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Opinion & Analysis

The prices we pay for golf

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In the past few years, I’ve paid as much as $350 to play a round of golf and I’ve paid as little as $10.

Granted, the $350 round was a bucket-list reward and everything was immaculate (except my game that day), while the $10 round was super-twilight on an empty course racing to beat darkness, darkness eventually winning 2-up.

Those examples are at the far ends of the cost spectrum that is public golf in the United States today. At some resort and high-end daily fee courses, golfers routinely debit their cards to the tune of three figures for a prime tee time, while time-flexible, cost-conscious players leveraging Internet savings can find some almost miniscule rates at fully acceptable facilities.

Since I’m in the tourist-heavy (even at the start of summer heat) Palm Springs area, I found some out-of-town golfers to ask what they usually pay to play.

[quote_box_center]“More than I tell my wife,” said one man whose name and hometown are being withheld at his request. “Back home I play two courses — one charges around $60 on weekends with a cart included. The other’s a muni, I think we pay $42. Then a couple times in the summer we play one course that’s been a U.S. Open local qualifying site before — last year it was around $125, I think. ”[/quote_box_center]

Morris from Seattle said he plays Riverbend in Kent for around $50 riding.

[quote_box_center]”They have a walking rate that’s maybe $35, but I’ve got a sore back and, while I could walk it, I don’t want to be stuck out in the middle of the course when my back starts hurting, so I take a cart.”[/quote_box_center]

“I only play once a month, I just don’t have enough time,” Larry from Atlanta told me, “so it doesn’t bother me to pay top dollar. I don’t want to waste my time on a bad course.”

I got the opposite response from Dak who lives in Dallas. “I’d rather play twice for $35 each round than once for $70,” he said.

[quote_box_center]“Here’s what I do,” Walt from Wisconsin told me. “I play in a 9-hole league every Thursday, that’s $25 including weekly prize money. Then I try to find a deal online for the weekend and I can usually get something for $30 to walk. So, I pay like $50 a week for two days of golf. I’d spend more than that if I went to one Brewers game…”[/quote_box_center]

The Internet really has made finding open tee times and discounted golf infinitely easier than it was 20 years ago.

I took a look on one of the national Internet tee-time aggregators — I won’t name it since this story isn’t about them — to see rates golfers are paying around the country. I looked for 18-hole tee times at roughly 10:30 a.m. on a Saturday.

This isn’t a scientific survey. Some courses no doubt are booked solid or have tournaments so their rates didn’t show up; some courses don’t put their open tee-times online until 24 or 48 hours in advance. That time on a Saturday morning is considered prime-time at most courses, meaning those times are least likely to have discounts along with less availability. I don’t know anything (good or bad) about the course conditions — they may be pristine, or they may have aerated the greens yesterday.

I worked east-to-west, north-to-south, starting with what I figured would be the priciest golf, Long Island, N.Y. There, Saturday morning tee times between 10 a.m. and 11 a.m. ran from $110 at Wind Watch to $45 at Rolling Oaks. Most other courses were in the $70-75 range. No tee times were listed for Bethpage, but there were plenty of open slots available.

In Charlotte, N.C., the Jones Course at Rock Barn had a few tee times between 10 a.m. and 11 a.m. for $79, while the least expensive regulation course I found was the Lancaster Golf Club for $39. What do you get for that $39 you might wonder? Well, in this case you get nine of the 18 holes designed by Donald Ross in the 1930s!

In Dayton, Ohio, there were 104 tee times available between 10 a.m. and 11 a.m. on a Saturday morning. Three of those cost more than $40, none more than $48; all the others were in the $20 and $30 range.

In New Orleans there were only 28 tee times available in my desired hour and they ran from a high of $80 at La Tour Golf Club to $28 at City Park New Orleans.

In Casper, Wy., there are only four golf courses to choose from (on the site I used) and only six tee times were available in the hour I wanted. The prices went from $34 to $68 and included the most expensive cart fee I’ve ever seen. The walking price at Casper Municipal is $34. The riding price is $64. Perhaps the cart comes with a case of imported beer?

