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Predicting Friday’s Ryder Cup pairings

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With less than 24 hours to go until the 2018 Ryder Cup begins, speculation is rife regarding the pairings for Friday’s opening foursomes and four-ball action. While attempting to nail down the Friday morning pairings is difficult enough, I decided to take the challenge a little further by predicting both Friday’s pairings, and how much action each star is likely to see over the three days at Le Golf National.

Team Europe

Rose/Stenson

This intimidating twosome played together three times at Hazeltine back in 2016, and both men played all five sessions that year. Based on the practice groups, it looks likely Captain Bjorn will opt for this fearsome pairing once more to get things going on Friday morning. While I feel Justin Rose is a lock to feature five times this week, Henrik Stenson will most likely sit for one session, as the Swede has been suffering from a wrist injury for the past few weeks.

McIlroy/Rahm

The firepower and energy of this twosome would be so much fun to watch, and it is something I need in my life. Europe’s pairings are far more difficult to predict and generally more susceptible to change session by session, but I have a feeling Thomas Bjorn may well let the wild bull, Jon Rahm, loose in his Ryder Cup debut alongside Rory McIlroy. As with the opening pairing, I feel McIlroy is odds-on to feature five times this week, while Rahm is more likely to sit for a session. However, that may change were he to bulldoze his way through an opening match.

Poulter/Hatton

It’s one step up from blind guessing at this point on regarding Team Europe’s pairings, but with the experience of Ian ‘The Postman’ Poulter, it’s likely that Bjorn will send Europe’s talisman into action with a Ryder Cup rookie. I can see that man being Tyrrell Hatton, who may need a Ryder Cup veteran to control his emotions in the heat of battle. Poulter featured three times at Gleneagles and four times at Medinah, and I expect him to play four sessions this time around. Hatton will likely feature a maximum of three times all week.

Fleetwood/Molinari

This pairing would be another case of a Ryder Cup debutante going out with an experienced head. I think there is a good possibility of these two playing together, and I have a hunch that Tommy Fleetwood will be a star at this event. I also feel the Englishman will feature more than Molinari this week, who has gone off the boil a little recently.

Garcia/Noren

I’d like to see this pairing, and I think it would be a success. There are concerns that Bjorn’s decision to give Sergio Garcia a wildcard pick will backfire the same way Darren Clarke’s decision to provide Lee Westwood with a wildcard in 2016 did. However, I have more confidence in Garcia than most this week, and playing alongside the man who won at Le Golf National earlier this year may well get the best out of the Spaniard. Noren could well feature four times this week, while Garcia is likely to play one session less.

Casey/Olesen

A little weak on paper perhaps, but that’s not to say that this pairing can’t succeed, especially in foursomes action. The smart money is on both Paul Casey and Thorbjørn Olesen featuring three times this week, but if things go wrong on Friday, Olesen especially, will not be taking an appearance on Saturday for granted.

Team USA

Woods/Reed

All the talk of Woods and DeChambeau has quietened and judging by the practice pairings and whispers; it looks like Patrick Reed will be the man to play alongside Tiger. This pairing would be an explosive way for Captain Furyk to kick things off on Friday morning, and I think he’ll do just that. Rich Beem, speaking on Sky Sports UK, stated that he would be surprised if Woods featured more than three times this week. I would be stunned not to see him play four matches though, as his precision iron play could be pivotal for the U.S. this week. It all depends on how they get out of the gate, but should they get off to a hot start, then Reed could well play all five sessions once again.

Spieth/Thomas

It appears the successful Spieth/Reed pairing is over, with rumors indicating the breakdown was due to some public comments made earlier this year by Patrick Reed. Jordan Spieth’s close friendship with Justin Thomas would make this a comfortable setting for both Spieth and the Ryder Cup debutante Thomas. As with Fleetwood, I’m expecting big things from Thomas this week, and I can see him featuring 4/5 times at Le Golf National. Spieth, who has not been at his best lately, may have to settle for three sessions.

Fowler/Johnson

Another pairing that looks very likely according to reports, and this one has the potential to go either way. The need for precision off the tee may hurt this twosome, with Johnson’s accuracy issue being the main concern. The big-hitting American played four sessions at Hazeltine, and it’s likely he’ll get the same amount of game time at Le Golf National. Fowler will most likely play the same amount, although three may be all he can manage, having just recovered from an oblique injury.

