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19th Hole

Players Championship Odds: Who’s the smart money on?

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As a complement to Gianni Magliocco’s Players Championship fantasy preview, we’re happy to present the GolfWRX community a few thoughts on the fifth major from the sharps at Top Market Sports.

The Players is a notoriously difficult tournament to handicap. An extremely strong field, a course that can get penal in a hurry–and one that’s designed to avoid favoring any one type of golfer–can lead to some surprising ejections…and surprising winners.

Here are some thoughts on where to spend your money this week, courtesy of Top Market Sports.

Betting prop to consider

Mickelson Won’t Make Cut +310 – We’re going to sell Lefty here. He hasn’t missed a cut since the CareerBuilder and the performance in Mexico was sick. There’s no doubt about it…he’s firing on all cylinders right now. But Phil is a certified magnet for public money. That phenomenon will only be enhanced the first two days because he’s playing alongside Tiger. We just think that with some of the changes to the setup, he’s going to have his creative juices flowing. And that could make it an all-or-nothing week for him. At better than 3/1 it’s worth fading him for a couple bucks. Our in-house handicapping number has it in the +275 area.

Two futures to consider

Luke List 80/1 – If he misses the cut and we end up burning this ticket Friday afternoon, we’re ok with that. With as “big” as this tournament is, Vegas could be undervaluing guys who don’t have a PGA Tour win. A price like this says that an event with as much cache as The Players won’t be a place someone breaks through. We’ll take the other side of that. All due respect to this amazing tournament, it’s not a major. And until the golf futures markets start expecting the unexpected, we’re of the core belief that spots like these offer value. Banging an 80/1 ticket can provide a life changing boost to your bankroll. (*note List is 66-1 at Bovada below, other books have him higher)

Rickie Fowler 18/1 – The video of his 4-putt from 19 feet at Quail went viral on social media. That doesn’t change the fact that he’s got the hands-down purest putting stroke in the world. Never rattled, we’d be surprised if the World No. 6 doesn’t have one of the later tee times on Sunday. Of the favorites, Fowler’s your best bet. He’s the sixth favorite behind Day 13/1, Thomas 13/1, Spieth 14/1, McIlroy 15/1, and DJ 15/1. We’d be happy to back Fowler heads-up at plus money versus any of those guys this week…and we most likely will be in daily matchups. Even if he doesn’t close, it’s tough to envision a situation where he doesn’t at least threaten to win at some point. So an added benefit of this ticket is the opportunity to hedge out of some of it as the tournament progresses.

Check out Top Market Sports for more insight and round-by-round matchup bets. 

