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Redkacheek’s DFS Rundown: 2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic

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We did it again! Another outright win in the books for 2019 as we crushed the Bryson outright at 15-1 this past week at the Shriners Hospital Open. We also added on a Sam Ryder top five for an additional 14-1 so, all in all, our betting card came through for us up about 24 units. DFS was also a tremendous success with several FGB members and fellow GolfWRXers winning MULTIPLE GPPs!! Overall, we could not have asked much more from the Shriners open and am looking forward to another cut event here at Mayakoba.

In addition to this article and the FGB Podcast which I host each week, I will also be a guest on The Pat Mayo Experience show again this afternoon. If you are looking for even more insight and analysis for this golf course and the field, I highly encourage you to check out Pat’s show this week as he is one of the sharpest golf minds in the industry. Of course, you can always find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and I am more than happy to answer any questions you may have.

Let’s go ahead and take a look at the course.

Here are the details of the course for the Mayakoba Golf Classic:

Course Snapshot

Course: El Camaleon Golf Club at the Mayakoba Resort
City: Playa del Carmen, Mexico
Par: 71
Length: 6,987
Course Difficulty: 70.32 (32nd)
Birdie Average: 3.80 (35th)
Birdie or Better Percentage: 21.55% (33rd)

Course Rankings (OFF THE TEE)

SG: Tee-to-Green: N/A
SG: Off-the-Tee: N/A
Driving Distance: 283.1 (4th)
Driving Accuracy: 64.58% (32nd)

Course Rankings (APPROACH TO THE GREEN)

SG: Approach-the-Green: N/A
GIR Percentage: 67.42 (34th)
Proximity to Hole: N/A
Rough Proximity: N/A
Fairway Proximity: N/A

Course Rankings (AROUND THE GREEN)

SG: Around-the-Green: N/A
Sand Save Percentage: 53.65% (44th)
Scrambling Percentage: 58.46% (30th)

Course Rankings (PUTTING)

SG: Putting: N/A
Putting Average: 1.763 (31st)
One-Putt Percentage: 39.00% (30th)
3-Putt Avoidance: 3.20 (19th)
Putting – Inside 10’: N/A
Putting from – > 25’: N/A

This course has played very consistent over the years and that is great for us as we dig into the key stats. As you can see, Mayakoba is an exceptionally short golf course for today’s standards. The driving accuracy number looks very good (read easy) but do not let that fool you, as driving distance is near the bottom of the pack for the PGA Tour at only 283.1 yards. I will get right to it, this is absolutely an accuracy, tee-shot placement, and second-shot golf course. I certainly wouldn’t rule out any longer hitters, as they likely will be able to club down on most par-4 tee shots and get the ball in play with a 3-wood or even a 2-iron.

Check out these quotes below from Cam Champ and also Jon Rahm that gives the perfect picture of who should play well here:

Cameron Champ: “Obviously it’s very demanding off the tee, but if you hit fairways here, the course is very scorable depending on the weather conditions. Obviously, the wind can pick up some. I hit a lot of 2-irons here, I think half the holes I’ll probably hit 2-iron on the majority of the holes. Par 5s obviously I’ll hit drivers. I just kind of feel comfortable. Even though it’s narrow, it’s just the way it suits my eye, for some reason I just feel comfortable.”

Jon Rahm: “Well, technically it doesn’t suit my game. I mean, it’s really a course for shorter hitters, it’s not really long off the tee. There’s a lot of emphasis and importance on keeping the ball in play off the tee, so that means I’m not able to use my driver as much as I would like to, which is one of my main tools.”

As you can see, driving accuracy and iron play is going to be critical this week, so here are my Key Stats for the week:

• SG: T2G
• SG: APP
• GIRs Gained
• Driving Accuracy
• Par 4 Scoring (400-450)
• Par 5 Scoring
• *Recent Form
• **Course History

The last two are not so much stat driven but should certainly be considered when building out your player pool. I use Course History as a gauge but not a be-all and end-all, and same goes for Recent Form where I like to SEE which guys have some momentum (good or bad) coming into this week.

I am going to list out the top Cash and GPP plays in each price range to help you get a better picture of how to build your lineups…

Expensive

Rickie Fowler (Cash/GPP)
Tony Finau (GPP)
Gary Woodland (Cash/GPP)
Billy Horschel (GPP)
Emiliano Grillo (Cash/GPP)
Charles Howell III (Cash/GPP)

Mid-tier

Zach Johnson (GPP)
Cameron Champ (Cash/GPP)
J.B. Holmes (GPP)
Joaquin Niemann (Cash/GPP)
Ryan Moore (GPP)
Abraham Ancer (GPP)

Value

Sungjae Im (Cash/GPP)
Keith Mitchell (GPP)
Chris Kirk (Cash/GPP)
J.J. Spaun (Cash/GPP)
Harold Varner III (GPP)
Anders Albertson (GPP)
Viktor Hovland* (Relatively expensive and unknown but GOOD at golf)

Super Value

Danny Lee (GPP)
Mack Hughes (Cash/GPP)
Alex Prugh (Cash/GPP)
Richy Werenski (GPP)
Adam Svensson (GPP)

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I am ranked in the Top 35 of all DFS Golf players and best known for winning the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest during the week of The Masters earlier this year. I am very active around the community, always willing to help whether with strategy or research and you can find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and also each week on the Fantasy Golf Bag Podcast. One last note, my history is in professional golf, which definitely adds a unique perspective to DFS that most people do not have and you will find really gives you an edge when evaluating players each week.

