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Opinion & Analysis

Six Bold Predictions for 2015

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There were some memorable, forgettable and downright soap opera-ish events in the golfing world in 2014.

Golf is notoriously difficult to predict, but I will go all out—offering some brazen thoughts for 2015. We’ll see how stupid these statements make me look by season’s end, but for now, here are some unbridled predictions about professional golf in 2015.

Nick Watney and Scott Piercy will be breakout players in 2015

Nick Watney

Few talk about Watney anymore even though he is just four years removed from a stellar two-win, 10 top-10 season that netted him fourth place on the PGA Tour’s strokes gained category.

He massively struggled for most of 2014, but he really showed signs of form down the stretch. At 34, he’s also still in the midst of his prime, and that 2011 season was just too good to sleep on Watney. I feel his form returns in a big way in 2015.

Scott Piercy 2015

Piercy was out five months in 2014 and enters this year on a Major Medical Extension. The 36-year-old, while not recognized among casual fans, is a two-time PGA Tour winner who’s firmly in the long bomber category. He’s not very consistent, but his talent is top-flight, and that makes his potential high-end performances something to salivate over.

The inconsistency will continue, but I’m betting on Piercy channeling his best more often and winning multiple times on the PGA Tour in 2015. His long-driving, high-ball, strong-putting trio is perfect for the Masters, so if he can somehow qualify again for Augusta this season, he’s an excellent darkhorse candidate there.

Michelle Wie wins two majors, Lydia Ko wins zero

Michelle Wie 2015

I think Wie really lets it loose in 2015. The formerly named Kraft Nabisco will finally fall into her hands, and Wie will capture one of the final four majors to add to her total.

As for Ko, her rookie season was electric with three wins and the Race for the CME Globe crown.

But Ko was only one-for-five when she contended in a major on Sunday in 2014. She’ll also be devoting time with her studies at Korea University, a significant distraction from her golf game.

The 17-year-old will no doubt remain among the game’s elite in 2015, but a major victory just won’t factor in quite yet— partially due to her obligations and inexperience, but also a result of timing and chance.

Joost Luiten becomes a household name in the U.S.

joost luiten  2015

If you’re American and do not pay attention to the golf played in Europe, please educate yourself to this name!

Luiten is a European Tour mainstay whose profile has risen quickly in the last two years. As recently as June 2013, the Dutchman was 137th world golf rankings, before winning twice in Europe as part of an eight top-10 campaign. His new top-50 ranking allowed him into all of golf’s majors and WGCs for the first time, and he produced a stellar one-win, nine top-10 follow-up season to put his world ranking at No. 29 for the moment.

The 28-year-old has the excellent results and the endorsement of Paul McGinley as a future Ryder Cup star and mainstay, but attention in the U.S. still eludes him.

While he’ll remain on the European Tour in 2015—where most American fans hardly notice anything—he’s in good standing to qualify for all majors and WGCs once again, and that is where he will make his splash.

Will he win a major or WGC in 2015? I’m not too confident in that, but I wouldn’t put it past him. At the very least though, he will contend in multiple big events and see his recognition rise on the other side of the pond. 

Brooks Koepka Struggles in First Full Year on PGA Tour

Brooks Kopeka 2015

This 24-year-old American is the golden boy for those prognosticating a breakout young superstar in 2015, and I don’t necessarily disagree on Koepka’s long-term potential.

The hype is understandable. Koepka was a three-time All-American at Florida State who built his infant pro career with three wins on the European Challenge Tour in 2013 and a one-win, seven top-10 campaign on a PGA Tour/European Tour combo path in 2014.

Now he’s an experienced, successful professional with all of the talent in the world entering into a full PGA Tour membership. The signs are there, but golf usually isn’t too smooth, even for the ultra-skilled.

Just recently, Koepka’s buddy Peter Uihlein, a former World No. 1 amateur, produced a promising one-win, eight top-10 season in 2013, and while he fought injuries at times this past year, he only managed a two top-10 season in 2014 that included a six consecutive missed cuts at one point.

That’s just one example of the fact that many talent-heavy youngsters do experience regression at certain points in the early parts of their career. Koepka had a good start in the wraparound fall, but with him transitioning full time to the tougher fields on the world’s toughest tour, that short-term drop-off appears primed for 2015.

