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Fantasy Golf Cheat Sheet: The Greenbrier Classic
Each PGA Tour tournament course has its own style and often it’s quite nice to see different challenges presented each week.
I don’t really have that feeling following the Quicken Loans National. I know that it was Congressional Country Club, site of the 2011 U.S. Open. I know it plays tough. But unless it’s a major, I don’t necessarily want a tournament to play like one.
Additionally, it feels like Justin Rose backdoored a victory. It was the same feeling you had when Webb Simpson won at the Olympic Club despite finishing well before the final groups.
I have no qualms about Rose’s long putt on hole No. 18 to force a playoff at 4-under par, but don’t forget that was for bogey! That’s far from the run of seven birdies Kevin Streelman put up to go out and grab a title away from others.
It was also a disappointing tournament for several, such as Simpson, Jason Day and Jordan Spieth, who would seem to have the make-up and game to win a grind-it-out tournament. In the end, it was Rose who did, although, again, a 74-65-71-70 four-day scoreboard isn’t exactly friendly to the eye. In the end, I’ll remember the Quicken Loans National more for Patrick Reed’s final-round 77 to blow what should have been an easy win, with the true battle being one of attrition as everyone at the top of the Day 3 leaderboard decided to play hot potato with a $1 million check.
Attention now shifts to White Sulphur Springs, W.V., where The Greenbrier Classic will take place on historic The Old White TPC. The course has been around since 1914 but didn’t become a desirable Tour destination until tournament director Jim Justice took his millions and put it to amazing use in buying the bankrupt resort. He has poured into the local community, providing jobs and countless monies for charity, while The Greenbrier Classic became a recognized Tour spot in 2010. The resort itself, a place where 26 U.S. presidents have stayed and once served as a Cold War underground bunker, is immaculate and caused Bubba Watson to purchase property nearby.
The Old White TPC isn’t long at 7,287 yards, nor are its fairways called anything but generous, but there is a precision needed to tackle the undulating greens. Stuart Appleby shot a famous final-round 59 in the debut to polish off his win. Expect some low numbers this week as 2011 champ Scott Stallings shot a round in the 70s, shooting even par on his opening round before going low the next two days.
Expect the winner to be someone who gets hot and shoots in the range of 13-under par, just as Jonas Blixt did last year. Here’s a fantasy golf breakdown of The Greenbrier Classic in this week’s birdie-inviting edition of Risk, Reward, Ruin.
RISK
The Old White TPC is an homage to the fun you can have on a golf course, especially in its mimickery of several European holes, such as No. 15, which is modeled after the Eden at St. Andrews. Of course, The Greenbrier is all about fun, since Maroon 5 and Jimmy Buffett will both play concerts this week as Independence Day is celebrated on the PGA Tour.
You know who hasn’t had fun in West Virginia? Jeff Overton. Still without a victory on Tour, Overton shot 64-62-66-67 in 2010, falling victim to Appleby’s historic round by one shot. Now that’s a tough beat.
Make note of past leaderboards this week as it likely won’t be a big name that puts up a win. Rather, it will be someone riding a wave of hot play. That was Ted Potter Jr.’s route in 2012, using a then-Hooters Tour win to make the PGA Tour and perhaps get toasty at just the right time to cash in. Here are this week’s riskier picks that may just have timely and optimal desire.
Charles Howell III
Taking second-place to Overton in lack of luck at The Greenbrier could easily be Howell III, who played a bogey-free tournament in 2010 and finished T9. He finished T32 the next year but has missed the cut the last two years, making him a true risk this week. On the year though, Howell III has eight top-25s and six top-10s, including a T3 in mid-May at the Byron Nelson. Statistically, he measures up to have a good week, which really comes down to how he putts.
