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US Open Wagers


48 replies to this topic

#1 Wander Bread

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 11:46 AM

Any gamblers in here?

Here are the wagers I have for this weekend:

Win:
Fowler 17/1
Watson 40/1
Leishman 55/1

Top 10:
Oleson 12/1
Kodaira 25/1

Tournament:
Justin Rose ov JT -135
Fowler ov Day -120
Leishman ov Cantlay -105
Werenski ov Castro -105
Hagestad -1.5 ov Humphrey -120
Kodiara ov Thronberry -110

Thoughts?


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#2 Ferguson

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 11:51 AM

invest that cash.   market has another 8 points baked in for the next 12 months.

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#3 thevaporz

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 02:39 PM

Did you just throw darts at a betting board?

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#4 HoffTTM

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 02:46 PM

Molinari win at 60/1

Surprised DJ is quite such a big favourite at 8s when the next player is Rory at 14s

I also went with something a bit different this year

Rory, Sergio, Cantlay and Reed all to MC goes for 212/1

Other than that I will put on some multiples on winners of three balls
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#5 goosekee2

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 02:49 PM

I like the Rickie odds to win. Bubba to win at 40/1 is a great get if he can pull it off but have lost enough bets on Bubba to win a US Open that I do not see it happen for his game. How much you wager and how much could you win?


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#6 Wander Bread

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:26 PM

I have 50 on Bubba futures so that pays 2k.

Think his high ball flight is going to help him a lot this week and in addition to that his driving accuracy is a bit better this year. Plus length won't hurt especially if the wind factors which it looks like it will at times on Thurs / Fri.


EDIT: this is to goosekee2 - apparently still working out how to quote on here

Edited by Wander Bread, 12 June 2018 - 03:30 PM.


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#7 Wander Bread

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:30 PM

Nope. I have reasons for all of the bets aside from Kodaira - his game does not really set up well for what I was looking for this week but just have a feeling on that T10 and the odds are right.

He's a steady player so even if he say misses the cut by 1 I still see him beating the amateur Thornberry who is coming off another nice showing at the St jude  and playing in his first major at an extermely difficult track. I don't see him making the cut

EDIT: this is to thevaporz - apparently still working out how to quote on here

Edited by Wander Bread, 12 June 2018 - 03:31 PM.


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#8 Wander Bread

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:37 PM

View PostHoffTTM, on 12 June 2018 - 02:46 PM, said:

Molinari win at 60/1

Surprised DJ is quite such a big favourite at 8s when the next player is Rory at 14s

I also went with something a bit different this year

Rory, Sergio, Cantlay and Reed all to MC goes for 212/1

Other than that I will put on some multiples on winners of three balls

Worried about Molinari having to putt on these hybrid greens but he definitely has some confidence going in. As you can see I am fading Cantlay and the others can be quite errant off the tee so some nice value there. That's why UK books are the best - cant do parlays like that with the local bookies and most on-line books in the US

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#9 thevaporz

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:54 PM

You have Kodaira top 10 but yet question if he even makes the cut. You don't sound too confident. None of your bets look good to me at all but good luck.

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#10 Wander Bread

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:58 PM

View Postthevaporz, on 12 June 2018 - 03:54 PM, said:

You have Kodaira top 10 but yet question if he even makes the cut. You don't sound too confident. None of your bets look good to me at all but good luck.

Appreciate the hate but not bringing any reasoning to the table as to why you do not like the plays or what you like better is weak.

I was just saying I have a feeling on Kodaira so 50/1250 is a risk I am willing to take, but am confident he beasts Thornberry easily and have all the tournament matchups at bet to win $100 so cover it 2x.


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#11 bnb9433

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 04:00 PM

View PostWander Bread, on 12 June 2018 - 11:46 AM, said:

Any gamblers in here?

Here are the wagers I have for this weekend:

Win:
Fowler 17/1
Watson 40/1
Leishman 55/1

Top 10:
Oleson 12/1
Kodaira 25/1

Tournament:
Justin Rose ov JT -135
Fowler ov Day -120
Leishman ov Cantlay -105
Werenski ov Castro -105
Hagestad -1.5 ov Humphrey -120
Kodiara ov Thronberry -110

Thoughts?

Day>Fowler
Rogue SZ
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Ping i200
Vokey
Odyssey O works

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#12 thevaporz

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 04:05 PM

What book do you use? Those odds are way off compared to sportsbook.com. Kodaira top 10 is 50-1. Leishman win 65-1. Molinari win 80-1.

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#13 thevaporz

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 04:17 PM

View PostWander Bread, on 12 June 2018 - 03:58 PM, said:

Appreciate the hate but not bringing any reasoning to the table as to why you do not like the plays or what you like better is weak.

I was just saying I have a feeling on Kodaira so 50/1250 is a risk I am willing to take, but am confident he beasts Thornberry easily and have all the tournament matchups at bet to win $100 so cover it 2x.

Kodaira 5/10 cuts made in the US, one win, second best T20, how could you possibly "have a feeling" he'll place top 10 in the US Open?

Look at his stats. Let's hear your reasoning for these ridiculous bets. https://www.pgatour....hi-kodaira.html

Edited by thevaporz, 12 June 2018 - 04:22 PM.


