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Do Fairways Hit Equal Low Scores?

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If you’ve played this game long enough, you know how important it is to hit the fairway. It allows any of us to control the ball’s spin and flight far easier than out of the rough or in a bunker.

With that being the case, one would think that the men winning on the PGA Tour week-in and week-out would be the leaders of fairways hit. It is easy to come to this conclusion but a look at the stats is surprising. Tiger Woods, the greatest golfer of our time, is no straight hitter off the tee and neither is Phil Mickelson, the next winningest player on Tour. So how is it that they win so frequently? Because driving accuracy is not as important as you might think.

Driving the golf ball straight is important, but there are far more important stats like Strokes Gained-Putting and scoring. Driving the ball straight is far less important than putting and getting up and down from 100 yards and in.

Of course, golfers can’t hit it all over the planet; they have to keep it in bounds and out of hazards. So if you’re hitting 70-yard slices and hooks that should be a addressed, but if your stats show you miss fairways but keep it within the tree line and you’re still not scoring, hitting it straighter might not be the pace to focus.

The top-10 players leading in driving accuracy on the PGA Tour are probably not who you think they are. There is definitely something to the adage “drive for show, putt for dough.” Below are two graphs, the first is showing the top-five leaders in driving accuracy, the second is showing the top FedEx Cup points leaders.

Jeff Maggert is fifth in driving accuracy on Tour at 71.46 percent. He also has a very respectable GIR percentage (Greens in Regulation) at 68.20 percent, which ranks him 3oth on Tour. With numbers like that, it would be easy to conclude he would be having a standout year and be ranked high in the FedExCup Standings.But he’s not even close. Maggert is ranked 156th in the FedExCup standings.

Top 5 Leaders in Driving Accuracy

FedEx Points Leaders

Once again, it is all what you do 100 yards and in on a hole. When looking at the first graph, only one man on it is having a stellar year, Graeme McDowell. Why is that? Well, it is easy to see when you move across the graph and look at his scrambling stat. He is a grinder with a scrambling stat of 74.49 percent, which means he makes par 74.49 percent of the time when he misses a green. Jeff Maggert on the other hand only makes par 59.38 percent of the time under those same circumstances.

And the five men leading in driving accuracy are not leading in the strokes gained putting category. All of them, with the exception of McDowell and Kohles, are giving shots back to the field putting.

The first shocking thing noticeable is that Woods and Mickelson are no better than 56 percent in driving accuracy. Tiger, on the other hand, is lapping the field in the strokes gained putting, not so much for Mickelson, but he is very respectable at .345 in that category. Seve Ballesteros was never ever a great driver of the ball but that man could get up and down from the moon.

Snedeker is the most consistent member in this group, because he does everything well. He is not leading in any of the categories, but he is near the top in most. He is a straight hitter with both his woods and irons and he can scramble. It is not hard to see why he is having a standout year this year. Kevin Streelman, who won his first tournament this year at the Tampa Bay Championship, is havign a Snedeker-type season — he’s doing everything well, too.

So what is separating Tiger Woods, who has won three times in 2013, from everyone else? Putting, putting, putting. I’ll take some literary freedom here and draw what I think is the most important thing about Tiger: He is never out of a hole. He may hit it into a bunker or the trees, but he fights it out knowing there is a great chance if he can get on the green with a stroke to spare he will make that putt.

These stats show that we as amateur golfers probably spend too much time working on the long game. A golfer’s time would be far better spent practicing the game from 100 yards and in. With half of the stats on a par 4 allotted to putting, that should tell us something. Also, if a golfer can get his wedge play to be accurate from inside 100, it will wear out the people you play — just ask Jeff Maggert.

With all of this in mind, we should head out to the putting and pitching green and commit to getting good in these areas. I realize spending 30 minutes or more putting doesn’t have the appeal of bombing out long, straight drives on the range. But keep in mind how much lower your scores will get if you only need two shots from inside 100 yards. That should be motivation enough!