The Rise of Italy

Matteo Manassero 2015

Matteo Manassero really faltered in 2014, but I mostly chalk that up to the young career regressions I mentioned with Koepka (a huge equipment change and focus on altering his swing for power didn’t help Manassero either).

He’ll be in for a rebound season, and at least one of the Molinari brothers will be in for a career-best campaign.

Three other Italians join them on the European Tour—one of them a 17-year-old—and that trio will produce enough excitement that, along with the strong chorus from Manassero and a Molinari, Italy will make itself a boisterous force in the game in 2015.

Tiger Woods wins major No. 15

Hero World Challenge - Round One

OK, not a wild belief.

Going back to his last measurable season in 2013, the 39-year-old won five times, including victories at the Players Championship and two WGCs, was the world’s best golfer and may or may not have been a pin rattling away from winning the Masters.

Still, there is no guarantee he is that man in 2015. Woods has also been major-less for 6.5 years now, and some have pondered whether this drought is leaving him mentally stilted down the stretch of majors.

Woods remains too talented though to be stuck on 14 majors for much longer. The year’s first three courses profile well for his game (and the fourth one does too, the results just haven’t been there), and the American has been close in majors several times since his last triumph in 2008. The winless streak falls in 2015.

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Kevin's fascination with the game goes back as long as he can remember. He has written about the sport on the junior, college and professional levels and hopes to cover its proceedings in some capacity for as long as possible. His main area of expertise is the PGA Tour, which is his primary focus for GolfWRX. Kevin is currently a student at Northwestern University, but he will be out into the workforce soon enough. You can find his golf tidbits and other sports-related babble on Twitter @KevinCasey19. GolfWRX Writer of the Month: September 2014

24 Comments

24 Comments

  1. RG

    Feb 1, 2015 at 6:09 pm

    Predictions looking great 3 weeks in….
    Tiger can’t play, Koepka wins straight off and Manassero can’t make a cut.
    Just waiting for Lydia Ko to win the first major of the year….. Could you predict anyone else to fail? I’ll bet on them next week!

  2. Jafar

    Jan 5, 2015 at 11:23 am

    No way,

    Lydia Ko wins two majors, Brooks Koepka wins one as well.

    Tiger finally competes in a major…

  3. DEVLIN

    Jan 5, 2015 at 10:42 am

    nice predictions, however you have obviously left out several players that have a better chance at majors…
    Rory will win, despite the distractions of the lawsuit.
    Bubba Watson will win again, he knows how to now, and his caddie keeps his distractions in check.
    Jimmy Walker, gets no respect but know what needs to be done.
    Martin Kaymer will win again, probably another major! he fixed the new swing.
    Jason Day, needs to get rid of his thoughts on in the final round but should do it this year.
    Finally, the dark horse for me should be Patrick Reed, he wants to win so badly that its getting in his way…maybe after his wife calms him down…once the baby routine settles down. HE needs to find a good caddy!

  4. herman

    Jan 5, 2015 at 12:05 am

    How about Sergio winning a major? Best player atm without a major win.

    • Kevin Casey

      Jan 8, 2015 at 10:25 am

      I definitely agree with Sergio winning a major: http://www.golfwrx.com/237019/why-sergio-garcia-isnt-going-to-end-his-career-without-a-major/

      The reason I don’t put him here is because I personally wouldn’t classify it as a bold prediction. As you said, you could easily call him the best active player without a major, to me it’s not going out on too much of a limb to say that a player who should’ve won a major by now and absolutely has the talent to, will finally get the job done this year.

      Regardless, making the prediction that Sergio will win his first major in 2015 is not a bad idea at all.

  5. Mccance79

    Jan 5, 2015 at 12:01 am

    Tiger winning another Major I will be willing to wager that he does not!! My prediction for 2015… Rickie Fowler wins his first Major!!!

    • brian

      Jan 7, 2015 at 1:13 pm

      eh I think rickie will in another year but not this year.

  6. JHM

    Jan 4, 2015 at 8:51 pm

    well, at least his game…..

  7. TigerWho

    Jan 4, 2015 at 6:48 pm

    No Tiger will win 5 majors this year!!!

