News
2018 PGA Championship odds: Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas favored
The final major of the season is upon us–and the final time that the PGA Championships is the final major of the season is upon us as well. Next year’s competition will fall between the Masters and U.S. Open, owing to the PGA Tour’s calendar reshuffle.
Something less textually convoluted: Dustin Johnson is the favorite at 8-1 odds.
Rory McIlroy 12-1, Justin Thomas 14-1, Jordan Spieth 20-1, Brooks Koepka 20-1, Jason Day 20-1, Rickie Fowler 22-1, Justin Rose 22-1, Jon Rahm 25-1 and Tiger Woods 28-1 round out the top 10.
7,547-yard par 71 Bellerive, which underwent a $9.5-million renovation in 2005-06 to get up to major standards, plays host. The course performed well as the venue for the 2013 Senior PGA Championship, and players will be keen for a chance to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy at the Missouri course for the first time since 1992.
Here are the odds for the full field, courtesy of Bovada.
Dustin Johnson 8-1
Rory McIlroy 12-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Jordan Spieth 20-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1
Jason Day 20-1
Rickie Fowler 22-1
Justin Rose 22-1
Jon Rahm 25-1
Tiger Woods 28-1
Tommy Fleetwood 28-1
Francesco Molinari 33-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Tony Finau 40-1
Alex Noren 50-1
Henrik Stenson 50-1
Patrick Cantlay 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Xander Schauffele 50-1
Bubba Watson 50-1
Hideki Matsuyama 66-1
Marc Leishman 66-1
Joaquin Niemann 66-1
Webb Simpson 75-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 75-1
Bryson DeChambeau 80-1
Louis Oosthuizen 80-1
Matt Kuchar 80-1
Kyle Stanley 80-1
Phil Mickelson 100-1
Sergio Garcia 100-1
Branden Grace 100-1
Charley Hoffman 100-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Kevin Kisner 100-1
Zach Johnson 100-1
Gary Woodland 100-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Daniel Berger 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Byeong-Hun An 125-1
Kevin Chappell 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Aaron Wise 125-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 150-1
Rafa Cabrera-Bello 150-1
Russell Knox 150-1
Adam Scott 150-1
Brandt Snedeker 150-1
Charl Schwartzel 150-1
Russell Henley 150-1
Ryan Moore 150-1
Shane Lowry 150-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Tyrrell Hatton 150-1
Si Woo Kim 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 200-1
J.B. Holmes 200-1
Jason Dufner 200-1
Jimmy Walker 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Eddie Pepperell 200-1
Billy Horschel 200-1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200-1
Kevin Na 200-1
Haotong Li 200-1
Alexander Bjork 200-1
Anirban Lahiri 200-1
Cameron Smith 200-1
Dylan Frittelli 200-1
Jamie Lovemark 200-1
Jhonattan Vegas 200-1
Julian Suri 200-1
Nick Watney 200-1
Paul Dunne 200-1
Shaun Micheel 200-1
Shubhankar Sharma 200-1
Stewart Cink 200-1
Troy Merritt 200-1
Whee Kim 200-1
Brendan Steele 250-1
Charles Howell III 250-1
Danny Willett 250-1
Chesson Hadley 250-1
Chris Wood 250-1
Pat Perez 250-1
James Hahn 250-1
Ross Fisher 250-1
Adrian Otaegui 250-1
Alexander Levy 250-1
Andrew Landry 250-1
Brandon Stone 250-1
Brian Gay 250-1
J.J. Spaun 250-1
Jim Furyk 250-1
Jordan Smith 250-1
Jorge Campillo 250-1
Matt Wallace 250-1
Michael Kim 250-1
Padraig Harrington 250-1
Ryan Armour 250-1
Scott Piercy 300-1
Adam Hadwin 300-1
Brice Garnett 300-1
Chris Stroud 300-1
Mike Lorenzo-Vera 300-1
Patton Kizzire 300-1
Satoshi Kodaira 300-1
Scott Brown 300-1
Sungjae Im 300-1
Vijay Singh 300-1
Yusaku Miyazato 300-1
Yuta Ikeda 300-1
Martin Kaymer 300-1
Austin Cook 300-1
Ollie Schniederjans 300-1
Peter Uihlein 300-1
Ryan Fox 300-1
Andy Sullivan 400-1
Chez Reavie 400-1
Justin Harding 400-1
Mikko Korhonen 400-1
Paul Broadhurst 400-1
Ryuko Tokimatsu 400-1
Seungsu Han 400-1
Shugo Imahira 400-1
Ted Potter Jr. 400-1
Y.E. Yang 400-1
Bill Haas 500-1
Davis Love III 500-1
Jason Kokrak 500-1
Matt Borchert 500-1
Sean McCarty 500-1
Thomas Bjorn 500-1
Jaysen Hansen 750-1
John Daly 750-1
Matt Dobyns 750-1
Michael Block 750-1
Brian Smock 1000-1
Craig Hocknull 1000-1
Danny Balin 1000-1
Jason Schmuhl 1000-1
Marty Jertson 1000-1
Rich Berberian Jr. 1000-1
