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Fantasy Cheat Sheet: WGC-Bridgestone Invitational

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The end is near.

With Firestone hosting this week’s limited field World Golf Championship-Bridgestone Invitational, and Reno, Nev., hosting the Barracuda Championship, it marks the second to last non-major tournament prior to the FedEx Cup playoffs.

After this week, golf will shift to Valhalla in Kentucky for the PGA Championship and then the top-125 in the FedEx Cup standings will slide over to North Carolina for the Wyndham Championship. There’s not a whole lot of time to make a move, so the finishes on display this week will have significant repercussions on the overall standings. And a hot run of play starting Thursday is enough to carry someone through, all the way to the TOUR Championship in Atlanta.

I won’t go into details on the Barracuda Championship, won last year by Gary Woodland, but feel free to discuss in the comments below or fire away to me on Twitter.

As for the premier event, the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational has no cut and that’s noteworthy since daily fantasy leaguers won’t miss out on points unless someone just tosses out a dud of a round.

At 7,400 yards, Firestone’s par-70 South course is a challenge, and it’s been one met handily by those that can score on the par-5s and birdie the limited opportunities provided on the par-4s.

Let’s break down the field trying to tackle “The Monster” a little bit further for fantasy purposes in this week’s edition of Risk, Reward, Ruin.

RISK

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There’s a name in the mix this week that will be impossible to shake as you pull up past leaderboards: Tiger Woods. That’s because he’s won at Firestone eight times in his career, is the defending WGC-Bridgestone champion and has made over $11 million in his lifetime on the course. But just because someone’s track record is good does that make them a front runner. It’s not too late to have a good week and spark things, but you’d hope there have been at least a few signs of life in that golfer’s game to validate a selection. If they’ve struggled all year, they’re probably not going to suddenly turn it around this week. For daily leaguers, you can get away with being riskier. Here’s five to show trepidation over this week.

Tiger Woods

It sure is weird to start with Woods as a risk when mentioning Firestone, but given how he’s owned Bay Hill in his career and didn’t challenge there because of rust, it’s likely wiser to slot him here. Make no mistake, Firestone fits his eye, and when you’re waiting for your game to come back around, a comfortable setting where you know what to expect could be just what the doctor ordered. Really, Tiger just needs to play and he gets four rounds to do so this week. You saw the 3-under start he had at The Open, so he’s more than capable. From day to day is where it will change. He’s probably more of a Day 2-4 start than on Day 1.

Jim Furyk

JimFuryk

It’s not that Furyk isn’t worthy of being a top choice, but when you can’t close out tournaments with a 54-hole lead, well, your value does diminish. And in the case of last week’s missed opportunity at the RBC Canadian Open, Furyk has yet another blown win to contend with in his mind. Still a model of consistency, Furyk has seven top-10s this year and has four rounds to play any bad out of his thoughts. He has a T9, T2 and T6 finishes in three of his last four starts at Firestone.

Jason Dufner

With four top-10s and six top-25s in 15 starts, Dufner hasn’t been bad, but he hasn’t been great either. But this is also the time of year when he seems to play his best golf. He tied for fourth last year after entering in similar form, then went on to win the PGA Championship the next week. Dufner also finished solo seventh in 2012, but those are his only two starts so we don’t yet know whether this is a standing pattern for him or just a bit of luck at the right time. With no cut, it’s a decent gamble.

Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki+Matsuyama+Sony+Open+Previews+fndrtbc5Roil

Matsuyama made his debut at Firestone last year and finished T21, shooting 72-68-70-71. What’s nice this year is he’s begun displaying what had been captivating people and called to attention his big talent. A win at the Memorial at the beginning of June highlighted his ascension. He has four top-10s and nine top-25s this season. What I like for this course is he is sixth on tour in par-5 scoring and fifth in birdie average, making him tantalizing in a no-cut situation.