The biggest discrepancy between greens fees that I found was in Phoenix. Searching Phoenix metro NE, I found Troon North Monument for $159 along with a couple of other Troon North courses for $155. On the opposite end of the price spectrum, 18 holes riding at McCormick Ranch Palm Course was only $30 with an Internet special, and in the summer heat even TPC Scottsdale, which hosts a PGA Tour event, was reduced to $59.

The conclusion? It’s a whole big golfing world out there, but based solely on the six markets I researched, there are plenty of tee times available even in weekend prime-time across a good spread of price points.

Now we just need to find out about that cart fee in Casper.

How much did you pay for your last round? Let us know in the comments section below. And check out the inspirational story of one golfer trying to shoot the round of his life at 7-ironpress.com. The book is called A Perfect Lie – The Hole Truth and you can get free shipping on the paperback with the code GOLFWRX, or $4 off the e-book when you enter the code GOLFWRX1 at check-out. It’s a great Father’s Day gift if ordered before June 17.

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Tom Hill is a 9.7 handicap, author and former radio reporter. Hill is the author of the recently released fiction novel, A Perfect Lie – The Hole Truth, a humorous golf saga of one player’s unexpected attempt to shoot a score he never before thought possible. Kirkus Reviews raved about A Perfect Lie, (It) “has the immediacy of a memoir…it’s no gimme but Hill nails it square.” (kirkusreviews.com). A Perfect Lie is available as an ebook or paperback through 7-ironpress.com and the first three chapters are available online to sample. Hill is a dedicated golfer who has played more than 2,000 rounds in the past 30 years and had a one-time personal best handicap of 5.5. As a freelance radio reporter, Hill covered more than 60 PGA and LPGA tournaments working for CBS Radio, ABC Radio, AP Audio, The Mutual Broadcasting System and individual radio stations around the country. “Few knew my name and no one saw my face,” he says, “but millions heard my voice.” Hill is the father of three sons and lives with his wife, Arava Talve, in southern California where he chases after a little white ball as often as he can.

28 Comments

28 Comments

  1. Tom Wishon

    Jun 17, 2015 at 12:02 pm

    After reading this article along with the comments, it is no wonder that golf participation began to decline in the late 90s and then accelerated once the recession hit. I have to believe one of the few things preventing the decline from being worse is the fact that golf can take a very strong hold on you once you get to a point you can play reasonably well and meet people with whom you enjoy playing.

    But when you look at so many golfers with kids, with ever increasing expenses, with incomes that haven’t kept pace with the increase in the cost of living, with non playing spouses who don’t wish to be left alone for 5-6 hrs 2x a week, and with a household income that doesn’t exceed $100K, this game is expensive and difficult to justify the cost to play regularly in the face of these challenges that so many people live with.

    I came into the game when green fees were $10. Annual adult green fee membership was $90. As a kid we could buy an annual green fee membership for $10/yr and only had parts of two days a week we could not play. Sure, incomes were much less on avg than today, but in relation to costs to play today vs today’s incomes, it was still a better deal back then. I look at $40 green fees today and I realize this is inexpensive for today, but such rates are the exception rather than the rule with so many daily fee courses north of $50. Let alone the feature developments for $80, $120 per round and more. Play 2x per week and even $40 round + a few buckets of balls is a real problem for the average household with kids and all the accompanying expenses of today.

    The muni in our town used to be $400/yr for unlimited play for adults for an 8 month season. Then some “visionaries” got into decision making roles and decided they needed to spend $500K to “upgrade” the course – changes that will make it a little nicer but which really were not needed. Hence the annual fee will go up to $1400/yr. While for someone who plays 2x a week for the 8 month season that’s still only @ $20/round, that’s still $1000/yr more cost to a good number of people and families that don’t have much extra space between income and total household expenses. Play will drop I have to believe. But those who can afford it will enjoy their rebuilt bunkers and new routing on 4 holes.

    With income inequality being what it is these days, I worry if the game is destined to revert only to the upper middle class and above, coupled with a few of the die hards who just can’t give it up and thus will sacrifice in other areas to be able to play. And I don’t really know what the solution is.

  2. Adam

    Jun 3, 2015 at 11:17 am

    I have only found one course that allows you to play only 9 holes in Vegas and you have to start prior to 7am. Otherwise, the average “resident rate” for is about $60-70 and even higher for a prime tee time. Tourists get screwed with much more premium rates unfortunately.