Shawn Warren 1000-1
Ben Kern 1500-1
Bob Sowards 1500-1
David Muttitt 1500-1
Rich Beem 1500-1
Ryan Vermeer 1500-1
Omar Uresti 2000-1
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Tour Photo Galleries
Photos from the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
GolfWRX is on site this week in McKinney, Texas, at the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson (FKA the AT&T Byron Nelson).
Last year at TPC Craig Ranch, Jason Day ended a five-year winless streak. J-Day is in the field again, as are Jordan Spieth, Tom Kim, and Will Zalatoris.
We have our usual assortment of general galleries, WITBs, and pullout albums for your perusal. As always, we’ll continue to add links to additional albums as they make their way to us from the Lone Star State.
Check out links to all our photos below.
General Albums
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Monday #1
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Monday #2
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #1
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #2
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #3
WITB Albums
- Pierceson Coody – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Kris Kim – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- David Nyfjall – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Adrien Dumont de Chassart – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Jarred Jetter – North Texas PGA Section Champ – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Richy Werenski – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Wesley Bryan – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Parker Coody – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Peter Kuest – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Blaine Hale, Jr. – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Kelly Kraft – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Rico Hoey – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Pullout Albums
- Adam Scott’s 2 new custom L.A.B. Golf putters – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Scotty Cameron putters – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Ben Griffin playing Maxfli golf ball
See what GolfWRXers are saying in the forums.
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News
Vincenzi’s 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting preview: International talent to shine
As anticipation mounts for the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla in a few weeks, the PGA Tour makes a pit stop in McKinney, Texas to play The CJ CUP Byron Nelson.
Last year was the third time TPC Craig Ranch hosted the Byron Nelson. Prior to 2021, the event was held at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas.
TPC Craig Ranch is a 7,414-yard par-71 that features Bentgrass greens. The event historically plays relatively easy, and that has remained the case in the three editions at TPC Craig Ranch.
The course structure may provide some additional intrigue with the par-3 17th featuring a stadium setup called “Ranch 17” which is reminiscent of the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale. The course also has both long and difficult par-4s mixed with drivable par-4s, which should create some exciting moments.
There are 156 golfers in the field this week, and many stars will be taking the week off to prepare for 2023’s second major championship in a few weeks and a “signature event” at Quail Hollow next week. Notable players in the field include Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Sungjae Im, Stephan Jaeger, Tom Kim, Si Woo Kim, Min Woo Lee, Alex Noren, Adam Scott and Will Zalatoris.
Past Winners of the AT&T Byron Nelson
- 2023: Jason Day (-23 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2022: K.H. Lee (-26 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2021: K.H. Lee (-25 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2019: Sung Kang (-23)
- 2018: Aaron Wise (-23)
- 2017: Billy Horschel (-12)
- 2016: Sergio Garcia (-15)
- 2015: Steven Bowditch (-18)
Key Stats at TPC Craig Ranch
Let’s take a look at five key metrics for TPC Craig Ranch to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Approach remains the best measure of current form.
