News
British Open 2018 odds: Dustin Johnson, Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose, Rory McIlroy favored
Insert your preferred obligatory remark about whether you call this week’s major championship at Carnoustie “The Open Championship” or “the British Open” here. Now that we’ve gotten that out of the way, let’s get down to the notoriously difficult business of golf futures betting.
The No. 1 golfer in the world, considering his recent form is respectable and he is, you know, the No. 1 golfer in the world, is tops at the books. Justin Rose (16/1), Rickie Fowler (16/1), Rory McIlroy (18/1), and Jordan Spieth (20/1) round out the top four at Bovada. Tiger Woods is at 22/1, along with Tommy Fleetwood, Brooks Koepka, Jon Rahm, and Justin Thomas. Phil Mickelson is 66/1.
Odds to win The Open Championship 2018 (@Bovada, 7/17)
Dustin Johnson 12/1
Rickie Fowler 16/1
Justin Rose 16/1
Rory McIlroy 18/1
Jordan Spieth 20/1
Tommy Fleetwood 22/1
Brooks Koepka 22/1
Jon Rahm 22/1
Justin Thomas 22/1
Tiger Woods 22/1
Sergio Garcia 28/1
Henrik Stenson 28/1
Alex Noren 30/1
Jason Day 33/1
Francesco Molinari 33/1
Patrick Reed 35/1
Paul Casey 40/1
Branden Grace 40/1
Tyrrell Hatton 40/1
Marc Leishman 45/1
Hideki Matsuyama 50/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 60/1
Russell Knox 66/1
Phil Mickelson 66/1
Ian Poulter 66/1
Thomas Pieters 75/1
Matt Kuchar 80/1
Louis Oosthuizen 80/1
Bubba Watson 80/1
Patrick Cantlay 100/1
Tony Finau 100/1
Emiliano Grillo 100/1
Zach Johnson 100/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 100/1
Rafael Cabrera Bello 125/1
Bryson DeChambeau 125/1
Ryan Fox 125/1
Haotong Li 125/1
Luke List 125/1
Adam Scott 125/1
Webb Simpson 125/1
Matthew Southgate 125/1
Lee Westwood 125/1
Paul Dunne 150/1
Brian Harman 150/1
Charley Hoffman 150/1
Shane Lowry 150/1
Ryan Moore 150/1
Xander Schaufflele 150/1
Brandt Snedeker 150/1
Brandon Stone 150/1
Andy Sullivan 150/1
Danny Willett 150/1
Chris Wood 150/1
Kevin Na 175/1
Eddie Pepperell 175/1
Byeonghun AN 200/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 200/1
Daniel Berger 200/1
Ross Fisher 200/1
Dylan Frittelli 200/1
Padraig Harrington 200/1
Russell Henley 200/1
Martin Kaymer 200/1
Charl Schwartzel 200/1
Cameron Smith 200/1
Kyle Stanley 200/1
Jordan Smith 225/1
Alexander Bjork 250/1
Jorge Campillo 250/1
Stewart Cink 250/1
Jason Dufner 250/1
Beau Hossler 250/1
Pat Perez 250/1
Julian Suri 250/1
Peter Uihlein 250/1
Jimmy Walker 250/1
Gary Woodland 250/1
Keegan Bradley 300/1
Nicolas Colsaerts 300/1
Cameron Davis 300/1
Retief Goosen 300/1
Michael Kim 300/1
Si Woo Kim 300/1
Alexander Levy 300/1
Ryan Armour 400/1
Kevin Chappell 400/1
George Coetzee 400/1
Jens Dantorp 400/1
Kevin Kisner 400/1
Anirban Lahiri 400/1
Matt Wallace 400/1
Shota Akiyoshi 500/1
Jonas Blixt 500/1
Danthai Boonma 500/1
Bronson Burgoon 500/1
Minchel Choi 500/1
Darren Clarke 500/1
Austin Cook 500/1
Sean Crocker 500/1
John Daly 500/1
Grant Forrest 500/1
Gavin Green 500/1
Chesson Hadley 500/1
Adam Hadwin 500/1
Michael Hendry 500/1
Lucas Herbert 500/1
Charles Howell III 500/1
Kodai Ichihara 500/1
Jazz Janewattananond 500/1
Matt Jones 500/1
Andrew Landry 500/1
Shaun Norris 500/1
Sang Hyun Park 500/1
Chez Reavie 500/1
Jovan Rebula 500/1
Brett Rumford 500/1
Brady Schnell 500/1
Jack Senior 500/1
Shubhankar Sharma 500/1
Brendan Steele 500/1
Ryuko Tokimatsu 500/1
Erik Van Rooyen 500/1
Oliver Wilson 500/1
Lin Yuxin 500/1
Ernie Els 750/1
Scott Jamieson 750/1
Sung Kang 750/1
Bernhard Langer 750/1
Jhonattan Vegas 750/1
Abraham Ancer 1000/1
Marcus Armitage 1000/1
Mark Calcavecchia 1000/1
Ben Curtis 1000/1
David Duval 1000/1
Nicolaj Hojgaard 1000/1
Yuta Ikeda 1000/1
Masahiro Kawamura 1000/1
Marcus Kinhult 1000/1
Patton Kizzire 1000/1
Masanori Kobayashi 1000/1
Satoshi Kodaira 1000/1
Jason Kokrak 1000/1
Kelly Kraft 1000/1
Tom Lewis 1000/1
Zander Lombard 1000/1
Haraldur Magnus 1000/1
James Robinson 1000/1
Hideto Tanihara 1000/1
Ashton Turner 1000/1
Miyazato Yusaku 1000/1
Fabrizio Zanotti 1000/1
Rhys Enoch 1500/1
Thomas Curtis 2500/1
Todd Hamilton 2500/1
Tom Lehman 2500/1
Sam Locke 2500/1
Sandy Lyle 2500/1
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News
