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The Wedge Guy: Failure to amaze…

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Once again, I thank all of you for the feedback to last week’s post about the driver being the first scoring club. If everyone agreed with everything I write, this wouldn’t be nearly as fun and challenging as it is. So, keep up the feedback and challenges to my logic as we go forward, OK? I think I might push some of your buttons again today, so here goes.

I had one of those airline trips from hell last Monday, trying to get back from a visit to my nephew and his family in Boise. For the first time in my life, I saw our plane returned to the gate because our crew “timed out” while we were on the tarmac awaiting a delayed take-off. That led to a series of setbacks, which eventually put me back in Houston at 1:00 a.m., almost five hours later than scheduled…with a 2-1/2 hour drive still ahead of me.

Then, I woke up Tuesday morning with a head-cold-from-hell, which has had me in its grip ever since. That put me on the sofa watching more TV than I would on a typical weekend. And that allowed me to watch more of the Charles Schwab (Colonial) than I probably would have otherwise, along with some NBA and baseball.

Now, I’ll admit I have become a bit of a curmudgeon when it comes to professional golf. Not that I’m bad-tempered or anything, but I am a bit cantankerous. The game’s evolution from identifying those who have achieved broad mastery of all shotmaking, to those who are the strongest physical specimens and have great short games has simply lost me. When I tune into any professional athletic event, I fully expect, and want to be, AMAZED.

The NBA always does that, with a consistent show of unbelievable athleticism and shotmaking. I’m sure basketball purists argue about the evolution of the game from Chamberlain and Russell, to Bird and Magic, to Michael, to Steph and LeBron…but throughout my 50-plus years of watching, these guys almost always put on an impressive show of skills. Same goes for the NFL. I am not a follower of major league baseball, and don’t know many players, but an hour in front of the TV will almost always entertain you with amazing fielding and hitting displays.

Forgive me for my cynicism, but I just don’t get that amazed by PGA Tour golf anymore. In my hours of time in front of the TV, there were just too few instances of shotmaking prowess that made me go “wow.” One stat on Saturday showed that Jordan Spieth had made something like four hundred feet of putts in 2-1/2 rounds. Heck yeah, that’s impressive…but hardly riveting television. What I was looking for were pinpoint irons shots that set up birdies and a serious challenge to whoever was in the lead.

Congratulations are certainly due to Kevin Na for holding off everyone, but who really put a charge on to challenge him? Time and again, players looked like they might gain some ground, only to be derailed by poor driving and iron play. Maybe not “poor” by our amateur standards, but I’m not sure I saw more than one or two irons shots that just tore the flag down. What I did seem to see were lots of drives in the rough, short iron and wedge shots long, short or wide of the greens, and plenty of greenside recovery shots, too often followed by par attempts from well outside 6-8 feet.

Lee Trevino once said that there are two things that don’t last long – “dogs that chase cars and pros that putt for pars.” The point I believe he was making at the time was that he saw professional golf as a game of precision shotmaking, and that meant driving it in the fairway and hitting greens. And by my observation, the stars of the 50s, 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s were pretty darn good at that kind of golf.

Ben Hogan was noted for hitting fairways and greens with commanding precision. Byron Nelson was so straight they named the first swing robot after him. Gene Littler was known as “Gene the Machine”. Johnny Miller set the bar tremendously high for knocking flags down, from nearly any range. Bear in mind his 63 at Oakmont to win the U.S. Open in 1966 was the result of hitting nearly every green, though 14 of this approach shots were hit with a 5-iron or longer. Pretty amazing stuff even if it weren’t a U.S. Open layout, wouldn’t you say?

Before you all want me tarred and feathered for lack of respect for the modern tour professional, let me say that these guys at the top have done what it takes to achieve modern greatness. The talent pool is very deep these days, as evidenced by the huge number of different winners every year. But other than Tiger, who has attained – and maintained – a constantly high level of performance from week-to-week, year-to-year for any length of time over the past twenty years or so? And in reality, do yesterday’s stars become today’s also-rans because others have passed them, or because they lost whatever it was they had found for that fleeting period of time?

In any era, in any sport, the singular challenge is to achieve a higher level of skill than the next guy (or team). On any given day or week, golf’s top players do that, but to me it just doesn’t make for riveting viewing any longer.

