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Opinion & Analysis

Our obsession with par is killing the game

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Remember that time you played great and burst into the 19th hole and slammed that scorecard down, bragging to your friends: “I FINALLY broke 8-over par!” No? Me either. Because that’s not how we play golf; we care about total score.

Match play? My 5 beats your 6. The par on that hole is immaterial. The $2 Nassau bet? My front, back, and totals versus yours. Whether the course is a par-70 or par-71, still immaterial. None of what you or I do on a course is related to “par.” We live and die by total score. So why is golf so obsessed with par these days? The par obsession has got the Golf Brass all out of shape, because the long-ball means par is under fire (or the du-jour thing: “shot values” need to be saved).

Par, as is told, comes from the idea of measuring. That’s our giant homo sapien brain doing what it does best: cataloging, organizing, resource counting. The history of golf says it came from estimating/measuring how many strokes it would take to win a tournament, Old Tom winning at 2 “under par” at Prestwick. From here, it evolved into how many shots a “scratch” player would be expected to take on a certain hole, based on its distance. Measuring, counting; our brains liked that.

But that doesn’t mean we play differently, does it? We all just want to shoot LOW. Mark Broadie is doing wonderful things with the strokes-gained metrics he’s measuring. One item stands out from an earlier article of his: this idea that the easiest hole is usually a par 5 with the field averaging 4-point something. Excuse me, but any hole averaging close to 5 shots is ALWAYS harder than the hole that averages 2-point something. Period. You don’t get paid for pars, you only get paid for the lowest total score. Only when you shoehorn the word “par” into the conversation does stroke average equate to holes being seen differently (hard/easy).

We can blame Augusta National a bit here. The Masters switched its TV coverage to report scores to under/over par and the golf world has fallen in line. Was math too scary? I mean, we still track it, still report it as a total. But what gets the headline, often, is this over/under total. It’s created some problems. Now a membership feels shame if its track gets torched “under par” by the Tour (we better make it longer!). The USGA is all kinds of bent out shape about in its championships: Gotta protect par! (kill the ball!).

It would not be a bad thing to rewind the clock a bit. Go back to reporting total score the way most of us think, write and brag anyway. Don’t worry; you can still print your scorecards with “par” on it. We can still report which shot they’re playing at the moment. We can still show the leaderboard, keeping the player’s position on it intact. We might just have to do some math (try to breathe).

Then the USGA and Augusta can go back to breathing normally, too. Their target score could still be 284 or whatever. It would become immaterial how they get there. A “par-5” being changed to a “par-4”? No big deal, we’re still protecting our 284. Maybe, just maybe, you kill the “par-5” entirely for Tour play. They could create/manipulate the course to defend that total without the shame of reporting a whatever-under-par that sounds so scary to them. We could just crown the guy who shot 275 and move on. We can still get that info if we decide we care about it. “Wow! 20 under par. Who wants tacos?”

Meanwhile, stay tuned for my new instructional series: “Breaking 28/18/8-over par!”

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A married father of 3 daughters (who cheer competitively, pray for me), Chris routinely takes his life in his hands by asking his wife to play golf all over Indiana. Deftly chiseling his handicap down from 18 to 8 in just 20 short years, his dedication to being a first-class golf nerd comes full circle as he documents the far reaches of his brain in printed word. He spends most days fiendishly plotting to replace Matt Ginella. If you're playing in the Indy area and a man wearing pink golf pants and chomping on a cigar is describing a golf bet so complicated only he can win it, tell my wife I'll be home in an hour.

27 Comments

27 Comments

  1. nyguy

    Jul 31, 2018 at 8:36 am

    dumbest argument ever… It’s like saying, scoring runs in baseball is ruining the game, or the pitchers pitch too fast, it’s ruining the game..

