DraftKings picks

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PGA Tour pros will be traveling to Las Vegas, Nevada, this week for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. This tournament was founded in 1983, and it has always been a part of the PGA Tour’s fall swing. The event is currently held at TPC Summerlin. 

This tournament has typically attracted a somewhat better field than some of the other fall series events, and this year is no different. Abraham Ancer, Sam Burns, Paul Casey, Harris English, Rickie Fowler, Viktor Hovland, Sungjae Im, Brooks Koepka, Jason Kokrak, Hideki Matsuyama, Kevin Na, Joaquin Niemann, Louis Oosthuizen, Patrick Reed, Scottie Scheffler, Adam Scott, and Will Zalatoris will all be teeing it up this week at TPC Summerlin.

TPC Summerlin is a par 71, measuring 7,255 yards. It was designed in 1991 by Bobby Weed and Fuzzy Zoeller. Water comes into play on four holes. The fairways are Bermuda-grass, the rough is Bermuda-grass, measuring two inches on average, and the 7,400 square foot on average greens are Bent-grass. TPC Summerlin is a typical TPC venue with a number of risk-reward holes that tend to yield low scores from aggressive play.

Similar to most courses that we see during the fall swing, TPC Summerlin is generally torn up by PGA Tour pros. Outside of a wind-swept year in 2017 where Patrick Cantlay won at nine-under par, the winning score has been 20-under or below in eight of the last ten years. TPC Summerlin has annually ranked inside the ten easiest courses on Tour for each of the last three years. Last year, players had to shoot six-under par just to make the cut.

Along with wedge play and the ability to control the occasional long iron, I am primarily looking for players that are comfortable in easy scoring conditions and have experienced success before on Bent-grass greens. I know I sound like a broken record during the fall swing, but it’s true, birdies are the name of the game in this portion of the season. It should not be overlooked that some players are more comfortable than others in a tournament where the winning score is -25.

Let’s dig into my DraftKings picks.

$10,000 range 

Will Zalatoris, $10,100 (11.37%)

Brooks Koepka, Sam Burns, and Will Zalatoris all seem to be garnering significantly less ownership than Viktor Hovland, Webb Simpson, and Abraham Ancer this week, and I view all of them as very acceptable pivots. I’ve already shared my love for Koepka this week in the betting tips column, so I’ll use this space to highlight another player who just barely missed my outright card, Will Zalatoris.

The Wake Forest product is coming off a 14th-place finish at the Sanderson Farms, where he gained 2.3 strokes off the tee and 2.1 strokes on approach. He has regained form with the putter as well, gaining over 2.6 strokes putting in three of his last four starts. The reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year now returns to a course that he finished fifth at on debut last year, and I am expecting a similarly strong performance this go around.

$9,000 range

Hideki Matsuyama, $9,500 (14.31%)

I’ve already discussed my case for Hideki Matsuyama in the betting tips column, and while I try and give out different players in this column, the recent Masters champion is undeniably my favorite outright option, and my favorite DraftKings play in this range. 14.31% projected ownership is extremely manageable, and he projects as a perfect pivot from the slightly more expensive and 23% owned Scottie Scheffler. I expect Matsuyama to continue his strong play in the desert and be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

$8,000 range

Jason Kokrak, $8,700 (8.57%)

The last time the PGA Tour traveled to a Bent-grass Las Vegas venue, Jason Kokrak claimed victory at the CJ Cup at the nearby Shadow Creek. While Shadow Creek is far from a perfect comp for TPC Summerlin, there is something to be said for being familiar with playing golf in altitude, and due to his relationship with BetMGM, Kokrak spends a great deal of time golfing out in the desert. This is the first we’ve seen of Kokrak since the TOUR Championship, but he gained over a stroke off the tee and on approach in that tournament, and now he returns to his preferred putting surface. At sub 10% ownership, Kokrak is one of my favorite DraftKings plays of the week.