Hudson Swafford
Learning the ups and downs of the PGA Tour isn’t something a rookie often grasps immediately. Former Georgia All-American Swafford posted a T30, T8 and T25 in three of his first six tournaments. The other three went for missed cuts. After that, Swafford found the going hard, struggling to make cuts and score when he did. Then he had a U.S. Open qualifier in Memphis and won medalist honors. He shot 67-78 and MC’d at the St. Jude Classic, but it was the start of finding something. His last two tournaments are a T24 at the Travelers (66-71-66-69) and a T11 at the Quicken Loans National (69-68-73-74). Looks like a good time to ride the wave of solid play.
Brendan Steele
With seven top-25s and four top-10s already this season, Steele is well on his way to posting his best year in his fourth season on Tour. Not only that, but he’s coming off back-to-back T5’s. Steele tied for 41st last season in his debut, shooting 66-70-72-69. At 30th in GIR and 55th in SG-P and a bit of length off the tee, Steele could find his away around The Old White TPC with no problem and net his first victory since his rookie year at the Valero Texas Open.
Patrick Rodgers
It’s not often a golfer’s name follows Tiger Woods’ and his list of accomplishments are on the same standing. But Rodgers was a two-time All-American at Stanford and the No. 1 amateur in the world with just as many victories as Woods up exit a few weeks ago to turn pro. He’s played two Tour events and has two made cuts. While he tied for 55th last week, his T46th at the Travelers (66-69-71-70) showed he is capable of scoring. He’s a reach, but it’s not a bad one given his ability and proven track record in the vein of Jordan Spieth.
Brendon de Jonge
Looking for a golfer on a hot streak? Zimbabwe native de Jonge should be on your short list. He’s on a run of good play, culminating in a T8 last week, which coincides well with a strong history at The Old White TPC. He tied for 17th last year (66-68-73-66), tied for 52nd the year before (74-64-68-71) and also turned in a T4 in ’11 and solo third in ’10. The difference in the result has been a matter of one high round. Either way, he likes the course and three rounds of low scores is a nice security blanket.
REWARD
As I previously stated, it likely won’t be a big name that wins. That said, it doesn’t mean the chalk won’t score and put themselves in the top 10. We’re now down to nine tournaments left in the fantasy season and starts available are at a premium. And since the Yahoo summer segment has just started, this is the perfect opportunity to get away from popular names to find a sleeper. Still, I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention those that have the pedigree to buck the trend. Here’s your picks for reward this week.
Jimmy Walker
If there’s one who has yet to grab the annointing of the general public as a primetime player, it’s Walker. The casual fan knows little of him, but any moderate follower of the Tour is aware he’s won three times already this season. Given that he finished as the runner-up last year and tied for fourth in 2010 and 2011, it will be really hard to look away from the solid Texan. Walker has pushed game to an elite level with top-10s in both majors this year.
Steve Stricker
I’ve got starts to burn with Stricker, as should most because of his limited playing schedule, so it’s enticing to use on the sturdiest golfers on Tour, regardless of his frequency in teeing it up. Stricker earned a T22 in 2012, shooting 69-67-68-68, which is the only time he’s played The Greenbrier. Consistent scoring is probably a reasonable expectation for this week as well with the outside possibility of a few strokes lower. All in all, it’s good upside and no downside.
Bubba Watson
I’d say the likelihood of Watson shooting 64-74 and missing the cut is the highest of anyone in the field, but it will be really hard to keep the two-time winner on Tour this year out of your lineup. Amazingly, he only finished T30 last year in his one and only trip. Watson shot 68-69-69-69 to fall back of the pace by eight strokes, but given his success this year, it’s reasonable to expect better. The course won’t hold him, and unless his aggressive approach goes awry, he should create numerous scoring chances.
Bill Haas
Haas has won a tournament the last four years but is winless this year with 11 top-25s and three top-10s. With two of those top-10s in his last four starts, Haas is warming up at a time of year whenever he normally cashes in. He tied for ninth last year (68-67-67-70), T32 in ’12 (68-69-65-72) and lost in a playoff in ’11 (71-67-65-67) in his three trips to The Old White TPC. He’s probably a must in Yahoo leagues, given group B’s four slots.
