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19th Hole

BMW Championship 2021 DraftKings Picks

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Welcome to a new installment of DraftKings picks from staff writer and host of the Inside Golf Podcast, Andy Lack.

The PGA Tour travels to Owings Mills, Maryland, this week for the BMW Championship, the second leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs. The top-70 players in the FedEx Cup standings will be in attendance this week at Caves Valley Golf Club, a course that has never hosted a PGA Tour event before.

Despite having zero data on Caves Valley to draw from, we can still gleam an understanding of the course through the hole by hole descriptions on the website and other PGA Tour courses designed by Tom Fazio. Caves Valley is a Par 72, measuring 7,542 yards.

I’ve alluded to the fact that the Baltimore area course is a Fazio design, and the famed modern designer has done design or re-design work on other PGA Tour courses such as Quail Hollow, Conway Farms, Congaree, Shadow Creek, and Kamusigaseki. With all players in the field seeing the course in competition for the first time, I will be leaning heavily on recent form and how players have performed on similar comp courses.

Last week, all five of my selections made it through to the weekend. Let’s keep the momentum going and dig into this week’s DraftKings slate!

$10,000 range

Brooks Koepka, $10,200 (Projected ownership: 4.82%)

For the second week in a row, I will be rostering Brooks Koepka in the $10,000 range. I have already discussed my love for Koepka in my betting column, so I promise not to belabor the point, but this ownership makes little sense to me. Yes, the four-time major champion shot back-to-back 74s over the weekend at Liberty National, but both of those rounds got off the rails extremely quickly and immediately removed him from contention. There’s an opportunity here for us to capitalize on recency bias and roster one of the best players in the world at sub-five percent ownership on a course that fits his game to a tee.

$9,000 range 

Viktor Hovland, $9,100 (Projected ownership: 11.62%)

Viktor Hovland was the last man out on my betting card, yet I will gladly roster him on DraftKings at an extremely fair price and reasonable ownership. There are a few things about Hovland this week that I really like. First of all, this course measures a robust 7,532 yards, and the two-time PGA Tour winner is number one in this field in weighted proximity from 175 yards plus.

Secondly, he enters the week with great ball-striking form, yet he is still flying slightly under the radar given his recent middle of the pack finishes, which were all due to a faulty short game and putter. Finally, Hovland played his college golf at Karsten Creek, another 7,400 yard plus, Bent-grass, Tom Fazio course, and he has performed admirably on other Fazio designs such as Quail Hollow, Shadow Creek, and Kasumigaseki.

$8,000 range

Sungjae Im, $8,000 (Projected ownership: 2.84%)

Similar to Koepka, let’s make it two weeks in a row for Sungjae Im. He was my favorite DraftKings play on the board last week, and I feel just as strongly about the former Honda Classic winner here as well. Im is coming off three starts in a row where he has gained over a stroke off the tee, and seven starts in a row where he has gained strokes on approach.

The ball-striking is definitively back for Im, and we are getting a massive ownership discount because the perception is that Caves Valley is not a “Sungjae Im course.” Calling Im a specialist who is only capable of competing on short, Bermuda courses in Florida is really selling him short. We are still talking about a player who finished runner-up at Augusta National, on Bent-grass, in his first appearance at the Masters. Im is really rounding into form right now, and I expect him to continue his momentum into East Lake.

$7,000 range

Shane Lowry, $7,900 (Projected ownership: 1.13%)

Once again, Shane Lowry is criminally under-owned. I played him last week at $7,500 and 7% ownership, and I will gladly roster him again at a slightly steeper price but even lower ownership. The former Open champion is coming off a week at the Northern Trust where he gained 7.2 strokes on approach, good for his best measured iron week of his career.

While I am not overlooking Lowry’s struggles off the tee, the fairways are so narrow at Caves Valley, that even the most accurate drivers will be missing them as well. In which case, I am getting one of the best iron players in the world from there on out.