  3. ThirteenGreen

    Jun 3, 2015 at 7:56 am

    $20 for nine and $30 for 18 at my local course.

    There are two other 18 hole courses within about a 20 minute drive that are $40 and $45 respectively for 18 holes as well as a 9 hole par three course that is $13.50 for nine, $25 unlimited/day.

    Within a 30 minute drive there are dozens of other courses that range from $20 to $100 per 18 holes, and a $7 par three course, so lots of variety in my region. They are always running specials like two for one days, cheap twilight rates and two in a cart for $60 all the time.

  4. James

    Jun 3, 2015 at 12:34 am

    Ugh, why play Riverbend for $50?! There are so many nicer courses at the same price or cheaper.

  5. Miguel T.

    Jun 3, 2015 at 12:14 am

    I’m practically in golf heaven. Orlando, FL. First I’m a member of Disney’s Players club for $30 a month. That will get you any of the tournament rated courses for $15 after 3pm, and free range.
    I’m also an annual pass holder with Disney, and I can play their 9 hole walking course for free anytime. When I want to switch things around, I only use GolfNow, and I always get one of their hot deals tee time. I never pay more than $20 for any course. The deals are out there. I have about 50 courses to chose from within 15 miles radius, Golf Now Orlando area lists about 100 courses.

  6. Shane hensley

    Jun 2, 2015 at 11:03 pm

    Here is the problem with the cost, they say they want to encourage you golf however they really don’t. If I take my two boys 16 and 20 to a decent course I am in it for 210 on the weekend. The only discount the 16 year old a little.. The 20 year old is priced as an adult which is bs. They should discount up to 25 year olds. I have no problem paying more for myself. I can afford it.. The youth 25 and under really can’t. As far as private, give me a course for 2k per year unlimited golf in dfw for family and I am in

  7. Scooter McGavin

    Jun 2, 2015 at 2:38 pm

    As someone now living in the Washington DC metro region, that is the ONE thing I miss about living in Dayton, OH. The cheap golf. Being able to go out on the weekend and do 18 holes at a good course for under 20 bucks…. And the NICE courses are, like the author said, in the 40s, although I think when I last checked there might be a select few that go above that. Around DC, sure, there are cheap options, but not if you want a full size 18 hole course. They pretty much start in the 40s and go up from there.

  8. Shawn

    Jun 2, 2015 at 1:43 pm

    My buddy is the head pro at the Casper Muni. I sent him the link to the article and I’m working on getting an answer about the cart fees…

    • Shawn

      Jun 2, 2015 at 2:56 pm

      It appears your research is a little faulty – price to play 18 and ride at the Casper Muni is $49, walking is $34.

      • Tom HIll

        Jun 2, 2015 at 6:20 pm

        just checked again for this sunday june 7 and found it as I stated on golfnow.com – for 10:22 am

        • Shawn

          Jun 6, 2015 at 2:29 pm

          I pointed out to the guys in the shop what their website says. Their response is that the $30 is for 2 players, that each individual player is charged $15. My response is they may want to clarify things on their website. Unfortunately, the website as well as their prices are controlled by the city of Casper and they have no access to changing either.

  9. CC of Brewton

    Jun 2, 2015 at 1:19 pm

    $85 for membership
    $20 for unlimited range balls

  10. Jamie

    Jun 2, 2015 at 1:03 pm

    Rock Barn is a great golf course…played the Jackson course there and loved it. The Jones Championship course hosts a Senior PGA event each year last time I checked.

  11. Jim

    Jun 2, 2015 at 12:33 pm

    In my area of the Northeast, outside of Boston, we typically play public courses but hunt for the best course and best price available. Typically morning times are the most expensive but after 11 or after 1 you can get less expensive greens fees. The private courses typically charge a minimum of $3500 per year, not counting initiation fees, so that’s just too much for my wallet. At best I can play a premium course 1x per year at or near $100 per round. Luckily I can rely on friends who are country club members and play the really nicer courses occasionally too. Other than that it’s simply looking around for a good course with a good price.