    PAR is the challenge in golf. If you don’t like par, then go to the driving range…jeesh

    • Gerald Teigrob

      Aug 1, 2018 at 2:04 pm

      Seriously? So you find that you are too religious about par that you can’t enjoy golf? Par is often the score I tend to throw my game over and to determine where my game is at. I can be playing bogey and double-bogey golf and that is immaterial. Oh I didn’t shoot par. But I drove the ball down the middle 250 yards or so. I had a number of bogeys and double-bogeys. I kind of like par being whatever I shoot! Par is only important in tournaments. But even then. who needs to be so focused on getting a damn par that they forget to enjoy the game! Enough pros have anger management issues over missing par. Let’s make it fun so we can grow the game instead of being so rigid and fixated on par! I am hoping to shoot in the 80s for 18 holes soon enough but life is too short to be so focused on rigidity in golf! Just ask the family of Jarrod Lyle how much more important enjoying life is while he prepares to have his final good byes!

  2. Wiger Toods

    Jul 31, 2018 at 6:11 am

    “Your comment is awaiting moderation.”

    I don’t want it moderated. I’d like to say it how I feel…

    • Wiger Toods

      Jul 31, 2018 at 6:12 am

      Apparently, you didn’t like the other thing I said…? Apparently being critical isn’t working?

      • Christopher Brooks

        Jul 31, 2018 at 11:33 am

        Apparently you think I’m the moderator; I am not.

        • Wiger Toods

          Jul 31, 2018 at 3:39 pm

          I had no such thought, but just like the article, you are way off base again.

      • commoner

        Jul 31, 2018 at 6:23 pm

        You need to understand if a ‘shadow’ feels your comments are objectionable he must bury them in the interest of saving mankind.

  3. TP

    Jul 31, 2018 at 2:28 am

    I want to break Par, on every hole, is why I play this game. What’s wrong with a birdie on every hole. Nobody has done it, and I love the challenge. Otherwise there is no point in playing this game. You picked the wrong game. And doomed your kids as you taught them that not going for a goal is OK. I feel sorry for them.

  4. commoner

    Jul 30, 2018 at 1:30 pm

    To call this blather is way too complimentary. The author’s primary concern should be an alias or pen name.

  5. Joe

    Jul 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm

    I don’t get it…

    • Gerald Teigrob

      Aug 1, 2018 at 2:14 pm

      What don’t you get? Would you rather be a scoring machine with anger issues if you don’t shoot par or better, or would you rather accept your game as improving while not feeling the need or pressure to shoot par or better on every hole? We are trying to grow the game! How can we grow this great game if we continue to keep to standards that only the top players can achieve…and the rest of us can aspire to?

  6. Ron

    Jul 30, 2018 at 11:57 am

    What a waste of 5 minutes reading this.

  7. Thomas A

    Jul 30, 2018 at 11:04 am

    The only thing I agree with is that we need to play more match play. I think at least here in the USA we are obsessed with handicap, and people won’t play matches because they can’t record their stroke play (or feel that they can’t). And if you didn’t record your GHIN, then did you really play golf? PGA Tour should have at least 4 match play tournaments, not counting the WGC.

  8. chris

    Jul 30, 2018 at 9:07 am

    Short answer. No it isn’t killing it. If you are a true golfer its hard to believe you really feel like this. It sounds more like you are looking for an attention grabbing headline to get your clicks up.

  9. Tim J

    Jul 30, 2018 at 8:49 am

    Nothing is killing the game. The game is fine. Par, total score, who cares.

    This is like discussing what material hockey nets should be made out of. It really doesn’t matter man.

  10. BDeC

    Jul 30, 2018 at 1:51 am

    I see no real golfers comment here. You must all suck

  11. Dave Pustizzi

    Jul 29, 2018 at 10:41 pm

    Par is the game the miscommunication comes when you forget that is you against the course and not you against the leader board

  12. Brandon

    Jul 29, 2018 at 6:26 pm

    A man does not ask his wife if he can play golf, a man tells his wife he is playing golf. If she has a problem with it, she isn’t a keeper anyway.

  13. Graeme

    Jul 29, 2018 at 6:26 pm

    Jimenez wins the Senior open and still nothing. Even golf.com were before you guys! What’s up?

  14. Lovejoy

    Jul 29, 2018 at 6:16 pm

    Another meaningless piece of fluff.