Martin Kaymer

Kaymer underwhelmed at The Open, but he’s otherwise been handing out beatings when matched up with the world’s best. With a T9 last year as he returned to form in his golf game, I find no reason to believe he won’t be better this year. This year’s PLAYERS and U.S. Open champion has been stellar on approach, especially from longer distances. That should match well this week at Firestone, where his putting stroke is reminiscent of Woods’ last year, when he didn’t need par-5 scoring to win.

REWARD

World Cup Of Golf: Day 3

There’s a lot of good golfers in the field and Yahoo A is particularly stacked with plenty of good options. With no cut, margins get tighter and a risk can play like a reward and vice versa. If you expect something stellar, that’s when you usually wind up disappointed. But the proven track records at Firestone is what carries these golfers through, if not their proven elite level of play. Well, for several anyways. One thing you can’t shy away from is a hot golfer or one motivated by things like making the Ryder Cup team. Here’s five strong selections this week that stand out.

Adam Scott

Still the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world, Scott will have to fend some good guys off to keep that title. The good news for him is he won the WGC-Bridgestone in 2011 and has T4, T9, and T5 finishes since he won the Crowne Plaza Invitational. Two of those top-10s are in majors. Scott tied for 14th last year, and in his winning year opened with a 62 and closed with a 65. He also has a T9 (’10) and there’s clearly nothing scary about Firestone to him, not when you rank third in birdie average and first in par-5 scoring.

Henrik Stenson

henrik-stenson-players-championship-2014-pga-tour-friday

Stenson’s run to a FedEx Cup title last year started with a solo second at The Open and ran smack dab into a T2 at Firestone. While he enters off a T39 from Hoylake, he also has a T4 at the U.S. Open in his last start on American soil. Solid on approach, Stenson needs some work on the greens, but finds a way to score. Best of all, he capitalizes on par-5s, ranking second on Tour behind Scott in birdies in that department.

Ryan Moore

Arguably the hottest golfer in the fielder, Moore enters having posted T5, T7 and T12 finishes in his last three starts. He ranks seventh in GIR and is getting it done with par-4 scoring. His par-5s lead something to be desired, but it doesn’t mean he won’t convert. During his tournament at TPC River Highlands, he made two eagles, two birdies and no bogeys on the par-5s. Moore opened with a 66 last year before fading, in 2011 posted 66-66 to start before going above par, and in ’10 finished T16. Decent track record meets hot streak, which bodes well for Moore this week.

Keegan Bradley

keegan-bradley-pga-quicken-loans-national-second-round-850x560

Only two starts for Bradley at Firestone. One is a win in 2012 and the other is a T2 last year. Is this a course that suits his eye and game? I don’t know how to answer that question other than to say he’s motivated to win now and claim a Ryder Cup spot. Enters having finished T4 at The Greenbrier and T19 at The Open, and Bradley has 11 top-25s on the season. Scores well on par-4s and par-5s, but has been undone by touch around the green. I’m inclined to believe he likes the South course and will put up a good number.

Rory McIlroy

Oh, did you think I’d leave McIlroy out? No way. Coming off his British Open win, the No. 2 golfer in the world wants to overtake Scott and little if anything in his game is off. One more win and he’s probably the player of the year given he’s seven top-10s already. He’s played Firestone five times and has three top-10s– T5, T6, T9– to boast of. Even when he was off last year he finished in the upper half of the field (T27). I’m not sure how you keep him out of your lineup at this point except if you’re running low on starts or need to be very risky this week. He’s second in par-4 birdies and fourth on par-5s with the distance and accuracy to keep on rolling.

RUIN

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In a small field, there are bound to be those that just struggle due to the weight of the competition. And then there also those that could get beat up a bit by Firestone’s length. You can’t go wrong with those names you just know will compete or score at some point, but hampering your lineup with guys who have yet to show consistency is a good way to drop points in a week where everyone should be bunched together. Here’s five I don’t like this week.