Brendon Todd
Hard to ignore this former Georgia star with what he’s done in his last five tournaments. Since his win at the Byron Nelson, Todd has issued T5, T8, T17 and T5 results, finishing under par in four of the five, the only outlier being the tough navigation of Pinehurst No. 2. Todd tied for 46th in his 2012 debut, shooting 70-69-68-69. A strong result when he was just a rookie should solidify his standing now in a breakout year.
RUIN
A bad number didn’t hurt at Congressional, but anything higher than par will severely hamper this week’s golfers, and it will likely lead to a missed cut. That’s a little bit scary because a morning round on soft greens may go well for a Thursday start, but the switch to a Friday afternoon tee time will test those that can’t control their distance or make putts as greens speed up. If you’re in a daily fantasy league, this will be one week to watch the weather and the tee times, but also looking for someone with touch around and on the green. Blixt is a good example of someone whose finesse with a short iron led to success. Others don’t have that quality in their game. Here are five I struggle to find value in this week.
Johnson Wagner
The state of Wagner’s game is that he’s missed 13 cuts in 19 tries this year. It’s so bad that only normal scoring courses, such as the Puerto Rico Open, he also MC’d. Wagner tied for second last year via two low rounds of 62 and 64, and he entered in similar form, but it’s beyond a risk to think he will duplicate that effort. While his other two Greenbrier results show three rounds in the 60’s, Wagner statistically is at the bottom of the Tour in hitting GIR, fairways, driving distance and is hardly putting well. You’re digging a little too deep if you use him this week.
Steven Bowditch
Since Bowditch’s surprising win at the Valero Texas Open, he’s struggled to find anything close to a low score. In San Antonio, he had three rounds in the 60’s but closed with a 76. Since, he’s played 24 rounds without shooting in the 60’s and has missed six cuts. He tied for 21st last week and posted a T2 at The Greenbrier last year, shooting 65-67-69-68, but similar to Wagner, it’s scary hoping a golfer bucks a long trend just to grab a result more readily apparent from others. Bowditch has also has a MC and T18 in his history at The Old White TPC.
Keegan Bradley
Since we’re looking off the beaten trail for golfers and shunning some big names, I’m going to throw Bradley on this ruin list since he just can’t seem to find that next gear to his game on what should be winnable courses or in winnable tournaments. Bradley tied for 46th in 2012, firing 68-68-66-74, and he was T43 in ’11, shooting 72-67-69-71. I think those scores demonstrate the frustration with using him. You just expect a better result and, whether it’s a lack of focus or a breakdown in some component of his game, he’s not posting an elite score.
Spencer Levin
With nine missed cuts in his last 11 starts, Levin’s game isn’t displaying any finesse. He opened at Congressional with a 69, then shot 74-73-76 the rest of the way to finish T64. His first try at The Greenbrier in 2010 resulted in a T21, shooting 66-67-67-68. That was a good year for him and about the best you can hope for. His last two tries have placed him inside the cutline but back of the pack, with little to show for in quality rounds. I’d use Wagner or Bowditch before Levin and I’d rather avoid all three.
Martin Flores
In recent weeks, several fantasy writers have offered up Flores as someone to go low. His solo third at the Wells Fargo Championship is still his only top-10 of the year, though he does have seven top-25s. His last eight rounds have been on the high side, however, and a high round this week puts you out of the mix. Flores learned that last year when rounds of 65 and 68 were offset by rounds of 71 and 74, resulting in a T54. He’s a capable kid as his sixth-place debut (64-68-69-67) of 2012 indicated, but this is another case where I’ll take recent hot play over course history. Ideally, you find a bit of both.
That’s all for this week. If you’d like to further discuss fantasy selections for The Greenbrier Classic, you can comment below or find me on Twitter @bricmiller. Best of luck on your week and thanks for reading!
This week’s picks
Yahoo!