  15. Hawkeye77

    Jul 29, 2018 at 6:05 pm

    It’s like the author just discovered this yesterday? Killing the game? LOL, that’s silly and I missed the examples and evidence of that. Golfers have always been aware of par, some fuss over it, some don’t. Not sure what I just read, but it was pretty superficial.

  16. iutodd

    Jul 29, 2018 at 11:13 am

    Watching golf and playing golf are two different things. I’m obsessed with par because my goal last summer was to break 80. So making par on as many holes as possible is pretty darn important. I shot 79 finally and it felt great. Individuals set their own goals and think about them however they need to think about them.

    But I can still watch the Canadian Open and enjoy it whether they report that the lead is 199 or -17.

    And how would we track the leaderboard in the middle of the round exactly? Golf is a TV sport and a second screen sport – if a golfer is at 42 strokes through 11 holes…where is he at on the leaderboard compared to a golfer who is at 13 strokes through 4 holes? And having golfers start on 1 and 10….I can do math but…like…would we just list names with no score next to them? At the completion of the round things get easy – but certainly DURING the round it’s a lot easier to track things by using + or – numbers. I just don’t know how that would work exactly – how would the announcers compare players throughout the coverage?

    • Christian

      Jul 30, 2018 at 12:33 pm

      average strokes per hole?

      • Scott

        Jul 30, 2018 at 1:32 pm

        Average stokes per hole? LOL . That would be like watching a stock ticker.

  17. Travis

    Jul 29, 2018 at 10:57 am

    Interesting article, but our game is based on a score and over/under par is part of that. You can ignore it or downplay the significance but it’s still the core of the game…

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Opinion & Analysis

The Wedge Guy: What really makes a wedge work? Part 1

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Of all the clubs in our bags, wedges are almost always the simplest in construction and, therefore, the easiest to analyze what might make one work differently from another if you know what to look for.

Wedges are a lot less mysterious than drivers, of course, as the major brands are working with a lot of “pixie dust” inside these modern marvels. That’s carrying over more to irons now, with so many new models featuring internal multi-material technologies, and almost all of them having a “badge” or insert in the back to allow more complex graphics while hiding the actual distribution of mass.

But when it comes to wedges, most on the market today are still single pieces of molded steel, either cast or forged into that shape. So, if you look closely at where the mass is distributed, it’s pretty clear how that wedge is going to perform.

To start, because of their wider soles, the majority of the mass of almost any wedge is along the bottom third of the clubhead. So, the best wedge shots are always those hit between the 2nd and 5th grooves so that more mass is directly behind that impact. Elite tour professionals practice incessantly to learn to do that consistently, wearing out a spot about the size of a penny right there. If impact moves higher than that, the face is dramatically thinner, so smash factor is compromised significantly, which reduces the overall distance the ball will fly.

Every one of us, tour players included, knows that maddening shot that we feel a bit high on the face and it doesn’t go anywhere, it’s not your fault.

If your wedges show a wear pattern the size of a silver dollar, and centered above the 3rd or 4th groove, you are not getting anywhere near the same performance from shot to shot. Robot testing proves impact even two to three grooves higher in the face can cause distance loss of up to 35 to 55 feet with modern ‘tour design’ wedges.

In addition, as impact moves above the center of mass, the golf club principle of gear effect causes the ball to fly higher with less spin. Think of modern drivers for a minute. The “holy grail” of driving is high launch and low spin, and the driver engineers are pulling out all stops to get the mass as low in the clubhead as possible to optimize this combination.

Where is all the mass in your wedges? Low. So, disregarding the higher lofts, wedges “want” to launch the ball high with low spin – exactly the opposite of what good wedge play requires penetrating ball flight with high spin.

While almost all major brand wedges have begun putting a tiny bit more thickness in the top portion of the clubhead, conventional and modern ‘tour design’ wedges perform pretty much like they always have. Elite players learn to hit those crisp, spinny penetrating wedge shots by spending lots of practice time learning to consistently make contact low in the face.

So, what about grooves and face texture?