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#14 2putttom

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 04:35 PM

500 spot 13:1 on rose
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#15 McCann1

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 06:32 PM

View Postthevaporz, on 12 June 2018 - 04:17 PM, said:

View PostWander Bread, on 12 June 2018 - 03:58 PM, said:

Appreciate the hate but not bringing any reasoning to the table as to why you do not like the plays or what you like better is weak.

I was just saying I have a feeling on Kodaira so 50/1250 is a risk I am willing to take, but am confident he beasts Thornberry easily and have all the tournament matchups at bet to win $100 so cover it 2x.

Kodaira 5/10 cuts made in the US, one win, second best T20, how could you possibly "have a feeling" he'll place top 10 in the US Open?

Look at his stats. Let's hear your reasoning for these ridiculous bets. https://www.pgatour....hi-kodaira.html
Growing up playing cards with the regular old men at my club I used to question some of their bets/raises when one day the organizer gave me a stern look and said “son when you walk under that door, you can bet however you’d like. It’s their money” I’ve never questioned another mans bet since

Enjoy the chase.

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#16 wcbjr

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 06:33 PM

High ball flight, level head, good putting and good scrambling wins this week.

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#17 Wander Bread

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 08:46 PM

View Postthevaporz, on 12 June 2018 - 04:05 PM, said:

What book do you use? Those odds are way off compared to sportsbook.com. Kodaira top 10 is 50-1. Leishman win 65-1. Molinari win 80-1.

These are 5dimes. And fair enough you don't like the Kodaira bet.

Feel free to try and pick apart any others - have solid reasoning on all

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#18 BiggErn

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 12:22 AM

Give me some fanduel picks

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#19 HoffTTM

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 01:24 AM

View Postthevaporz, on 12 June 2018 - 04:05 PM, said:

What book do you use? Those odds are way off compared to sportsbook.com. Kodaira top 10 is 50-1. Leishman win 65-1. Molinari win 80-1.

Im using Bet365 because i have some free bets built up with them and they tend to have more markets. I use https://www.oddschec...-us-open/winner to look if i am getting decent prices
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#20 Mick Douglas

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 02:24 AM

View PostHoffTTM, on 13 June 2018 - 01:24 AM, said:

View Postthevaporz, on 12 June 2018 - 04:05 PM, said:

What book do you use? Those odds are way off compared to sportsbook.com. Kodaira top 10 is 50-1. Leishman win 65-1. Molinari win 80-1.

Im using Bet365 because i have some free bets built up with them and they tend to have more markets. I use https://www.oddschec...-us-open/winner to look if i am getting decent prices



I too use bet365, betting companies make millions a year due to us humans making dumb dumb dumb decisions and bets, for instance Woods fav at the Masters, people putting $10k on Tiger was happening just cos of hype and fantasy.

My preffered options are smaller pool like at US open top South African Frettelli 8-1 out of 6 players or head to head betting over 18 or 72 holes.
Trying to pick the winner is of course fun but bloody hard and statistically you will lose most of the time so just bet smart.

Levy 9-1 top 20
Piercy 10-1 top 20

Lowery top Irish 4.50 great price Rory won't handle these greens
Casey to miss the cut 2.50 with a dodgy back and deep rough not a good combo


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#21 lowheel

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 02:30 AM

View Post2putttom, on 12 June 2018 - 04:35 PM, said:

500 spot 13:1 on rose

Good luck man!! thats a solid bet.

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#22 jmvargas

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 03:01 AM

so how much is involved in total for all these bets?...
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#23 s1mZ

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 04:43 AM

Here in South Africa, my total exposure is R3 000 (approx $225) that Tiger finishes outside Top 10.
Easy money here.

Had the same bet for Masters & won that easily.
I'll be doing the same for all majors.

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#24 jmvargas

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 05:10 AM

View Posts1mZ, on 13 June 2018 - 04:43 AM, said:

Here in South Africa, my total exposure is R3 000 (approx $225) that Tiger finishes outside Top 10.
Easy money here.

Had the same bet for Masters & won that easily.
I'll be doing the same for all majors.


is that even money or do you get odds?
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#25 HoffTTM

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 07:31 AM

View Postjmvargas, on 13 June 2018 - 03:01 AM, said:

so how much is involved in total for all these bets?...

5GBP on molinari and 1 on the MC

Various other accumulators for 1GBP to come

big spender I know

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#26 AceCatKY

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 08:51 AM

DJ to win @ +800
Leishman  win @ +6000
Sam Burns to win @ +40,000

Koepka top 10, Gary Woodland top 10, Woods top 20, Woods vs McIlroy = Woods (don't have odds in front of me right now)
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#27 pendodave

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 09:35 AM

bradley and grillo top 20
leishman and noren e/w (8 places)
ricky for the win only

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#28 pcs11

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 09:50 AM

I don't like the Watson pick.  He barely functions at US Opens.  I guess at 40/1 that isn't terrible.

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#29 Wander Bread

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 11:12 AM

View Postpcs11, on 13 June 2018 - 09:50 AM, said:

I don't like the Watson pick.  He barely functions at US Opens.  I guess at 40/1 that isn't terrible.

I feel like his high ball flight and the way he can shape the ball will be key this week but I agree typically does not factor in a US open layout. 40/1 is worth a shot

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#30 Wander Bread

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 11:14 AM

View Postjmvargas, on 13 June 2018 - 03:01 AM, said:

so how much is involved in total for all these bets?...

I have 300 laid out across the futures and then a total of 695 to potentially win 600 on the tournament H2H matchups


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