Morning 9: Tiger confirms playing schedule | Player: This caused Tiger’s downfall
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Tour Photo Galleries
Photos from the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
GolfWRX is on site this week in McKinney, Texas, at the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson (FKA the AT&T Byron Nelson).
Last year at TPC Craig Ranch, Jason Day ended a five-year winless streak. J-Day is in the field again, as are Jordan Spieth, Tom Kim, and Will Zalatoris.
We have our usual assortment of general galleries, WITBs, and pullout albums for your perusal. As always, we’ll continue to add links to additional albums as they make their way to us from the Lone Star State.
Check out links to all our photos below.
General Albums
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Monday #1
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Monday #2
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #1
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #2
- 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson – Tuesday #3
WITB Albums
- Pierceson Coody – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Kris Kim – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- David Nyfjall – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Adrien Dumont de Chassart – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Jarred Jetter – North Texas PGA Section Champ – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Richy Werenski – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Wesley Bryan – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Parker Coody – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Peter Kuest – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Blaine Hale, Jr. – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Kelly Kraft – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Rico Hoey – WITB – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Pullout Albums
- Adam Scott’s 2 new custom L.A.B. Golf putters – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Scotty Cameron putters – 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson
- Ben Griffin playing Maxfli golf ball
See what GolfWRXers are saying in the forums.
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News
Vincenzi’s 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson betting preview: International talent to shine
As anticipation mounts for the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla in a few weeks, the PGA Tour makes a pit stop in McKinney, Texas to play The CJ CUP Byron Nelson.
Last year was the third time TPC Craig Ranch hosted the Byron Nelson. Prior to 2021, the event was held at Trinity Forest Golf Club in Dallas.
TPC Craig Ranch is a 7,414-yard par-71 that features Bentgrass greens. The event historically plays relatively easy, and that has remained the case in the three editions at TPC Craig Ranch.
The course structure may provide some additional intrigue with the par-3 17th featuring a stadium setup called “Ranch 17” which is reminiscent of the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale. The course also has both long and difficult par-4s mixed with drivable par-4s, which should create some exciting moments.
There are 156 golfers in the field this week, and many stars will be taking the week off to prepare for 2023’s second major championship in a few weeks and a “signature event” at Quail Hollow next week. Notable players in the field include Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Sungjae Im, Stephan Jaeger, Tom Kim, Si Woo Kim, Min Woo Lee, Alex Noren, Adam Scott and Will Zalatoris.
Past Winners of the AT&T Byron Nelson
- 2023: Jason Day (-23 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2022: K.H. Lee (-26 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2021: K.H. Lee (-25 at TPC Craig Ranch)
- 2019: Sung Kang (-23)
- 2018: Aaron Wise (-23)
- 2017: Billy Horschel (-12)
- 2016: Sergio Garcia (-15)
- 2015: Steven Bowditch (-18)
Key Stats at TPC Craig Ranch
Let’s take a look at five key metrics for TPC Craig Ranch to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their last 24 rounds.