Grooves on any club can only do so much, and no one has any material advantage here. The USGA tightly defines what we manufacturers can do with grooves and face texture, and modern manufacturing techniques allow all of us to push those limits ever closer. And we all do. End of story.

Then there’s the topic of bounce and grinds, the most complex and confusing part of the wedge formula. Many top brands offer a complex array of sole configurations, all of them admittedly specialized to a particular kind of lie or turf conditions, and/or a particular divot pattern.

But if you don’t play the same turf all the time, and make the same size divot on every swing, how would you ever figure this out?

The only way is to take any wedge you are considering and play it a few rounds, hitting all the shots you face and observing the results. There’s simply no other way.

So, hopefully this will inspire a lively conversation in our comments section, and I’ll chime in to answer any questions you might have.

And next week, I’ll dive into the rest of the wedge formula. Yes, shafts, grips and specifications are essential, too.

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Golf's Perfect Imperfections

Golf’s Perfect Imperfections: Amazing Session with Performance Coach Savannah Meyer-Clement

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In this week’s episode, we spent some time with performance coach Savannah Meyer-Clement who provides many useful insights that you’ll be able to implement on the golf course.

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19th Hole

Vincenzi’s 2024 RBC Heritage betting preview: Patrick Cantlay ready to get back inside winner’s circle

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Just a two-hour drive from Augusta National, the PGA TOUR heads to Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, S.C. Hilton Head Island is a golfer’s paradise and Harbour Town is one of the most beautiful and scenic courses on the PGA TOUR.

Harbour Town Golf Links is a par-71 that measures 7,121 yards and features Bermuda grass greens. A Pete Dye design, the course is heavily tree lined and features small greens and many dog legs, protecting it from “bomb-and-gauge” type golfers.

The field is loaded this week with 69 golfers with no cut. Last year was quite possibly the best field in RBC Heritage history and the event this week is yet another designated event, meaning there is a $20 million prize pool.

Most of the big names on the PGA Tour will be in attendance this week with the exceptions of Hideki Matsuyama and Viktor Hovland. Additionally, Webb Simpson, Shane Lowry, Gary Woodland and Kevin Kisner have been granted sponsors exemptions. 

Past Winners at Harbour Town

  • 2023: Matt Fitzpatrick (-17)
  • 2022: Jordan Spieth (-13)
  • 2021: Stewart Cink (-19)
  • 2020: Webb Simpson (-22)
  • 2019: CT Pan (-12)
  • 2018: Sotoshi Kodaira (-12)
  • 2017: Wesley Bryan (-13)
  • 2016: Branden Grace (-9)
  • 2015: Jim Furyk (-18)

In this article and going forward, I’ll be using the Rabbit Hole by Betsperts Golf data engine to develop my custom model. If you want to build your own model or check out all of the detailed stats, you can sign up using promo code: MATTVIN for 25% off any subscription package (yearly is best value).

Key Stats For Harbour Town

Let’s take a look at key metrics for Harbour Town Golf Links to determine which golfers boast top marks in each category over their past 24 rounds.

Strokes Gained: Approach

Strokes Gained: Approach is exceedingly important this week. The greens at Harbour Town are about half the size of PGA TOUR average and feature the second-smallest greens on the tour. Typical of a Pete Dye design, golfers will pay the price for missed greens.

Total SG: Approach Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Scottie Scheffler (+1.27)
  2. Tom Hoge (+1.27)
  3. Corey Conners (+1.16)
  4. Austin Eckroat (+0.95)
  5. Cameron Young (+0.93)

Good Drive %

The fairways at Harbour Town are tree lined and feature many dog legs. Bombers tend to struggle at the course because it forces layups and doesn’t allow long drivers to overpower it. Accuracy is far more important than power.

Good Drive % Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Brice Garnett (88.8%)
  2. Shane Lowry (+87.2%)
  3. Akshay Bhatia (+86.0%)
  4. Si Woo Kim (+85.8%)
  5. Sepp Straka (+85.1%)

Strokes Gained: Total at Pete Dye Designs

Pete Dye specialists tend to play very well at Harbour Town. Si Woo Kim, Matt Kuchar, Jim Furyk and Webb Simpson are all Pete Dye specialists who have had great success here. It is likely we see some more specialists near the top of the leaderboard this week.