I accept that professional golf has changed dramatically in my lifetime, and that it will never again be what it once was. So, I’ll keep watching, hoping to be amazed…After all, we have the U.S. Open and The Open Championship still to come.

P.S. Next week, I promise to return to topics that will hopefully help you improve your golf this season. If you have any topics you would like to see me address, please drop me an email at [email protected].

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Terry Koehler is a fourth generation Texan and a graduate of Texas A&M University. Over his 40-year career in the golf industry, he has created over 100 putter designs, sets of irons and drivers, and in 2014, he put together the team that reintroduced the Ben Hogan brand to the golf equipment industry. Since the early 2000s, Terry has been a prolific writer, sharing his knowledge as “The Wedge Guy”.   But his most compelling work is in the wedge category. Since he first patented his “Koehler Sole” in the early 1990s, he has been challenging “conventional wisdom” reflected in ‘tour design’ wedges. The performance of his wedge designs have stimulated other companies to move slightly more mass toward the top of the blade in their wedges, but none approach the dramatic design of his Edison Forged wedges, which have been robotically proven to significantly raise the bar for wedge performance. Terry serves as Chairman and Director of Innovation for Edison Golf – check it out at www.EdisonWedges.com.

46 Comments

46 Comments

  1. John Erickson

    Jun 3, 2019 at 12:47 am

    Terry, I could not agree more. As a former tour player who dedicated a life to golf, I don’t even watch the game anymore. I have zero interest in the decline of the game, the courses, the giant frying pan drivers, wide fairways, huge perfect greens, little penalty for errant driving. Golf is a total bore to me. When I played on tour, you had to drive it in the fairway just as Hogan said.. “it’s the most important shot to set up the hole”. We had to place the ball on the green and below the hole, and often the greens were far from perfect. Less than perfect greens made golf more of a ball strikers game. With perfect greens, the great putters can run the table. I liked it when the greens were not so perfect because it took that advantage out of the lights out putters. They would still make more but not as many. Moe Norman told me once that anyone could make a 30 foot putt…. even a beginner, but it took great still to hit a 1 iron 30 feet from the hole. This new version of golf is a different as baseball is to softball. The game needs a persimmon and balata reset. Simple really.

  2. scooter

    May 30, 2019 at 9:33 pm

    Having attended the Colonial this past weekend, I was again reminded how much more amazing the game is in person as opposed to watching it on TV. I agree, TV concentrates too much on putts and doesn’t show enough of the field. In person, you can see the green slopes and realize how small the targets are to get the ball close and score on some greens with tucked pins. And you’re able to watch short game techniques that are really amazing when they’ve short-sided themselves in long rough or bunkers … by not covering the field you don’t see the “fails” at some of these difficult shots and realize just how small the margin for error is. Same goes for trouble shots when the drives go astray. And it’s great to see all the tee shot variations at Colonial’s tight hole #5 with out of bounds on both sides, all the way from tee to green. Bottom line, MUCH more interesting in person and kind of boring on TV.

  3. KW

    May 30, 2019 at 7:55 pm

    Some good points on both sides, but I think much of the “lack of amazement” is not realizing just how hard and precise this game is. 1/8″ off a 100mph clubface can be mediocre to disastrous. We play our casual rounds and hit that approach shot from 120yds to 20′ and are disappointed. Yet the average pro approach shot is 22′ and the very best in the world probably average 11′–just saying, the game is really hard!

  4. greg mcneill

    May 30, 2019 at 10:46 am

    I admit I quit reading when you wrote that Miller won the US Open in 1966. That was probably the most famous final round in US Open history and you can’t get the year right? (It was 1973, btw. Casper beat Palmer in ’66 when Arnie blew a 7 shot lead in the last 9 holes).

  5. Championship

    May 30, 2019 at 5:16 am

    Do you get “amazed” by a Friday night regular season Knicks vs Cavs 30-pt blowout win? That is the equivalent of what the Colonial was. Not every tournament is going to be A+, but doesn’t make sense to make blanket statements like that.

    Also, you are celebrating the raw athletic talent you see in the NBA, but then saying the same thing makes golf boring with the longer hitters? The game has changed, but there is still PLENTY more than long drives out there, which is why the world long drivers aren’t the same guys on the Tour.