Hot iron play will be at a premium this week. Last year, Jason Day gained 6.4 strokes on approach, which was fourth in the field. In 2022, K.H. Lee was ninth in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, gaining 5.2 strokes. In his 2021 victory, he was second in the field and gained 8.3 strokes on the field in the category.
Strokes Gaines: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds
- Tom Hoge (+1.12)
- Keith Mitchell (+1.02)
- Henrik Norlander (+0.99)
- Ryan Moore (+0.98)
- Ben Martin (0.80)
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Fairways are wide at TPC Craig Ranch.
Distance will certainly be helpful, and there aren’t too many difficult holes on the course. Golfers who put themselves in position off of the tee this week should have a sizable advantage.
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Over Past 24 Rounds
- Peter Kuest (+0.93)
- Kevin Daugherty (+0.91)
- Alejandro Tosti (+0.83)
- Keith Mitchell (+0.82)
- Kevin Tway (+0.74)
Birdie or Better %
There aren’t many hazards on the course, and all of the par-5s should be reachable in two for the majority of the players in the field. I am anticipating a birdie fest, and this statistic should be helpful in finding the birdie-makers.
Birdie or Better % Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Wesley Bryan (31%)
- Kelly Kraft (26.2%)
- Peter Kuest (25.9%)
- Matti Schmid (25.7%
- Jimmy Stanger (25.2%)
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Many golfers on TOUR have some major putting surface variance in their statistics and prefer Bentgrass to other surfaces.
Bentgrass is common in Texas, and we often see golfers who play well in Texas continue to do so, finding a great feel around the greens.
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Maverick McNealy (+0.92)
- Aaron Baddeley (+0.87)
- Callum Tarren (+0.86)
- Harry Hall (+0.81)
- Nick Hardy (+0.69)
Course History
This statistic will tell us which players have performed the best at TPC Craig Ranch over the past three seasons.
Course History Over Past 12 Rounds:
- Jordan Spieth (+2.69)
- K.H. Lee (+2.59)
- Seamus Power (+1.84)
- Ryan Palmer (+1.76)
- Adam Scott (+1.72)
CJ CUP Byron Nelson Model Rankings
Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (27%), SG: OTT (24%), Birdie or Better % (18%), Course History (17%) and SG: Putting Bentgrass (16%).
- Alex Noren
- Adam Scott
- Keith Mitchell
- Si Woo Kim
- Stephen Jaeger
- Jordan Spieth
- Jhonnatan Vegas
- Nate Lashley
- Brice Garnett
- Tom Hoge
2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson Picks
Byeong Hun An +3000 (DraftKings)
Byeong Hun put together an excellent performance at The Masters, finishing T16, which ties his best ever finish at a major championship (also T16 at 2019 U.S. Open). The South Korean gained 9.16 strokes from tee to green, which ranked 2nd in the field behind only the champion, Scottie Scheffler.
An’s next start at Harbour Town didn’t go as well (67th), but he still had a fantastic ball striking week. The 32-year-old bled strokes both around and on the greens, which was his eventual undoing. In his past three starts, An has gained significant strokes on the field both off the tee and on approach.
Benny had a strong start at last year’s Byron Nelson, finishing in a tie for 14th. With limited challenges on the course, he shouldn’t have to do much scrambling. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 17th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 17th in the field in birdie or better percentage. The putter is up and down per usual, but his ceiling putting weeks with his LAB Golf putter in 2024 are higher than they’ve been in past seasons.
An is starting to become my “white whale” of the PGA Tour, but I believe in his talent and TPC Craig Ranch is a course that should suit his excellent tee to green play.
Mackenzie Hughes +5500 (FanDuel)
Mackenzie Hughes is quietly putting together a very good season. He finished in a tie for 3rd at the Valspar Championship and followed that up with a T14 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open.