SG: TOT Pete Dye per round over past 36 rounds:

  1. Xander Schauffele (+2.27)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+2.24)
  3. Ludvig Aberg (+2.11)
  4. Brian Harman (+1.89)
  5. Sungjae Im (+1.58)

4. Strokes Gained: Short Game (Bermuda)

Strokes Gained: Short Game factors in both around the green and putting. With many green-side bunkers and tricky green complexes, both statistics will be important. Past winners — such as Jim Furyk, Wes Bryan and Webb Simpson — highlight how crucial the short game skill set is around Harbour Town.

SG: SG Over Past 24 Rounds

  1. Jordan Spieth (+1.11)
  2. Taylor Moore (+1.02)
  3. Wyndham Clark (+0.98)
  4. Mackenzie Hughes (+0.86)
  5. Andrew Putnam (+0.83)

5. Greens in Regulation %

The recipe for success at Harbour Town Golf Links is hitting fairways and greens. Missing either will prove to be consequential — golfers must be in total control of the ball to win.

Greens in Regulation % over past 24 rounds:

  1. Brice Garnett (+75.0%)
  2. Scottie Scheffler (+69.9%)
  3. Corey Conners (+69.0%)
  4. Shane Lowry (+68.3%)
  5. Patrick Rodgers (+67.6%)

6. Course History

Harbour Town is a course where players who have strong past results at the course always tend to pop up. 

Course History over past 24 rounds:

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+2.34)
  2. Cam Davis (+2.05)
  3. J.T. Poston (+1.69)
  4. Justin Rose (+1.68)
  5. Tommy Fleetwood (+1.59)

The RBC Heritage Model Rankings

Below, I’ve compiled overall model rankings using a combination of the five key statistical categories previously discussed — SG: Approach (24%), Good Drives (20%), SG: SG (14%), SG: Pete Dye (14%), GIR (14%), and Course History (14%)

  1. Shane Lowry
  2. Russell Henley
  3. Scottie Scheffler
  4. Xander Schauffele
  5. Corey Conners 
  6. Wyndham Clark
  7. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  8. Matt Fitzpatrick
  9. Cameron Young
  10. Ludvig Aberg 

2024 RBC Heritage Picks

Patrick Cantlay +2000 (FanDuel)

With the exception of Scottie Scheffler, the PGA Tour has yet to have any of their star players show peak form during the 2024 season. Last week, Patrick Cantlay, who I believe is a top-5 players on the PGA Tour, took one step closer to regaining the form that’s helped him win eight events on Tour since 2017.

Cantlay limped into the Masters in poor form, but figured it out at Augusta National, finishing in a tie for 20th and ranking 17th for the week in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. The former FedEx Cup champion will now head to one of his favorite golf courses in Harbour Town, where he’s had immaculate results over the years. In his six trips to the course, he’s only finished worse than 7th one time. The other finishes include three third places (2017, 2019, 2023) and one runner-up finish (2022). In his past 36 rounds at Harbour Town, Cantlay ranks 1st in Strokes Gained: Total per round at the course by a wide margin (+2.36).

Cantlay is winless since the 2022 BMW Championship, which is far too long for a player of his caliber. With signs pointing to the 32-year-old returning to form, a “signature event” at Harbour Town is just what he needs to get back on the winning track.

Tommy Fleetwood +3000 (FanDuel)

I truly believe Tommy Fleetwood will figure out a way to win on American soil in 2024. It’s certainly been a bugaboo for him throughout his career, but he is simply too talented to go another season without winning a PGA Tour event.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, Fleetwood made a Sunday charge and ended up finishing T3 in the event, which was his best ever finish at The Masters. For the week, the Englishman ranked 8th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 10th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking and 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is a perfect layout for Fleetwood, and he’s had relative success at this Pete Dye design in the past.  In his four trips to the course, he’s finished inside of the top 25 three times, with his best finish, T10, coming in 2022. The course is pretty short and can’t be overpowered, which gives an advantage to more accurate players such as Fleetwood. Tommy ranks 8th in the field in Good Drive % and should be able to plot his way along this golf course.