$6,000 range 

Max Homa, $6,400 (Projected ownership: 11.62%)

In my opinion, Max Homa is the most mis-priced player on the entire slate. I cannot understand for the life of me, why a player who has already won this year, on a Fazio re-design nonetheless, is $1,200 cheaper than Harold Varner, and priced below the likes of Keith Mitchell and Emiliano Grillo. Homa is quite simply in a different tier from those aforementioned players, and once again, we can take advantage of recency bias and get a massive discount on a player that is quietly rounding into former.

The two-time PGA Tour winner gained 4.1 strokes ball-striking last week at the Northern Trust, which good for his best ball-striking week in over two months ago. The former winner at Quail Hollow now returns to another Tom Fazio course, where I expect him to continue to his string of success.

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19th Hole

Why Ludvig Aberg is my new favorite player – GolfWRXers discuss

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In our forums, our members have been discussing one of the new sensations in the world of golf – Ludvig Aberg. The 24-year-old finished solo second at the Masters a couple of weeks ago, and gained many plaudits, including from several WRXers.

One member, RoyalMustang, took to the forums to explain why Aberg is now their favorite player, saying:

“I loved the way the Ludvig was out there, having a great time, not taking himself or the situation too seriously. Even after the double at 11, he was like “well, that’s golf!” Loose and relaxed: that’s the way to play. It’s obvious he loves what he’s doing, he loves the big moments, and he loves being a part of it all.

Arnold Palmer was viewed that way. Just like Brooks Robinson was forever viewed as not just a great baseball player, but a great human being and friend to Baltimore.”

And our members have been reacting and sharing their positive takes on the young Swede.

Here are a few posts from the thread, but make sure to check out the entire discussion and have your say at the link below.

  • redfirebird08: “Ludvig has a great attitude, a great smile, and a great golf swing.”
  • otto6457: “I’m very lucky to have talked with Ludde several times at the Rawls Course at Texas Tech.  He’s a truly nice guy and very friendly.  Always said hello when we passed each other in the club house and was always smiling. Watching him hit balls on the range was a joy.  He has “that sound” and trajectory to die for.  There were many times he was out on the range in 30+ mph winds just hitting the most beautiful shots that just seemed to ignore the wind.  World class ball striker. And yes……..I am a fan boy.”
  • konklifer: “I like him. In an era of endless waggles and laboring, his swing and pace of play are a joy to watch.

Entire Thread: “Why Ludvig Aberg is my new favorite player – GolfWRXers discuss”

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19th Hole

‘Absolutely crazy’ – Major champ lays into Patrick Cantlay over his decision on final hole of RBC Heritage

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Over the past year or so, PGA Tour star Patrick Cantlay has taken a great deal of criticism for his pace of play.

Now, Cantlay is once again under fire for a questionable decision he made on Sunday at the RBC Heritage.

After the horn sounded to suspend play due to darkness, Cantlay, whose ball was in the fairway on the 18th hole, had a decision to make. With over 200 yards into the green and extreme winds working against the shot, conventional wisdom would be to wait until Monday morning to hit the shot.

On the other hand, if he could finish the hole, he may just want to get the event over with so he could get out of Hilton Head.

Curiously, Cantlay chose neither of those options. After hitting 3-wood into the green, and still coming up short, the former FedEx Cup champion chose to mark his ball and return to chip and putt on Monday morning.

Ian Woosnam, who was watching from home, took to X to give his thoughts on Cantlay’s decision-making.

Cantlay would end up getting up and down for par when play resumed at 8:00 Monday morning.

Following his round, Cantlay explained his decision to wait to hit his third shot the next morning:

“I really did want to finish last night, so I felt like if I could get the ball up there maybe in an easier spot, maybe I would have finished, but as I got the ball up near the green, I realized it would be easier to finish this morning. That’s what I decided to do.”

GolfWRX has reached out to Patrick Cantlay’s management team for a response to Woosnam’s comments.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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