Russell Henley

Henley is in the field on the strength of his playoff win at the Honda Classic in March, but he’s also missed 11 cuts this year. His last nine tournaments consist of six missed cuts and only five rounds in his last 25 have been shot in the 60s. Henley enters off a 75-80 MC at The Open to play a course where he shot 72-69-75-66 in his debut. That was a bit erratic for a guy who was in much better form in his rookie year. He’s also not scoring on par-5s and has more work to do off the tee to get in position for birdies.

Luke Donald

Luke

Donald is easily one of the shortest hitters on Tour and is scuffling a bit late. He missed the cut at the U.S. Open, T64 at The Open and missed the cut last week in Canada. Donald has T9, T8 and T2 finishes in his last three tries at Firestone, so this can seem like a stretch for inclusion, but I still think he’s going to get swallowed up by the course this time. Right now, he’s 170th in driving distance, 129th in GIR and 164th in par-4 birdies. If he’s not scoring on those tighter tracks, he’s not going to do it here.

Brian Harman

Harman is like a lesser Luke Donald. While he got his first win at the John Deere Classic, that was hardly the test this will be, especially stacked up against this field. Ranking 114th in par-5 birdies, he’s going to need to be excellent in every aspect of his game and nail a lot of putts in order to get in the top 25 in his debut. The upside for picking him this week just isn’t there.

Matt Every

matt-every-bay-hill-2014-pga-tour-thurs

We haven’t heard much from every in a while, not since he won the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He put up four MC’s and a WD in the six weeks after that win before finding a T3 in Memphis. Then he promptly missed the cut, went T39 at Congressional and finished 71st at The Open. This is also his debut year, so there will be a learning curve. While he ranks first in strokes gained putting, he’s 133rd in driving distance, 155th in driving accuracy, 103rd in GIR and needs work on par-4s. He’ll probably settle in around 40th for this tournament, but that won’t get it done in fantasy circles.

Jonas Blixt

Blixt’s tie for second at The Masters is beginning to look more and more like a stroke of luck every day. He has four missed cuts in six starts on the PGA Tour since. His Euro golf was fine, except for an MC at The Open. He got to play Firestone last year on the strength of his Greenbrier win and finished back of the back after rounds of 70-75-73-72. With nine total cuts missed this year, driving accuracy that ranks 160th, a greens in regulation rank of 144th and a definite struggler on scoring in general, Blixt should be off your radar for fantasy purposes.

This just hasn’t been my year for picking the best daily rounds. And I’m finding I’ve got a bad case of the Furyks. Despite having the exact same lineup as my nearest challenger for the RBC Canadian Open, I lost 60 points from my overall lead and now have just a 50-point cushion. I need the bleeding to stop to hold this 54-hole lead, hence my picks suggest a bit of a change from the chalk mentality in order to find something lost. If you’d like to discuss the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational or the Barracuda Championship, you can comment below or find me on Twitter @bricmiller. Best of luck on your week and as always thanks for reading!

This week’s picks

Yahoo!

Group A: A. Scott (S), H. Stenson

Group B: R. McIlroy (S), M. Kaymer (S), H. Matsuyama, K. Bradley

Group C: L. Oosthuizen (S), V. Dubuisson

(Last week: 140 points; Summer segment: 741; Summer rank: 34,804; Season points: 4,507; Full Season rank: 3,195 – 95th percentile)

PGATour.com

H. Stenson, M. Kaymer, R. Moore, H. Matsuyama

(Last week: 375 points; Season: 7,653; Rank: 3,607)

Golf Channel

WGC-Bridgestone Invitational

Group 1: H. Stenson

Group 2: K. Bradley

Group 3: R. Moore

Group 4: L. Oosthuizen

(Last week: $26,980; Season: $13,963,162; Mulligan: $26,980; Rank: 8,916 of 40,868)

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Brian Miller is a sports writer of over eight years and his work has appeared in the Chicago Sun-Times, Miami Herald and Tallahassee Democrat. He's a fantasy golf nut and his golf novel will be published in spring 2014. You may find him on Twitter @bricmiller.