Group A: M. Leishman (S), G. Woodland
Group B: B. de Jonge (S), B. Haas (S), C. Kirk, S. Stricker
Group C: B. Todd (S), J. Walker
(Last week: 149 points; Spring segment: 1,733; Summer rank: 21,114; Season points: 3,915; Full Season rank: 1,211 – 98th percentile)
PGATour.com
B. Watson, B. Todd, B. Haas, M. Leishman
(Last week: 208 points; Season: 6,264; Rank: 4,141)
Golf Channel
The Greenbrier Classic
Group 1: B. Haas
Group 2: B. Todd
Group 3: J. Overton
Group 4: H. Swafford
(Last week: $323,050; Season: $12,205,845; Mulligan: $106,522; Rank: 8,434 of 40,214)
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Tour Photo Galleries
Photos from the 2024 Zurich Classic of New Orleans
GolfWRX is live on site this week at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans for the PGA Tour’s one-and-only two-man team event.
As usual, general galleries, WITBs, and pullout albums — including some pretty spicy custom putters and headcovers — await your viewing.
Be sure to check back for more photos from the Big Easy, as we’ll continue to update this page with additional galleries throughout the week.
General Albums
- 2024 Zurich Classic – Monday #1
- 2024 Zurich Classic – Monday #2
- 2024 Zurich Classic – Tuesday #1
- 2024 Zurich Classic – Tuesday #2
WITB Albums
- Alex Fitzpatrick – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Austin Cook – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Alejandro Tosti – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Davis Riley – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- MJ Daffue – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Nate Lashley – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- James Nicholas – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Kevin Streelman – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Rasmus Hojgaard – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Tom Whitney – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- SangMoon Bae – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Daniel Berger – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Rory McIlroy – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Russ Cochrane – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Aldrich Potgieter – WITB – 2024 Zurich Classic
Pullout Albums
- MJ Daffue’s custom Cameron putter – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Cameron putters – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Swag covers ( a few custom for Nick Hardy) – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Custom Bettinardi covers for Matt and Alex Fitzpatrick – 2024 Zurich Classic
- Doug Ghim’s custom Cameron putter – 2024 Zurich Classic
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News
Morning 9: Tiger’s TGL teammates | Woosnam’s criticism of Cantlay | Rory’s return to tour policy board
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News
Tour Rundown: Six-pack of tourneys follows Masters
Brazil and Texas were kindred souls this week, at least when it came to weather. Both regions experienced torrential delays, and three tournaments were held up. The LPGA, PGA Tour Americas, and PGA Tour Champions were compelled to reduce play or work extra holes into Sunday. As if that weren’t enough, South Carolina and the PGA Tour fell victim to nature’s wrath, with lightning postponing the conclusion of the event to Monday.
The year’s first women’s major championship was celebrated in Texas. The Chevron is gaining a bit of tradition in its second year after relocation. This year’s event culminated in the continued coronation of the game’s current best. The Korn Ferry Tour saw a top-twenty performance from a 15-year old amateur, while the second event of the week on the big tour found a winner in the Dominican Republic. Six events is more than a handful, so let’s get right to it, with this week’s (delayed) Tour Rundown.
LPGA @ Chevron Championship: Korda corrals second major title
The winter of 2022-2023 seems so distant for current Nelly Korda. A mysterious ailment sapped all of her energy, just as the world appeared to have finally emerged from the pandemic. We never quite secured the complete information that we desired, but no one can say that any of us deserved to know more than Nelly wished to share. One thing is for certain: Nelly Korda has returned to top form, and the world number one golfer is at least one level above anyone else on tour.
Korda began her 2024 campaign with a January victory in the Drive One Championship. In her next start, in March, she continued her assault on the record books, with a win at the Se Ri Pak. She won again the following week, at the Ford, then defeated Leona Maguire in the final match at the T-Mobile Match Play, for a fourth consecutive victory. Would the increased hype around a major championship have an impact on her game? Well, no.
Korda began play at the Chevron Championship with a score of 68. She trailed Lauren Coughlin by two after 18 holes, but caught her with a second-round 69. Coughlin would ultimately tie for third spot with Brooke Henderson. Henderson played with Korda on day four, but the middle third of the round was her undoing. Making a late move was Maja Stark. House Stark closed with birdies at 17 and 18 to reach 11 under par. Both Korda and Strak played the final three days in identical numbers: 69 each day.