    Did golf not just bring us what is widely considered to be one of the greatest moments in sports history about a month ago at The Masters? Pretty amazing to me

  6. Sahil

    May 30, 2019 at 3:09 am

    There are guys in my club who have the ability to make shots from almost anywhere. These guys have lost their ability to hit the ball far. They use golf clubs that are yonkers old. They have genuine golf skills that could challenge any pro’s approach shot. They are shot makers. We obsessed with distance and this philosophy of “distance is king” has been hammered home by the golf club industry obviously to make more money which is fair in a lot of ways but at the same time golfers need to make that choice. I’d like to see a pro tournament where drivers and 3 woods are disallowed, to genuinely see who’s the best golfer. Grip it and rip it, is way too taxing on the body, ask Tiger, Jason Day, Rory. If every pro golfer is almost always making 40-50ft putts , it does make the game boring and also gives us amateurs an unrealistic view on how golf is played. Adapting to different course. playing parkland one week and a links the next. Then we have professional golfers actually complaining about the difficulty of a course, they actually say the course is too difficult. really!!!! pros practice 8 hours a day, this is their job. It’s amazing what babies they are. So I definitely agree, true skills and shot-making on approach shots and around the green is a skill that needs to be brought back. Having a birdie putt from 40-50ft is the norm, then emphasis falls onto putting and then putters and then the industry coming out with new putters, its a viscous cycle. Golf at heart is about loving the game. Spending time on the course and testing your skills.

  7. Donn

    May 30, 2019 at 2:29 am

    1. TV coverage is pretty bad. Too much time is of the anchors yakk yakk, not enough of the whole field making full swing shots. And Yes, too much TV is just the putt. In the Masters, if I am home watching, I would like them to broadcast at least 40 or 50 of the tee shots from the 1st tee, more tee shots all over the course, even guys in the middle of the pack.

    2. Is it just me, or do we see way too many mid and long putts fall way too short? I keep reading that 0 % of puts that are too short will ever go in, right?

    3. At Colonial, last 2 rounds, I saw Finau swing a lot. Yikes. His swing is far from textbook, but I didn’t hear any comments. Is Furyk’s swing the only one where it is ok to call it weird?

    4. I think it is time to redesign some courses to add more risks or actual dead zones at 300 yards. More doglegs, or severe narrowing of the fairway from say 300 to 330 yards, to force more of the big hitters to play the locations like courses presented to the pros 40 years ago. When most of the par 4s are wedges to the green, it is monotonous as Koepka said.

  8. Terence Gillmore

    May 29, 2019 at 8:57 pm

    Trevino said that what can’t last is “chipping for pars” not “putting for pars”

  9. Dave r

    May 29, 2019 at 7:31 pm

    Watching LPGA golf us older types can relate better. The smash boys really not worth watching anymore . It’s the same old thing hit it as far as you can find it and repeat . I watched the college golf and they are hitting 6 and 7 irons 210 yards was wondering what the wedge guy thinks are 6 irons really 6 irons or are they 6 irons with a 4-5 iron lofts. Would agree watching golf on tv is like watching paint dry.

  10. Geoffrey Holland

    May 29, 2019 at 6:07 pm

    What a garbage article.

  11. Darrin Lygrisse

    May 29, 2019 at 5:44 pm

    You know what fails to amaze me these days? Sports writing.

    There used to be an old adage in journalism, “the smaller the ball the better the writing” Now it pretty much just all sucks. Professional writing is dead for the most part, I used to love getting my Golf Digest, Golf Magazine, Golf Illustrated, my Sports Illustrated, The Sporting News, and reading all the great articles, cover to cover. Now the only thing I subscribe to is this GolfWRX email newsletter, which when I try to open, tries to get me to subscribe every single damn time, even though I have been since 2006.

    It would be nice to see some real professionals on the beat again.

  12. Steve

    May 29, 2019 at 5:28 pm

    Isn’t that the beauty of the PGA, though? ANYONE’s first tee shot on Thursday could lead to a win, and not because some team has a higher salary cap or lets their star player build a super team around him.

