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Redkacheek’s DFS Rundown: 2018 Mayakoba Golf Classic

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We did it again! Another outright win in the books for 2019 as we crushed the Bryson outright at 15-1 this past week at the Shriners Hospital Open. We also added on a Sam Ryder top five for an additional 14-1 so, all in all, our betting card came through for us up about 24 units. DFS was also a tremendous success with several FGB members and fellow GolfWRXers winning MULTIPLE GPPs!! Overall, we could not have asked much more from the Shriners open and am looking forward to another cut event here at Mayakoba.

In addition to this article and the FGB Podcast which I host each week, I will also be a guest on The Pat Mayo Experience show again this afternoon. If you are looking for even more insight and analysis for this golf course and the field, I highly encourage you to check out Pat’s show this week as he is one of the sharpest golf minds in the industry. Of course, you can always find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and I am more than happy to answer any questions you may have.

Let’s go ahead and take a look at the course.

Here are the details of the course for the Mayakoba Golf Classic:

Course Snapshot

Course: El Camaleon Golf Club at the Mayakoba Resort
City: Playa del Carmen, Mexico
Par: 71
Length: 6,987
Course Difficulty: 70.32 (32nd)
Birdie Average: 3.80 (35th)
Birdie or Better Percentage: 21.55% (33rd)

Course Rankings (OFF THE TEE)

SG: Tee-to-Green: N/A
SG: Off-the-Tee: N/A
Driving Distance: 283.1 (4th)
Driving Accuracy: 64.58% (32nd)

Course Rankings (APPROACH TO THE GREEN)

SG: Approach-the-Green: N/A
GIR Percentage: 67.42 (34th)
Proximity to Hole: N/A
Rough Proximity: N/A
Fairway Proximity: N/A

Course Rankings (AROUND THE GREEN)

SG: Around-the-Green: N/A
Sand Save Percentage: 53.65% (44th)
Scrambling Percentage: 58.46% (30th)

Course Rankings (PUTTING)

SG: Putting: N/A
Putting Average: 1.763 (31st)
One-Putt Percentage: 39.00% (30th)
3-Putt Avoidance: 3.20 (19th)
Putting – Inside 10’: N/A
Putting from – > 25’: N/A

This course has played very consistent over the years and that is great for us as we dig into the key stats. As you can see, Mayakoba is an exceptionally short golf course for today’s standards. The driving accuracy number looks very good (read easy) but do not let that fool you, as driving distance is near the bottom of the pack for the PGA Tour at only 283.1 yards. I will get right to it, this is absolutely an accuracy, tee-shot placement, and second-shot golf course. I certainly wouldn’t rule out any longer hitters, as they likely will be able to club down on most par-4 tee shots and get the ball in play with a 3-wood or even a 2-iron.

Check out these quotes below from Cam Champ and also Jon Rahm that gives the perfect picture of who should play well here:

Cameron Champ: “Obviously it’s very demanding off the tee, but if you hit fairways here, the course is very scorable depending on the weather conditions. Obviously, the wind can pick up some. I hit a lot of 2-irons here, I think half the holes I’ll probably hit 2-iron on the majority of the holes. Par 5s obviously I’ll hit drivers. I just kind of feel comfortable. Even though it’s narrow, it’s just the way it suits my eye, for some reason I just feel comfortable.”

Jon Rahm: “Well, technically it doesn’t suit my game. I mean, it’s really a course for shorter hitters, it’s not really long off the tee. There’s a lot of emphasis and importance on keeping the ball in play off the tee, so that means I’m not able to use my driver as much as I would like to, which is one of my main tools.”

As you can see, driving accuracy and iron play is going to be critical this week, so here are my Key Stats for the week:

• SG: T2G
• SG: APP
• GIRs Gained
• Driving Accuracy
• Par 4 Scoring (400-450)
• Par 5 Scoring
• *Recent Form
• **Course History

The last two are not so much stat driven but should certainly be considered when building out your player pool. I use Course History as a gauge but not a be-all and end-all, and same goes for Recent Form where I like to SEE which guys have some momentum (good or bad) coming into this week.