  12. Tim

    Jun 2, 2015 at 11:26 am

    We have something like 70 courses within a 50-mile radius. One of them being a recent PGA Championship host (a very private/expensive club). Of those 70 there are a number of private clubs. Most however are muni or semi-private and all playable by the public.

    The MOST expensive with cart fee around here is about 85 bucks mid summer. The average cost WITH cart is around 40-50 bucks for 18 holes. We have some VERY nice tracks and even the courses that are in a bit rougher shape are usually very playable and never in the condition where you feel like the money was wasted.

  13. Sam

    Jun 2, 2015 at 11:22 am

    Sadly the 9-hole course in my town closed last summer. I could play 9 there walking for under 10$; go around twice for 15$.

    Lately I pay 18$ to walk 18 at Big Oak in Geneva, NY or 23$ with cart for 18 at Victor Hills: East. I play once a week and unless I’m on vacation I’d rather save money then pay for things I don’t use (like a clubhouse and cart beverage service etc.). I’ll always take a passable course with a good flow over an immaculate course with 3 groups per hole.

    When I was in college (’04-’08) we had a course near us that was “18” holes with two tee boxes per green. $10 with cart for Unlimited play after 5:00 and only 15$ for 9 during peak hours.

    It’s hard for me to justify paying more than 75$ dollars a round. Every year my fraternity has an Alumni Golf Tournament that is 75$; Includes 18 Holes with cart Scramble Format, Lunch, Unlimited Free Beer, Banquet Dinner and the chance to catch up with friends.

  14. George

    Jun 2, 2015 at 11:15 am

    I brought this up as a post on the forums last year. Its outrageous to think what a golf lover spends on the sport each year. I thankfully got around this by managing a golf course management group’s website and in return they provide me free golf at their 9 courses. If it wasn’t for this I would not be able to play 2-3 times per week and w/o that I wouldn’t have been able to improve so dramatically like I have. You have to play more often and practice more often to play better and with the price of golf I see why many of my friends and family only play 2-3 times a summer and never get any better! I don’t know the solution to this and its definitely not for everyone. Maybe golf courses can do a monthly memberships like fitness centers, one for riding and one for walking to grow the sport as well as get more money from the 2-3/yr guys.

  15. RI_Redneck

    Jun 2, 2015 at 11:09 am

    With the online booking service I (and Old Tom Morris) use there are almost always great deals between 11:30 and 1:30 each day. Apparently most golfers prefer to get tee times either before or after “Lunch Time” and courses have a lot of these that don’t get filled. I have played some nice courses for 50% (or more!) off many times by grabbing these tee times.

    BT

  16. Steve

    Jun 2, 2015 at 10:49 am

    I’m lucky that I live on the west coast of Florida and I have access to many golf courses. Summer rates kick in on May 1st and I can usually play a top notch golf course with a FL ID ranging from $20-45 dollars. I’m also lucky that my area has 5 Donald Ross golf courses and 3 are semi private, where they allow daily fee players access, one used to be the home of the PGA of America. I usually play 3x a week.

  17. Regan

    Jun 2, 2015 at 10:23 am

    I live in Southern New Zealand where golf courses are ample and the human population is small. My club membership is $300 per year for unlimited golf at a 6400 yard 18 hole course and within an hours drive there are 16 courses with the most expensive being the oldest course in the Southern Hemisphere for $45. Some courses are as low as $5 for 18 holes. It truly is a well kept secret!,…..until now.

  18. Double Mocha Man

    Jun 2, 2015 at 10:02 am

    I am fortunate to live in an area where there are nine golf courses of excellent quality all within a 25 minute drive. I could have a membership at one course but that would more or less obligate me to play that course and leave untouched all those other gems. Variety is the spice of golf. So I suck it up and fork out the individual greens fees so that I can find myself at 3 or 4 different courses each week. All the money I pay in greens fees… I can’t take it with me to the big course in the sky. Besides, greens fees are free up there, as are the post-round gin & tonics.

  19. Alex

    Jun 2, 2015 at 9:55 am

    Paid $66 to ride at Stonebridge Country Club in Goffstown, NH this past Saturday with a 7:42 a.m. tee time and the place was packed. Paid $31 to walk at West Bolton Golf Club in West Bolton, VT on Sunday of Memorial Day Weekend with a 10 a.m. tee time and hardly a soul on the course. WBGC is much more remote but both tracks were in great shape.