Korda held a firm hand on the tournament over the course of the final day. She stood minus-four for the round through ten holes, before a bit of sloppy play made things competitive again. Bogeys at 11 and 15 opened the door a wee bit for Stark. Korda was equal to the test, however, and closed stylishly with birdie at 18.
Safely around the green on the 72nd hole
Watch @NellyKorda‘s historic finish now on NBC! pic.twitter.com/1zaAYtbaCz
— LPGA (@LPGA) April 21, 2024
PGA Tour 1 @ RBC: Scottie, so hottie!
Nelly isn’t the only golfer on fire, although Scottie Scheffler still has a ways to go to match her. Scheffler proved this week that he has a game for all courses. After winning comfortably at lengthy Augusta National, Scheffler shifted gears and game to the wee Sea Pines course, and won again. That’s two weeks in a row for the man from New Jersey/Texas, so let’s learn how he did it.
Scheffler totaled 69 on day one, and found himself six shots behind leader J.T. Poston. Scheffler revealed that his teacher, Randy Smith, would tell him that he didn’t need to be the best 15 year-old; just the best 25 year-old. It was easy, then, to play the long game and consider all 72 holes, instead of just 18. Scheffler improved to 65 on Friday, and then went even lower on Saturday. His 63 moved him to the top of the board, and caused the golfverse to wonder if Scheffler would win for a second consecutive week.
Sunday saw all the chasers fall away. Scores between 70 and 72 from Patrick Rodgers, Collin Morikawa, and Sepp Straka meant that others would need to seize the day, if Scheffler were to do more than coast. Wyndham Clark and Justin Thomas each moved inside the top five with fourth-round 65s, but no one ever got close enough to the world number one. The win was Scheffler’s 10th on tour, and made him the betting favorite for next month’s PGA Championship at Valhalla.
Scottie Scheffler can save par from just about anywhere.
Including the water ?
(Presented by @CDWCorp) pic.twitter.com/RUqL2sBrr9
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) April 22, 2024
PGA Tour 2 @ Corales Puntacana: Baton Boy claims 8th Tour triumph
If you’ve ever seen Billy Horschel toss a club, you know that he doesn’t do so in anger. More likely is a calculated, soaring arc, paired with a look of fractured disbelief, followed by a quick catch of the cudgel. Ergo, Baton Boy. This week on the island of Hispaniola, the native of Grant, Florida, outworked and outhustled everyone else on Sunday. Horschel gathered seven birdies and an eagle, on the way to a 63 and a 23-under par total.
The former Florida Gator zipped past the four golfers in front of him, and left the remaining field in the rear-view mirror. Horschel’s round was two shots better than anyone else, and moved him two shots ahead of third-round leader Wesley Bryan. One of the famed Bryan Brothers, Wes closed with birdie at the last to post a 68 that would have won the week on any other day.
Walking it in with a fist pump ?@BillyHo_Golf is 9-under on the day and leads by two @CoralesChamp. pic.twitter.com/N6rjL1GGGA
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) April 21, 2024
Korn Ferry Tour @ LeCom Suncoast: It’s Widing in extra holes
Miles Russell probably won’t have to serve detention for ditching class on Thursday and Friday. The high school freshman made his KFT debut, survived the 36-hole cut, and toyed with a top-ten finish. He ultimately tied for 20th at 14-under par, six shots behind the three co-leaders. My guess is that Epstein’s Mom will write him a note, and he’ll get a pass. By finishing top-25, Russell earned a spot in next week’s event. Yikes!
Back to the top of the board. Patrick Cover, Steven Fisk, and Tim Widing all found their way to the magic number of -20. Fisk made birdie at the last, after bogeys at 16 and 17. Cover had three bogeys on the back nine, but a birdie at 14 was enough to get him to overtime. Widing was plus-one on the day through four, but played interstellar golf over the final 14. Six birdies moved him from Russell-ville to extra time.