Full 2018 Players Championship odds below, c/o Bovada

Odds as of May 8 

  • Rory McIlroy +1400
  • Jason Day +1400
  • Justin Thomas +1400
  • Jordan Spieth +1400
  • Dustin Johnson +1800
  • Rickie Fowler +1800
  • Jon Rahm +2200
  • Henrik Stenson +2800
  • Justin Rose +3000
  • Paul Casey +3300
  • Phil Mickelson +3300
  • Tiger Woods +3300
  • Sergio Garcia +3500
  • Patrick Reed +3500
  • Hideki Matsuyama +4000
  • Bryson DeChambeau +4000
  • Tommy Fleetwood +5000
  • Alex Noren +5000
  • Patrick Cantlay +5000
  • Bubba Watson +6600
  • Kevin Kisner +6600
  • Marc Leishman +6600
  • Matt Kuchar +6600
  • Francesco Molinari +6600
  • Cameron Smith +6600
  • Ian Poulter +6600
  • Tony Finau +6600
  • Emiliano Grillo +6600
  • Billy Horschel +6600
  • Luke List +6600
  • Zach Johnson +6600
  • Louis Oosthuizen +7500
  • Si Woo Kim +7500
  • Brooks Koepka +8000
  • Branden Grace +8000
  • Chesson Hadley +8000
  • Webb Simpson +8000
  • Adam Hadwin +8000
  • Daniel Berger +10000
  • Rafael Cabrera Bello +10000
  • Tyrrell Hatton +10000
  • Kyle Stanley +10000
  • Russell Henley +10000
  • Charl Schwartzel +10000
  • Adam Scott +12500
  • Brian Harman +12500
  • Brandt Snedeker +12500
  • Xander Schauffele +12500
  • Kevin Chappell +12500
  • Brendan Steele +12500
  • Charley Hoffman +12500
  • Nick Watney +12500
  • Kevin Streelman +12500
  • Byeong Hun An +15000
  • Jimmy Walker +15000
  • Pat Perez +15000
  • Ryan Moore +15000
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +15000
  • Chris Kirk +15000
  • Gary Woodland +15000
  • Beau Hossler +15000
  • Russell Knox +15000
  • Scott Piercy +17500
  • Kevin Na +20000
  • Sean O’Hair +20000
  • Jason Dufner +20000
  • J.B. Holmes +20000
  • Kiradech Aphibarnrat +20000
  • Martin Kaymer +20000
  • Martin Laird +20000
  • Ollie Schniederjans +20000
  • Shane Lowry +20000
  • Charles Howell III +20000
  • Austin Cook +20000
  • Chez Reavie +20000
  • David Lingmerth +20000
  • Harris English +20000
  • Patrick Rodgers +20000
  • Patton Kizzire +20000
  • Ryan Palmer +20000
  • Trey Mullinax +20000
  • William McGirt +20000
  • James Hahn +22500
  • Steve Stricker +25000
  • Bill Haas +25000
  • Bud Cauley +25000
  • Hao Tong Li +25000
  • Keegan Bradley +25000
  • Lucas Glover +25000
  • Ross Fisher +25000
  • Satoshi Kodaira +25000
  • Alexander Levy +25000
  • Ben Martin +25000
  • Brice Garnett +25000
  • Chris Stroud +25000
  • Jason Kokrak +25000
  • Jhonattan Vegas +25000
  • John Huh +25000
  • Grayson Murray +30000
  • Jamie Lovemark +30000
  • Rory Sabbatini +30000
  • Andrew Landry +30000
  • Anirban Lahiri +30000
  • Blayne Barber +30000
  • C.T. Pan +30000
  • Danny Lee +30000
  • Geoff Ogilvy +30000
  • Hudson Swafford +30000
  • J.J. Spaun +30000
  • Kelly Kraft +30000
  • Scott Brown +30000
  • Scott Stallings +30000
  • Jonas Blixt +35000
  • Kevin Tway +35000
  • Tom Hoge +35000
  • Brian Gay +40000
  • Chad Campbell +40000
  • Michael Kim +40000
  • Michael Thompson +40000
  • Ryan Armour +40000
  • Stewart Cink +40000
  • Ted Potter Jr. +40000
  • Wesley Bryan +40000
  • Brandon Harkins +50000
  • Martin Flores +50000
  • D.A. Points +50000
  • Danny Willett +50000
  • Derek Fathauer +50000
  • Dominic Bozzelli +50000
  • Harold Varner III +50000
  • J.J. Henry +50000
  • Mackenzie Hughes +50000
  • Nick Taylor +50000
  • Richy Werenski +50000
  • Robert Garrigus +50000
  • Robert Streb +50000
  • Rod Pampling +50000
  • Ryan Blaum +50000
  • Scott McCarron +50000
  • Sung Kang +50000
  • Tyrone Van Aswegen +50000
  • Vaughn Taylor +50000
  • Whee Kim +50000
  • Cody Gribble +75000
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19th Hole

Ricky Barnes DQd at the Byron Nelson

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Ricky Barnes took a trip to Dairy Queen at the AT&T Byron Nelson. Barnes was disqualified following his second round 1-over 72. He signed for a three at the par-4 sixth hole, when in fact he had made a par.