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P. Matthew Moorhead has spent last 18 years working for General Motors. When not at work, he spends his time trying to improve his game with Eric Johnson of Oakmont CC and trying out all the new golf equipment, coaching youth soccer and spending time with his family. Through the early part of this decade he chased a dream of racing sportbikes around the Midwest to some minor success and spectacular crashes. He worked as an assistant pro for a few years and spent a summer in the 90s working as a putter rep for a now-defunct putter company and signed LPGA players to use the brand.

9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. Adrian

    Dec 7, 2013 at 10:48 am

    While I agree that the short game is very important in my opinion the long game is much more important until you get to a certain level, which is probably below a 5 handicap, when those strokes saved really come into play. The most important stat to an amateur golfer in my opinion is greens in regulation. Greens in regulation have almost a direct correlation with an amateurs score. Increasing GIR will have a much bigger impact on the score. I have always hit around 60% of my fairways but it wasn’t until this past month when I got my GIR’s up from 24 to 56 percent that my scoring really improved. My putts per round are rarely below 31 but I still shoot in the mid 70’s since I am hitting 9-10 greens and getting up and down 30 to 40 % of the time when I miss the green. Not saying short game isn’t important, but long game is what really costs most golfers.

  2. John Scott

    May 1, 2013 at 5:09 pm

    Interesting article but can you correct the spelling on Seve Ballesteros please, you have his surname wrong.
    Cheers.

    • Matt M

      May 2, 2013 at 4:44 am

      Sorry bout the Seve typo no disrepect meant.

  3. Troy Vayanos

    Apr 27, 2013 at 9:53 pm

    Great post Matt,

    It just goes to show how important the short game is and the ability to get up and down from everywhere.

    My local driving range is filled with guys practising just their driver and yet the putting green is empty … go figure!

    Cheers

  4. dbamford

    Apr 26, 2013 at 1:09 pm

    One point I forgot to mention — there is a BIG difference between launching a 300-yard bomb from the tee into the rough, which happens to be blanketed by a crowd of spectators and PGA ball-spotters.

    If average golfers don’t hit fairways, the ball might be lost. If your drives are 300+ yards, that becomes “frequently” lost. The lack of spotters and galleries reduces the payoff for the “bomb it into the rough” strategy in the real-world.

    My biggest pet peeve is landing a shot in the center of the fairway and having the ball simply vanish. Maybe it hit a sprinkler head and ricocheted, maybe it fell into a hole, who knows… everyone has had this happen to them at one time or another.

    • Nick

      Aug 6, 2013 at 10:16 am

      Could not agree more. Many times I see errant drives by the big hitters that I know for a fact would be lost and gone forever for the average player. With LB being so overly penalized (should be a lateral IMO) that’s a huge impact on your average players score that the pros deal with far less frequently.

  5. dbamford

    Apr 26, 2013 at 12:52 pm

    I tracked every club I hit over the last 5 or 6 rounds I played last season. It’s not something I had ever done before but it sure was eye-opening. A full 50% of the shots I hit were from my 9-iron through my LW. Another 25% were between by 6I and my 9I. I could almost throw away every club between my driver and my 5I and not be too bad off.

    I guess the point I’m making is that In agreement with this article and many others that the lofted irons and putters are the most critical clubs to master. If you’re a good bunker/rough/junk player (e.g. a master of you wedges) you won’t care so much where you land. Bomb it close, plop it on the green for your GIR, and putt. If you’re not a long hitter you had better hit the green from 200+ out, and that is perhaps impossible on highly protected and fast greens. Ironically, if greens were approachable from long distances, or weren’t too slick to hold an approach shot, it might negate the long hitters’ advantage of coming into the green with a lob wedge all the time.

    I really agree that it is GIR + Putting that counts. If you are getting your GIR (however you slice it) you will have scoring chances.

  6. JChoj

    Apr 26, 2013 at 11:54 am

    I really wish they would make it harder for them to hit out of the rough. Pros just don’t care where the ball is. Make it more rewarding for the player to hit the fairway.