    So what does it all mean? I have no idea. All I know is that I could pay anywhere from $1 to $1000 a round and I’d still shoot 91. It’s all about finding the best value.

  20. Brian

    Jun 2, 2015 at 9:32 am

    Doesn’t anyone belong to a country club or golf course? I pay $895 a year for a country club membership that includes unlimited golf (cart fees extra). I can spend extra money on purchases like a new Scotty putter vs paying $50 a round 25+ times a year.

    • Brian

      Jun 2, 2015 at 10:35 am

      I live on my course so that should have been mentioned. And it’s hard so when I pay to go to the “nice” courses I tend to shoot lower scores.

      • KCCO

        Jun 2, 2015 at 11:57 am

        Same here….my course I belong to is rather difficult, very rarely do play somewhere else because of the convenience of my course. But like you usually shoot lower scores at other courses.

        Also previously mentioned, I’m fortunate to work part time at my country club, so that takes care of my membership. Would be very difficult to pay the price to play my course, and in the north it sucks shelling out money for the few months of the year you can’t play.

    • Dr. RosenRosen

      Jun 2, 2015 at 12:02 pm

      In my neck of the woods, the cheapest country club you’ll find is about $10,000 a year with some courses $25 – $40k a year. There are a few courses you can be a member of – not a private club – but those will still run you ~$5,000 a year.

    • BAA

      Jun 2, 2015 at 2:59 pm

      Yep.
      Approx. $5k for “annual” membership dues for 6 months @ my private club in Alberta, Canada. Carts, cost of actual club share & transfer fee are extra, of course. <4 hour rounds & open tee sheets make it worth every penny.

    • Scott

      Jun 3, 2015 at 2:34 pm

      Nothing like that around my house. $2000 is about the minimum for unlimited golf and cart, with restricted tee times.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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Golf's Perfect Imperfections

Golf’s Perfect Imperfections: Amazing Session with Performance Coach Savannah Meyer-Clement

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In this week’s episode, we spent some time with performance coach Savannah Meyer-Clement who provides many useful insights that you’ll be able to implement on the golf course.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 RBC Heritage betting preview: Patrick Cantlay ready to get back inside winner’s circle

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Just a two-hour drive from Augusta National, the PGA TOUR heads to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, S.C. Hilton Head Island is a golfer’s paradise and Harbour Town is one of the most beautiful and scenic courses on the PGA TOUR.

Harbour Town Golf Links is a par-71 that measures 7,121 yards and features Bermuda grass greens. A Pete Dye design, the course is heavily tree lined and features small greens and many dog legs, protecting it from “bomb-and-gauge” type golfers.

The field is loaded this week with 69 golfers with no cut. Last year was quite possibly the best field in RBC Heritage history and the event this week is yet another designated event, meaning there is a $20 million prize pool.

Most of the big names on the PGA Tour will be in attendance this week with the exceptions of Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland. Additionally, Webb Simpson, Shane Lowry, Gary Woodland and Kevin Kisner have been granted sponsors exemptions. 

Past Winners at Harbour Town

  • 2023: Matt Fitzpatrick (-17)
  • 2022: Jordan Spieth (-13)
  • 2021: Stewart Cink (-19)
  • 2020: Webb Simpson (-22)
  • 2019: CT Pan (-12)
  • 2018: Sotoshi Kodaira (-12)
  • 2017: Wesley Bryan (-13)
  • 2016: Branden Grace (-9)
  • 2015: Jim Furyk (-18)

In this article and going forward, I’ll be using the Rabbit Hole by Betsperts Golf data engine to develop my custom model. If you want to build your own model or check out all of the detailed stats, you can sign up using promo code: MATTVIN for 25% off any subscription package (yearly is best value).

Key Stats For Harbour Town

Let’s take a look at key metrics for Harbour Town Golf Links to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their past 24 rounds.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes Gained: Approach is exceedingly important this week. The greens at Harbour Town are about half the size of PGA TOUR average and feature the second-smallest greens on the tour. Typical of a Pete Dye design, golfers will pay the price for missed greens.

