Connect with us


Talking U.S. Open bets with a pro gambler



This isn’t your standard futures article from someone without skin in the game, GolfWRX members! After the overwhelming positive response to our Masters betting piece, Dave from Top Market Sports is back to discuss wagers for the second major of the year.

Q. Can you give an example of a bet you’re making this week?

A. Sure. We’re a little bit bearish on Brooks Koepka. And instead of just making a bet on him to miss the cut, we’ve decided to structure a matchup trade around him consisting of 4 separate, equally-weighted bets. Those bets are:

Rahm -115 over Koepka (Tournament)
Rahm -110 over Koepka (1st Rd Only)
Stenson +105 over Koepka (Tournament)
Stenson +100 over Koepka (1st Rd Only)

So why are we ganging up on poor Brooks? It’s been well-documented that his starts have been limited this year due to left wrist issues. After a strong showing at The Players and then threatening to win at Colonial, maybe it’s all behind him. But even guys with no prior wrist problems sometimes bristle at the thought of ripping into U.S. Open length rough. Between the hoopla that comes with being defending champion, and possibly putting some extra pressure on himself off the tee to avoid the thick stuff this week…we just think he’s overvalued here. The idea is to hit at least three-out-of-four of these bets against him.

Q. Of the favorites in this field, who do you like to win?

A. The favorites are difficult just because the value is really not there. That being said, we were really close to pulling the trigger on Dustin Johnson at 9/1 Sunday night but pumped the brakes after waking up Monday morning to see him sitting at 8/1. While it’s really tough to recommend him at this wildly inflated futures price, we certainly wouldn’t be betting against him this week. In fact, there will probably be a couple great spots to back him in daily matchups as the tournament unfolds.

That leads us to Rickie Fowler at 16/1. We’ve been auto-betting Fowler almost every time he’s teed it up this year. In fact, we’ve backed him to win in seven of his 12 starts in 2018 with nothing to show for it. At some point, you have to look yourself in the mirror and ask if you’re being stubborn. But right now, his actions have not given us enough reason to go that far. Outside of DJ, he possesses more natural talent than anyone in the world (and that includes McIlroy). The market is growing tired of Rickie not being able to close the door on a major yet, and that creates enough value to continue wagering on him. He’s worth the money this week.

Q. What about a long shot?

A. Consider playing Emiliano Grillo at 100/1. His outstanding demeanor while in contention at Colonial a few weeks ago was eye-opening. He’s quietly produced four top 10s in 12 PGA Tour starts this year. As a late addition to the field, the World Number 52 might be freerolling at Shinnecock. It’s going to be Grillo’s third straight U.S. Open start, so he should be comfortable with the nerve-racking atmosphere. It’s no secret that you’re going to have to put the ball where they mow the grass this week, and he’s more than capable of doing that. If he can catch lightning in a bottle with that putter, he might be a nice lottery ticket to be holding while sitting on the couch on Sunday afternoon.

You can check out Top Market Sports for free betting picks, free articles, and a free real-time odds portal. They can also be found on Instagram @topmarketsports.


Your Reaction?
  • 11
  • LEGIT3
  • WOW0
  • LOL0
  • IDHT0
  • FLOP0
  • OB0
  • SHANK0



  1. Dan

    Jun 12, 2018 at 3:46 pm

    Like everyone else is like to know if bet anything on Tiger

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.


TaylorMade to skip 2019 PGA Merchandise Show



The 2019 PGA Merchandise Show will be missing a very familiar face, as TaylorMade has announced that it will not be involved in the annual event. The news will come as a disappointment to many, as TaylorMade had previously created much buzz at the show, often showcasing their new product line with an elaborate exhibition each January at the event. At the 2017 PGAM Show, TaylorMade announced the news that Tiger Woods had signed with TaylorMade.

According to TaylorMade’s CEO, David Abeles, the decision to skip the event next year is due to ongoing investment into growth initiatives that will add value to the game of golf.

“After conversations with TaylorMade Professional Staff members and key leaders within the golf industry, we will be investing into growth initiatives that we believe will create even greater value for the game of golf. As a result of our additional spend, we have decided not to attend the 2019 PGA Merchandise Show.”

Abeles stated how TaylorMade’s lack of involvement in the show based in Orlando will present the opportunity for TaylorMade to invest in the “support of PGA Professionals across the country,” while also acknowledging how the news of TaylorMade’s lack of participation in the PGA show would come as a blow to many.