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. Pingback: Fantasy Cheat Sheet: WGC-Bridgestone Invitational | Spacetimeandi.com

  2. Troy Vayanos

    Jul 29, 2014 at 4:32 pm

    Adam Scott and Rory McIlroy for me. Both in great form and have performed over this layout before.

    Looking forward to the tournament!

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News

Morning 9: Rory: I’m not joining LIV | Masters ratings | Nelly: We just need a stage

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By Ben Alberstadt with Gianni Magliocco.

For comments: [email protected]

Good Wednesday morning, golf fans, as we gear up to this week’s RBC Heritage.

1. Rory: I’m not going to LIV

ESPN’s Mark Schlabach…McIlroy said neither he nor his agents have ever discussed a potential deal to lure him to the LIV Golf League, which is being financed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF).

  • “I honestly don’t know how these things get started,” McIlroy told Golf Channel while on the practice range at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head, South Carolina, the site of this week’s RBC Heritage. “I’ve never been offered a number from LIV, and I’ve never contemplated going to LIV. Again, I think I’ve made it clear over the past two years that I don’t think it’s something for me.
  • “It doesn’t mean that I judge people who have went and played over there. I think one of the things that I have realized over the past two years is that people can make their own decisions for whatever they think is best for themselves, and who are we to judge them for that? But personally, for me, my future is here on the PGA Tour, and it’s never been any different.”
Full piece.

2. Masters ratings down

Yahoo’s Jay Busbee…”Ratings for the full Masters week are now out, and 2024’s version ranks as the lowest since the COVID-impacted years of 2020 and 2021. There was a brief moment when four players shared the lead at the 2024 Masters, but Scottie Scheffler took care of business quickly enough and strolled to what qualifies as an “easy” Masters victory — a four-stroke triumph that wasn’t in doubt for most of the second nine.”

  • “Perhaps as a result, Sunday’s final round averaged 9.59 million viewers on CBS, according to Sports Media Watch, a 22.8% decline from last year’s 12.06 million. Scheffler’s win two years ago averaged 10.17 million viewers. Worth noting: Sunday’s final round was down 20 percent against last year’s victory by Jon Rahm, but last year’s final round fell on Easter Sunday, which created a significantly higher out-of-home percentage of viewers — 21 percent in 2023, as opposed to 9 percent this year.”
Full piece.

3. Chevron gets purse boost

Golfweek’s Beth Ann Nichols…“Chevron’s commitment to the LPGA went a step higher on Tuesday with the announcement of a purse increase to $7.9 million in 2024. The move brings the tour’s first major in line with the purses of other championships. The U.S. Women’s Open purse of $12 million paces the tour, with the KPMG Women’s PGA second at $10 million. The AIG Women’s British Open purse checks in at $9 million while Amundi Evian is $6.5 million.”

  • “Chevron, which moved the event away from Mission Hills Country Club in Rancho Mirage, California, to Texas, last year, has increased the purse by $4.8 million since assuming title sponsorship in 2022. The company has committed to title sponsor the event through 2029.”
Full piece.

4. Shipley on “notegate”

Alex Myers for Golf Digest…”So what was up with “notegate”? During his hilarious spot with McAfee, Shipley reiterated there was no note from Woods, and that he was only looking at the moderator because he was so confused where the question was coming from:

  • “I looked over at the moderator like ‘Who the hell is this guy?'” Shipley says in the clip. “Because it just didn’t happen. I was so confused and so shocked in the moment.”
Full piece.

5. Nelly: We just need a stage

Iain Carter for the BBC…”Korda is the first American to win four consecutive tournaments on the LPGA since Lopez won five straight 46 years ago. This astonishing streak made the then rookie front page material for Sports Illustrated.

  • “Korda’s feats have yet to transcend the golfing village, and perhaps that suits her as she “tries to stay in my bubble”. But the American Solheim Cup player does recognise that more could be done to tell the increasingly compelling story of women’s golf.”
  • “I feel like we just need a stage,” she told reporters here at Carlton Woods just north of Houston. “We need to be put on TV.
  • “I feel like when it’s tape delay, or anything like that, that hurts our game. Women’s sports just needs a stage. If we have a stage we can show up and perform and show people what we’re all about.”
Full piece.