Total SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+1.27)
  2. Tom Hoge (+1.27)
  3. Corey Conners (+1.16)
  4. Austin Eckroat (+0.95)
  5. Cameron Young (+0.93)

Good Drive %

The fairways at Harbour Town are tree lined and feature many dog legs. Bombers tend to struggle at the course because it forces layups and doesn’t allow long drivers to overpower it. Accuracy is far more important than power.

Good Drive % Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Brice Garnett (88.8%)
  2. Shane Lowry (+87.2%)
  3. Akshay Bhatia (+86.0%)
  4. Si Woo Kim (+85.8%)
  5. Sepp Straka (+85.1%)

Strokes Gained: Total at Pete Dye Designs

Pete Dye specialists tend to play very well at Harbour Town. Si Woo Kim, Matt Kuchar, Jim Furyk and Webb Simpson are all Pete Dye specialists who have had great success here. It is likely we see some more specialists near the top of the leaderboard this week.

SG: TOT Pete Dye per round over past 36 rounds:

  1. Xander Schauffele (+2.27)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+2.24)
  3. Ludvig Aberg (+2.11)
  4. Brian Harman (+1.89)
  5. Sungjae Im (+1.58)

4. Strokes Gained: Short Game (Bermuda)

Strokes Gained: Short Game factors in both around the green and putting. With many green-side bunkers and tricky green complexes, both statistics will be important. Past winners — such as Jim Furyk, Wes Bryan and Webb Simpson — highlight how crucial the short game skill set is around Harbour Town.

SG: SG Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Jordan Spieth (+1.11)
  2. Taylor Moore (+1.02)
  3. Wyndham Clark (+0.98)
  4. Mackenzie Hughes (+0.86)
  5. Andrew Putnam (+0.83)

5. Greens in Regulation %

The recipe for success at Harbour Town Golf Links is hitting fairways and greens. Missing either will prove to be consequential — golfers must be in total control of the ball to win.

Greens in Regulation % over past 24 rounds:

  1. Brice Garnett (+75.0%)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+69.9%)
  3. Corey Conners (+69.0%)
  4. Shane Lowry (+68.3%)
  5. Patrick Rodgers (+67.6%)

6. Course History

Harbour Town is a course where players who have strong past results at the course always tend to pop up. 

Course History over past 24 rounds:

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+2.34)
  2. Cam Davis (+2.05)
  3. J.T. Poston (+1.69)
  4. Justin Rose (+1.68)
  5. Tommy Fleetwood (+1.59)

The RBC Heritage Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (24%), Good Drives (20%), SG: SG (14%), SG: Pete Dye (14%), GIR (14%), and Course History (14%)

  1. Shane Lowry
  2. Russell Henley
  3. Scottie Scheffler
  4. Xander Schauffele
  5. Corey Conners 
  6. Wyndham Clark
  7. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  8. Matt Fitzpatrick
  9. Cameron Young
  10. Ludvig Aberg 

2024 RBC Heritage Picks

Patrick Cantlay +2000 (FanDuel)

With the exception of Scottie Scheffler, the PGA Tour has yet to have any of their star players show peak form during the 2024 season. Last week, Patrick Cantlay, who I believe is a top-5 players on the PGA Tour, took one step closer to regaining the form that’s helped him win eight events on Tour since 2017.

Cantlay limped into the Masters in poor form, but figured it out at Augusta National, finishing in a tie for 20th and ranking 17th for the week in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. The former FedEx Cup champion will now head to one of his favorite golf courses in Harbour Town, where he’s had immaculate results over the years. In his six trips to the course, he’s only finished worse than 7th one time. The other finishes include three third places (2017, 2019, 2023) and one runner-up finish (2022). In his past 36 rounds at Harbour Town, Cantlay ranks 1st in Strokes Gained: Total per round at the course by a wide margin (+2.36).

Cantlay is winless since the 2022 BMW Championship, which is far too long for a player of his caliber. With signs pointing to the 32-year-old returning to form, a “signature event” at Harbour Town is just what he needs to get back on the winning track.