  13. Vas

    May 29, 2019 at 5:13 pm

    I almost totally agree, but would have presented it differently. Golf now is basically the same as tennis. Success is all about physicality and hitting the ball as hard as you can. The equipment makes it that way. There was no incentive to looking like a linebacker in 1985 because you would spin the ball off the planet and not break 80. It’s totally okay to prefer serve-and-volley tennis instead of the grunt-fest from the baseline. It’s equally okay to prefer pre-90s skill-emphasized golf instead of guys swinging for the fences with the driver. What’s not okay is to place ANY blame or insult on ANY player. They’re all businessmen. They’re doing what works. If my kids really take to the game, I’m going have them swing as fast as they can and figure out the rest later.

  14. Daniel

    May 29, 2019 at 5:04 pm

    Maybe the problem with not being amazed with pro golf anymore has to do with the tv coverage. When I watch now it seems like all I see are putts. They show all the leaders shots, especially on Sunday in a major when it’s a big name, but not everybody else.

    I like the shot tracers and wish there was more of that. It’s good to see the trajectory of the ball, and not just a close up shot of it flying in the air with nothing but sky around.

  15. JK

    May 29, 2019 at 4:47 pm

    Dustin Johnson has won every year for 12 seasons, something only Tiger Woods and Jack Nicklaus have done.

    Phil Mickelson, who is nearing 50, won already this year and is consistently in the top 25 of tournaments in which he plays.

    What are these dumb claims that no one has maintained performance over the years? Did you not see a guy win back-to-back US Opens followed closely by back-to-back PGA championships?

    Did you forget about just a few years ago when Phil Mickelson was in the final group of the Open Championship, shot 65, and didn’t win?

    Did you miss when someone shot 62 in a major?

    Terrible article

    • Pelling

      May 29, 2019 at 5:43 pm

      Did you not forget Phil chasing after a putt he hit at Shinnecock and slapping the ball while it was moving?

  16. DavidRB

    May 29, 2019 at 4:40 pm

    Couldn’t agree more with Terry. Golf has become boring. Don’t take me wrong, the boring part is because “these guys are good”, precise and boring. I do think the huge purses have caused some to play for the money and not the trophy. Kevin Na played the way one needs to to master Colonial. If you have never been there, try it if you can. It takes precise boring golf to win there.

    Keep it up Terry. The bomb and gouge style of play deserves more accurate wedge play. What I saw last week, the players couln’t get the ball hole-high from 125 or less.

  17. Grumpy Old Man

    May 29, 2019 at 4:29 pm

    “You kids get off my lawn!” – Terry Koehler

    • Shallowface

      May 30, 2019 at 8:06 am

      Beyond Beyond Beyond played.

    • Shallowface

      May 31, 2019 at 1:19 pm

      That is so far beyond played you should be ashamed of yourself.

  18. The dude

    May 29, 2019 at 4:25 pm

    “Dogs that chase cars….and Ben Hogan equipment”

  19. PSG

    May 29, 2019 at 1:20 pm

    The Tour used to be much less top-heavy in terms of prize support. Virtually all the increase in prize money has gone to the top 5 spots. There used to be a 12% gap between number 5 and number 10. Now its about 170%.

    The “best players” used to be guys who would shoot 70 every day. Now you are much better off shooting 65 four straight days and shoot over 80 the rest of the year. That’s why you see the decisions you do – players fire at pins because winning the tournament is much higher rewarded than making the cut.

    You can like it or not like it but to act as if these players are less skilled is asinine. They’re not less skilled, that’s absurd. They are trying to win. In the days you reference the prize money was in being in the top 25 every week. Now it is in winning once a year. Because of this they’re not shooting middle of the green.

    Do you honestly think the players of today woke up and decided to be worse and dumber?! Of course not. They are incentivized to take risks, and they do.

  20. Cody

    May 29, 2019 at 9:44 am

    I would take the current top ten golfers vs. any top ten golfers of any time period.

    • Murv

      May 29, 2019 at 7:26 pm

      Today’s players against 60’s and 70’s players using 60’s equipment and balls. I’ll take the old guys.
      Jason Day said it best. Back in the day they curved the ball around the hazards because they had to. Today they just hit it high, straight over the hazards.