6. Photos from the 2024 RBC Heritage

  • Check out all of our galleries from this week’s event!
Full piece.
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Tour Photo Galleries

Photos from the 2024 RBC Heritage

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GolfWRX is on site this week at Harbour Town Golf Links on Hilton Head Island for the RBC Heritage. Plenty of golfers who competed in the Masters last week will be making the quick turnaround in the Lowcountry of South Carolina as the Heritage is again one of the Tour’s Signature Events.

We have general albums for you to check out, as well as plenty of WITBs — including Justin Thomas and Justin Rose.

We’ll continue to update as more photos flow in from SC.

Check out links to all our photos, below.

General Albums

WITB Albums

Pullout Albums

See what GolfWRXers are saying and join the discussion in the forums.

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Morning 9: Aberg: I want to be No. 1 | Rory’s management blasts ‘fake news’ reports

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By Ben Alberstadt with Gianni Magliocco.

For comments: [email protected]

Good Tuesday morning, golf fans, as we look back at the Masters while looking ahead to this week’s RBC Heritage.

1. Shane Ryan: Appreciate Scottie’s greatness

Golf Digest’s Shane Ryan…”This is what’s called generational talent, and we haven’t seen it in almost 20 years. Steve Stricker read the tea leaves when he picked Scheffler for the 2021 Ryder Cup—a decision that was richly rewarded—and starting in 2022, he was off to the races. The only hiccup was a few putting woes last year, but even that only served to highlight how remarkable his ball-striking had become—instead of winning, he was finishing third. When he fixed the putting, with help from a new coach and a bit of equipment advice from Rory McIlroy, he soared yet again to the top of the game, but this time he seemed more indomitable, more inevitable, more brilliant.”

  • “The sustained success of the last three years has officially made him the best professional golfer since Tiger Woods, a conclusion supported by analytics, the eye test, and every other metric you could dream up. With fewer majors, he has nevertheless leaped past Spieth, McIlroy, and Koepka in terms of pure ability. He doesn’t have their legacy, yet, but if we’re talking about peak performance, he’s already surpassed them.”
  • “He’s so much better than everyone else, which is a sentiment that is both commonplace—I saw it on Twitter over and over again—and revelatory. It’s the thing you say because there is nothing else to say. You’re left with the wild truth, which words can describe but never capture.”
Full piece.

2. Aberg: I want to be No. 1

The AFP’s Simon Evans…”The 24-year-old finished second, four strokes behind winner Scottie Scheffler, after carding a final round 69 but he certainly won many admirers among the patrons at Augusta National and beyond.”

  • “And his performance has filled Aberg with self-belief.”
  • “Everyone in my position, they are going to want to be major champions. They are going to want to be world number one, and it’s the same for me, that’s nothing different,” he said.
  • “It has been that way ever since I picked up a golf club, and that hasn’t changed. So I think this week solidifies a lot of those things are there, and we just need to keep doing those things and put ourselves in positions to win tournaments, ” he said.
Full piece.

3. Homa’s honest answer on double bogey

Golf Channel staff report…”But Homa’s tee shot at No. 12 bounded off the putting surface and into a bush. After a healthy search, Homa found his ball and had to take an unplayable lie. He made double bogey, effectively ending his bid at a maiden major title.”

  • “Homa tied for third, seven shots back of Scheffler. Asked about what happened on the fateful 9-iron, Homa offered two replies.”
  • “The honest answer is, it didn’t feel fair. I hit a really good golf shot, and it didn’t feel fair. I’ve seen far worse just roll back down the hill,” he said.
  • “The professional answer is, these things happen.”
Full piece.