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Podcasts

Mondays Off: Tipping Dos and Don’ts, Does Jordan Spieth really have the yips?

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Steve and Knudson talk about a PGA Tour pro allegedly tipping his caddie only $3,000 after winning a tournament. Steve gives Knudson a lesson on who he should tip and when during a visit to a private club. Finally, Steve then tells us why Jordan Spieth doesn’t have the yips and what you can do to help with the yips if you have them!

Check out the full podcast on SoundCloud below, or click here to listen on iTunes or here to listen on Spotify.

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Courses

Hidden Gem of the Day: George Dunne National in Oak Forest, Illinois

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These aren’t the traditional “top-100” golf courses in America, or the ultra-private golf clubs you can’t get onto. These are the hidden gems; they’re accessible to the public, they cost less than $50, but they’re unique, beautiful and fun to play in their own right. We recently asked our GolfWRX Members to help us find these “hidden gems.” We’re treating this as a bucket list of golf courses to play across the country, and the world. If you have a personal favorite hidden gem, submit it here!

Today’s Hidden Gem of the Day was submitted by GolfWRX member DeeBee30, who takes us to George Dunne National in Oak Forest, Illinois. The course is a part of the Illinois Forest Preserve golf system, and in DeeBee30’s description of the course, the challenge provided is underlined as just one of the highlights of the course.

“Really fun tree-lined parkland layout with some interesting holes that cover rolling terrain that you don’t find in many Chicago-area golf courses.  Coming in at 7262 yards and 75.4/142 from the tips, Dunne offers four sets of tees that will provide a good test for most golfers.  The course gets a lot of play, but it’s always in great condition.”

According to George Dunne National’s website, 18 holes during the week will cost in the region of $40, while the rate rises to $75 should you want to play on the weekend.

@ThomasRWitt1963

@GolfTfs

@Kurtis1908

Check out the full forum thread here, and submit your Hidden Gem.

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Opinion & Analysis

NCAA Transfer Portal: What the data says so far

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As reported, in September 2018 the NCAA made major changes to the rules by introducing new legislation which allowed players to transfer without a release and be signed up for a website which provided their information for all coaches. The idea was to make the process of transferring easier on the student athlete. three months into the process, we wanted to look at the numbers and see what, if anything we could learn from transfers so far…

When looking at these numbers, keep in mind that since September sixty-four (64) players in Division I and Division II have signed up for the portal and here are the transfers that I am aware of

  • Birgir Bjorn Magnusson from Bethany (NAIA) to Southern Illinois
  • Laken Hinton from Augusta State to Ohio State
  • Colin Bowles from Ohio State to Georgia Southern
  • Brandon Gillis from Wake Forrest to Rhode Island
  • Drew Powell from Brown University to Duke University
  • Jeff Doty from North Florida to Kansas

When looking at the transfers, keep in mind that Birgir at the time of the transfer was ranked No. 3 in NAIA golf with a stroke average of 72.09 and four top 10s in the fall. His WAGR has also significantly improve to a very solid current ranking of 473, which would put him among the top third of college players in the WAGR.

It is also important to remember that my data demonstrates that only about 6/64 player where immediately able to get deals to transfer. That means that 90 percent of players (58/64), got nothing. Not very good odds, but honestly not surprising since even with the portal, transferring is still going to be a major issue because of two reasons

  • Transfer Credits: most schools at best are going to take 2 years of credits, this means anyone past their sophomore year, who is unhappy, is likely going to have to do a full extra year of school to graduate. However, this is not to say that all schools will take all credits; it is more likely that only very generally 100 level classes will transfer.
  • Anchoring Heuristic: a single question survey of 10 coaches demonstrates that all 10 have at least some reservations about transfers; what’s wrong with this player? Why did it not work the first time? Why is the second time going to be any better?

In creating the portal, the NCAA has not dealt with the real issue; most young athletes have no idea what really to expect at the college level. The fact is that if you sign up to play golf at Auburn University, although you may get a scholarship, you have likely spent close to 100k on golf clubs, balls, lessons, memberships, trips and tournaments. Your reward? A grueling beat down of class responsibilities, tutoring and endless competition with the best golfers in the world. It’s hard and golfers who excel in college golf posses’ resilience, adaptability, coachability and grit.

There will be some golfers reading this article who are considering transferring, for those, I offer this advice: it’s not going to get any easier. Life is a curial, hard place and if you have any big aspirations for yourself, you will need to learn to be tough, fight through adversity and believe in yourself. Don’t let these questions stop you, instead let them motivate you and use your college coach, swing coach and family to figure out ways to become better.

With the NCAA reporting a transfer rate of approximately eight percent across all of college sport, it is likely that as player come closer to March, we will see a surge in players on the portal. The question is, what will happen to these players? My guess is, in the longer term we will see a lot more losers than winners.

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