Mickelson/DeChambeau

Playing alongside Mickelson this week may well be a thankless task. The American dropped four strokes to the field off the tee at East Lake, and on a golf course at Le Golf National where precision off the tee will be critical, it’s not hard to envisage him struggling. It looked dead set to be DeChambeau and Woods teeing off together, but a lot has changed, and the youngster now seems to be making his Ryder Cup debut alongside Mickelson. I don’t see Mickelson featuring more than three times this week, while DeChambeau has a greater chance of acquiring more playing time. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see Bryson paired up with Tiger at some stage this week.

Watson/Simpson

Bubba goes to Paris. I struggle to see how this ends well. The American’s ball striking has been all over the place lately, losing strokes to the field for his approach play in seven of his last eight events, and last week at East Lake dropping 12.4 strokes to the field tee to green. On paper, this is undoubtedly Team USA’s weakest lineup, and Simpson’s average Ryder Cup record (2-3-1) doesn’t inspire much confidence either. As a big Bubba Watson fan, I’d love to be proved wrong, but I see him picking up no points on Friday and then not being seen again until Sunday. Simpson may squeeze one more session out of the week than Watson.

Koepka/Finau

Finally, the big hitting and unassuming Brooks Koepka looks likely to take Tony Finau under his wing this week. This pairing has plenty of upside to it, and my gut says that both men will perform well at Le Golf National. However, I’d be surprised to see these two play every session together and I believe Koepka, who was superb at Hazeltine, will feature in at least four sessions in Paris.

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Gianni is the Managing Editor at GolfWRX. He can be contacted at [email protected].

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans betting preview

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The PGA TOUR heads to New Orleans to play the 2023 Zurich Classic of New Orleans. In a welcome change from the usual stroke play, the Zurich Classic is a team event. On Thursday and Saturday, the teams play best ball, and on Friday and Sunday the teams play alternate shot.

TPC Louisiana is a par 72 that measures 7,425 yards. The course features some short par 4s and plenty of water and bunkers, which makes for a lot of exciting risk/reward scenarios for competitors. Pete Dye designed the course in 2004 specifically for the Zurich Classic, although the event didn’t make its debut until 2007 because of Hurricane Katrina.

Coming off of the Masters and a signature event in consecutive weeks, the field this week is a step down, and understandably so. Many of the world’s top players will be using this time to rest after a busy stretch.

However, there are some interesting teams this season with some stars making surprise appearances in the team event. Some notable teams include Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry, Collin Morikawa and Kurt Kitayama, Will Zalatoris and Sahith Theegala as well as a few Canadian teams, Nick Taylor and Adam Hadwin and Taylor Pendrith and Corey Conners.

Past Winners at TPC Louisiana

  • 2023: Riley/Hardy (-30)
  • 2022: Cantlay/Schauffele (-29)
  • 2021: Leishman/Smith (-20)
  • 2019: Palmer/Rahm (-26)
  • 2018: Horschel/Piercy (-22)
  • 2017: Blixt/Smith (-27)

2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans Picks

Tom Hoge/Maverick McNealy +2500 (DraftKings)

Tom Hoge is coming off of a solid T18 finish at the RBC Heritage and finished T13 at last year’s Zurich Classic alongside Harris English.

This season, Hoge is having one of his best years on Tour in terms of Strokes Gained: Approach. In his last 24 rounds, the only player to top him on the category is Scottie Scheffler. Hoge has been solid on Pete Dye designs, ranking 28th in the field over his past 36 rounds.

McNealy is also having a solid season. He’s finished T6 at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and T9 at the PLAYERS Championship. He recently started working with world renowned swing coach, Butch Harmon, and its seemingly paid dividends in 2024.

Keith Mitchell/Joel Dahmen +4000 (DraftKings)

Keith Mitchell is having a fantastic season, finishing in the top-20 of five of his past seven starts on Tour. Most recently, Mitchell finished T14 at the Valero Texas Open and gained a whopping 6.0 strokes off the tee. He finished 6th at last year’s Zurich Classic.

Joel Dahmen is having a resurgent year and has been dialed in with his irons. He also has a T11 finish at the PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass which is another Pete Dye track. With Mitchell’s length and Dahmen’s ability to put it close with his short irons, the Mitchell/Dahmen combination will be dangerous this week.