  8. Bladrick_Gets_Bageled

    Jan 4, 2015 at 2:46 pm

    Pfft. Baldrick isnt gonna win squat……..he’ll muddle through much of the season. He might win 2 on some of his favorite tracks—majors—no way. Look at the Jenkins piece—hes going to have to play like someone not 40 yrs old!
    Fowler? Gimme a break. All you ever needed to know about Fowler was that even after his HUGE Puma contract was inked—he still layed up in Arizone on that PAR 5 –failing to win when he had the chance. The commercials say -oh the kid has guts! Really? Guts? His career will be a big orange hat stuffed with $$. He’ll be remembered as one of the first huge golf superstars that didnt win squat—the male equivalent of Anna Kornikova. Big name—plenty of $$—no record.

  9. leon

    Jan 4, 2015 at 1:48 pm

    Predictions never come into reality…

  10. Kyle

    Jan 4, 2015 at 10:35 am

    And why would tiger retire? Best player to ever play, just got healthy, still makes a ton of money, etc.

  11. Claude

    Jan 4, 2015 at 9:50 am

    Tiger Woods will come back like life he needs time and he’ll start to play again, and even if he doesn’t play the pga circuit there’s always the senior one but that’s a way to go yet and retire no don’t think so!

    • Mr Obvious

      Jan 4, 2015 at 9:21 pm

      Tiger is not eligible for the Champions tour for another decade. Perhaps Tiger will win one of the 5 places he won in his last healthy year. Maybe the guy knows how to win just a bit.

      • brian

        Jan 7, 2015 at 1:15 pm

        I dont think tiger will play the senior tour. When he cannot compete on the PGA tour he will retire. This is because it is likely that his retirement will be due to injury rather than not being able to compete

  12. Ponjo

    Jan 4, 2015 at 5:11 am

    Stenson wins one of the majors

  13. No Major for you

    Jan 3, 2015 at 9:49 pm

    “Woods remains too talented though to be stuck on 14 majors for much longer.

    Nah. You could change that sentence with “_____ remains too talented to not win a single major” and call it a day. So many good players without a major.

  14. No Major for you

    Jan 3, 2015 at 9:47 pm

    Eldrick gets injured early from trying out a mad shot and cancels rest of year.

    • Philip

      Jan 3, 2015 at 11:27 pm

      Actually there is a lot of truth to this in that he doesn’t accept when to lay up, even if it risks hurting himself. I still think he’ll continue on with the season, but unless his driving becomes quite reliable, his chances of stressing his body to make the shot is still quite high.

  15. The dude

    Jan 3, 2015 at 8:06 pm

    Tigers prediction is the biggest stretch

  16. Gus

    Jan 3, 2015 at 7:03 pm

    Furyk wins a major, Fowler doesn’t

    • Forsbrand

      Jan 4, 2015 at 5:51 am

      Fowler best record in the majors last year. So what, maybe he had his chance and that’s as close as he’ll ever get. Too many people stating he’ll win a major or multiples. It’s like this ridiculous tag “best player not to win major” well, if he was good enough to win one he would have! As for tiger winning, he might win the state lottery ………

    • John

      Jan 5, 2015 at 2:52 pm

      Where? US Open is his best bet, and that dog track Chambers will play like a tricked out Open Championship venue.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s LIV Golf Singapore betting preview: Course specialist ready to thrive once again

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After another strong showing in Australia, LIV Golf will head to Sentosa Golf Club in Singapore looking to build off of what was undoubtedly their best event to date.

Sentosa Golf Club sits on the southern tip of Singapore and is one of the most beautiful courses in the world. The course is more than just incredible scenically; it was also rated 55th in Golf Digest’s top-100 courses in 2022-2023 and has been consistently regarded as one of the best courses in Asia. Prior to being part of the LIV rotation, the course hosted the Singapore Open every year since 2005.

Sentosa Golf Club is a par 71 measuring 7,406 yards. The course will require precise ball striking and some length off the tee. It’s possible to go low due to the pristine conditions, but there are also plenty of hazards and difficult spots on the course that can bring double bogey into play in a hurry. The Bermudagrass greens are perfectly manicured, and the course has spent millions on the sub-air system to keep the greens rolling fast. I spoke to Asian Tour player, Travis Smyth, who described the greens as “the best [he’s] ever played.”