“While this may be disappointing to some, we hope that you appreciate our excitement to expand our partnership in new ways.”

Not since Acushnet (Titleist, FootJoy) decided to skip the event from 2004-2008 has the PGA Merchandise Show lost such a big name.

See what GolfWRX Members are saying about it in our forums.

Your Reaction?
  • 7
  • LEGIT2
  • WOW8
  • LOL2
  • IDHT1
  • FLOP2
  • OB1
  • SHANK30

Continue Reading


Tour Rundown: Koepka ascends to No. 1



October passed its midway point with four tournaments spread across the globe. The LPGA Tour’s Asian Swing continued, while Spain hosted the European Tour, and the PGA Tour visited Korea. The Champions Tour stayed stateside, in Virginia, to complete the slate. It was a mildly interesting week, as a new name ascended to the top of the official world golf rankings, and a major champion revealed an affinity for home cooking. For all the news. have a glance at this week’s Tour Rundown.

Koepka turns on the afterburners for win at CJ Cup

There was a point, midway through the final round on Jeju Island, when Brooks Koepka and Gary Woodland both sat at -14. Koepka was struggling, with loads of pars and a mix of birdies and bogeys. Woodland was in great form, with birdies on six of his first nine holes. Just when it seemed that all was lost, and that Kopeka would be resigned to winning majors alone, the Floridian turned on the afterburners and fired a back nine for the ages. Five birdies and a glorious eagle at the 18th gave him 29 on the inward half and -21 for the tournament.

Woodland attempted to keep up with everything he had, but two bogeys on the inward half offset five homeward birdies, and Woodland finished in second place with 63 and -17. The win elevated Koepka to world number one, the 23rd golfer to reach Olympus since the rankings debuted in 1986. Third place belonged to Ryan Palmer, who birdied his final seven holes for 62 on Sunday and -15 overall.

Kang is Kueen in Shanghai

Danielle Kang celebrated her birthday on Saturday with a cheer and a dance at the first tee. On Sunday, she sped past the overnight leaders to claim her second career LPGA Tour title at the Buick LPGA. Both Carlota Ciganda of Spain, and Sei Young Kim of Korea, had designs on adding to their personal victory columns, but neither could resist a ride on the bogey train. Ciganda had five birdies on Sunday, but more than matched them with four bogeys and a double. She finished tied for ninth at -10. Sei Young counted three birdies on Sunday, and an otherwise-clean card would have earned victory. Thee bogeys dropped her to -11, into a seven-way tie for second at -11. Danielle Kang was nearly flawless on Sunday, with one bogey at the fourth to count against her. Like Koepka above, she ignited the engines late, with four birdies over her final eight holes, to ease past the pack and reach -13. A year after making the Women’s PGA her first tour title, Kang added a second with calm play down the stretch in Shanghai.

Valderrama Masters is third for Garcia on European Tour

Sergio Garcia does it soooo well. He hosts and he mosts. He also wouldn’t mind if the Ryder Cup returned to Valderrama every … other year. Garcia claimed his third victory, and second consecutive, in the Valderrama Masters, by four strokes. Despite a bit of a struggle in the Sunday/Monday final round, Garcia’s second round brilliance was enough to hold off Ireland’s Shane Lowry, who finished solo second  at eight under par. Unlike round two of the rain-shortened event, when the Iberian champion was brilliant with seven birdies against zero bogeys, the final round demanded his best patience. Garcia had a four-shot lead at the 11th hole, but made two immediate bogeys. He regrouped and birdied two of his final five holes to afford a comfortable walk down the final hole.

Virginia is for Austin this week, as Schwab Cup playoffs begin

Kip Henley, a PGA Tour looper, predicted on Friday that Woody Austin would win this event. Austin wasn’t on page one of the leaderboard on Saturday night, but the prescient Henley was correct. His reasoning? His younger brother, Brent, was on Austin’s bag for the first time in eight years. Austin drained a birdie putt on 18 to outlast Bernhard Langer by one stroke. He finished on -11 after closing with 69 on Sunday.

Third-round leader Jay Haas, normally a solid closer, went somewhere else with 74, tumbling to a tie for third, two behind the winner. Haas was in the thick of things when he double-bogeyed the 14th hole. His only birdies on the final day came at the 1st and the 18th, too little and too late for victory.