  21. carl spackler

    May 29, 2019 at 9:38 am

    its really too bad we dont have better shot data from the old days. i would love to see the strokes gained stats for the best players from the 60s through the 90s

    i would bet the ball striking was a bit better in the old days, but not as much as people like to think. todays greens are harder, faster and the ball spins less which makes it harder to hold shots on the green

  22. Glass half full

    May 29, 2019 at 7:02 am

    I like watching sports on tv because these athletes can perform at a level I cannot. Colonial isn’t a big tournament in the calendar but still, Kevin Na was impressive. Even if I could the ball as far and straight as a PGA Tour pro, I know that hardly anyone can qualify because….it’s damn hard. I’m not a fan of cynical articles like these, your rant seems petty. These guys ( women ) are very talented.

  23. Shallowface

    May 29, 2019 at 3:26 am

    What I find interesting is how many tour pros say they never watch golf on television. Imagine if we all get up one morning and decide we’re not going to watch anymore. The only reason pro golf exists is because someone wants to watch it. Terry is right. There’s nothing really interesting going on there anymore. The 210 yard 2 iron second into a Par 4. Now that was some good television.

    • golfrank

      May 29, 2019 at 5:56 pm

      Maybe it’s less interesting today because the 210-yard 2-iron has been replaced by a 210-yard 7-iron.

      • Shallowface

        May 30, 2019 at 8:04 am

        Yep, which is entirely due to a ball that doesn’t spin as it used to. Athleticism has NOTHING to do with it.

        It’s never going to happen, but if it were possible to legislate the old balata spin rates into the modern golf ball the game would become interesting to watch again. The ball wouldn’t go as far and more importantly it wouldn’t go as straight. It would be more affected by the wind. All of the challenges that made golf the game it was, but no longer is.

        But that sort of thing falls to the USGA, who only has the authority which it is granted by those who choose to play under its rules. If they were to do such a thing, the PGA Tour would simply say “we are going to play by our rules” and nothing would change.

        The USGA, as irrelevant as it has become, wouldn’t want to be driven into a state of total irrelevance. So they’ll continue to do nothing and like it.

        • Shallowface

          May 31, 2019 at 1:17 pm

          What we need is a ball on the order of the original Spalding Tour Edition, which was a two piece with a urethane cover that spun as much or more that a wound balata ball. That would Make Golf Great Again.

  24. Jack

    May 28, 2019 at 10:03 pm

    Terry is talking about pro golfers like they are a bunch of amateurs, constantly missing greens and trying to get up and down or worse. These guys are really good tee to green, and that includes the long irons. Kevin Na just put together 4 rounds that were 3 of them really good (1 course record). Often pro’s will get 1 record round and puke it up the next. he didn’t. That’s why he won by 4. Give some credit to the winners. Also it’s not like most tournaments are decided by 4 shots and Na is a consistent winner on tour (although he is a tour staple at this point). Na just caught fire and left the field behind.

    I think there’s some old timers bias here. Of course the top old pro’s were very good, but I doubt the middle tier guys were very good either. See? I just said that without any research or proof. The pro’s nowadays need to be very good with their long irons which they need to hit even further, so in many ways they are even more accurate than the guys had to be before. If they don’t score on par 5’s with their long clubs, they need to get hot on par 4’s which isn’t always easy with the par 4’s getting longer and longer. Even par 3’s are like 200 plus yards often. There have been plenty of memorable shots, most recently Koepka’s dominance and DJ almost making it up, and prior to that Tiger showing us some old school shot making.

    Yes the long hitters wedge in, but they are not all hitting it 320. The 290 guys are still hitting mid irons. And if the pro’s of the old days had to hit long irons into par 4’s all the time, they probably didn’t last on tour very long.

    Appreciate your wedge expert articles, but this wasn’t really your best work.

    • The dude

      May 28, 2019 at 11:01 pm

      This reply was too long….way too long

  25. R

    May 28, 2019 at 9:52 pm

    You’re crazy Terry. And really should quit talking or writing. For ever. You’re only making yourself sound a prat, and forget that this stuff stays on the web for ever. For ever. Realize that. It’s going to be readable for ever. It’s not like this stupid writing will be forgotten in some backwoods bookshop in the Middle Ages. Not any more. This is how you will be remembered

  26. Nick

    May 28, 2019 at 8:51 pm

    Terry,
    Ironically, when I read your first article, I thought about the same things are happening in the MLB and NBA. Strikeouts, walks and home runs are at all time highs. You can argue whether that is good or bad.