Taylor Moore/Matt NeSmith +6500 (DraftKings)

Taylor Moore has quickly developed into one of the more consistent players on Tour. He’s finished in the top-20 in three of his past four starts, including a very impressive showing at The Masters, finishing T20. He’s also finished T4 at this event in consecutive seasons alongside Matt NeSmith.

NeSmith isn’t having a great 2024, but has seemed to elevate his game in this format. He finished T26 at Pete Dye’s TPC Sawgrass, which gives the 30-year-old something to build off of. NeSmith is also a great putter on Bermudagrass, which could help elevate Moore’s ball striking prowess.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 LIV Adelaide betting preview: Cam Smith ready for big week down under

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After having four of the top twelve players on the leaderboard at The Masters, LIV Golf is set for their fifth event of the season: LIV Adelaide. 

For both LIV fans and golf fans in Australia, LIV Adelaide is one of the most anticipated events of the year. With 35,000 people expected to attend each day of the tournament, the Grange Golf Club will be crawling with fans who are passionate about the sport of golf. The 12th hole, better known as “the watering hole”, is sure to have the rowdiest of the fans cheering after a long day of drinking some Leishman Lager.  

The Grange Golf Club is a par-72 that measures 6,946 yards. The course features minimal resistance, as golfers went extremely low last season. In 2023, Talor Gooch shot consecutive rounds of 62 on Thursday and Friday, giving himself a gigantic cushion heading into championship Sunday. Things got tight for a while, but in the end, the Oklahoma State product was able to hold off The Crushers’ Anirban Lahiri for a three-shot victory. 

The Four Aces won the team competition with the Range Goats finishing second. 

*All Images Courtesy of LIV Golf*

Past Winners at LIV Adelaide

  • 2023: Talor Gooch (-19)

Stat Leaders Through LIV Miami

Green in Regulation

  1. Richard Bland
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Paul Casey

Fairways Hit

  1. Abraham Ancer
  2. Graeme McDowell
  3. Henrik Stenson

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Joaquin Niemann
  3. Dean Burmester

Putting

  1. Cameron Smith
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Matt Jones

2024 LIV Adelaide Picks

Cameron Smith +1400 (DraftKings)

When I pulled up the odds for LIV Adelaide, I was more than a little surprised to see multiple golfers listed ahead of Cameron Smith on the betting board. A few starts ago, Cam finished runner-up at LIV Hong Kong, which is a golf course that absolutely suits his eye. Augusta National in another course that Smith could roll out of bed and finish in the top-ten at, and he did so two weeks ago at The Masters, finishing T6.

At Augusta, he gained strokes on the field on approach, off the tee (slightly), and of course, around the green and putting. Smith able to get in the mix at a major championship despite coming into the week feeling under the weather tells me that his game is once again rounding into form.

The Grange Golf Club is another course that undoubtedly suits the Australian. Smith is obviously incredibly comfortable playing in front of the Aussie faithful and has won three Australian PGA Championship’s. The course is very short and will allow Smith to play conservative off the tee, mitigating his most glaring weakness. With birdies available all over the golf course, there’s a chance the event turns into a putting contest, and there’s no one on the planet I’d rather have in one of those than Cam Smith.

Louis Oosthuizen +2200 (DraftKings)

Louis Oosthuizen has simply been one of the best players on LIV in the 2024 seas0n. The South African has finished in the top-10 on the LIV leaderboard in three of his five starts, with his best coming in Jeddah, where he finished T2. Perhaps more impressively, Oosthuizen finished T7 at LIV Miami, which took place at Doral’s “Blue Monster”, an absolutely massive golf course. Given that Louis is on the shorter side in terms of distance off the tee, his ability to play well in Miami shows how dialed he is with the irons this season.

In addition to the LIV finishes, Oosthuizen won back-to-back starts on the DP World Tour in December at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and the Mauritus Open. He also finished runner-up at the end of February in the International Series Oman. The 41-year-old has been one of the most consistent performers of 2024, regardless of tour.

For the season, Louis ranks 4th on LIV in birdies made, T9 in fairways hit and first in putting. He ranks 32nd in driving distance, but that won’t be an issue at this short course. Last season, he finished T11 at the event, but was in decent position going into the final round but fell back after shooting 70 while the rest of the field went low. This season, Oosthuizen comes into the event in peak form, and the course should be a perfect fit for his smooth swing and hot putter this week.

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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