$7,000 range 

Ian Poulter, $7,000 (6.10%)

There’s an argument to be made that Ian Poulter is the most mispriced and under-owned golfer on the slate this week. The Ryder Cup stalwart has no business being priced amongst the likes of Scott Stallings, Joseph Bramlett, Martin Laird, Troy Merritt, Joel Dahmen, Cameron Young, and Henrik Norlander. Maybe his less than stellar performance at the Ryder has thrown people off his scent, but Whistling Straits was always going to be an uphill battle for a player with Poulter’s skill-set. The Englishmen now travels to a sub-7,300 yard positional golf course, where length off the tee is of little value, yet catching a hot putter is of utmost importance.

$6,000 range 

Hank Lebioda, $6,300 (4.64%)

Apologies for overlapping from the betting column again with Hank Lebioda, but there is no other player in the 6K range that I am overweight on other than Lebioda this week. Not to belabor the point, but the Florida State product is priced around players that haven’t sniffed Sunday contention in years, whereas Lebioda has had a legitimate chance to win three of his last six tournaments. There is no player in this range with as much top-10 upside as Lebioda, and I highly recommend buying low on a player that was priced above $8,000 less than three months ago.

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19th Hole

Why Ludvig Aberg is my new favorite player – GolfWRXers discuss

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In our forums, our members have been discussing one of the new sensations in the world of golf – Ludvig Aberg. The 24-year-old finished solo second at the Masters a couple of weeks ago, and gained many plaudits, including from several WRXers.

One member, RoyalMustang, took to the forums to explain why Aberg is now their favorite player, saying:

“I loved the way the Ludvig was out there, having a great time, not taking himself or the situation too seriously. Even after the double at 11, he was like “well, that’s golf!” Loose and relaxed: that’s the way to play. It’s obvious he loves what he’s doing, he loves the big moments, and he loves being a part of it all.

Arnold Palmer was viewed that way. Just like Brooks Robinson was forever viewed as not just a great baseball player, but a great human being and friend to Baltimore.”

And our members have been reacting and sharing their positive takes on the young Swede.

Here are a few posts from the thread, but make sure to check out the entire discussion and have your say at the link below.

  • redfirebird08: “Ludvig has a great attitude, a great smile, and a great golf swing.”
  • otto6457: “I’m very lucky to have talked with Ludde several times at the Rawls Course at Texas Tech.  He’s a truly nice guy and very friendly.  Always said hello when we passed each other in the club house and was always smiling. Watching him hit balls on the range was a joy.  He has “that sound” and trajectory to die for.  There were many times he was out on the range in 30+ mph winds just hitting the most beautiful shots that just seemed to ignore the wind.  World class ball striker. And yes……..I am a fan boy.”
  • konklifer: “I like him. In an era of endless waggles and laboring, his swing and pace of play are a joy to watch.

Entire Thread: “Why Ludvig Aberg is my new favorite player – GolfWRXers discuss”

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19th Hole

‘Absolutely crazy’ – Major champ lays into Patrick Cantlay over his decision on final hole of RBC Heritage

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Over the past year or so, PGA Tour star Patrick Cantlay has taken a great deal of criticism for his pace of play.

Now, Cantlay is once again under fire for a questionable decision he made on Sunday at the RBC Heritage.

After the horn sounded to suspend play due to darkness, Cantlay, whose ball was in the fairway on the 18th hole, had a decision to make. With over 200 yards into the green and extreme winds working against the shot, conventional wisdom would be to wait until Monday morning to hit the shot.

On the other hand, if he could finish the hole, he may just want to get the event over with so he could get out of Hilton Head.

Curiously, Cantlay chose neither of those options. After hitting 3-wood into the green, and still coming up short, the former FedEx Cup champion chose to mark his ball and return to chip and putt on Monday morning.

Ian Woosnam, who was watching from home, took to X to give his thoughts on Cantlay’s decision-making.

Cantlay would end up getting up and down for par when play resumed at 8:00 Monday morning.

Following his round, Cantlay explained his decision to wait to hit his third shot the next morning:

“I really did want to finish last night, so I felt like if I could get the ball up there maybe in an easier spot, maybe I would have finished, but as I got the ball up near the green, I realized it would be easier to finish this morning. That’s what I decided to do.”

GolfWRX has reached out to Patrick Cantlay’s management team for a response to Woosnam’s comments.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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