Your Reaction?
  • 0
  • LEGIT0
  • WOW0
  • LOL0
  • IDHT0
  • FLOP0
  • OB0
  • SHANK0

Continue Reading


GolfWRX Morning 9: Koepka! Kang! | TaylorMade to skip PGA Show?| How big of an advantage is big hitting?



1. Koepka again
AP Report…”Koepka, the reigning PGA TOUR Player of the Year, shot a final-round 8-under 64 for a 21-under total of 267. Koepka led by four strokes after three rounds.”
  • “Gary Woodland certainly made it interesting. Woodland started the day five strokes behind Koepka but pulled level after making six birdies in seven holes on the front nine.”
  • “The two dueled on the back nine, with Woodland birdieing Nos. 15 and 16 to again pull level. But Koepka did the same, and a bogey by Woodland on the par-3 17th gave Koepka the cushion he needed to close out the win despite a birdie on the 18th by Woodland.”’s Ben Everill…”Just glancing at the leaderboard, which shows the reigning PGA TOUR Player of the Year closing with an 8-under 64 – including a 7-under 29 on the back nine to shoot 21 under – makes it appear this wasn’t a contest on Jeju Island.”
  • “Oh but it was. It’s just Koepka is fast developing the reputation as the clutch king. Give him a sniff of the trophy and you’re going to need a mighty effort to keep it from him. In fact, sometimes a mighty effort won’t be enough.”
  • “Gary Woodland shot 63 on Sunday, joining the lead on a handful of occasions. But Koepka – who had the pressure of the tournament and the fact he could claim world No. 1 status on his shoulders – answered with authority every time.”
2. No. 1
Golf Channel’s Nick Menta with some commentary on the new No. 1
  • “You know,” [Gary Woodland] said, “Brooks doesn’t seem like he cares too much.” Woodland meant that there was little anyone in the field could do to rattle the 54-hole leader.
  • “But his comment also fits the general narrative surrounding Koepka. That he’s just detached enough for fans to have trouble attaching themselves to him. That he’s just a jock here to cash checks and collect trophies, to kick ass and chew bubblegum.”
  • “But for a few moments Sunday in South Korea, it became clear that Brooks Koepka does care. Crouched on the 72nd green with some time to stop and think as Ian Poulter lagged a bit behind, Koepka finally let a moment get to him. Cameras caught the three-time major champion appearing unusually emotional.”
3. Kang battles back
“Danielle Kang shot a 3-under 69 on Sunday to win the LPGA Shanghai by two strokes for her second career title.”
“Kang, who started the final round one stroke off the lead, offset a lone bogey on the par-5 fourth hole with four birdies after the turn to finish at 13-under 275 and hold off a late charge by Lydia Ko, who had the day’s lowest score of 66.” (AP)
Golf Channel’s Randall Mell...”The 2017 KPMG Women’s PGA champion said she has battled anxiety for months now and that her mental struggles have caused her to feel emotionally drained. Kang admitted to standing over the ball for four minutes before she could hit one shot in particular last week in South Korea.”
  • “People might wonder what I’m doing,” she said. “I actually can’t pull the trigger. It has nothing to do with the result. Having to get over that last week was incredible for me.”
  • Kang on her odyssey...”We’re digging deep there. I mean, I had to go through swing changes; I had the swing yips, the putting yips, to everything possibly you could think of.
  • “Overcoming the mentality of the anxiety you feel over the shots, it’s so much that golf does to you and the things that I had to deal with over the course of time that I’ve been on tour. … More so than anything I’m finally at a place where I’m peaceful and happy with my game, with my life. There is just so much more you can get through. I hope I win more; I did the best I can. I’m going to keep working hard and keep giving myself chances and keep putting myself in contention. I’ll win more. I’ll play better.”
4. Garcia on the verge of another (Andalucia) Masters win
ESPN report…”The defending champion was 3 strokes clear of Lee Westwood at the top of the leaderboard after seven holes of his final round before the threat of lightning forced the players off the course in the early afternoon.”
  • “Play was suspended Sunday evening and will restart Monday morning with the tournament already reduced to 54 holes following several suspensions of play during the week.”
  • “Garcia opened with a 4-shot lead after a faultless 64 on Saturday and built on his advantage with a 20-foot putt for birdie at the fourth…The home favourite dropped a shot at the fifth, missing a makeable putt, but then converted two solid pars to stay at 10 under before the klaxons sounded to end play.”