Davis Love III, who competed in a Singapore Open in 2019, also gushed over the condition of the golf course.

“I love the greens. They are fabulous,” the 21-time PGA Tour winner said.

Love III also spoke about other aspects of the golf course.

“The greens are great; the fairways are perfect. It is a wonderful course, and it’s tricky off the tee.”

“It’s a long golf course, and you get some long iron shots. It takes somebody hitting it great to hit every green even though they are big.”

As Love III said, the course can be difficult off the tee due to the length of the course and the trouble looming around every corner. It will take a terrific ball striking week to win at Sentosa Golf Club.

In his pre-tournament press conference last season, Phil Mickelson echoed many of the same sentiments.

“To play Sentosa effectively, you’re going to have a lot of shots from 160 to 210, a lot of full 6-, 7-, 8-iron shots, and you need to hit those really well and you need to drive the ball well.”

Golfers who excel from tee to green and can dial in their longer irons will have a massive advantage this week.

Stat Leaders at LIV Golf Adelaide:

Fairways Hit

1.) Louis Oosthuizen

2.) Anirban Lahiri

3.) Jon Rahm

4.) Brendan Steele

5.) Cameron Tringale

Greens in Regulation

1.) Brooks Koepka

2.) Brendan Steele

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Cameron Tringale

5.) Anirban Lahiri

Birdies Made

1.) Brendan Steele

2.) Dean Burmester

3.) Thomas Pieters

4.) Patrick Reed

5.) Carlos Ortiz

LIV Golf Individual Standings:

1.) Joaquin Niemann

2.) Jon Rahm

3.) Dean Burmester

4.) Louis Oosthuizen

5.) Abraham Ancer

LIV Golf Team Standings:

1.) Crushers

2.) Legion XIII

3.) Torque

4.) Stinger GC

5.) Ripper GC

LIV Golf Singapore Picks

Sergio Garcia +3000 (DraftKings)

Sergio Garcia is no stranger to Sentosa Golf Club. The Spaniard won the Singapore Open in 2018 by five strokes and lost in a playoff at LIV Singapore last year to scorching hot Talor Gooch. Looking at the course setup, it’s no surprise that a player like Sergio has played incredible golf here. He’s long off the tee and is one of the better long iron players in the world when he’s in form. Garcia is also statistically a much better putter on Bermudagrass than he is on other putting surfaces. He’s putt extremely well on Sentosa’s incredibly pure green complexes.

This season, Garcia has two runner-up finishes, both of them being playoff losses. Both El Camaleon and Doral are courses he’s had success at in his career. The Spaniard is a player who plays well at his tracks, and Sentosa is one of them. I believe Sergio will get himself in the mix this week. Hopefully the third time is a charm in Singapore.

Paul Casey +3300 (FanDuel)

Paul Casey is in the midst of one of his best seasons in the five years or so. The results recently have been up and down, but he’s shown that when he’s on a golf course that suits his game, he’s amongst the contenders.

This season, Casey has finishes of T5 (LIV Las Vegas), T2 (LIV Hong Kong), and a 6th at the Singapore Classic on the DP World Tour. At his best, the Englishman is one of the best long iron players in the world, which makes him a strong fit for Sentosa. Despite being in poor form last season, he was able to fire a Sunday 63, which shows he can low here at the course.

It’s been three years since Casey has won a tournament (Omega Dubai Desert Classic in 2021), but he’s been one of the top players on LIV this season and I think he can get it done at some point this season.

Mito Pereira +5000 (Bet365)

Since Mito Pereira’s unfortunate demise at the 2022 PGA Championship, he’s been extremely inconsistent. However, over the past few months, the Chilean has played well on the International Series as well as his most recent LIV start. Mito finished 8th at LIV Adelaide, which was his best LIV finish this season.

Last year, Pereira finished 5th at LIV Singapore, shooting fantastic rounds of 67-66-66. It makes sense why Mito would like Sentosa, as preeminent ball strikers tend to rise to the challenge of the golf course. He’s a great long iron player who is long and straight off the tee.

Mito has some experience playing in Asia and is one of the most talented players on LIV who’s yet to get in the winner’s circle. I have questions about whether or not he can come through once in contention, but if he gets there, I’m happy to roll the dice.