4. Harbour Town ahead

RBC Heritage field notes, via Adam Stanley of PGATour.com…”Scottie Scheffler is, for now, set to tee it up at the RBC Heritage. He was clear to say that if his wife, Meredith, would go into labor during the Masters, he would head home to be with her, so it’s safe to assume that same rule will stand at Harbour Town. Scheffler has not shot an over-par round all season and has three victories (and one runner-up). He made his debut at Harbour Town last year and finished T11… Matt Fitzpatrick looks to become the first golfer to go back-to-back at the RBC Heritage since Boo Weekley in 2007-08. Fitzpatrick, a playoff victor last year, has two top-10 finishes this season. He has just one missed cut at Harbour Town over the last six years and he finished fourth in 2021 to go along with two more top-15 results in a three-year span (T14 in 2018 and 2020)…”

  • “Jordan Spieth is hoping to continue his run of fine play at Harbour Town after a playoff loss last season and a playoff win the season prior. Spieth has five top-25 finishes at the RBC Heritage in seven starts… Justin Thomas earned a spot in the field after remaining in the top 30 (he’s No. 30) in the Official World Golf Ranking despite a missed cut at the Masters. Thomas, who finished T25 last season at Harbour Town, has two top 10s on the season… Ludvig Åberg, who is tops in the Aon Next 10, will head to Hilton Head for the first time. Åberg has had a fabulous 2024 campaign thus far with four top 10s (including two runner-up results) and is knocking on the door for a victory… Hideki Matsuyama was the only eligible player who did not commit to the RBC Heritage, while Viktor Hovland – after a missed cut at the Masters – withdrew from the field on Saturday.”
Full piece.

5. Reed’s caddie’s needle

Our Matt Vincenzi…”After a particularly bad drive during his third round on Saturday, Reed’s caddie, Kessler Karain, also his brother-in-law, made a snide but factual comment to Patrick.”

  • “Your driving has cost us a lot this week,” Karain remarked.
  • “Reed didn’t disagree and told reporters after the round that there was nothing good about his round…
  • “A reporter then asked: “It’s a good thing he’s a family member, right?”
  • “Yeah, exactly. I’d probably be dragging him up that last hole,” Reed said. “I swear.Just what you want to hear as you’re looking at the ball in the tree, and he goes, ‘You need to drive it better.’ Thanks, Kessler. I appreciate it. Great words of wisdom. Drive it better.”
  • “This may be the last major for Reed for a while, as the 33-year-old has not been invited nor qualified for next month’s PGA Championship.”
Full piece.

6. LIV wants Hovland next?

Ewan Murray for the Guardian…”Rising speculation that Viktor Hovland will be the next high-profile golfer to be coaxed to the LIV tour will increase the need for Ryder Cup Europe to apply a simple qualification process for golfers on the Saudi Arabian-backed circuit.”

  • “LIV is forging ahead with plans for 2025, which include new events and the recruitment of more players from the PGA and DP World Tours. The rate of turnover is likely to be increased by the number of golfers who had three-year contracts when joining LIV, which will expire at the end of 2024.”
  • “Chatter on the range at the LIV event in Miami this month and again at the Masters largely surrounded Hovland, the world No 6 who starred for Europe in the defeat of the United States in Rome last year. Jon Rahm and Tyrrell Hatton, who also played in that team, have subsequently joined LIV. Hovland missed the cut at the Masters and promptly withdrew from the PGA Tour’s $20m stop in Hilton Head this week.”
Full piece.

7. Rory’s management: LIV reports are ‘fake news’

Brian Keogh for the Irish Independent…”A report that Rory McIlroy was on the verge of an $850million move to LIV Golf has been slammed as “fake news” by his management.

“Fake news. Zero truth,” McIlroy’s manager Sean O’Flaherty said in an email.

London financial paper “City AM” reported today that sources have told them that McIlroy “could” join LIV Golf

The paper reported that “two separate sources have told City AM that they believe a deal is close. It is claimed that LIV Golf chiefs have offered world No2 McIlroy an eye-watering $850m to join, plus around two per cent equity in the competition.”

Full piece.
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