    The NBA parallels golf even more because the mid-range shot has all but disappeared. Teams now pretty much just shoot 3s and layups or dunks. Thirty years ago, teams averaged 2.2 three point shots per game. This season, that number is up to 11.4. Again, you can argue whether that is good or bad, but it is happening.

    I love reading your stuff, but I think you are missing the mark here. Golf is but one sport following the same trend.

    • Daniel

      May 29, 2019 at 4:58 pm

      I agree 100% Nick.
      To me, golf is not better or worse than it once was, it’s just different.

    • Joseph Greenberg

      May 30, 2019 at 7:24 am

      right on (3) point. bigger picture problem for NBA and MLB is rapidly declining viewership, with baseball suffering major falloff in attendance. If all the fan sees is Ks and HRs, there is no action, particularly if watching on tv. Same to lesser degree with NBA, except my beloved Warriors when they move the ball and themselves around, play D, and run the break.
      The threat to golf is more severe, as aging target market loses relatability to massive young stars.

  27. NBB

    May 28, 2019 at 6:25 pm

    Perhaps via the use of tour data determine the yardage in which to begin progressively narrowing a fairway as it approaches the green and as the fairway narrows, the rough would become progessively more dense toward the green? Perhaps the progressiveness of faiway width and rough density would only slightly favor the longest hitters (given their propensity for missing the fairway at the great distances), but such would favor accuracy for all and enlarge the field of contenders. Perhaps, also, slow the greens down to ‘difficult’ rather than ‘aw, that ain’t right’?

  28. J

    May 28, 2019 at 1:36 pm

    You lost me when you said the NBA consistently amazes you. Regular season games are hard to watch for me. No one gives consistent effort the full game it seems like to me. Boring as hell for me. YMMV as usual

  29. Juststeve

    May 28, 2019 at 12:31 pm

    Terry: You and I agree. I remember when hitting all the clubs, including long irons and fairway wood, was the mark of a great golfer. Now its just smash, pitch and putt. Not nearly as interesting. Perhaps I’ll watch more of the LPGA.

    • Bombers Golf Shop

      May 29, 2019 at 4:50 pm

      Besides, almost every damn amateur male golfer should take notes on how the LPGA players swing. They pick courses’ bones with a smooth, repeatable action. Pound for pound, they are the best.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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Golf's Perfect Imperfections

Golf’s Perfect Imperfections: Amazing Session with Performance Coach Savannah Meyer-Clement

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In this week’s episode, we spent some time with performance coach Savannah Meyer-Clement who provides many useful insights that you’ll be able to implement on the golf course.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 RBC Heritage betting preview: Patrick Cantlay ready to get back inside winner’s circle

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Just a two-hour drive from Augusta National, the PGA TOUR heads to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, S.C. Hilton Head Island is a golfer’s paradise and Harbour Town is one of the most beautiful and scenic courses on the PGA TOUR.

Harbour Town Golf Links is a par-71 that measures 7,121 yards and features Bermuda grass greens. A Pete Dye design, the course is heavily tree lined and features small greens and many dog legs, protecting it from “bomb-and-gauge” type golfers.

The field is loaded this week with 69 golfers with no cut. Last year was quite possibly the best field in RBC Heritage history and the event this week is yet another designated event, meaning there is a $20 million prize pool.

Most of the big names on the PGA Tour will be in attendance this week with the exceptions of Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland. Additionally, Webb Simpson, Shane Lowry, Gary Woodland and Kevin Kisner have been granted sponsors exemptions. 

Past Winners at Harbour Town

  • 2023: Matt Fitzpatrick (-17)
  • 2022: Jordan Spieth (-13)
  • 2021: Stewart Cink (-19)
  • 2020: Webb Simpson (-22)
  • 2019: CT Pan (-12)
  • 2018: Sotoshi Kodaira (-12)
  • 2017: Wesley Bryan (-13)
  • 2016: Branden Grace (-9)
  • 2015: Jim Furyk (-18)

In this article and going forward, I’ll be using the Rabbit Hole by Betsperts Golf data engine to develop my custom model. If you want to build your own model or check out all of the detailed stats, you can sign up using promo code: MATTVIN for 25% off any subscription package (yearly is best value).