The win is coming for Tommy lad. I believe there’s a chance this treasure of a golf course may be the perfect one for him to finally break through on Tour.

Cameron Young +3300 (FanDuel)

Cameron Young had a solid Masters Tournament last week, which is exactly what I’m looking for in players who I anticipate playing well this week at the RBC Heritage. He finished in a tie for 9th, but never felt the pressure of contending in the event. For the week, Young ranked 6th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and 6th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Despite being one of the longest players off the tee on the PGA Tour, Young has actually played some really good golf on shorter tracks. He finished T3 at Harbour Town in 2023 and ranks 20th in the field in Good Drive% and 16th in Greens in Regulation in his past 24 rounds. He also has strong finishes at other shorter courses that can take driver out of a players hand such as Copperhead and PGA National.

Young is simply one of the best players on the PGA Tour in 2024, and I strongly believe has what it takes to win a PGA Tour event in the very near future.

Corey Conners +5500 (FanDuel)

Corey Conners has had a disappointing year thus far on the PGA Tour, but absolutely loves Harbour Town.

At last week’s Masters Tournament, the Canadian finished T30 but ranked 20th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach. In his past 24 rounds, Conners ranks 3rd in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach, 3rd in Greens in Regulation % and 24th in Good Drive %.

In Conners’ last four trips to Harbour Town, his worst finish was T31, last season. He finished T4 in 2021, T12 in 2022 and ranks 8th in Strokes Gained: Total at the course over his past 36 rounds.

Conners hasn’t been contending, but his recent finishes have been encouraging as he has finished in the top-25 in each of his past three starts prior to The Masters, including an impressive T13 at The PLAYERS. His recent improvement in ball striking as well as his suitability for Harbour Town makes Conners a high upside bet this week.

Shane Lowry (+7500) (FanDuel)

When these odds were posted after Lowry was announced in the field, I have to admit I was pretty stunned. Despite not offering much win equity on the PGA Tour over the last handful of years, Shane Lowry is still a top caliber player who has the ability to rise to the top of a signature event.

Lowry struggled to score at The Masters last week, but he actually hit the ball really well. The Irishman ranked 1st for Strokes Gained: Approach on the week and 7th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking. As usual, it was the putter that let him down, as he ranked 60th in the field in Strokes Gained: Putting.

Harbour Town is most definitely one of Lowry’s favorite courses on the PGA Tour. In his six starts there, he’s finished in the top 10 three times, including third twice. Lowry is sensational at Pete Dye designs and ranks 7th in Strokes Gained: Total in his past 36 rounds on Dye tracks. 

Lowry is perfect for Harbour Town. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 5th in Strokes Gained: Approach, 2nd in Good Drive% and 5th in Green in Regulation %. If he figures it out on the greens, Shane could have his first win in America since 2015.

Lucas Glover +12000 (FanDuel)

This is one of my weekly “bet the number” plays as I strongly believe the odds are just too long for a player of Glover’s caliber. The odds have been too long on Glover for a few weeks now, but this is the first event that I can get behind the veteran being able to actually contend at. 

Glover is quietly playing good golf and returning to the form he had after the understandable regression after his two massive victories at the end of 2023. He finished T20 at The Masters, which was his best ever finish at Augusta National. For the week, Lucas ranked 18th for Strokes Gained: Approach and 20th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking.

Over his past 24 rounds, Glover ranks 9th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 13th in Good Drive %. Harbour Town is a short course that the 44-year-old will be able to keep up with the top players on Tour off the tee. He’s played the course more than 20 times, with mixed results. His best finishes at Harbour Town include a T7 in 2008, but recently has a finish of T21 in 2020.

Glover has proven he can contend with the stars of the Tour on any given week, and this number is flat out disrespectful.

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