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Approach remains the best measure of current form.
Hot iron play will be at a premium this week. Last year, Jason Day gained 6.4 strokes on approach, which was fourth in the field. In 2022, K.H. Lee was ninth in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, gaining 5.2 strokes. In his 2021 victory, he was second in the field and gained 8.3 strokes on the field in the category.
Strokes Gaines: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds
- Tom Hoge (+1.12)
- Keith Mitchell (+1.02)
- Henrik Norlander (+0.99)
- Ryan Moore (+0.98)
- Ben Martin (0.80)
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Fairways are wide at TPC Craig Ranch.
Distance will certainly be helpful, and there aren’t too many difficult holes on the course. Golfers who put themselves in position off of the tee this week should have a sizable advantage.
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee Over Past 24 Rounds
- Peter Kuest (+0.93)
- Kevin Daugherty (+0.91)
- Alejandro Tosti (+0.83)
- Keith Mitchell (+0.82)
- Kevin Tway (+0.74)
Birdie or Better %
There aren’t many hazards on the course, and all of the par-5s should be reachable in two for the majority of the players in the field. I am anticipating a birdie fest, and this statistic should be helpful in finding the birdie-makers.
Birdie or Better % Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Wesley Bryan (31%)
- Kelly Kraft (26.2%)
- Peter Kuest (25.9%)
- Matti Schmid (25.7%
- Jimmy Stanger (25.2%)
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Many golfers on TOUR have some major putting surface variance in their statistics and prefer Bentgrass to other surfaces.
Bentgrass is common in Texas, and we often see golfers who play well in Texas continue to do so, finding a great feel around the greens.
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass) Over Past 24 Rounds:
- Maverick McNealy (+0.92)
- Aaron Baddeley (+0.87)
- Callum Tarren (+0.86)
- Harry Hall (+0.81)
- Nick Hardy (+0.69)
Course History
This statistic will tell us which players have performed the best at TPC Craig Ranch over the past three seasons.
Course History Over Past 12 Rounds:
- Jordan Spieth (+2.69)
- K.H. Lee (+2.59)
- Seamus Power (+1.84)
- Ryan Palmer (+1.76)
- Adam Scott (+1.72)
CJ CUP Byron Nelson Model Rankings
Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (27%), SG: OTT (24%), Birdie or Better % (18%), Course History (17%) and SG: Putting Bentgrass (16%).
- Alex Noren
- Adam Scott
- Keith Mitchell
- Si Woo Kim
- Stephen Jaeger
- Jordan Spieth
- Jhonnatan Vegas
- Nate Lashley
- Brice Garnett
- Tom Hoge
2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson Picks
Byeong Hun An +3000 (DraftKings)
Byeong Hun put together an excellent performance at The Masters, finishing T16, which ties his best ever finish at a major championship (also T16 at 2019 U.S. Open). The South Korean gained 9.16 strokes from tee to green, which ranked 2nd in the field behind only the champion, Scottie Scheffler.
An’s next start at Harbour Town didn’t go as well (67th), but he still had a fantastic ball striking week. The 32-year-old bled strokes both around and on the greens, which was his eventual undoing. In his past three starts, An has gained significant strokes on the field both off the tee and on approach.
Benny had a strong start at last year’s Byron Nelson, finishing in a tie for 14th. With limited challenges on the course, he shouldn’t have to do much scrambling. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 17th in the field in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 17th in the field in birdie or better percentage. The putter is up and down per usual, but his ceiling putting weeks with his LAB Golf putter in 2024 are higher than they’ve been in past seasons.
An is starting to become my “white whale” of the PGA Tour, but I believe in his talent and TPC Craig Ranch is a course that should suit his excellent tee to green play.
Mackenzie Hughes +5500 (FanDuel)
Mackenzie Hughes is quietly putting together a very good season. He finished in a tie for 3rd at the Valspar Championship and followed that up with a T14 at the Texas Children’s Houston Open.