Tommy Fleetwood +3000 (FanDuel)

I truly believe Tommy Fleetwood will figure out a way to win on American soil in 2024. It’s certainly been a bugaboo for him throughout his career, but he is simply too talented to go another season without winning a PGA Tour event.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, Fleetwood made a Sunday charge and ended up finishing T3 in the event, which was his best ever finish at The Masters. For the week, the Englishman ranked 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 10th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is a perfect layout for Fleetwood, and he’s had relative success at this Pete Dye design in the past.  In his four trips to the course, he’s finished inside of the top 25 three times, with his best finish, T10, coming in 2022. The course is pretty short and can’t be overpowered, which gives an advantage to more accurate players such as Fleetwood. Tommy ranks 8th in the field in Good Drive % and should be able to plot his way along this golf course.

The win is coming for Tommy lad. I believe there’s a chance this treasure of a golf course may be the perfect one for him to finally break through on Tour.

Cameron Young +3300 (FanDuel)

Cameron Young had a solid Masters Tournament last week, which is exactly what I’m looking for in players who I anticipate playing well this week at the RBC Heritage. He finished in a tie for 9th, but never felt the pressure of contending in the event. For the week, Young ranked 6th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 6th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Despite being one of the longest players off the tee on the PGA Tour, Young has actually played some really good golf on shorter tracks. He finished T3 at Harbour Town in 2023 and ranks 20th in the field in Good Drive% and 16th in Greens in Regulation in his past 24 rounds. He also has strong finishes at other shorter courses that can take driver out of a players hand such as Copperhead and PGA National.

Young is simply one of the best players on the PGA Tour in 2024, and I strongly believe has what it takes to win a PGA Tour event in the very near future.

Corey Conners +5500 (FanDuel)

Corey Conners has had a disappointing year thus far on the PGA Tour, but absolutely loves Harbour Town.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, the Canadian finished T30 but ranked 20th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. In his past 24 rounds, Conners ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 3rd in Greens in Regulation % and 24th in Good Drive %.

In Conners’ last four trips to Harbour Town, his worst finish was T31, last season. He finished T4 in 2021, T12 in 2022 and ranks 8th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course over his past 36 rounds.

Conners hasn’t been contending, but his recent finishes have been encouraging as he has finished in the top-25 in each of his past three starts prior to The Masters, including an impressive T13 at The PLAYERS. His recent improvement in ball striking as well as his suitability for Harbour Town makes Conners a high upside bet this week.

Shane Lowry (+7500) (FanDuel)

When these odds were posted after Lowry was announced in the field, I have to admit I was pretty stunned. Despite not offering much win equity on the PGA Tour over the last handful of years, Shane Lowry is still a top caliber player who has the ability to rise to the top of a signature event.

Lowry struggled to score at The Masters last week, but he actually hit the ball really well. The Irishman ranked 1st for Strokes Gained: Approach on the week and 7th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. As usual, it was the putter that let him down, as he ranked 60th in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is most definitely one of Lowry’s favorite courses on the PGA Tour. In his six starts there, he’s finished in the top 10 three times, including third twice. Lowry is sensational at Pete Dye designs and ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Total in his past 36 rounds on Dye tracks. 

Lowry is perfect for Harbour Town. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 5th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 2nd in Good Drive% and 5th in Green in Regulation %. If he figures it out on the greens, Shane could have his first win in America since 2015.

Lucas Glover +12000 (FanDuel)

This is one of my weekly “bet the number” plays as I strongly believe the odds are just too long for a player of Glover’s caliber. The odds have been too long on Glover for a few weeks now, but this is the first event that I can get behind the veteran being able to actually contend at. 

Glover is quietly playing good golf and returning to the form he had after the understandable regression after his two massive victories at the end of 2023. He finished T20 at The Masters, which was his best ever finish at Augusta National. For the week, Lucas ranked 18th for Strokes Gained: Approach and 20th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Over his past 24 rounds, Glover ranks 9th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th in Good Drive %. Harbour Town is a short course that the 44-year-old will be able to keep up with the top players on Tour off the tee. He’s played the course more than 20 times, with mixed results. His best finishes at Harbour Town include a T7 in 2008, but recently has a finish of T21 in 2020.

Glover has proven he can contend with the stars of the Tour on any given week, and this number is flat out disrespectful.

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