Key Stats For Harbour Town

Let’s take a look at key metrics for Harbour Town Golf Links to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their past 24 rounds.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes Gained: Approach is exceedingly important this week. The greens at Harbour Town are about half the size of PGA TOUR average and feature the second-smallest greens on the tour. Typical of a Pete Dye design, golfers will pay the price for missed greens.

Total SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+1.27)
  2. Tom Hoge (+1.27)
  3. Corey Conners (+1.16)
  4. Austin Eckroat (+0.95)
  5. Cameron Young (+0.93)

Good Drive %

The fairways at Harbour Town are tree lined and feature many dog legs. Bombers tend to struggle at the course because it forces layups and doesn’t allow long drivers to overpower it. Accuracy is far more important than power.

Good Drive % Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Brice Garnett (88.8%)
  2. Shane Lowry (+87.2%)
  3. Akshay Bhatia (+86.0%)
  4. Si Woo Kim (+85.8%)
  5. Sepp Straka (+85.1%)

Strokes Gained: Total at Pete Dye Designs

Pete Dye specialists tend to play very well at Harbour Town. Si Woo Kim, Matt Kuchar, Jim Furyk and Webb Simpson are all Pete Dye specialists who have had great success here. It is likely we see some more specialists near the top of the leaderboard this week.

SG: TOT Pete Dye per round over past 36 rounds:

  1. Xander Schauffele (+2.27)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+2.24)
  3. Ludvig Aberg (+2.11)
  4. Brian Harman (+1.89)
  5. Sungjae Im (+1.58)

4. Strokes Gained: Short Game (Bermuda)

Strokes Gained: Short Game factors in both around the green and putting. With many green-side bunkers and tricky green complexes, both statistics will be important. Past winners — such as Jim Furyk, Wes Bryan and Webb Simpson — highlight how crucial the short game skill set is around Harbour Town.

SG: SG Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Jordan Spieth (+1.11)
  2. Taylor Moore (+1.02)
  3. Wyndham Clark (+0.98)
  4. Mackenzie Hughes (+0.86)
  5. Andrew Putnam (+0.83)

5. Greens in Regulation %

The recipe for success at Harbour Town Golf Links is hitting fairways and greens. Missing either will prove to be consequential — golfers must be in total control of the ball to win.

Greens in Regulation % over past 24 rounds:

  1. Brice Garnett (+75.0%)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+69.9%)
  3. Corey Conners (+69.0%)
  4. Shane Lowry (+68.3%)
  5. Patrick Rodgers (+67.6%)

6. Course History

Harbour Town is a course where players who have strong past results at the course always tend to pop up. 

Course History over past 24 rounds:

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+2.34)
  2. Cam Davis (+2.05)
  3. J.T. Poston (+1.69)
  4. Justin Rose (+1.68)
  5. Tommy Fleetwood (+1.59)

The RBC Heritage Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (24%), Good Drives (20%), SG: SG (14%), SG: Pete Dye (14%), GIR (14%), and Course History (14%)

  1. Shane Lowry
  2. Russell Henley
  3. Scottie Scheffler
  4. Xander Schauffele
  5. Corey Conners 
  6. Wyndham Clark
  7. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  8. Matt Fitzpatrick
  9. Cameron Young
  10. Ludvig Aberg 

2024 RBC Heritage Picks

Patrick Cantlay +2000 (FanDuel)

With the exception of Scottie Scheffler, the PGA Tour has yet to have any of their star players show peak form during the 2024 season. Last week, Patrick Cantlay, who I believe is a top-5 players on the PGA Tour, took one step closer to regaining the form that’s helped him win eight events on Tour since 2017.

Cantlay limped into the Masters in poor form, but figured it out at Augusta National, finishing in a tie for 20th and ranking 17th for the week in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. The former FedEx Cup champion will now head to one of his favorite golf courses in Harbour Town, where he’s had immaculate results over the years. In his six trips to the course, he’s only finished worse than 7th one time. The other finishes include three third places (2017, 2019, 2023) and one runner-up finish (2022). In his past 36 rounds at Harbour Town, Cantlay ranks 1st in Strokes Gained: Total per round at the course by a wide margin (+2.36).

Cantlay is winless since the 2022 BMW Championship, which is far too long for a player of his caliber. With signs pointing to the 32-year-old returning to form, a “signature event” at Harbour Town is just what he needs to get back on the winning track.