Andy Ogletree +15000 (DraftKings)

Andy Ogletree is a player I expected to have a strong 2024 but struggled early in his first full season on LIV. After failing to crack the top-25 in any LIV event this year, the former U.S. Amateur champion finally figured things out, finished in a tie for 3rd at LIV Adelaide.

Ogletree should be incredible comfortable playing in Singapore. He won the International Series Qatar last year and finished T3 at the International Series Singapore. The 26-year-old was arguably the best player on the Asian Tour in 2023 and has been fantastic in the continent over the past 18 months.

If Ogletree has indeed found form, he looks to be an amazing value at triple-digit odds.

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Opinion & Analysis

Ryan: Lessons from the worst golf instructor in America

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In Tampa, there is a golf course that boasts carts that do not work, a water range, and a group of players none of which have any chance to break 80. The course is overseen by a staff of crusty men who have succeeded at nothing in life but ending up at the worst-run course in America. However, this place is no failure. With several other local courses going out of business — and boasting outstanding greens — the place is booked full.

While I came for the great greens, I stayed to watch our resident instructor; a poor-tempered, method teacher who caters to the hopeless. At first, it was simply hilarious. However, after months of listening and watching, something clicked. I realized I had a front-row seat to the worst golf instructor in America.

Here are some of my key takeaways.

Method Teacher

It is widely accepted that there are three types of golf instructors: system teachers, non-system teachers, and method teachers. Method teachers prescribe the same antidote for each student based on a preamble which teachers can learn in a couple day certification.

Method teaching allows anyone to be certified. This process caters to the lowest caliber instructor, creating the illusion of competency. This empowers these underqualified instructors with the moniker of “certified” to prey on the innocent and uninformed.

The Cult of Stack and Jilt

The Stack and Tilt website proudly boasts, “A golfer swings his hands inward in the backswing as opposed to straight back to 1) create power, similar to a field goal kicker moving his leg in an arc and 2) to promote a swing that is in-to-out, which produces a draw (and eliminates a slice).”

Now, let me tell you something, there is this law of the universe which says “energy can either be created or destroyed,” so either these guys are defying physics or they have no idea what they are taking about. Further, the idea that the first move of the backswing determines impact is conjecture with a splash of utter fantasy.

These are the pontifications of a method — a set of prescriptions applied to everyone with the hope of some success through the placebo effect. It is one thing for a naive student to believe, for a golf instructor to drink and then dispel this Kool-Aid is malpractice.

Fooled by Randomness

In flipping a coin, or even a March Madness bet, there is a 50-50 chance of success. In golf, especially for new players, results are asymmetric. Simply put: Anything can happen. The problem is that when bad instructors work with high handicappers, each and every shot gets its own diagnosis and prescription. Soon the student is overwhelmed.

Now here’s the sinister thing: The overwhelming information is by design. In this case, the coach is not trying to make you better, they are trying to make you reliant on them for information. A quasi Stockholm syndrome of codependency.

Practice

One of the most important scientists of the 20th century was Ivan Pavlov. As you might recall, he found that animals, including humans, could be conditioned into biological responses. In golf, the idea of practice has made millions of hackers salivate that they are one lesson or practice session from “the secret.”

Sunk Cost

The idea for the worst golf instructor is to create control and dependency so that clients ignore the sunk cost of not getting better. Instead, they are held hostage by the idea that they are one lesson or tip away from unlocking their potential.

Cliches

Cliches have the effect of terminating thoughts. However, they are the weapon of choice for this instructor. Add some hyperbole and students actually get no information. As a result, these players couldn’t play golf. When they did, they had no real scheme. With no idea what they are doing, they would descend into a spiral of no idea what to do, bad results, lower confidence, and running back to the lesson tee from more cliches.

The fact is that poor instruction is about conditioning players to become reliant members of your cult. To take away autonomy. To use practice as a form of control. To sell more golf lessons not by making people better but through the guise that without the teacher, the student can never reach their full potential. All under the umbrella of being “certified” (in a 2-day course!) and a melee of cliches.

This of course is not just happening at my muni but is a systemic problem around the country and around the world, the consequences of which are giving people a great reason to stop playing golf. But hey, at least it’s selling a lot of golf balls…

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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