The trio scurried to the 18th tee, where Cover drove into a fairway bunker. He was unable to reach the green with his approach, made bogey, and exited the overtime session. Widing and Fisk returned to the final deck once more, and matters were resolved. Fisk was unable to convert a long par putt, and Widing (pronounced VEE-ding) tapped in for his first KFT title.
The feeling of relief when you know you won. ???
Tim Widing is now a champion on the #KornFerryTour. pic.twitter.com/K0vgiZ21UG
— Korn Ferry Tour (@KornFerryTour) April 21, 2024
PGA Tour Americas @ Brasil Open: Mr. Anderson finds a way
Golf is a funny game. Matthew Anderson held a lead with one round to play. He made six pars on Sunday, and sprinkled the rest of his card with birdies and bogeys. In complete contrast, Ollie Osborne played consistently on the day, posting four birdies and zero bogeys. Connor Godsey was not far off Osborne’s pace, with seven birdies and but two bogeys on the scorecard. So, of course, Matthew Anderson won by a stroke over Osborne and Godsey.
Not how, but how many, is another one of those platitudes that we all learn early on. Despite five bogeys through his first 14 holes, Anderson summoned the defiant grit to make birdie at the 71st and 72nd holes. After making deuce at the penultimat hole, Anderson’s swerving effort at the last looked as if it should miss low, but it had enough pace to stay inside the hole and fall for a closing four at the par-five finisher.
Birdie-birdie finish to secure the ?
Mississauga-native Matthew Anderson is your 69th ECP Brazil Open Champion. pic.twitter.com/ONE8hIUjeS
— PGA TOUR Americas (@PGATOURAmericas) April 21, 2024
PGA Tour Champions @ Invited Celebrity: Broadhurst stands tall
What do you call a tournament that begins on Friday, takes Saturday off, and finishes on Sunday? Fortunate is one adjective to use. A weather system moved through Texas this weekend, and made a mess of things in Irving. After Thomas Bjorn signed for 64 on day one, rain and all things counter-productive moved through the Las Colinas resort, ensuring that Saturday would be nothing more than a rest day. When Sunday arrived, conditions had improved, and the game was on. Bjorn was unable to preserve his Friday magic, although he did record a 70 for -8. He finished in a third-place tie with Y.E. Yang.
David Toms, the 2001 PGA Championship victor, presented Sunday’s low round, and moved to 10-under par. Toms made one mistake on the day. He lived in the rough on the 9th hole, ultimately making bogey. The rest of the day was immaculate, as seven birdies came his way, resulting in a six-under par 65. Only one golfer was able to surpass Toms, and that was Paul Broadhurst.
Broadhurst nearly matched Toms for daily honors. His mistake came early, with bogey at the second. He bounced back with eagle at the third, and added three more birdies for 66 and 11-under par. Over his first three seasons on the Tour Champions, Broadhurst won five times, including two major titles. His fifth win came in 2018, making this win his first in six years. A long time coming, for sure, but well earned.
Looking at the hole is working for @PBroadhurstGolf ?
He leads by one after a clutch birdie on 15 @InvitedCC. pic.twitter.com/S0rhcVwaeE
— PGA TOUR Champions (@ChampionsTour) April 21, 2024
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Pingback: Fantasy Golf Cheat Sheet: The Greenbrier Classic | Spacetimeandi.com
Carl
Jul 1, 2014 at 8:33 pm
How does your Yahoo league add points up? I started the same as you last week and did not get 149 points.
Brian Miller
Jul 1, 2014 at 11:58 pm
I think it’s standard across the board. I kept the Day 1 starters for Day 2, then subbed out Day who MC’d for Garrigus. Subbed out Hoffman for Todd final two days as well, and played Woodland on final day. Todd got 5 bonus pts for finishing 3rd. The breakdown was 30 pts + 30 pts + 42 pts + 42 pts + 5 bonus = 149
Carl
Jul 2, 2014 at 12:55 am
Oh I’m sorry my league doesn’t allow substitutions so I had to keep Day in the whole week. Didn’t know standard let you sub