I am going to list out the top Cash and GPP plays in each price range to help you get a better picture of how to build your lineups…

Expensive

Rickie Fowler (Cash/GPP)
Tony Finau (GPP)
Gary Woodland (Cash/GPP)
Billy Horschel (GPP)
Emiliano Grillo (Cash/GPP)
Charles Howell III (Cash/GPP)

Mid-tier

Zach Johnson (GPP)
Cameron Champ (Cash/GPP)
J.B. Holmes (GPP)
Joaquin Niemann (Cash/GPP)
Ryan Moore (GPP)
Abraham Ancer (GPP)

Value

Sungjae Im (Cash/GPP)
Keith Mitchell (GPP)
Chris Kirk (Cash/GPP)
J.J. Spaun (Cash/GPP)
Harold Varner III (GPP)
Anders Albertson (GPP)
Viktor Hovland* (Relatively expensive and unknown but GOOD at golf)

Super Value

Danny Lee (GPP)
Mack Hughes (Cash/GPP)
Alex Prugh (Cash/GPP)
Richy Werenski (GPP)
Adam Svensson (GPP)

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I am ranked in the Top 35 of all DFS Golf players and best known for winning the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest during the week of The Masters earlier this year. I am very active around the community, always willing to help whether with strategy or research and you can find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and also each week on the Fantasy Golf Bag Podcast. One last note, my history is in professional golf, which definitely adds a unique perspective to DFS that most people do not have and you will find really gives you an edge when evaluating players each week.

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Podcasts

The 19th Hole (Ep 59): Exclusive with new President of the PGA Suzy Whaley and Matt Ginella

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Suzy Whaley, the first woman elected President of the PGA of the America, gives an exclusive one-on-one interview on this week’s episode on The 19th Hole with Michael Williams. Also featured: Travel Insider Matt Ginella of the Golf Channel and Golf Advisor.

Check out the full podcast on SoundCloud below, or click here to listen on iTunes!

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Courses

Hidden Gem of the Day: Quail Hollow Golf Course in Boise, Idaho

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These aren’t the traditional “top-100” golf courses in America, or the ultra-private golf clubs you can’t get onto. These are the hidden gems; they’re accessible to the public, they cost less than $50, but they’re unique, beautiful and fun to play in their own right. We recently asked our GolfWRX Members to help us find these “hidden gems.” We’re treating this as a bucket list of golf courses to play across the country, and the world. If you have a personal favorite hidden gem, submit it here! 

Today’s Hidden Gem of the Day was posted by GolfWRX member PixlPutterman, who submitted Quail Hollow Golf Course in Boise, Idaho as his hidden gem of a golf course. PixlPutterman calls Quail Hollow a “target golfers dream,” and judging by his description of the 18 hole course, it’s easy to see why.

“Nestled in the foothills at the base of the Sawtooth Mountains. The course is kept in country club level condition and is very challenging. Its a target golfers dream, you can play it with about six clubs and you rarely “need” a driver. Greens are in great shape, and there are some great elevation holes. Pic (below) was taken from the Champion Tee on the 18th Hole. You basically tee off over two other holes, and the view is AWESOME.”

According to Quail Hollow Golf Course’s website, a weekend round with a cart at the course nestled in the Boise foothills will cost you $48, while playing during the week is just $44. Both senior and twilight rates come in at around $39.

@Ron_White

@fnf2017

Check out the full forum thread here, and submit your Hidden Gem.

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Opinion & Analysis

Redkacheek’s DFS Rundown: 2018 RSM Classic

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We did it again (times two)! Matt Kuchar came through for us last week allowing us to cash our 66-1 outright tickets for our fourth outright winner in only six weeks. We also added Spaun (12-1) and Werenski (28-1) top fives for a total of 100x at Mayakoba! This was one of our most exciting tournaments to watch as several members were sweating their DFS lineups throughout the weekend. Huge shout out to everyone who had a big week at Mayakoba!

This week, the FGB podcast covers some of our betting strategies and then further breaks down the field for the RSM Classic. Definitely give that a listen if you prefer to digest material in an audio format. Of course, you can always find me on Twitter (@Redkacheek), and I am more than happy to answer any questions you may have.

Let’s go ahead and take a look at the course. Here are the details of the course for The RSM Classic.