Tommy Fleetwood +3000 (FanDuel)

I truly believe Tommy Fleetwood will figure out a way to win on American soil in 2024. It’s certainly been a bugaboo for him throughout his career, but he is simply too talented to go another season without winning a PGA Tour event.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, Fleetwood made a Sunday charge and ended up finishing T3 in the event, which was his best ever finish at The Masters. For the week, the Englishman ranked 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 10th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is a perfect layout for Fleetwood, and he’s had relative success at this Pete Dye design in the past.  In his four trips to the course, he’s finished inside of the top 25 three times, with his best finish, T10, coming in 2022. The course is pretty short and can’t be overpowered, which gives an advantage to more accurate players such as Fleetwood. Tommy ranks 8th in the field in Good Drive % and should be able to plot his way along this golf course.

The win is coming for Tommy lad. I believe there’s a chance this treasure of a golf course may be the perfect one for him to finally break through on Tour.

Cameron Young +3300 (FanDuel)

Cameron Young had a solid Masters Tournament last week, which is exactly what I’m looking for in players who I anticipate playing well this week at the RBC Heritage. He finished in a tie for 9th, but never felt the pressure of contending in the event. For the week, Young ranked 6th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 6th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Despite being one of the longest players off the tee on the PGA Tour, Young has actually played some really good golf on shorter tracks. He finished T3 at Harbour Town in 2023 and ranks 20th in the field in Good Drive% and 16th in Greens in Regulation in his past 24 rounds. He also has strong finishes at other shorter courses that can take driver out of a players hand such as Copperhead and PGA National.

Young is simply one of the best players on the PGA Tour in 2024, and I strongly believe has what it takes to win a PGA Tour event in the very near future.

Corey Conners +5500 (FanDuel)

Corey Conners has had a disappointing year thus far on the PGA Tour, but absolutely loves Harbour Town.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, the Canadian finished T30 but ranked 20th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. In his past 24 rounds, Conners ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 3rd in Greens in Regulation % and 24th in Good Drive %.

In Conners’ last four trips to Harbour Town, his worst finish was T31, last season. He finished T4 in 2021, T12 in 2022 and ranks 8th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course over his past 36 rounds.

Conners hasn’t been contending, but his recent finishes have been encouraging as he has finished in the top-25 in each of his past three starts prior to The Masters, including an impressive T13 at The PLAYERS. His recent improvement in ball striking as well as his suitability for Harbour Town makes Conners a high upside bet this week.

Shane Lowry (+7500) (FanDuel)

When these odds were posted after Lowry was announced in the field, I have to admit I was pretty stunned. Despite not offering much win equity on the PGA Tour over the last handful of years, Shane Lowry is still a top caliber player who has the ability to rise to the top of a signature event.

Lowry struggled to score at The Masters last week, but he actually hit the ball really well. The Irishman ranked 1st for Strokes Gained: Approach on the week and 7th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. As usual, it was the putter that let him down, as he ranked 60th in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is most definitely one of Lowry’s favorite courses on the PGA Tour. In his six starts there, he’s finished in the top 10 three times, including third twice. Lowry is sensational at Pete Dye designs and ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Total in his past 36 rounds on Dye tracks. 

Lowry is perfect for Harbour Town. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 5th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 2nd in Good Drive% and 5th in Green in Regulation %. If he figures it out on the greens, Shane could have his first win in America since 2015.

Lucas Glover +12000 (FanDuel)

This is one of my weekly “bet the number” plays as I strongly believe the odds are just too long for a player of Glover’s caliber. The odds have been too long on Glover for a few weeks now, but this is the first event that I can get behind the veteran being able to actually contend at. 

Glover is quietly playing good golf and returning to the form he had after the understandable regression after his two massive victories at the end of 2023. He finished T20 at The Masters, which was his best ever finish at Augusta National. For the week, Lucas ranked 18th for Strokes Gained: Approach and 20th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Over his past 24 rounds, Glover ranks 9th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th in Good Drive %. Harbour Town is a short course that the 44-year-old will be able to keep up with the top players on Tour off the tee. He’s played the course more than 20 times, with mixed results. His best finishes at Harbour Town include a T7 in 2008, but recently has a finish of T21 in 2020.

Glover has proven he can contend with the stars of the Tour on any given week, and this number is flat out disrespectful.

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