5. No TaylorMade at PGA Show?
Golfweek’s Forecaddie with the news…”TaylorMade will not take part in the 2019 PGA Merchandise Show, The Forecaddie has learned. The deadline to commit came and went last week. The news is a blow to the annual January gathering of golf business principals.”
  • “After conversations with TaylorMade Professional Staff members and key leaders within the golf industry, we will be investing into growth initiatives that we believe will create even greater value for the game of golf,” wrote CEO David Abeles to TaylorMade staff professionals. “As a result of our additional spend, we have decided not to attend the 2019 PGA Merchandise Show.”
  • Abeles delivered the news after noting TaylorMade’s nearly 40-year dedication to the PGA of America and its members, insinuating that savings from eliminating the elaborate show effort will be part of a plan to broaden “support of PGA Professionals across the country.” Abeles said details would be announced in the “coming months.”
6. Brooks cares
Odd we continue to debate this or that a defense is warranted…nevertheless, Ryan Herrington writes…
  • “The golf world has spent the last year, in the wake of all Koepka’s success, trying to figure out the guy-what motivates him, why he doesn’t show much emotion on the course. Koepka seems to wear his nonchalance like his polo shirts, tight around his biceps and loose around the collar.”
  • “Yet that does Koepka an injustice as it suggests that he doesn’t care. His play speaks otherwise. If he didn’t care, why would he keep going out there and beating everyone’s brains in? Wouldn’t it be so much easier just to kick back on his boat, and while away the hours with a fishing rod in one hand, a Michelob Ultra in the other?”
  • “Indeed, if this run of Koepka’s proves anything, it’s that he really does care, more perhaps than he even understood. He cares about the attention he gets-or lack thereof in his mind-from the media, even as he insists otherwise. He cares about proving his game is more than just launching rockets off the tee. He cares about winning, not just major titles, but every tournament he plays.”
7. A slow play penalty arriveth…
John Strege…”After completing play in the Dominion Energy Charity Classic, Corey Pavin was informed by PGA Tour Champions tournament official Michael Petch that he was being assessed a one-stroke penalty. Instead of shooting an even-par 72, he posted a one-over 73 and finished in a tie for 15th.”
Interesting. And by “Corey Pavin,” Strege didn’t mean Bernhard Langer.
8. Distance not the ultimate advantage?
Golfweek’s David Dusek crunched the distance numbers from the season that was. Some of his observations…”The average PGA Tour player last season won $1,329,295, but the chart shows some of the biggest hitters – such as Rory McIlroy, Tony Finau, Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas – earned significantly more. At the same time, other players who have high driving-distance averages – such as Trey Mullinax, Harold Varner and Robert Garrigus – earned less. As a group, the 20 longest hitters on the PGA Tour averaged more than $3.5 million in prize money last season, which was 164 percent more than the Tour average.”
  • :As massive as that percentage may seem, it falls within a range that goes several years. In 2017, the 20 longest hitters on the PGA Tour averaged 123 percent more prize money than the PGA Tour average. In the three seasons before that, they earned about 150 percent more, which tells us that as distance off the tee has increased over the last few years, the longest hitters have maintained an edge in terms of earnings.”
9. The importance of practicing under pressure
Our Mike Dowd offered his thoughts on the futility of most practice methods. While this may be something you’ve heard in the past, Dowd’s take is worth a read.
  • “Practice, as most of us employ it, is borderline worthless. This is because most of the practices, if you will, typically employed during practice sessions have little chance of improving our performance under pressure.”
  • “The type of practice that improves performance is, for the most part, rarely engaged in because practicing under typical “practice” conditions does very little to simulate the thoughts, feelings, and emotions we deal with once our performance actually means something. If we want to really improve our performance when it matters, we need to put ourselves in situations, often and repeatedly, that simulate the pressure we experience during competition.”
Check out the piece for his suggestions how to do just that.


Your Reaction?
  • 5
  • LEGIT0
  • WOW0
  • LOL0
  • IDHT0
  • FLOP0
  • OB0
  • SHANK1

Continue Reading

19th Hole