In his past 36 rounds in Texas, the Canadian ranks 5th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total. Last year, he finished in a tie for 14th at this event and gained strokes putting and off the tee. Mackenzie played well that week despite being in extremely poor form. He missed two cuts in a row prior to the event, and four consecutive cuts immediately after. His irons were off that week, but in 2024, we’ve seen an improvement in Hughes’ approach game. He now comes to the event playing some steady golf. He’s gained strokes on approach in four of his past five events and is hitting the ball very well from tee to green.
Hughes has two victories on the PGA Tour, both coming in relatively low-scoring affairs (-17 in each). He will need to go a bit deeper to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson but has the type of putter that can keep pace in a birdie barrage.
Seamus Power +7000 (FanDuel)
After struggling over the past few seasons with injuries, Seamus Power seems as if he is rounding back into the form that made him a really consistent player on the PGA Tour.
Power finished T12 in his most recent start at the RBC Heritage, which is encouraging considering it was a “signature event” with a very strong field. For the week, the Irishman gained 4.4 strokes on approach and 2.8 strokes putting, which is the combination he’s used in the past to contend on Tour.
In his three trips to TPC Craig Ranch, Power is yet to finish outside of the top-20, with his best finish being a T9 in 2019. He ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course. The 37-year-old thrives on easy tracks and has won in 2021 (Barbasol Championship) and 2022 (Butterfield Bermuda) on easier layouts with weaker fields.
Power has the game to go extremely low and I believe he can get back in the winner’s circle for the third time in four years.
Chan Kim +10000 (FanDuel)
Chan Kim has been striking the ball beautifully this season and is a proven winner with two wins on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2023 as well as eight career Japan Tour wins.
At last week’s Zurich Classic, Kim and his partner Doug Ghim finished in a tie for 28th. Prior to that, the South Korean T14 at the Valero Texas Open and T6 at the Corales Puntacana Championship. His success this season in Texas as well as he propensity to play his best golf on the PGA Tour’s easier courses make him and ideal fit for TPC Craig Ranch.
2024 has given plenty of longshot winners on the PGA Tour, and with a birdie fest like this, I believe there’s a strong chance we get another this week in McKinney, Texas.
Alejandro Tosti +10000 (FanDuel)
Alejandro Tosti is one of the most polarizing players on the PGA Tour thus far in the 2024 season. His antics can rub many the wrong way, but he’s shown on a few occasions that he has what it takes to compete in Tour events.
This season, Tosti has been elite off the tee. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The Argentine hits it long and straight, which works at any course on earth. He got a taste of contention a few starts ago at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, finishing in a tie for 2nd place.
Tosti had a fantastic year in 2023 on the Korn Ferry Tour, where going low is a prerequisite to success. If this turns to a shootout, which it likely will, the 27-year-old has the ability to set the pace. Tosti will look to become the second Argentine to win in Texas in the past two seasons after Emiliano Grillo emerged victorious at last year’s Charles Schwab Challenge.
C.T. Pan +15000 (FanDuel)
Outside of a T3 at the Mexico Open, C.T. Pan doesn’t have strong results this season in terms of finishes. However, over his past two starts, Pan’s iron play has come alive. At The Players, he gained 6.6 strokes on approach. At the Valero Texas Open, he gained 3.7. At last week’s Zurich Classic, Pan and his partner Kevin Yu finished T28. For a player who can get extremely hot with his scoring clubs, I believe he’s playing better than the results have shown over the past month or so.
Last season, Pan finished 4th at TPC Craig Ranch and was spectacular across all the major stat categories. In his past 36 qualifying rounds, he ranks 16th in Strokes Gained: Total in Texas.
Pan has won on the PGA Tour at the RBC Heritage and is always a player that I believe has what it takes to win on a Sunday if he finds himself in contention.
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News
Morning 9: McIlroy, Lowry win Zurich | Green repeats on LPGA | Steele victorious down under
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Ryan Diliberto
Aug 6, 2018 at 2:15 pm
Its a par 70
Squid
Aug 6, 2018 at 2:52 pm
No, it’s Par 72
https://www.pga.com/events/pgachampionship/course
Ryan Diliberto
Aug 6, 2018 at 2:56 pm
nope still a 70