QUOTE (twgolf @ Jul 15 2009, 11:17 AM)

I would agree to some point with this except it did not hurt him at the US Open, the draw is what hurt him. His first round the conditions were not ideal for scoring. However, I feel that he has let the last two Masters get away due to his cautious play in the early rounds. Then again when he set the scoring record at the Masters he carded a 40 on the front nine on Thursday. I believe he looks at it as slow and steady wins the race over four days. Take the AT&T for example. AK opened with a 62 and could not back up any of those rounds the next three days, while Tiger just plodded along with his 3-4 under for four days and wins. If the large majority of the field goes out on Thursday and scors low and he does not, then it is an uphill climb for him. If only one or two players go low on Thursday, he is feels he is okay, because they tend to come back to the field during the next three days. I think that in his mind as long is he is within 5 or 6 strokes of the lead going into the weekend he feels that he is in a prime location for winning the tournament. Typically though, Saturdays (moving day) is when he starts turning it up and makes his move.
Agreed...relying on someone to come back to you is not exactly a good strategy, as it's "out of your hands". Who's to say how streaky some of the guys are on any given day / week?
Sure, he's come back from 5-6 back. But that's a lot of strokes in a major championship, on a tough course yielding few birdies. And if only one part of his game is off on that Sunday e.g. putter goes cold with lots of lip outs, then it's game over. Let's face it, TW is interested in Ws only not Top 10s.