Course Snapshot

Course: Sea Island Resort (Seaside)
City: St. Simons Island, Georgia
Par: 70
Length: 7,005
Course Difficulty: 69.24 (35th)
Birdie Average: 3.43 (16th)
Birdie or Better Percentage: 19.47% (16th)

Course Rankings (OFF THE TEE)

SG: Tee-to-Green: N/A
SG: Off-the-Tee: N/A
Driving Distance: 288.8 (11th)
Driving Accuracy: 72.05% (48th)

Course Rankings (APPROACH TO THE GREEN)

SG: Approach-the-Green: N/A
GIR Percentage: 73.62 (46th)
Proximity to Hole: 35’ 8” (19th)
Rough Proximity: 45’ 5” (17th)
Fairway Proximity: 32’ 5” (16th)

Course Rankings (AROUND THE GREEN)

SG: Around-the-Green: N/A
Sand Save Percentage: 49.35% (24th)
Scrambling Percentage: 55.77% (16th)

Course Rankings (PUTTING)

SG: Putting: N/A
Putting Average: 1.797 (12th)
One-Putt Percentage: 33.11% (5th)
3-Putt Avoidance: 2.79 (32nd)
Putting – Inside 10’: 89.02% (36th)
Putting from – > 25’: 6.59% (35th)

This course has also played very consistent over the years, and that is great for us as we dig into the key stats. The main takeaways are driving accuracy and GIR percentage are both high. DA percentage was at 72 percent last year and GIR percentage was 74 percentage. The real trick is the difficulty with proximity from 125 to 200 yards being ranked inside the top 10 of most difficult in 2018. For that reason, I am really focusing on guys with strong proximity numbers with their irons.

As far as the rest of the course, there is not a ton that stands out. Scrambling is certainly difficult, but like I mentioned before these greens are hard to MISS so I am not weighing any scrambling stats. The only other key stat that this course highlights for me is par 4 scoring on 400-to-450 yard holes. Of course, I always include course history, so definitely take a look at recent years’ results to see who tends to show up here time and time again.

I will note that this tournament is played on two courses: Seaside and Plantation. Plantation will only be seen once by the players (either Thursday or Friday), but if you are looking to play Single Round Showdown contests or even just FRL bets, I would highly encourage you to keep your focus on the Plantation course as it played as one of the easiest courses in 2018.

As you can see, iron play, specifically proximity, is going to be critical this week, so here are my key stats for the week

  • SG: T2G
  • SG: APP
  • Par 4 Scoring (400-450)
  • Proximity (150 – 175)
  • Proximity (125 – 150)
  • Proximity (175 – 200)
  • *Recent Form
  • **Course History

The last two are not so much stat driven but should certainly be considered when building out your player pool. I use course history as a gauge but not a be-all and end-all, and same goes for recent form where I like to SEE which guys have some momentum (good or bad) coming into this week.

I am going to list out the top cash and GPP plays in each price range to help you get a better picture of how to build your lineups…

Expensive

Webb Simpson ($11,800) (GPP)
J.J. Spaun ($10,400) (GPP)
Lucas Glover ($9,900) (Cash/GPP)
C.T. Pan ($9,000) (Cash/GPP)
Russell Henley ($9,500) (GPP)

Mid-tier

Joaquin Niemann ($8,900) (Cash/GPP)
Sam Ryder ($8,600) (Cash/GPP)
Chris Kirk ($8,500) (Cash/GPP)
Jim Furyk ($8,200) (GPP)
Sungjae Im ($8,000) (GPP)

Value

Bud Cauley ($7,900) (GPP)
Richy Werenski ($7,800) (GPP)
Stewart Cink ($7,700) (Cash/GPP)
Bronson Burgoon ($7,700) (GPP)
Michael Thompson ($7,600) (GPP)
Brian Gay ($7,500) (Cash/GPP)
Ryan Armour ($7,500) (GPP)
Kramer Hickok ($7,400) (GPP)
Anders Albertson ($7,300) (GPP)

Super VALUE

Stephan Jaeger ($6,800) (GPP)
Joel Dahmen ($6,900) (Cash/GPP)
Carlos Ortiz ($6,800) (GPP)
Tom Lovelady ($6,500) (GPP)

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19th Hole

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