Ultimately, he won’t rue his impromptu trip to get a Blizzard: Barnes was 3 over and was in no danger of making the cut.

Because this is the world we live in, Barnes apparently found out about the DQ via LuckyTrout Golf Pool on Twitter.

Of course, no scorecard error will ever top “What a stupid I am,” Roberto De Vicenzo signing for 66 when he shot 65, handing the green jacket to Bob Goalby at the 1968 Masters. Such an unfortunate legacy for a man who won hundreds of tournaments around the world.

Also unfortunate: Ricky Barnes is on the way for being remembered as a man who never lived up to the promise he showed at that same tournament, The Masters, as an amateur.

Let’s hope that changes.

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19th Hole

WATCH/LOOK AWAY: Jordan Spieth misses a 15-inch putt

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Aren’t you glad there isn’t video of all the 15-inch putts you’ve missed? I certainly am.

Unfortunately for Jordan Spieth, his failed attempt from little more than a foot at the Byron Nelson was captured on video, and it will exist on the internet for all eternity.

Spieth, who has struggled with the flatstick lately, stood over a short par putt at the par-4 15th hole, and well…

Spieth is currently 183rd on the PGA Tour this season in strokes gained: putting, losing .412 strokes per round to the field on the greens.

But at least he hit the hole, right?

Here’s the offending weapon: Spieth’s trusty Scotty Cameron 009.

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19th Hole

GolfWRX members debate: What should the World Golf Hall of Fame criteria be?

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There have been a couple of controversial inclusions on the World Golf Hall of Fame. This isn’t to rehash, say, Fred Couples earning a spot, but rather, take a look at entry criteria.

More specifically, GolfWRX member playar32 writes

“I know the actual criteria is 15 tour wins, or 2 majors/Players championship. But what’s YOUR minimum?…For example, if a player won a “B” tournament every year (the one opposite a WGC event), every year in a row for 15 years, but missed the cut in every other event, would you still considered them HOF?”

It’s an interesting point. Specifically, the World Golf Hall of Fame criteria for an active male golfer is as follows.

“A player must have a cumulative total of 15 or more official victories on any of the original members of the International Federation of PGA Tours (PGA TOUR, European Tour, Japan Golf Tour, Sunshine Tour, Asian Tour and PGA of Australasia) OR at least two victories among the following events: The Masters, THE PLAYERS Championship, the U.S. Open, The Open Championship and the PGA Championship.”

Further, a player must be at least 50 or five years removed from competition.

Here are some other WRX members’ takes.

Bladehunter says

“15 tour wins and 2 majors for me. Otherwise almost every 1 major winner out there is in.”

McCann1 says

“If we won’t remember your name without the HOF in 50 years I think you shouldn’t be in.”

Fowlerscousin says

“If any of these three criteria are met: 3 or more majors. Minimum 5 Ryder cup appearances. 15 tour victories.”

Hawkeye77 says

“Whatever the criteria are, don’t ever think about it unless someone whose speech I want to hear gets in.’

Golfer929 has more stringent standards

“20 Wins. 3 Majors. 2 Ryder Cup/President Cup appearances. 100 total weeks inside Top 50 OWGR.”

Golfgirlrobin says

“I’d like to see them go to some sort of point system like the LPGA uses. Factor in everything that’s important and let the chips fall where they may.”

You’ll want to check out the rest of what GolfWRX members have to say in the thread.

There are a ton off questions to consider when thinking about which current/recent players should make the HoF.

A few…

1. Should the standards be on par with other sports? If so, what does that look like?
2. If the WGHOF should be more/less stringent, why?
3. How important are major victories? Why two and not three?
4. Why 15 wins and not 10? Or 20?

All important questions, and ones which the golf fans of the world should be able to weigh in on, rather than merely a selection committee of 16 people.

Let us know what you think, GolfWRX members!

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