  7. Mike

    Apr 26, 2013 at 10:51 am

    I get what you are saying here. But I’d love to see a statistical analysis of how much better Tiger scores when he is hitting fairways consistently, and same with Phil. Tiger and Phil’s short games are usually consistently good to great, but when they are hitting fairways it seems that they have many more birdie and eagle opportunities.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 LIV Adelaide betting preview: Cam Smith ready for big week down under

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After having four of the top twelve players on the leaderboard at The Masters, LIV Golf is set for their fifth event of the season: LIV Adelaide. 

For both LIV fans and golf fans in Australia, LIV Adelaide is one of the most anticipated events of the year. With 35,000 people expected to attend each day of the tournament, the Grange Golf Club will be crawling with fans who are passionate about the sport of golf. The 12th hole, better known as “the watering hole”, is sure to have the rowdiest of the fans cheering after a long day of drinking some Leishman Lager.  

The Grange Golf Club is a par-72 that measures 6,946 yards. The course features minimal resistance, as golfers went extremely low last season. In 2023, Talor Gooch shot consecutive rounds of 62 on Thursday and Friday, giving himself a gigantic cushion heading into championship Sunday. Things got tight for a while, but in the end, the Oklahoma State product was able to hold off The Crushers’ Anirban Lahiri for a three-shot victory. 

The Four Aces won the team competition with the Range Goats finishing second. 

*All Images Courtesy of LIV Golf*

Past Winners at LIV Adelaide

  • 2023: Talor Gooch (-19)

Stat Leaders Through LIV Miami

Green in Regulation

  1. Richard Bland
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Paul Casey

Fairways Hit

  1. Abraham Ancer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Henrik Stenson

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Joaquin Niemann
  3. Dean Burmester

Putting

  1. Cameron Smith
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Matt Jones

2024 LIV Adelaide Picks

Cameron Smith +1400 (DraftKings)

When I pulled up the odds for LIV Adelaide, I was more than a little surprised to see multiple golfers listed ahead of Cameron Smith on the betting board. A few starts ago, Cam finished runner-up at LIV Hong Kong, which is a golf course that absolutely suits his eye. Augusta National in another course that Smith could roll out of bed and finish in the top-ten at, and he did so two weeks ago at The Masters, finishing T6.

At Augusta, he gained strokes on the field on approach, off the tee (slightly), and of course, around the green and putting. Smith able to get in the mix at a major championship despite coming into the week feeling under the weather tells me that his game is once again rounding into form.

The Grange Golf Club is another course that undoubtedly suits the Australian. Smith is obviously incredibly comfortable playing in front of the Aussie faithful and has won three Australian PGA Championship’s. The course is very short and will allow Smith to play conservative off the tee, mitigating his most glaring weakness. With birdies available all over the golf course, there’s a chance the event turns into a putting contest, and there’s no one on the planet I’d rather have in one of those than Cam Smith.

Louis Oosthuizen +2200 (DraftKings)

Louis Oosthuizen has simply been one of the best players on LIV in the 2024 seas0n. The South African has finished in the top-10 on the LIV leaderboard in three of his five starts, with his best coming in Jeddah, where he finished T2. Perhaps more impressively, Oosthuizen finished T7 at LIV Miami, which took place at Doral’s “Blue Monster”, an absolutely massive golf course. Given that Louis is on the shorter side in terms of distance off the tee, his ability to play well in Miami shows how dialed he is with the irons this season.

In addition to the LIV finishes, Oosthuizen won back-to-back starts on the DP World Tour in December at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and the Mauritus Open. He also finished runner-up at the end of February in the International Series Oman. The 41-year-old has been one of the most consistent performers of 2024, regardless of tour.

For the season, Louis ranks 4th on LIV in birdies made, T9 in fairways hit and first in putting. He ranks 32nd in driving distance, but that won’t be an issue at this short course. Last season, he finished T11 at the event, but was in decent position going into the final round but fell back after shooting 70 while the rest of the field went low. This season, Oosthuizen comes into the event in peak form, and the course should be a perfect fit for his smooth swing and hot putter this week.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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