In his past 36 rounds in Texas, the Canadian ranks 5th in the field in Strokes Gained: Total. Last year, he finished in a tie for 14th at this event and gained strokes putting and off the tee. Mackenzie played well that week despite being in extremely poor form. He missed two cuts in a row prior to the event, and four consecutive cuts immediately after. His irons were off that week, but in 2024, we’ve seen an improvement in Hughes’ approach game. He now comes to the event playing some steady golf. He’s gained strokes on approach in four of his past five events and is hitting the ball very well from tee to green.
Hughes has two victories on the PGA Tour, both coming in relatively low-scoring affairs (-17 in each). He will need to go a bit deeper to win the CJ Cup Byron Nelson but has the type of putter that can keep pace in a birdie barrage.
Seamus Power +7000 (FanDuel)
After struggling over the past few seasons with injuries, Seamus Power seems as if he is rounding back into the form that made him a really consistent player on the PGA Tour.
Power finished T12 in his most recent start at the RBC Heritage, which is encouraging considering it was a “signature event” with a very strong field. For the week, the Irishman gained 4.4 strokes on approach and 2.8 strokes putting, which is the combination he’s used in the past to contend on Tour.
In his three trips to TPC Craig Ranch, Power is yet to finish outside of the top-20, with his best finish being a T9 in 2019. He ranks 4th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course. The 37-year-old thrives on easy tracks and has won in 2021 (Barbasol Championship) and 2022 (Butterfield Bermuda) on easier layouts with weaker fields.
Power has the game to go extremely low and I believe he can get back in the winner’s circle for the third time in four years.
Chan Kim +10000 (FanDuel)
Chan Kim has been striking the ball beautifully this season and is a proven winner with two wins on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2023 as well as eight career Japan Tour wins.
At last week’s Zurich Classic, Kim and his partner Doug Ghim finished in a tie for 28th. Prior to that, the South Korean T14 at the Valero Texas Open and T6 at the Corales Puntacana Championship. His success this season in Texas as well as he propensity to play his best golf on the PGA Tour’s easier courses make him and ideal fit for TPC Craig Ranch.
2024 has given plenty of longshot winners on the PGA Tour, and with a birdie fest like this, I believe there’s a strong chance we get another this week in McKinney, Texas.
Alejandro Tosti +10000 (FanDuel)
Alejandro Tosti is one of the most polarizing players on the PGA Tour thus far in the 2024 season. His antics can rub many the wrong way, but he’s shown on a few occasions that he has what it takes to compete in Tour events.
This season, Tosti has been elite off the tee. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 2nd in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The Argentine hits it long and straight, which works at any course on earth. He got a taste of contention a few starts ago at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, finishing in a tie for 2nd place.
Tosti had a fantastic year in 2023 on the Korn Ferry Tour, where going low is a prerequisite to success. If this turns to a shootout, which it likely will, the 27-year-old has the ability to set the pace. Tosti will look to become the second Argentine to win in Texas in the past two seasons after Emiliano Grillo emerged victorious at last year’s Charles Schwab Challenge.
C.T. Pan +15000 (FanDuel)
Outside of a T3 at the Mexico Open, C.T. Pan doesn’t have strong results this season in terms of finishes. However, over his past two starts, Pan’s iron play has come alive. At The Players, he gained 6.6 strokes on approach. At the Valero Texas Open, he gained 3.7. At last week’s Zurich Classic, Pan and his partner Kevin Yu finished T28. For a player who can get extremely hot with his scoring clubs, I believe he’s playing better than the results have shown over the past month or so.
Last season, Pan finished 4th at TPC Craig Ranch and was spectacular across all the major stat categories. In his past 36 qualifying rounds, he ranks 16th in Strokes Gained: Total in Texas.
Pan has won on the PGA Tour at the RBC Heritage and is always a player that I believe has what it takes to win on a Sunday if he finds himself in contention.
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Johnny Penso
Jul 18, 2018 at 6:52 pm
Ricky Fowler? LOLOLOL. I like the guy but c’mon.
Robert
Jul 17, 2018 at 10:52 pm
I would take Patrick Reed @ 35/1.
Chilly Dipper
Jul 18, 2018 at 8:01 am
This copied my thread on Tour Talk! I’m famous!
Robert
Jul 18, 2018 at 9:47 am
If you are talking about my pick, I have no idea who you are or what Tour Talk is. If Tour Talk is talk radio, I never listen to talk radio.